Market

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 1% · Fair 31% · Edge 30.1 pts

2 tracked holders · YES exposure 39 · NO exposure 0

2 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 2 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 31% vs market 1%, failstober (99 score) YES value 39. YES offers 3011.0% expected profit per dollar risked with 9900.0% max profit if correct, or 1458.8% annualized. Lead holder: failstober YES value 39 with 3711 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
10/15/2026, 3:13:58 PM
Edge 30.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/15/2026, 3:12:58 PM
Edge 30.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/15/2026, 3:10:59 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 95
BUY_YES
10/15/2026, 3:08:58 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 95
BUY_YES
10/15/2026, 3:03:58 PM
Edge 30.8 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/15/2026, 3:01:58 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 95
BUY_YES
10/15/2026, 2:59:57 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 95
BUY_YES
10/15/2026, 2:57:58 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 95
BUY_YES
10/15/2026, 2:55:58 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 95
BUY_YES
10/15/2026, 2:53:57 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 95
Current positions
expectingmore · YES · score 45
470481 contracts · value 6587 · avg 1.2% · 6/9/2026, 1:53:16 AM
56213 contracts · value 928 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:12 AM
CoffeeLover · YES · score 64
28701 contracts · value 301 · avg 50.0% · 8/26/2026, 4:05:10 PM
Haradwaith · YES · score 46
27624 contracts · value 276 · avg 1.7% · 9/29/2026, 3:13:13 AM
14281 contracts · value 136 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
0xdc3E831cad · YES · score 45
6198 contracts · value 71 · avg 0.7% · 7/16/2026, 12:27:28 PM
failstober · YES · score 45
3711 contracts · value 35 · avg 0.7% · 10/16/2026, 5:36:56 PM
rebotsliaf · YES · score 45
3333 contracts · value 35 · avg 1.3% · 8/22/2026, 11:05:14 AM
petanimal · YES · score 96
2000 contracts · value 33 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:15 AM
1797 contracts · value 17 · avg 2.3% · 10/17/2026, 10:11:15 AM
Funfzig · YES · score 69
644 contracts · value 6 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:29:16 AM
tf2 · YES · score 66
2 contracts · value 0 · 10/17/2026, 4:03:21 PM
Recent trades
Liquidifier · SELL YES · score 99
3206 @ 1.0% · notional 32 · 9/27/2026, 6:55:42 AM
11 @ 1.0% · notional 0 · 8/25/2026, 12:00:52 AM
100 @ 1.3% · notional 1 · 8/15/2026, 12:52:27 AM
200 @ 1.3% · notional 3 · 8/15/2026, 12:51:28 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
100 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 7/19/2026, 1:37:00 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · BUY YES · score 49
947 @ 1.1% · notional 10 · 7/18/2026, 3:45:55 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
110 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 7/18/2026, 12:04:42 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
351 @ 1.2% · notional 4 · 7/18/2026, 9:32:33 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · BUY YES · score 49
7661 @ 1.1% · notional 84 · 7/18/2026, 9:32:30 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
220 @ 1.2% · notional 3 · 7/18/2026, 5:25:39 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
71 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 7/18/2026, 4:01:25 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
56 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 7/14/2026, 5:20:53 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 45
60 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 6/28/2026, 9:45:40 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 45
10 @ 1.4% · notional 0 · 6/26/2026, 11:08:32 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 45
1000 @ 1.1% · notional 11 · 6/20/2026, 1:22:32 AM