Market

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLITICS

HOLD

Market 1% · Fair 1% · Edge -0.1 pts

2 tracked holders · YES exposure 1 · NO exposure 602

2 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 1 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 1% vs market 1%, 11122 (65 score) NO value 2978. NO offers 0.1% expected profit per dollar risked with 1.1% max profit if correct, or 0.0% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. Lead holder: 11122 NO value 2978 with 3000 contracts

Signal history
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:27:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:26:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:25:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:24:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:23:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:22:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:21:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:20:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:19:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
6/24/2026, 3:18:20 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
AnotherCrakcAtBiden · YES · score 65
1001067 contracts · value 32535 · avg 0.7% · 6/5/2026, 9:05:03 AM
debased · YES · score 45
432227 contracts · value 2377 · avg 0.7% · 8/21/2026, 10:17:08 PM
GollumGekko · YES · score 45
54227 contracts · value 949 · avg 1.3% · 6/14/2026, 10:18:24 PM
petanimal · YES · score 65
15000 contracts · value 98 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:15 AM
AgricultureSecretary · YES · score 45
10000 contracts · value 55 · avg 1.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:53:01 PM
· YES · score 45
7252 contracts · value 40 · avg 47.6% · 8/17/2026, 3:46:05 PM
suntori · YES · score 45
5768 contracts · value 32 · avg 2.5% · 8/20/2026, 8:25:00 AM
5000 contracts · value 28 · avg 0.8% · 8/21/2026, 8:55:01 PM
failstober · YES · score 99
3331 contracts · value 18 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:17:02 PM
cigarettes · YES · score 59
2892 contracts · value 16 · avg 49.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:43:01 PM
1374 contracts · value 9 · avg 0.4% · 4/30/2026, 5:06:54 AM
dadadabababab · YES · score 45
150 contracts · value 1 · avg 49.6% · 8/21/2026, 10:55:09 PM
Recent trades
0 @ 0.6% · notional 0 · 8/14/2026, 11:36:31 AM
0 @ 0.6% · notional 0 · 8/14/2026, 11:36:24 AM
1 @ 0.6% · notional 0 · 8/14/2026, 11:36:13 AM
9 @ 0.6% · notional 0 · 8/14/2026, 10:37:49 AM
6 @ 0.6% · notional 0 · 8/14/2026, 10:32:31 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
20343 @ 0.5% · notional 102 · 7/24/2026, 5:24:12 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
0 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 7/21/2026, 6:38:43 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
1 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 7/21/2026, 6:38:36 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
1 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 7/21/2026, 5:01:51 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
2 @ 0.5% · notional 0 · 7/21/2026, 3:38:27 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 68
2000 @ 0.6% · notional 12 · 7/13/2026, 6:05:43 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 68
25029 @ 0.6% · notional 150 · 7/13/2026, 6:00:55 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · BUY YES · score 47
6 @ 0.6% · notional 0 · 7/12/2026, 1:58:44 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · BUY YES · score 47
12 @ 0.6% · notional 0 · 7/12/2026, 1:54:07 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · BUY YES · score 47
10 @ 0.6% · notional 0 · 7/12/2026, 1:53:04 AM