Trader
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7
Quality
74
PnL
$16,878
Volume
$23,814,805
Win rate
59%
Last seen 10/17/2026, 2:48:01 PM
Leaderboard
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 37 · PnL $79,653 · Volume $3,054,933
WEATHER · ALL · PNL
Rank 115 · PnL $16,896 · Volume $294,972
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 158 · PnL $11,955 · Volume $929,666
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 459 · PnL $109,874 · Volume $22,376,292
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 816 · PnL $251,516 · Volume $68,765,796
FINANCE · WEEK · PNL
Rank 997 · PnL $81 · Volume $0
WEATHER · MONTH · PNL
Rank 2703 · PnL $11 · Volume $0
SPORTS · ALL · PNL
Rank 3446 · PnL $16,878 · Volume $23,814,805
SPORTS · DAY · PNL
Rank 4743 · PnL $7 · Volume $0
SPORTS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 5465 · PnL $98 · Volume $0
Current positions
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · NO · general
30332 shares · value $29,407 · avg 82.1% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics
26545 shares · value $21,488 · avg 55.3% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Trump out as President before 2027? · NO · general
20330 shares · value $19,486 · avg 81.8% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · NO · general
15043 shares · value $14,803 · avg 16.2% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · NO · general
12782 shares · value $12,379 · avg 81.3% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · YES · general
11889 shares · value $11,360 · avg 21.1% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · NO · general
11188 shares · value $10,891 · avg 85.8% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · YES · general
8167 shares · value $8,167 · avg 85.0% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · NO · general
8006 shares · value $8,006 · avg 82.8% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · NO · general
8164 shares · value $7,952 · avg 26.0% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
37473 shares · value $7,139 · avg 36.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
8363 shares · value $6,272 · avg 60.1% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
5864 shares · value $5,864 · avg 86.5% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · NO · general
5879 shares · value $5,747 · avg 89.4% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · NO · general
5548 shares · value $5,451 · avg 64.2% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · YES · general
5400 shares · value $5,400 · avg 1.1% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · NO · general
5132 shares · value $5,016 · avg 88.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · YES · general
5009 shares · value $2,905 · avg 21.9% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · YES · general
9844 shares · value $2,904 · avg 33.4% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $1,462 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
7728 shares · value $1,163 · avg 2.4% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
14481 shares · value $789 · avg 1.1% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · YES · general
6942 shares · value $764 · avg 61.8% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · NO · general
5631 shares · value $718 · avg 53.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
22355 shares · value $682 · avg 1.1% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
20374 shares · value $540 · avg 1.3% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
5565 shares · value $529 · avg 17.9% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · YES · general
10970 shares · value $494 · avg 33.4% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
9172 shares · value $459 · avg 1.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
14842 shares · value $304 · avg 1.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
11778 shares · value $277 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
9920 shares · value $273 · avg 0.8% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
10482 shares · value $267 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
15652 shares · value $258 · avg 1.0% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
13921 shares · value $244 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
7382 shares · value $225 · avg 4.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
9274 shares · value $218 · avg 3.9% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
9011 shares · value $212 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $196 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
14750 shares · value $170 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14281 shares · value $136 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14281 shares · value $121 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
12415 shares · value $118 · avg 0.8% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
6133 shares · value $107 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
14881 shares · value $97 · avg 1.1% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
14822 shares · value $96 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $95 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
7446 shares · value $93 · avg 1.1% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
9539 shares · value $91 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · YES · general
10727 shares · value $86 · avg 12.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
32225 shares · value $81 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $80 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
6155 shares · value $65 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $58 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14436 shares · value $51 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
6631 shares · value $36 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
14481 shares · value $36 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
5728 shares · value $32 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
6450 shares · value $29 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · YES · politics
7831 shares · value $27 · avg 1.0% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
4831 shares · value $27 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
7252 shares · value $25 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
9442 shares · value $24 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
