Market
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
POLITICS
BUY_YES
Market 15% · Fair 38% · Edge 23.0 pts
7 tracked holders · YES exposure 533366 · NO exposure 518866
7 tracked holders, positioning is mixed, 7 YES vs 2 NO positions, fair 38% vs market 15%, wokerjoesleeper (134 score) NO value 483790. YES offers 153.1% expected profit per dollar risked with 564.5% max profit if correct, or 69.1% annualized. Lead holder: wokerjoesleeper NO value 483790 with 569500 contracts
Signal history
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:49:12 PM
Edge 23.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:48:11 PM
Edge 23.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:47:11 PM
Edge 23.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:46:11 PM
Edge 23.8 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:45:11 PM
Edge 20.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:44:11 PM
Edge 21.3 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:43:11 PM
Edge 22.3 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:42:11 PM
Edge 22.3 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:41:11 PM
Edge 22.3 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:40:11 PM
Edge 21.1 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
rdba · NO · score 96
4014968 contracts · value 3185877 · avg 50.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
rdba · YES · score 96
4019165 contracts · value 829958 · avg 50.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
wokerjoesleeper · NO · score 93
569500 contracts · value 483790 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:49:12 PM
gatorr · YES · score 45
353696 contracts · value 88955 · avg 25.7% · 6/6/2026, 12:19:01 AM
wokerjoesleeper · YES · score 93
569669 contracts · value 85735 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:49:12 PM
JJo · NO · score 82
60000 contracts · value 50970 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:27:03 PM
DLEK · NO · score 60
60520 contracts · value 48567 · avg 65.5% · 7/24/2026, 1:31:19 PM
failstober · NO · score 99
41111 contracts · value 34924 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:17:02 PM
risk-manager · YES · score 83
107333 contracts · value 25277 · avg 31.6% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Hans323 · NO · score 65
22500 contracts · value 19114 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:19:08 PM
Apsalar · NO · score 96
20821 contracts · value 17687 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 4:13:01 PM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 49
64894 contracts · value 12492 · avg 17.5% · 8/1/2026, 3:40:02 PM
failstober · YES · score 99
68003 contracts · value 10234 · avg 43.6% · 8/21/2026, 10:17:02 PM
JJo · YES · score 82
60000 contracts · value 9030 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:27:03 PM
rainbowlilies · NO · score 96
10000 contracts · value 8495 · avg 50.0% · 8/20/2026, 10:55:00 PM
Recent trades
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
23 @ 19.3% · notional 4 · 7/31/2026, 9:52:36 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
52 @ 19.3% · notional 10 · 7/31/2026, 8:35:47 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
14 @ 19.3% · notional 3 · 7/31/2026, 8:34:03 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
5 @ 19.3% · notional 1 · 7/31/2026, 6:33:56 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
1 @ 19.9% · notional 0 · 7/22/2026, 6:20:31 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
55 @ 19.9% · notional 11 · 7/22/2026, 5:36:15 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
25 @ 19.9% · notional 5 · 7/22/2026, 4:51:51 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
5 @ 19.9% · notional 1 · 7/22/2026, 4:51:25 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
126 @ 19.9% · notional 25 · 7/22/2026, 4:26:22 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
5 @ 19.9% · notional 1 · 7/22/2026, 3:49:25 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
5 @ 19.9% · notional 1 · 7/22/2026, 3:36:58 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
7 @ 19.9% · notional 1 · 7/22/2026, 3:26:33 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
5 @ 19.9% · notional 1 · 7/22/2026, 3:26:30 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
6 @ 19.9% · notional 1 · 7/22/2026, 3:26:27 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
7 @ 19.9% · notional 1 · 7/22/2026, 3:26:24 PM