Market
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
POLITICS
BUY_YES
Market 20% · Fair 23% · Edge 2.1 pts
4 tracked holders · YES exposure 591 · NO exposure 5507
4 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 3 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 23% vs market 20%, agggr (120 score) NO value 19888. YES offers 10.1% expected profit per dollar risked with 389.0% max profit if correct, or 4.3% annualized. Lead holder: agggr NO value 19888 with 25000 contracts
Signal history
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:32:49 AM
Edge 2.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:31:49 AM
Edge 2.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:30:49 AM
Edge 2.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:29:49 AM
Edge 2.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:28:49 AM
Edge 2.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:27:49 AM
Edge 2.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:26:49 AM
Edge 2.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:25:49 AM
Edge 2.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:24:49 AM
Edge 2.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:23:49 AM
Edge 2.1 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
rdba · NO · score 78
4014968 contracts · value 3185877 · avg 50.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
rdba · YES · score 78
4019165 contracts · value 829958 · avg 50.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
gatorr · YES · score 46
353696 contracts · value 88955 · avg 25.7% · 6/6/2026, 12:19:01 AM
risk-manager · YES · score 45
107333 contracts · value 25277 · avg 31.6% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
agggr · NO · score 75
25000 contracts · value 19888 · avg 67.0% · 6/30/2026, 6:31:52 AM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 96
64894 contracts · value 13530 · avg 17.5% · 6/27/2026, 3:53:44 AM
rainbowlilies · NO · score 45
17000 contracts · value 13056 · avg 50.0% · 6/12/2026, 9:34:20 PM
Hans323 · NO · score 52
16100 contracts · value 12775 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 1:41:39 PM
opopv2 · NO · score 89
11000 contracts · value 8734 · avg 50.0% · 6/25/2026, 3:53:38 AM
failstober · YES · score 75
26892 contracts · value 5553 · avg 27.9% · 6/28/2026, 2:19:43 PM
rainbowlilies · YES · score 45
17000 contracts · value 3944 · avg 50.0% · 6/12/2026, 9:34:20 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · YES · score 96
18771 contracts · value 3876 · avg 0.8% · 6/28/2026, 3:01:39 PM
Hans323 · YES · score 52
16100 contracts · value 3325 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 1:41:39 PM
ImJustKen · YES · score 55
15848 contracts · value 3239 · avg 0.8% · 6/30/2026, 6:31:53 AM
smoltrader · YES · score 45
11996 contracts · value 2789 · avg 50.0% · 6/21/2026, 12:55:29 AM
Recent trades
ImJustKen · SELL YES · score 55
46 @ 23.2% · notional 11 · 6/23/2026, 10:41:28 AM
ImJustKen · SELL YES · score 55
23 @ 23.2% · notional 5 · 6/23/2026, 10:30:23 AM
ImJustKen · SELL YES · score 55
30 @ 23.2% · notional 7 · 6/23/2026, 10:16:13 AM
ImJustKen · SELL YES · score 55
156 @ 23.2% · notional 36 · 6/23/2026, 10:11:29 AM
ImJustKen · SELL YES · score 55
600 @ 23.2% · notional 139 · 6/23/2026, 10:04:29 AM
ImJustKen · SELL YES · score 55
22 @ 23.2% · notional 5 · 6/23/2026, 9:36:31 AM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
27 @ 23.3% · notional 6 · 6/21/2026, 5:10:55 AM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
1 @ 23.3% · notional 0 · 6/21/2026, 4:33:29 AM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
43 @ 23.3% · notional 10 · 6/21/2026, 3:34:23 AM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
22 @ 23.3% · notional 5 · 6/21/2026, 2:23:41 AM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
35 @ 23.3% · notional 8 · 6/21/2026, 2:04:47 AM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
21 @ 23.3% · notional 5 · 6/20/2026, 11:19:02 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
5 @ 23.3% · notional 1 · 6/20/2026, 11:05:20 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
9 @ 23.3% · notional 2 · 6/20/2026, 11:02:17 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
55 @ 23.3% · notional 13 · 6/20/2026, 11:01:26 PM