Market

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 3% · Fair 34% · Edge 31.6 pts

2 tracked holders · YES exposure 271 · NO exposure 0

2 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 2 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 34% vs market 3%, 0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7 (99 score) YES value 267. YES offers 1193.7% expected profit per dollar risked with 3673.6% max profit if correct, or 579.9% annualized. Lead holder: 0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7 YES value 267 with 10482 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 4:02:10 PM
Edge 31.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 4:01:12 PM
Edge 31.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:59:11 PM
Edge 29.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:57:12 PM
Edge 29.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:55:15 PM
Edge 35.9 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:53:12 PM
Edge -1.7 pts · Confidence 35
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:50:11 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 96
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:48:10 PM
Edge 31.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:46:10 PM
Edge 31.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:42:10 PM
Edge 35.9 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
ImJustKen · YES · score 49
299425 contracts · value 7935 · avg 1.7% · 10/17/2026, 3:43:13 PM
101378 contracts · value 3092 · avg 2.9% · 10/6/2026, 7:41:52 PM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 49
116995 contracts · value 2866 · avg 49.8% · 8/29/2026, 4:01:09 PM
tsihkodiives · YES · score 96
98466 contracts · value 2314 · avg 1.8% · 9/25/2026, 5:34:51 AM
neutralwave23 · YES · score 59
60835 contracts · value 1430 · avg 2.3% · 9/27/2026, 1:27:14 PM
cigarettes · YES · score 77
34837 contracts · value 923 · avg 0.8% · 10/17/2026, 3:41:15 PM
CoffeeLover · YES · score 64
16777 contracts · value 394 · avg 50.0% · 8/26/2026, 4:05:10 PM
HerrieDavis · YES · score 73
12612 contracts · value 322 · avg 0.8% · 10/11/2026, 4:14:33 AM
10482 contracts · value 267 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
TheWolfOfPoly · YES · score 82
10000 contracts · value 265 · avg 0.4% · 10/17/2026, 3:47:15 PM
donthackme · YES · score 75
5878 contracts · value 156 · 10/16/2026, 10:50:58 PM
omnibus-424779 · YES · score 45
5357 contracts · value 126 · avg 2.2% · 9/14/2026, 5:05:12 PM
4483 contracts · value 87 · avg 0.4% · 4/30/2026, 5:06:54 AM
petanimal · YES · score 96
4000 contracts · value 86 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:15 AM
failstober · YES · score 45
1109 contracts · value 26 · 10/16/2026, 5:36:56 PM
Recent trades
tsihkodiives · BUY YES · score 96
306 @ 2.2% · notional 7 · 8/23/2026, 1:31:25 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
85 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 7/23/2026, 1:02:31 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
61 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 7/23/2026, 2:43:24 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
515 @ 1.2% · notional 6 · 7/23/2026, 1:24:28 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
58 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 7/23/2026, 12:00:36 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
34 @ 1.2% · notional 0 · 7/18/2026, 9:21:49 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
61 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 7/18/2026, 3:53:52 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
56 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 7/17/2026, 8:15:30 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 45
2000 @ 1.2% · notional 24 · 7/13/2026, 6:05:43 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
104 @ 1.4% · notional 1 · 7/10/2026, 6:07:01 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
99 @ 1.4% · notional 1 · 7/10/2026, 5:59:37 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
6 @ 1.4% · notional 0 · 7/10/2026, 4:44:47 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
82 @ 1.4% · notional 1 · 7/10/2026, 4:42:20 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
94 @ 1.4% · notional 1 · 7/10/2026, 4:42:11 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
103 @ 1.4% · notional 1 · 7/10/2026, 4:42:07 AM