Market

Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 1% · Fair 36% · Edge 35.2 pts

5 tracked holders · YES exposure 352 · NO exposure 0

5 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 5 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 36% vs market 1%, ImJustKen (99 score) YES value 233. YES offers 3515.1% expected profit per dollar risked with 9900.0% max profit if correct, or 1696.3% annualized. Lead holder: ImJustKen YES value 233 with 93080 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
10/12/2026, 3:11:42 PM
Edge 35.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/12/2026, 3:09:42 PM
Edge 32.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/12/2026, 3:07:42 PM
Edge 32.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/12/2026, 3:05:41 PM
Edge 33.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/12/2026, 3:03:42 PM
Edge 33.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/12/2026, 3:01:42 PM
Edge 30.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/12/2026, 2:59:42 PM
Edge 30.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/12/2026, 2:57:42 PM
Edge 30.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/12/2026, 2:55:42 PM
Edge 35.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/12/2026, 2:53:43 PM
Edge 36.3 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
ImJustKen · YES · score 49
93080 contracts · value 326 · avg 0.8% · 10/17/2026, 3:43:13 PM
11122 · YES · score 45
60201 contracts · value 211 · avg 0.5% · 10/17/2026, 3:59:27 PM
cigarettes · YES · score 74
35337 contracts · value 124 · avg 0.8% · 10/17/2026, 3:41:15 PM
TheWolfOfPoly · YES · score 49
23500 contracts · value 82 · avg 0.4% · 10/17/2026, 3:47:15 PM
KiernanMeister · YES · score 66
50000 contracts · value 75 · avg 0.4% · 9/28/2026, 8:41:12 PM
Liquidifier · YES · score 62
10000 contracts · value 35 · avg 0.7% · 10/17/2026, 9:21:13 AM
14750 contracts · value 22 · avg 0.6% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
donthackme · YES · score 70
6001 contracts · value 21 · 10/16/2026, 10:50:58 PM
HerrieDavis · YES · score 45
12859 contracts · value 19 · avg 0.8% · 10/11/2026, 4:14:33 AM
HolyMoses7 · YES · score 99
3616 contracts · value 13 · avg 0.5% · 10/17/2026, 3:53:15 PM
failstober · YES · score 45
3331 contracts · value 12 · 10/16/2026, 5:36:56 PM
Logan. · YES · score 48
2000 contracts · value 3 · 10/1/2026, 2:44:21 AM
dadadabababab · YES · score 73
250 contracts · value 1 · 10/17/2026, 3:59:23 PM
Recent trades
3 @ 3.8% · notional 0 · 10/12/2026, 1:07:29 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
220 @ 0.2% · notional 0 · 10/10/2026, 7:37:33 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
18000 @ 0.2% · notional 36 · 10/10/2026, 12:29:59 AM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
1 @ 0.2% · notional 0 · 10/9/2026, 5:54:38 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
100000 @ 0.2% · notional 200 · 10/9/2026, 10:34:48 AM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
30000 @ 0.2% · notional 60 · 10/8/2026, 11:08:38 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
60000 @ 0.2% · notional 120 · 10/8/2026, 11:07:17 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
40000 @ 0.2% · notional 80 · 10/8/2026, 11:06:57 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 96
19157 @ 0.2% · notional 38 · 10/8/2026, 10:59:09 PM