Market
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
POLITICS
BUY_YES
Market 1% · Fair 41% · Edge 39.5 pts
5 tracked holders · YES exposure 6659 · NO exposure 0
5 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 5 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 41% vs market 1%, The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA (98 score) YES value 6551. YES offers 3763.4% expected profit per dollar risked with 9423.8% max profit if correct, or 1828.1% annualized. Lead holder: The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA YES value 6551 with 623886 contracts
Signal history
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 2:00:10 PM
Edge 39.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:58:09 PM
Edge 40.8 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:57:10 PM
Edge 28.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:56:10 PM
Edge 28.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:54:10 PM
Edge 28.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:52:10 PM
Edge 28.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:50:10 PM
Edge 28.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:48:09 PM
Edge 28.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:47:10 PM
Edge 37.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:46:10 PM
Edge 37.1 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · YES · score 98
623886 contracts · value 6551 · avg 0.6% · 10/17/2026, 12:21:11 PM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 45
316228 contracts · value 3320 · avg 0.2% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM
11122 · YES · score 45
56187 contracts · value 590 · avg 0.7% · 10/17/2026, 2:01:22 PM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 49
166449 contracts · value 416 · avg 0.8% · 8/29/2026, 4:01:09 PM
CoffeeLover · YES · score 64
28701 contracts · value 72 · avg 50.0% · 8/26/2026, 4:05:10 PM
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7 · YES · score 99
14550 contracts · value 58 · avg 0.7% · 10/10/2026, 7:06:34 AM
failstober · YES · score 45
3711 contracts · value 43 · avg 0.7% · 10/16/2026, 5:36:56 PM
Liquidifier · YES · score 99
3206 contracts · value 34 · avg 0.7% · 10/17/2026, 9:21:13 AM
Gucky-45 · YES · score 66
10930 contracts · value 27 · avg 0.8% · 8/27/2026, 5:49:11 PM
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A · YES · score 96
9000 contracts · value 14 · avg 0.8% · 9/20/2026, 6:58:43 PM
rebotsliaf · YES · score 45
3333 contracts · value 8 · avg 1.3% · 8/22/2026, 11:05:14 AM
HOG993 · YES · score 63
2866 contracts · value 7 · avg 0.8% · 8/27/2026, 7:05:15 AM
Haradwaith · YES · score 56
3818 contracts · value 6 · avg 0.8% · 9/29/2026, 3:13:13 AM
Funfzig · YES · score 69
644 contracts · value 1 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:29:16 AM
Itlliccaa · YES · score 96
126 contracts · value 0 · avg 0.8% · 9/21/2026, 6:24:46 PM
Recent trades
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 · SELL YES · score 80
51 @ 2.5% · notional 1 · 10/11/2026, 7:06:37 PM
crckr · SELL YES · score 45
500 @ 0.2% · notional 1 · 8/28/2026, 9:11:09 AM
ScottyNooo · BUY YES · score 45
18000 @ 0.2% · notional 36 · 8/20/2026, 8:17:16 PM
JJo · SELL YES · score 68
16598 @ 0.2% · notional 33 · 8/14/2026, 2:09:28 PM