Market

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLITICS

HOLD

Market 1% · Fair 1% · Edge -0.1 pts

2 tracked holders · YES exposure 1 · NO exposure 602

2 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 1 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 1% vs market 1%, 11122 (65 score) NO value 2978. NO offers 0.1% expected profit per dollar risked with 1.1% max profit if correct, or 0.0% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. Lead holder: 11122 NO value 2978 with 3000 contracts

Signal history
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:27:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:26:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:25:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:24:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:23:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:22:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:21:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:20:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:19:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:18:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
AnotherCrakcAtBiden · YES · score 65
1001067 contracts · value 32535 · avg 0.7% · 6/5/2026, 9:05:03 AM
11122 · NO · score 68
3000 contracts · value 2981 · avg 98.6% · 6/30/2026, 6:59:53 AM
debased · YES · score 45
432227 contracts · value 2809 · avg 0.7% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:39 PM
GollumGekko · YES · score 45
54227 contracts · value 949 · avg 1.3% · 6/14/2026, 10:18:24 PM
petanimal · YES · score 57
15000 contracts · value 98 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:15 AM
HerrieDavis · YES · score 63
4863 contracts · value 80 · avg 1.0% · 6/14/2026, 9:16:28 PM
AgricultureSecretary · YES · score 96
10000 contracts · value 65 · avg 1.0% · 6/28/2026, 11:37:41 AM
· YES · score 47
7252 contracts · value 47 · avg 0.6% · 6/28/2026, 3:45:40 PM
failstober · YES · score 75
3331 contracts · value 22 · avg 0.5% · 6/28/2026, 2:19:43 PM
cigarettes · YES · score 46
2892 contracts · value 19 · avg 0.5% · 6/28/2026, 2:07:45 PM
1374 contracts · value 9 · avg 0.4% · 4/30/2026, 5:06:54 AM
dadadabababab · YES · score 45
150 contracts · value 1 · avg 0.0% · 6/30/2026, 6:59:50 AM
Recent trades
debased · BUY YES · score 45
100 @ 0.7% · notional 1 · 6/24/2026, 9:31:35 PM
debased · BUY YES · score 45
172 @ 0.7% · notional 1 · 6/24/2026, 7:18:29 PM
debased · BUY YES · score 45
13909 @ 0.7% · notional 97 · 6/24/2026, 3:38:53 PM
debased · BUY YES · score 45
12763 @ 0.7% · notional 89 · 6/24/2026, 3:18:05 PM
debased · BUY YES · score 45
84439 @ 0.7% · notional 591 · 6/24/2026, 3:17:05 PM
debased · BUY YES · score 45
30456 @ 0.8% · notional 244 · 6/24/2026, 3:16:13 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · BUY NO · score 96
30 @ 98.6% · notional 29 · 6/19/2026, 2:51:19 AM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · BUY NO · score 96
1 @ 98.6% · notional 1 · 6/18/2026, 11:45:32 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL NO · score 96
25 @ 98.7% · notional 25 · 6/18/2026, 11:44:28 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · BUY NO · score 96
58 @ 98.6% · notional 57 · 6/18/2026, 10:57:46 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · BUY NO · score 96
5000 @ 98.6% · notional 4930 · 6/18/2026, 10:11:01 AM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · BUY NO · score 96
34540 @ 98.6% · notional 34057 · 6/18/2026, 1:54:50 AM
smoltrader · SELL YES · score 45
36600 @ 1.1% · notional 403 · 6/17/2026, 8:21:40 PM
smoltrader · SELL YES · score 45
149 @ 1.1% · notional 2 · 6/17/2026, 5:57:26 PM
HerrieDavis · SELL YES · score 63
100 @ 1.0% · notional 1 · 6/14/2026, 4:43:42 AM