Trader

ScottyNooo

0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35

Quality

PnL

$229,387

Volume

$10,363,793

Win rate

77%

Last seen 10/17/2026, 3:02:57 PM

Leaderboard

CULTURE · ALL · PNL

Rank 13 · PnL $229,387 · Volume $10,363,793

POLITICS · DAY · PNL

Rank 20 · PnL $2,776 · Volume $53,391

MENTIONS · ALL · PNL

Rank 22 · PnL $74,888 · Volume $684,129

FINANCE · ALL · PNL

Rank 32 · PnL $87,736 · Volume $2,061,224

POLITICS · ALL · PNL

Rank 115 · PnL $445,578 · Volume $107,890,245

OVERALL · ALL · PNL

Rank 213 · PnL $898,875 · Volume $147,296,226

TECH · WEEK · PNL

Rank 252 · PnL $141 · Volume $18,033

OVERALL · DAY · PNL

Rank 359 · PnL $2,692 · Volume $53,391

CULTURE · MONTH · PNL

Rank 468 · PnL $322 · Volume $56,562

FINANCE · DAY · PNL

Rank 1021 · PnL $6 · Volume $0

CRYPTO · ALL · PNL

Rank 1026 · PnL $37,063 · Volume $1,991,391

FINANCE · MONTH · PNL

Rank 3142 · PnL $25 · Volume $5,647

FINANCE · WEEK · PNL

Rank 5342 · PnL $2 · Volume $3,644

CRYPTO · WEEK · PNL

Rank 5430 · PnL $28 · Volume $0

WEATHER · ALL · PNL

Rank 8084 · PnL $78 · Volume $86,749

TECH · DAY · PNL

Rank 8430 · PnL -$7 · Volume $0

Current positions

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

269680 shares · value $207,788 · avg 55.4% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · YES · general

195875 shares · value $104,499 · avg 58.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · NO · general

87781 shares · value $79,442 · avg 83.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · YES · general

45178 shares · value $40,886 · avg 87.3% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · NO · general

75473 shares · value $40,378 · avg 59.3% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · YES · general

55548 shares · value $36,384 · avg 58.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · YES · general

54645 shares · value $34,153 · avg 46.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · YES · general

34019 shares · value $29,426 · avg 74.3% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

117588 shares · value $27,633 · avg 47.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · NO · general

25333 shares · value $23,940 · avg 75.4% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics

344054 shares · value $23,912 · avg 4.5% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics

102809 shares · value $21,641 · avg 23.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · NO · general

22238 shares · value $20,125 · avg 89.1% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · YES · general

25000 shares · value $19,625 · avg 84.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics

480253 shares · value $18,970 · avg 2.9% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · YES · general

21063 shares · value $13,585 · avg 48.4% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · YES · general

46803 shares · value $12,871 · avg 32.2% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · YES · general

16064 shares · value $11,478 · avg 67.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · YES · politics

24052 shares · value $11,461 · avg 44.9% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · NO · general

17471 shares · value $10,221 · avg 62.9% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · NO · general

15542 shares · value $9,869 · avg 51.9% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · YES · general

8648 shares · value $7,913 · avg 88.6% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · NO · general

11771 shares · value $7,592 · avg 59.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · YES · general

11639 shares · value $6,925 · avg 66.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · YES · general

9269 shares · value $6,534 · avg 70.4% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · YES · general

7050 shares · value $6,169 · avg 88.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · NO · general

6072 shares · value $5,911 · avg 97.7% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · NO · general

8326 shares · value $5,787 · avg 70.2% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · NO · general

6466 shares · value $5,658 · avg 88.5% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · NO · general

5712 shares · value $5,618 · avg 98.4% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · YES · politics

40203 shares · value $5,407 · avg 18.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · NO · general

5521 shares · value $4,665 · avg 83.3% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · NO · politics

4129 shares · value $4,003 · avg 95.7% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · NO · general

6416 shares · value $3,946 · avg 63.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · YES · general

8546 shares · value $3,910 · avg 38.9% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · YES · general

3627 shares · value $3,513 · avg 96.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · YES · general

6933 shares · value $3,446 · avg 48.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · YES · general

3695 shares · value $3,344 · avg 79.4% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics

37138 shares · value $3,324 · avg 15.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics

316228 shares · value $3,320 · avg 0.2% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics

64329 shares · value $3,249 · avg 5.1% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · YES · general

5177 shares · value $3,236 · avg 64.1% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · YES · general

3326 shares · value $3,176 · avg 92.6% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · NO · politics

3118 shares · value $3,057 · avg 95.5% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · NO · general

