Market
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
POLITICS
BUY_YES
Market 50% · Fair 84% · Edge 33.6 pts
1 tracked holders · YES exposure 40615 · NO exposure 0
1 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 1 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 84% vs market 50%, Q96s3kwozynxpau (240 score) YES value 656. YES offers 67.2% expected profit per dollar risked with 100.0% max profit if correct, or 30.0% annualized. Lead holder: Q96s3kwozynxpau YES value 656 with 131193 contracts
Signal history
BUY_YES
8/12/2026, 8:49:24 PM
Edge 33.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/12/2026, 8:48:23 PM
Edge 38.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/12/2026, 8:47:23 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/12/2026, 8:46:23 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/12/2026, 8:45:23 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/12/2026, 8:44:23 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/12/2026, 8:43:24 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/12/2026, 8:42:23 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/12/2026, 8:41:23 PM
Edge 37.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/12/2026, 8:40:23 PM
Edge 37.7 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · YES · score 99
623886 contracts · value 1560 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:01:01 PM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 99
245483 contracts · value 614 · avg 0.2% · 8/21/2026, 1:59:07 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · YES · score 96
60565 contracts · value 151 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:09:11 PM
11122 · YES · score 99
60222 contracts · value 151 · avg 42.9% · 8/21/2026, 5:27:10 PM
CoffeeLover · YES · score 99
28701 contracts · value 72 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 8:58:08 PM
Gucky-45 · YES · score 99
10930 contracts · value 27 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:09:04 PM
elPolloLoco · YES · score 99
8700 contracts · value 22 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:07:14 PM
failstober · YES · score 99
3711 contracts · value 9 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:47:01 PM
rebotsliaf · YES · score 96
3333 contracts · value 8 · avg 1.3% · 8/21/2026, 10:09:19 PM
Liquidifier · YES · score 99
3206 contracts · value 8 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:51:06 PM
HOG993 · YES · score 99
2866 contracts · value 7 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 4:55:04 PM
Funfzig · YES · score 99
644 contracts · value 2 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 1:45:11 PM
tf2 · YES · score 96
2 contracts · value 0 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:09:14 PM
Recent trades
ScottyNooo · BUY YES · score 99
18000 @ 0.2% · notional 36 · 8/20/2026, 8:17:16 PM
JJo · SELL YES · score 99
16598 @ 0.2% · notional 33 · 8/14/2026, 2:09:28 PM