Market
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
POLITICS
HOLD
Market 1% · Fair 1% · Edge -0.1 pts
3 tracked holders · YES exposure 2 · NO exposure 1190
3 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 2 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 1% vs market 1%, 11122 (65 score) NO value 5882. NO offers 0.1% expected profit per dollar risked with 1.1% max profit if correct, or 0.0% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. Lead holder: 11122 NO value 5882 with 5944 contracts
Signal history
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:13:11 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:12:11 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:11:11 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:10:11 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:09:11 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:08:12 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:06:12 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:05:11 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:04:11 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:03:11 PM
Edge -0.1 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
expectingmore · YES · score 58
470481 contracts · value 6587 · avg 1.2% · 6/9/2026, 1:53:16 AM
11122 · NO · score 99
5944 contracts · value 5882 · avg 98.1% · 8/21/2026, 5:27:10 PM
0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk · YES · score 96
56213 contracts · value 928 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:12 AM
CoffeeLover · YES · score 99
28701 contracts · value 301 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 8:58:08 PM
tetrose · YES · score 96
20000 contracts · value 170 · avg 0.8% · 7/31/2026, 5:40:01 PM
0xdc3E831cad · YES · score 97
6198 contracts · value 71 · avg 0.7% · 7/16/2026, 12:27:28 PM
failstober · YES · score 99
3711 contracts · value 39 · avg 49.7% · 8/21/2026, 9:47:01 PM
rebotsliaf · YES · score 96
3333 contracts · value 35 · avg 1.3% · 8/21/2026, 10:13:13 PM
Liquidifier · YES · score 99
3206 contracts · value 34 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:51:06 PM
petanimal · YES · score 96
2000 contracts · value 33 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:15 AM
Funfzig · YES · score 99
644 contracts · value 7 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 1:45:11 PM
tf2 · YES · score 96
2 contracts · value 0 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:13:09 PM
Recent trades
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A · SELL YES · score 99
100 @ 1.3% · notional 1 · 8/15/2026, 12:52:27 AM
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A · SELL YES · score 99
200 @ 1.3% · notional 3 · 8/15/2026, 12:51:28 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
100 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 7/19/2026, 1:37:00 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · BUY YES · score 96
947 @ 1.1% · notional 10 · 7/18/2026, 3:45:55 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
110 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 7/18/2026, 12:04:42 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
351 @ 1.2% · notional 4 · 7/18/2026, 9:32:33 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · BUY YES · score 96
7661 @ 1.1% · notional 84 · 7/18/2026, 9:32:30 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
220 @ 1.2% · notional 3 · 7/18/2026, 5:25:39 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
71 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 7/18/2026, 4:01:25 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
56 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 7/14/2026, 5:20:53 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 99
60 @ 1.2% · notional 1 · 6/28/2026, 9:45:40 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 99
10 @ 1.4% · notional 0 · 6/26/2026, 11:08:32 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 99
1000 @ 1.1% · notional 11 · 6/20/2026, 1:22:32 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 99
268 @ 1.1% · notional 3 · 6/19/2026, 10:05:34 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 99
1000 @ 1.1% · notional 11 · 6/19/2026, 10:03:22 PM