Market
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
POLITICS
BUY_YES
Market 50% · Fair 87% · Edge 36.5 pts
2 tracked holders · YES exposure 10581032 · NO exposure 0
2 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 2 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 87% vs market 50%, Q96s3kwozynxpau (240 score) YES value 170893. YES offers 73.0% expected profit per dollar risked with 100.0% max profit if correct, or 31.8% annualized. Lead holder: Q96s3kwozynxpau YES value 170893 with 341786 contracts
Signal history
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:44:14 PM
Edge 36.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:43:15 PM
Edge 36.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:42:14 PM
Edge 36.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:41:14 PM
Edge 35.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:40:14 PM
Edge 35.2 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · YES · score 99
641391 contracts · value 321 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:01:01 PM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 96
141793 contracts · value 213 · avg 0.8% · 8/1/2026, 3:40:02 PM
Prexpect · YES · score 99
35000 contracts · value 105 · avg 0.4% · 7/23/2026, 3:47:22 AM
ImJustKen · YES · score 99
93080 contracts · value 47 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:43:03 PM
11122 · YES · score 99
60201 contracts · value 30 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:27:10 PM
abdkxrhxr · YES · score 99
50000 contracts · value 25 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:09:08 PM
cigarettes · YES · score 99
35337 contracts · value 18 · avg 49.9% · 8/21/2026, 8:55:05 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · YES · score 99
31713 contracts · value 16 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:35:08 PM
TheWolfOfPoly · YES · score 99
23500 contracts · value 12 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:21:05 PM
CoffeeLover · YES · score 99
16777 contracts · value 8 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 8:58:08 PM
Liquidifier · YES · score 99
10000 contracts · value 5 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:51:06 PM
donthackme · YES · score 99
6001 contracts · value 3 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:33:03 PM
Gucky-45 · YES · score 99
4800 contracts · value 2 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:09:04 PM
failstober · YES · score 99
3331 contracts · value 2 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:47:01 PM
Recent trades