2955 shares · value $2,927 · avg 98.6% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · NO · general

2936 shares · value $2,663 · avg 83.3% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · YES · general

3367 shares · value $2,645 · avg 74.9% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics

19572 shares · value $2,574 · avg 5.6% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · YES · general

3283 shares · value $2,544 · avg 86.5% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics

31509 shares · value $2,505 · avg 10.6% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · YES · general

2549 shares · value $2,429 · avg 94.9% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · YES · general

3218 shares · value $2,333 · avg 71.7% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? · NO · general

2344 shares · value $2,231 · avg 94.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics

114752 shares · value $2,123 · avg 0.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? · YES · general

8887 shares · value $1,955 · avg 20.2% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · NO · general

2311 shares · value $1,837 · avg 75.3% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · YES · general

1614 shares · value $1,564 · avg 89.6% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · NO · general

1728 shares · value $1,564 · avg 88.4% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · YES · general

12142 shares · value $1,518 · avg 9.1% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics

84465 shares · value $1,478 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · NO · general

1542 shares · value $1,411 · avg 90.5% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics

13868 shares · value $1,283 · avg 9.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics

42941 shares · value $1,267 · avg 1.9% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · NO · general

1703 shares · value $1,218 · avg 71.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · NO · general

1104 shares · value $1,098 · avg 99.2% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · YES · general

1333 shares · value $1,046 · avg 78.9% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · YES · general

2711 shares · value $1,044 · avg 25.9% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · YES · general

8253 shares · value $1,032 · avg 10.4% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? · NO · general

1201 shares · value $1,003 · avg 73.2% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · YES · politics

54259 shares · value $895 · avg 1.1% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics

6294 shares · value $891 · avg 15.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · YES · general

13479 shares · value $876 · avg 10.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · NO · general

866 shares · value $827 · avg 80.7% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · general

1144 shares · value $726 · avg 58.1% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · NO · general

700 shares · value $697 · avg 99.4% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? · YES · general

937 shares · value $684 · avg 67.7% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · YES · general

7334 shares · value $660 · avg 50.1% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · NO · general

800 shares · value $604 · avg 76.5% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · YES · general

666 shares · value $596 · avg 88.5% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics

600 shares · value $591 · avg 97.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · NO · general

666 shares · value $589 · avg 87.5% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? · NO · general

665 shares · value $584 · avg 87.9% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · YES · general

2459 shares · value $578 · avg 25.1% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · NO · general

650 shares · value $562 · avg 84.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · NO · general

600 shares · value $525 · avg 86.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · NO · general

600 shares · value $513 · avg 86.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · YES · general

9197 shares · value $506 · avg 6.2% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics

8633 shares · value $505 · avg 4.2% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? · YES · general

1603 shares · value $505 · avg 35.3% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · NO · general

700 shares · value $501 · avg 70.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · NO · general

550 shares · value $481 · avg 85.7% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · NO · general

1924 shares · value $471 · avg 17.4% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · YES · general

10297 shares · value $463 · avg 18.2% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics

16717 shares · value $460 · avg 1.6% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · NO · general

600 shares · value $453 · avg 72.3% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · YES · general

8141 shares · value $448 · avg 28.1% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · YES · general

2926 shares · value $439 · avg 25.2% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · YES · general

1709 shares · value $421 · avg 15.9% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics

277777 shares · value $417 · avg 0.4% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections? · YES · general

639 shares · value $409 · avg 53.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM

Recent trades

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · BUY NO

1111 @ 83.0% · notional $922 · 10/11/2026, 3:16:42 AM

Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · BUY YES

1111 @ 3.0% · notional $33 · 10/11/2026, 3:04:30 AM

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · BUY NO

10 @ 61.0% · notional $6 · 10/11/2026, 2:57:35 AM

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · SELL YES

1456 @ 48.4% · notional $705 · 10/11/2026, 2:23:35 AM

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · BUY NO

3154 @ 61.0% · notional $1,924 · 10/11/2026, 2:22:26 AM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

15000 @ 95.0% · notional $14,250 · 10/11/2026, 2:01:09 AM

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · BUY YES

322 @ 17.5% · notional $56 · 10/11/2026, 12:31:15 AM

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · BUY YES

1900 @ 17.5% · notional $333 · 10/11/2026, 12:31:13 AM

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · BUY YES

2000 @ 17.8% · notional $356 · 10/11/2026, 12:30:52 AM

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · SELL YES

1111 @ 21.9% · notional $243 · 10/11/2026, 12:07:25 AM

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · SELL YES

222 @ 20.2% · notional $45 · 10/11/2026, 12:04:16 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