8901 shares · value $22 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
14750 shares · value $22 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
14750 shares · value $22 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
14750 shares · value $22 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
14750 shares · value $22 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
14750 shares · value $22 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
14750 shares · value $22 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $22 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
13491 shares · value $20 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
5011 shares · value $18 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
9601 shares · value $14 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
9351 shares · value $14 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
9351 shares · value $14 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? · YES · general
24285 shares · value $12 · avg 0.5% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
8079 shares · value $12 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
7701 shares · value $12 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
7081 shares · value $11 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
6753 shares · value $10 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
6181 shares · value $9 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
5439 shares · value $8 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
14750 shares · value $7 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
14750 shares · value $7 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
14750 shares · value $7 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
14625 shares · value $7 · avg 1.1% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $7 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $7 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $7 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $7 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $7 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $7 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $7 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $7 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $7 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $7 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $7 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $7 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
14550 shares · value $7 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Recent trades
10 @ 11.0% · notional $1 · 4/28/2026, 12:01:00 AM
66 @ 34.0% · notional $22 · 4/27/2026, 11:47:52 PM
106 @ 11.0% · notional $12 · 4/27/2026, 11:26:42 PM
18 @ 11.0% · notional $2 · 4/27/2026, 11:26:14 PM
16 @ 11.0% · notional $2 · 4/27/2026, 11:26:06 PM
16 @ 11.0% · notional $2 · 4/27/2026, 11:25:56 PM
34 @ 11.0% · notional $4 · 4/27/2026, 11:24:36 PM
22 @ 11.0% · notional $2 · 4/27/2026, 11:23:50 PM
540 @ 92.0% · notional $497 · 4/27/2026, 11:21:04 PM
135 @ 96.7% · notional $130 · 4/27/2026, 11:17:08 PM
1186 @ 9.5% · notional $113 · 4/27/2026, 11:15:14 PM
61 @ 34.0% · notional $21 · 4/27/2026, 11:01:18 PM
270 @ 58.0% · notional $157 · 4/27/2026, 10:56:22 PM
45 @ 34.0% · notional $15 · 4/27/2026, 10:50:52 PM
33 @ 35.0% · notional $11 · 4/27/2026, 10:28:56 PM
270 @ 95.0% · notional $257 · 4/27/2026, 10:05:48 PM
Iran leadership change by June 30? · BUY NO
27 @ 75.0% · notional $21 · 4/27/2026, 9:51:30 PM
100 @ 35.0% · notional $35 · 4/27/2026, 9:37:42 PM
71 @ 95.9% · notional $68 · 4/27/2026, 9:33:16 PM
26 @ 35.0% · notional $9 · 4/27/2026, 9:25:38 PM
8 @ 35.0% · notional $3 · 4/27/2026, 9:15:04 PM
Iran leadership change by June 30? · BUY NO
89 @ 75.0% · notional $67 · 4/27/2026, 9:04:24 PM
Iran leadership change by June 30? · BUY NO
36 @ 75.0% · notional $27 · 4/27/2026, 9:01:44 PM
360 @ 6.0% · notional $22 · 4/27/2026, 8:39:48 PM
10 @ 3.0% · notional $0 · 4/27/2026, 8:15:28 PM
Iran leadership change by June 30? · BUY NO
56 @ 75.0% · notional $42 · 4/27/2026, 8:11:00 PM
29 @ 92.3% · notional $27 · 4/27/2026, 7:28:14 PM
Iran leadership change by June 30? · BUY NO
82 @ 76.0% · notional $62 · 4/27/2026, 7:25:36 PM
11 @ 11.0% · notional $1 · 4/27/2026, 7:16:06 PM
Iran leadership change by June 30? · BUY NO
161 @ 76.0% · notional $123 · 4/27/2026, 5:53:52 PM
540 @ 98.0% · notional $529 · 4/27/2026, 5:40:38 PM
360 @ 28.0% · notional $101 · 4/27/2026, 5:37:38 PM
270 @ 91.2% · notional $246 · 4/27/2026, 5:28:26 PM
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · BUY YES
270 @ 15.0% · notional $41 · 4/27/2026, 5:14:26 PM
360 @ 98.5% · notional $355 · 4/27/2026, 4:47:40 PM
360 @ 99.0% · notional $356 · 4/27/2026, 4:47:16 PM
105 @ 95.5% · notional $101 · 4/27/2026, 4:42:30 PM
58 @ 95.5% · notional $56 · 4/27/2026, 4:40:14 PM
8 @ 95.5% · notional $8 · 4/27/2026, 4:34:26 PM
Iran leadership change by June 30? · BUY NO
117 @ 76.0% · notional $89 · 4/27/2026, 4:32:02 PM
98 @ 95.5% · notional $94 · 4/27/2026, 4:14:20 PM
270 @ 29.0% · notional $78 · 4/27/2026, 3:59:48 PM
Iran leadership change by June 30? · BUY NO
253 @ 77.0% · notional $195 · 4/27/2026, 3:57:58 PM
Iran leadership change by June 30? · BUY NO
17 @ 77.0% · notional $13 · 4/27/2026, 3:55:40 PM
270 @ 65.0% · notional $176 · 4/27/2026, 3:47:36 PM
98 @ 99.0% · notional $97 · 4/27/2026, 3:36:42 PM
Iran leadership change by April 30? · BUY NO
270 @ 98.0% · notional $265 · 4/27/2026, 3:17:18 PM
172 @ 99.0% · notional $170 · 4/27/2026, 2:48:42 PM
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · SELL YES
713 @ 35.0% · notional $250 · 4/27/2026, 2:33:08 PM
20 @ 96.7% · notional $19 · 4/27/2026, 1:00:20 PM
49 @ 98.1% · notional $48 · 4/27/2026, 12:48:44 PM
11 @ 96.7% · notional $11 · 4/27/2026, 12:48:36 PM
540 @ 25.0% · notional $135 · 4/27/2026, 10:48:18 AM
10 @ 98.3% · notional $10 · 4/27/2026, 9:37:16 AM
13 @ 40.0% · notional $5 · 4/27/2026, 6:47:42 AM
210 @ 50.0% · notional $105 · 4/27/2026, 6:10:54 AM
12 @ 50.0% · notional $6 · 4/27/2026, 6:10:00 AM
63 @ 50.0% · notional $31 · 4/27/2026, 6:09:58 AM
270 @ 55.0% · notional $149 · 4/27/2026, 6:04:08 AM
0 @ 40.0% · notional $0 · 4/27/2026, 5:50:14 AM
1 @ 40.0% · notional $0 · 4/27/2026, 5:49:52 AM
31 @ 60.0% · notional $19 · 4/27/2026, 5:29:00 AM
31 @ 60.0% · notional $19 · 4/27/2026, 5:26:06 AM
37 @ 60.0% · notional $22 · 4/27/2026, 5:15:42 AM
170 @ 60.0% · notional $102 · 4/27/2026, 5:12:38 AM
Resolved history
No resolved history summary available yet.
No resolved positions found.