Market

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLITICS

HOLD

Market 1% · Fair 1% · Edge -0.1 pts

2 tracked holders · YES exposure 1 · NO exposure 602

2 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 1 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 1% vs market 1%, 11122 (65 score) NO value 2978. NO offers 0.1% expected profit per dollar risked with 1.1% max profit if correct, or 0.0% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. Lead holder: 11122 NO value 2978 with 3000 contracts

Signal history
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:27:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:26:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:25:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:24:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:23:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:22:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:21:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:20:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:19:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:18:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
debased · YES · score 59
425877 contracts · value 1065 · avg 0.7% · 10/17/2026, 6:29:22 AM
GollumGekko · YES · score 45
54227 contracts · value 949 · avg 1.3% · 6/14/2026, 10:18:24 PM
petanimal · YES · score 64
15000 contracts · value 98 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:15 AM
HerrieDavis · YES · score 45
13030 contracts · value 46 · avg 0.9% · 10/11/2026, 4:14:33 AM
7252 contracts · value 25 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
AgricultureSecretary · YES · score 65
10000 contracts · value 25 · avg 1.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:09:10 PM
Haradwaith · YES · score 47
5410 contracts · value 24 · avg 2.1% · 9/29/2026, 3:13:13 AM
suntori · YES · score 45
5768 contracts · value 14 · avg 2.5% · 10/17/2026, 3:35:10 PM
failstober · YES · score 99
3331 contracts · value 10 · 10/16/2026, 5:36:56 PM
1374 contracts · value 9 · avg 0.4% · 4/30/2026, 5:06:54 AM
AJSV · YES · score 65
1738 contracts · value 4 · avg 0.4% · 10/17/2026, 3:41:12 PM
dadadabababab · YES · score 45
150 contracts · value 0 · 10/17/2026, 4:13:18 PM
Itlliccaa · YES · score 96
25 contracts · value 0 · avg 0.7% · 9/21/2026, 6:24:46 PM
Recent trades
Haradwaith · SELL YES · score 47
1 @ 0.6% · notional 0 · 9/10/2026, 6:39:54 PM
plainfolder · BUY YES · score 64
200 @ 0.5% · notional 1 · 8/25/2026, 11:38:15 AM
2 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 3:59:51 AM
0 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 3:19:46 AM
2 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 3:19:37 AM
0 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 3:19:06 AM
3 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 3:17:28 AM
0 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 1:52:07 AM
2 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 1:36:34 AM
0 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 1:30:18 AM
0 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 1:30:09 AM
2 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 1:28:58 AM
0 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 1:27:31 AM
2 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 1:26:18 AM
2 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 1:20:42 AM