Market
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
POLITICS
BUY_YES
Market 21% · Fair 37% · Edge 15.6 pts
7 tracked holders · YES exposure 232252 · NO exposure 441629
7 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 6 YES vs 5 NO positions, fair 37% vs market 21%, 0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff52814 (99 score) NO value 199815. YES offers 74.2% expected profit per dollar risked with 376.2% max profit if correct, or 36.0% annualized. Lead holder: 0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff52814 NO value 199815 with 252930 contracts
Signal history
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 4:02:10 PM
Edge 15.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 4:01:12 PM
Edge 15.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:59:12 PM
Edge 9.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:57:14 PM
Edge 11.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:55:16 PM
Edge 11.2 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:53:12 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:50:10 PM
Edge 11.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:48:10 PM
Edge 9.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:46:10 PM
Edge 7.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:42:11 PM
Edge 9.4 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
poorsob · NO · score 67
7313063 contracts · value 5934550 · avg 50.0% · 5/24/2026, 1:14:45 AM
elmcap2 · NO · score 72
4000000 contracts · value 3160000 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 3:35:10 PM
S-Works · NO · score 96
2300007 contracts · value 1817006 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 3:53:13 PM
poorsob · YES · score 67
7313063 contracts · value 1378512 · avg 50.0% · 5/24/2026, 1:14:45 AM
milkywaybet · NO · score 45
1208072 contracts · value 956793 · avg 50.0% · 9/25/2026, 12:36:51 AM
Protruder · NO · score 96
1200000 contracts · value 935400 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 12:33:15 AM
elmcap2 · YES · score 72
4000000 contracts · value 840000 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 3:35:10 PM
BrightStars · NO · score 96
772223 contracts · value 606581 · avg 50.0% · 8/9/2026, 11:43:51 AM
ethBELIVER · NO · score 66
613248 contracts · value 486612 · avg 50.0% · 9/22/2026, 2:52:46 AM
S-Works · YES · score 96
2299999 contracts · value 483000 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 3:53:13 PM
Sharky6999 · NO · score 72
600000 contracts · value 473700 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:41:10 AM
pelik · NO · score 63
521026 contracts · value 412913 · avg 50.0% · 9/28/2026, 7:43:16 AM
foodenjoyer · NO · score 57
400000 contracts · value 319800 · avg 50.0% · 10/8/2026, 11:10:25 AM
Kickstand7 · NO · score 62
375619 contracts · value 297678 · avg 50.0% · 9/30/2026, 4:00:20 AM
Protruder · YES · score 96
1200000 contracts · value 264600 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 12:33:15 AM
Recent trades
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
417 @ 21.0% · notional 88 · 10/17/2026, 3:50:57 AM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
5 @ 21.0% · notional 1 · 10/17/2026, 2:15:35 AM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
145 @ 21.0% · notional 30 · 10/17/2026, 12:04:20 AM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
610 @ 21.0% · notional 128 · 10/16/2026, 9:30:06 PM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
5 @ 21.0% · notional 1 · 10/16/2026, 8:44:00 PM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
9 @ 21.0% · notional 2 · 10/16/2026, 8:07:18 PM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
5 @ 21.0% · notional 1 · 10/16/2026, 7:03:10 PM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
614 @ 21.0% · notional 129 · 10/16/2026, 6:48:56 PM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
181 @ 21.0% · notional 38 · 10/16/2026, 6:43:17 PM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
200 @ 21.0% · notional 42 · 10/16/2026, 6:03:33 PM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
5 @ 21.0% · notional 1 · 10/16/2026, 6:02:02 PM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
6 @ 21.0% · notional 1 · 10/16/2026, 4:21:30 PM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
6 @ 21.0% · notional 1 · 10/16/2026, 2:25:27 PM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
250 @ 21.0% · notional 53 · 10/16/2026, 11:55:58 AM
woshiLimpeh · BUY YES · score 99
5 @ 21.0% · notional 1 · 10/16/2026, 11:16:10 AM