Market

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 6% · Fair 40% · Edge 34.5 pts

3 tracked holders · YES exposure 923 · NO exposure 0

3 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 3 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 40% vs market 6%, ScottyNooo (99 score) YES value 505. YES offers 610.0% expected profit per dollar risked with 1669.9% max profit if correct, or 296.4% annualized. Lead holder: ScottyNooo YES value 505 with 8633 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 4:10:10 PM
Edge 34.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 4:09:10 PM
Edge 33.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 4:08:09 PM
Edge 37.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:53:12 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:50:10 PM
Edge 3.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:48:10 PM
Edge 3.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:46:10 PM
Edge 31.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:42:10 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:40:11 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:38:09 PM
Edge 34.6 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
ImJustKen · YES · score 86
296646 contracts · value 16760 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:14 PM
93644 contracts · value 5993 · avg 5.9% · 10/6/2026, 7:41:52 PM
107463 contracts · value 5857 · avg 4.3% · 6/28/2026, 11:35:43 AM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 49
77853 contracts · value 3854 · avg 49.7% · 8/29/2026, 4:01:09 PM
Zzzz87 · NO · score 64
3074 contracts · value 2900 · avg 94.4% · 10/17/2026, 3:51:11 PM
Arbguy · YES · score 62
41117 contracts · value 2241 · avg 5.0% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
14481 contracts · value 789 · avg 1.1% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 99
8633 contracts · value 505 · avg 4.2% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM
mombil · YES · score 76
9575 contracts · value 484 · avg 4.3% · 5/26/2026, 3:45:57 AM
lava-lava · YES · score 45
6768 contracts · value 382 · avg 5.0% · 10/17/2026, 10:25:12 AM
Zzzz87 · YES · score 64
5651 contracts · value 319 · avg 6.0% · 10/17/2026, 3:51:11 PM
Eatpraylove · YES · score 56
5380 contracts · value 247 · avg 4.5% · 5/8/2026, 3:37:18 PM
Logan. · YES · score 99
4000 contracts · value 234 · avg 4.0% · 10/1/2026, 2:44:21 AM
failstober · YES · score 99
3331 contracts · value 193 · 10/16/2026, 5:36:56 PM
DirkDiggler67 · YES · score 50
2328 contracts · value 120 · avg 4.0% · 8/26/2026, 1:15:09 AM
Recent trades
Zzzz87 · BUY NO · score 64
1400 @ 94.7% · notional 1326 · 10/16/2026, 1:52:07 PM
Zzzz87 · BUY YES · score 64
451 @ 6.0% · notional 27 · 10/16/2026, 8:17:43 AM
Zzzz87 · BUY NO · score 64
500 @ 94.1% · notional 471 · 10/15/2026, 12:53:05 AM
Zzzz87 · SELL YES · score 64
3900 @ 5.4% · notional 211 · 10/10/2026, 12:55:23 AM
Zzzz87 · BUY NO · score 64
452 @ 94.6% · notional 428 · 10/9/2026, 5:39:26 AM
Zzzz87 · BUY YES · score 64
3900 @ 6.0% · notional 234 · 10/9/2026, 3:44:48 AM
500 @ 6.1% · notional 31 · 9/16/2026, 6:09:19 AM
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 45
5 @ 5.0% · notional 0 · 8/19/2026, 4:42:12 AM
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 45
440 @ 5.0% · notional 22 · 8/19/2026, 2:52:09 AM
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 45
9 @ 5.0% · notional 0 · 8/19/2026, 2:46:52 AM
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 45
6 @ 5.0% · notional 0 · 8/19/2026, 2:46:48 AM
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 45
33 @ 5.0% · notional 2 · 8/19/2026, 2:45:40 AM
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 45
161 @ 5.0% · notional 8 · 8/18/2026, 10:00:54 PM
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 45
6090 @ 5.0% · notional 305 · 8/18/2026, 8:14:19 PM
tsihkodiives · SELL YES · score 84
1100 @ 5.0% · notional 55 · 8/17/2026, 4:28:46 PM