Market

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 5% · Fair 36% · Edge 30.7 pts

2 tracked holders · YES exposure 1212 · NO exposure 0

2 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 2 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 36% vs market 5%, 11122 (65 score) YES value 3348. YES offers 620.7% expected profit per dollar risked with 1920.2% max profit if correct, or 301.5% annualized. Lead holder: 11122 YES value 3348 with 67628 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:59:11 PM
Edge 30.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:57:12 PM
Edge 30.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:55:15 PM
Edge 35.9 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:53:12 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:50:10 PM
Edge 30.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:48:10 PM
Edge 30.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:46:10 PM
Edge 29.5 pts · Confidence 99
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:42:10 PM
Edge 29.5 pts · Confidence 99
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:40:11 PM
Edge 35.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:38:10 PM
Edge 35.9 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
258472 contracts · value 10985 · avg 4.1% · 6/28/2026, 11:35:43 AM
TortugaGorda · YES · score 67
205437 contracts · value 10169 · avg 5.0% · 10/17/2026, 2:13:15 PM
mombil · YES · score 66
214948 contracts · value 8920 · avg 3.8% · 5/26/2026, 3:45:57 AM
bernardbulletin · YES · score 45
168591 contracts · value 8514 · avg 4.0% · 10/4/2026, 7:35:52 AM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 96
83836 contracts · value 4653 · avg 48.8% · 8/29/2026, 4:01:09 PM
11122 · YES · score 46
67628 contracts · value 3348 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 3:59:27 PM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 99
64329 contracts · value 3249 · avg 5.1% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM
ImJustKen · YES · score 49
63803 contracts · value 3158 · avg 1.2% · 10/17/2026, 3:43:13 PM
petanimal · YES · score 96
68000 contracts · value 3026 · avg 1.7% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:15 AM
failstober · YES · score 45
44802 contracts · value 2218 · avg 3.5% · 10/16/2026, 5:36:56 PM
tunatyler · YES · score 76
26142 contracts · value 1320 · avg 6.0% · 10/9/2026, 3:16:30 AM
CoffeeLover · YES · score 64
15777 contracts · value 828 · avg 50.0% · 8/26/2026, 4:05:10 PM
HerrieDavis · YES · score 73
11304 contracts · value 571 · avg 0.8% · 10/11/2026, 4:14:33 AM
smoltrader · YES · score 96
12824 contracts · value 557 · avg 0.8% · 6/21/2026, 12:55:29 AM
9172 contracts · value 459 · avg 1.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
Recent trades
Zzzz87 · BUY YES · score 45
382 @ 5.2% · notional 20 · 10/10/2026, 3:40:35 AM
Zzzz87 · SELL YES · score 45
4454 @ 4.8% · notional 213 · 10/10/2026, 12:54:19 AM
Zzzz87 · BUY YES · score 45
335 @ 5.2% · notional 17 · 10/9/2026, 5:39:38 AM
Zzzz87 · BUY YES · score 45
2451 @ 5.1% · notional 125 · 10/9/2026, 5:38:51 AM
ScottyNooo · BUY YES · score 99
808 @ 4.8% · notional 39 · 9/26/2026, 4:48:12 PM
388 @ 5.3% · notional 21 · 8/25/2026, 2:11:45 AM
1679 @ 5.3% · notional 89 · 8/23/2026, 9:36:15 AM
88 @ 5.3% · notional 5 · 8/15/2026, 2:36:07 AM
42 @ 5.3% · notional 2 · 8/15/2026, 2:14:45 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 73
2158 @ 5.2% · notional 112 · 7/23/2026, 5:33:36 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 73
1 @ 5.2% · notional 0 · 7/23/2026, 5:29:54 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 73
3 @ 5.2% · notional 0 · 7/23/2026, 5:28:31 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 73
144 @ 5.2% · notional 7 · 7/23/2026, 4:45:48 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 73
6 @ 5.2% · notional 0 · 7/23/2026, 4:19:30 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 73
7 @ 5.2% · notional 0 · 7/23/2026, 3:57:58 PM