Market

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 3% · Fair 42% · Edge 39.6 pts

5 tracked holders · YES exposure 3201 · NO exposure 0

5 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 5 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 42% vs market 3%, TortugaGorda (99 score) YES value 1631. YES offers 1414.3% expected profit per dollar risked with 3471.4% max profit if correct, or 638.8% annualized. Lead holder: TortugaGorda YES value 1631 with 58233 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 8:39:12 PM
Edge 39.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 8:38:12 PM
Edge 39.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 8:36:11 PM
Edge 39.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 8:35:11 PM
Edge 39.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 8:34:11 PM
Edge 39.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 8:33:11 PM
Edge 38.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 8:32:11 PM
Edge 38.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 8:31:11 PM
Edge 38.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 8:30:11 PM
Edge 32.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 8:29:11 PM
Edge 38.4 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
11122 · YES · score 63
212764 contracts · value 6277 · avg 5.4% · 8/21/2026, 5:27:10 PM
HerbertAppreciator · YES · score 96
136580 contracts · value 2923 · avg 1.3% · 7/26/2026, 6:07:24 PM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 49
71850 contracts · value 1976 · avg 0.8% · 8/1/2026, 3:40:02 PM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 51
55944 contracts · value 1650 · avg 1.9% · 8/21/2026, 1:59:07 PM
TortugaGorda · YES · score 99
58233 contracts · value 1631 · avg 1.1% · 8/21/2026, 8:37:04 PM
mombil · YES · score 76
41093 contracts · value 879 · avg 1.9% · 5/26/2026, 3:45:57 AM
scottilicious · YES · score 55
23930 contracts · value 670 · avg 2.6% · 8/21/2026, 8:31:05 PM
tsihkodiives · YES · score 47
12170 contracts · value 359 · avg 2.2% · 8/21/2026, 4:13:04 PM
· YES · score 75
9011 contracts · value 266 · avg 33.6% · 8/17/2026, 3:46:05 PM
PantheraUncia · YES · score 48
15380 contracts · value 238 · avg 2.1% · 6/28/2026, 11:35:43 AM
Hans323 · YES · score 99
5805 contracts · value 171 · avg 3.5% · 8/21/2026, 12:19:08 PM
oneAce · YES · score 63
4802 contracts · value 146 · avg 2.3% · 8/13/2026, 2:09:31 PM
failstober · YES · score 99
3331 contracts · value 93 · avg 48.7% · 8/21/2026, 8:37:02 PM
petanimal · YES · score 65
4000 contracts · value 78 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:15 AM
· YES · score 45
2237 contracts · value 66 · avg 2.1% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:08 PM
Recent trades
4444 @ 2.9% · notional 129 · 8/19/2026, 2:24:27 AM
8 @ 2.9% · notional 0 · 8/18/2026, 11:57:09 PM
7 @ 2.9% · notional 0 · 8/18/2026, 11:20:04 PM
1 @ 3.1% · notional 0 · 8/14/2026, 10:46:40 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
0 @ 2.1% · notional 0 · 7/24/2026, 11:11:15 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
0 @ 2.1% · notional 0 · 7/24/2026, 10:48:49 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
0 @ 2.1% · notional 0 · 7/24/2026, 9:14:52 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
2 @ 2.1% · notional 0 · 7/24/2026, 9:14:31 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
0 @ 2.1% · notional 0 · 7/24/2026, 9:07:54 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
1 @ 2.1% · notional 0 · 7/24/2026, 9:07:48 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
1 @ 2.1% · notional 0 · 7/24/2026, 9:02:01 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
5 @ 2.1% · notional 0 · 7/24/2026, 8:41:07 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
5 @ 2.1% · notional 0 · 7/24/2026, 8:41:00 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
421 @ 2.1% · notional 9 · 7/23/2026, 4:56:22 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 47
476 @ 0.9% · notional 4 · 7/17/2026, 6:44:49 PM