Market

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLITICS

HOLD

Market 2% · Fair 1% · Edge -0.6 pts

2 tracked holders · YES exposure 106 · NO exposure 1194

2 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 1 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 1% vs market 2%, 11122 (65 score) NO value 5904. NO offers 0.6% expected profit per dollar risked with 1.6% max profit if correct, or 0.3% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. Lead holder: 11122 NO value 5904 with 6000 contracts

Signal history
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:01:11 PM
Edge -0.6 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:59:11 PM
Edge -0.6 pts · Confidence 99
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:57:11 PM
Edge -0.6 pts · Confidence 99
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:55:14 PM
Edge -0.6 pts · Confidence 99
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:53:11 PM
Edge -0.6 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:50:10 PM
Edge -0.6 pts · Confidence 99
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:48:10 PM
Edge -0.6 pts · Confidence 99
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:46:09 PM
Edge -0.6 pts · Confidence 99
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:42:10 PM
Edge -0.5 pts · Confidence 99
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:40:11 PM
Edge -0.5 pts · Confidence 99
Current positions
Arbguy · YES · score 45
1616697 contracts · value 12125 · avg 0.7% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
11122 · NO · score 64
6000 contracts · value 5913 · avg 96.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:01:28 PM
HerrieDavis · YES · score 73
12819 contracts · value 135 · avg 0.8% · 10/11/2026, 4:14:33 AM
6133 contracts · value 107 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
failstober · YES · score 45
3331 contracts · value 42 · 10/16/2026, 5:36:56 PM
petanimal · YES · score 96
4000 contracts · value 30 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:15 AM
1376 contracts · value 8 · avg 0.4% · 4/30/2026, 5:06:54 AM
Itlliccaa · YES · score 96
25 contracts · value 0 · avg 0.7% · 9/21/2026, 6:24:46 PM
Recent trades
1500 @ 96.9% · notional 1454 · 10/11/2026, 8:52:37 AM
plainfolder · BUY YES · score 65
200 @ 0.5% · notional 1 · 8/25/2026, 11:38:15 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
2 @ 0.7% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 10:49:41 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
0 @ 0.7% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 10:49:35 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
2 @ 0.7% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 10:36:24 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
2 @ 0.7% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 8:25:41 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
0 @ 0.7% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 8:08:59 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
3 @ 0.7% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 7:30:05 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
0 @ 0.7% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 7:27:17 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
2 @ 0.7% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 7:18:21 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
0 @ 0.7% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 6:57:38 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
0 @ 0.7% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 6:49:26 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
0 @ 0.7% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 6:49:18 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
1 @ 0.7% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 6:33:35 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
1 @ 0.7% · notional 0 · 7/31/2026, 6:31:26 PM