Market

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 5% · Fair 38% · Edge 33.4 pts

4 tracked holders · YES exposure 4496 · NO exposure 0

4 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 4 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 38% vs market 5%, Q96s3kwozynxpau (240 score) YES value 63. YES offers 661.8% expected profit per dollar risked with 1880.2% max profit if correct, or 298.9% annualized. Lead holder: Q96s3kwozynxpau YES value 63 with 1243 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:11:12 PM
Edge 33.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:10:12 PM
Edge 33.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:09:11 PM
Edge 33.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:08:12 PM
Edge 33.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:06:13 PM
Edge 33.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:05:12 PM
Edge 33.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:04:11 PM
Edge 33.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:03:12 PM
Edge 33.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:02:12 PM
Edge 33.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:01:11 PM
Edge 33.4 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
ImJustKen · YES · score 99
296646 contracts · value 14981 · avg 9.6% · 8/21/2026, 9:43:03 PM
PantheraUncia · YES · score 96
107463 contracts · value 5857 · avg 4.3% · 6/28/2026, 11:35:43 AM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 96
77853 contracts · value 3776 · avg 0.8% · 8/1/2026, 3:40:02 PM
Arbguy · YES · score 96
41117 contracts · value 2241 · avg 5.0% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
· YES · score 99
14481 contracts · value 717 · avg 42.1% · 8/17/2026, 3:46:05 PM
mombil · YES · score 96
9575 contracts · value 484 · avg 4.3% · 5/26/2026, 3:45:57 AM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 99
8833 contracts · value 446 · avg 4.2% · 8/21/2026, 1:59:07 PM
11122 · YES · score 99
6868 contracts · value 347 · avg 4.8% · 8/21/2026, 5:27:10 PM
lava-lava · YES · score 99
6768 contracts · value 342 · avg 5.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:09:07 PM
Eatpraylove · YES · score 96
5380 contracts · value 247 · avg 4.5% · 5/8/2026, 3:37:18 PM
Logan. · YES · score 99
4000 contracts · value 202 · avg 26.9% · 8/21/2026, 10:07:09 PM
failstober · YES · score 99
3331 contracts · value 168 · avg 49.9% · 8/21/2026, 9:47:01 PM
DirkDiggler67 · YES · score 99
2328 contracts · value 118 · avg 4.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:13:02 PM
petanimal · YES · score 96
2000 contracts · value 103 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:15 AM
GollumGekko · YES · score 96
1258 contracts · value 65 · avg 4.1% · 6/14/2026, 10:18:24 PM
Recent trades
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 99
5 @ 5.0% · notional 0 · 8/19/2026, 4:42:12 AM
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 99
440 @ 5.0% · notional 22 · 8/19/2026, 2:52:09 AM
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 99
9 @ 5.0% · notional 0 · 8/19/2026, 2:46:52 AM
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 99
6 @ 5.0% · notional 0 · 8/19/2026, 2:46:48 AM
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 99
33 @ 5.0% · notional 2 · 8/19/2026, 2:45:40 AM
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 99
161 @ 5.0% · notional 8 · 8/18/2026, 10:00:54 PM
lava-lava · BUY YES · score 99
6090 @ 5.0% · notional 305 · 8/18/2026, 8:14:19 PM
tsihkodiives · SELL YES · score 99
1100 @ 5.0% · notional 55 · 8/17/2026, 4:28:46 PM
tsihkodiives · SELL YES · score 99
3500 @ 5.0% · notional 175 · 8/17/2026, 4:00:25 PM
tsihkodiives · SELL YES · score 99
1 @ 5.0% · notional 0 · 8/17/2026, 2:13:30 PM
tsihkodiives · SELL YES · score 99
3 @ 5.0% · notional 0 · 8/17/2026, 12:03:33 PM
tsihkodiives · SELL YES · score 99
389 @ 5.0% · notional 19 · 8/17/2026, 11:40:21 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
20 @ 4.9% · notional 1 · 7/31/2026, 9:00:30 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
6 @ 4.9% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 8:50:57 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
235 @ 5.3% · notional 12 · 7/25/2026, 2:01:21 PM