249 @ 61.0% · notional $152 · 10/10/2026, 11:16:37 PM

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · BUY YES

149 @ 39.3% · notional $59 · 10/10/2026, 10:42:37 PM

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · BUY YES

100 @ 39.3% · notional $39 · 10/10/2026, 10:41:34 PM

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · BUY YES

39 @ 39.3% · notional $15 · 10/10/2026, 10:41:25 PM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

5 @ 61.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 10:37:12 PM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

76 @ 61.0% · notional $46 · 10/10/2026, 9:03:15 PM

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · SELL NO

140 @ 98.3% · notional $138 · 10/10/2026, 8:59:55 PM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

146 @ 61.0% · notional $89 · 10/10/2026, 8:34:57 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY YES

10 @ 74.0% · notional $7 · 10/10/2026, 8:26:25 PM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

53 @ 61.0% · notional $33 · 10/10/2026, 8:16:24 PM

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · BUY YES

200 @ 7.0% · notional $14 · 10/10/2026, 8:16:00 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY YES

50 @ 74.0% · notional $37 · 10/10/2026, 8:14:21 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY YES

50 @ 74.0% · notional $37 · 10/10/2026, 8:11:21 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY YES

50 @ 74.0% · notional $37 · 10/10/2026, 8:03:24 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY YES

40 @ 74.0% · notional $30 · 10/10/2026, 8:03:22 PM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

1200 @ 61.0% · notional $732 · 10/10/2026, 7:34:22 PM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

1000 @ 61.0% · notional $610 · 10/10/2026, 7:20:09 PM

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · BUY YES

46 @ 95.0% · notional $43 · 10/10/2026, 7:11:00 PM

Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? · BUY NO

812 @ 77.7% · notional $631 · 10/10/2026, 7:10:09 PM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

1000 @ 95.0% · notional $950 · 10/10/2026, 6:15:19 PM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

505 @ 95.0% · notional $480 · 10/10/2026, 6:15:13 PM

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · BUY YES

222 @ 11.0% · notional $24 · 10/10/2026, 5:58:57 PM

Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · BUY YES

6 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 10/10/2026, 5:45:19 PM

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · BUY YES

1175 @ 14.8% · notional $174 · 10/10/2026, 5:40:07 PM

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · BUY YES

176 @ 95.0% · notional $168 · 10/10/2026, 5:37:28 PM

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · BUY NO

6 @ 19.0% · notional $1 · 10/10/2026, 5:34:13 PM

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · BUY NO

7 @ 19.0% · notional $1 · 10/10/2026, 5:02:42 PM

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · BUY NO

5 @ 19.0% · notional $1 · 10/10/2026, 4:47:25 PM

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · BUY NO

2 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 10/10/2026, 4:45:58 PM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

3000 @ 61.0% · notional $1,830 · 10/10/2026, 4:20:46 PM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

8 @ 61.0% · notional $5 · 10/10/2026, 3:30:34 PM

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · BUY NO

555 @ 89.0% · notional $494 · 10/10/2026, 3:16:42 PM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

150 @ 61.0% · notional $92 · 10/10/2026, 3:15:10 PM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

8 @ 61.0% · notional $5 · 10/10/2026, 3:11:48 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

5 @ 62.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 2:15:33 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

7 @ 62.0% · notional $4 · 10/10/2026, 2:13:49 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

5 @ 62.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 2:12:43 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

6 @ 62.0% · notional $4 · 10/10/2026, 2:12:42 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

5 @ 62.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 2:12:37 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

7 @ 62.0% · notional $4 · 10/10/2026, 2:12:36 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

5 @ 62.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 2:12:21 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

6 @ 62.0% · notional $4 · 10/10/2026, 2:12:19 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

5 @ 62.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 2:11:30 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

6 @ 62.0% · notional $4 · 10/10/2026, 2:11:28 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

5 @ 62.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 2:09:52 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

8 @ 62.0% · notional $5 · 10/10/2026, 2:09:51 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

5 @ 62.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 2:07:43 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

7 @ 62.0% · notional $4 · 10/10/2026, 2:07:42 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

5 @ 62.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 2:07:19 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

7 @ 62.0% · notional $4 · 10/10/2026, 2:07:18 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

5 @ 62.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 2:01:01 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

9 @ 62.0% · notional $6 · 10/10/2026, 2:01:00 PM

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY NO

21 @ 62.0% · notional $13 · 10/10/2026, 1:56:55 PM

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · BUY NO

80 @ 19.0% · notional $15 · 10/10/2026, 1:42:12 PM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

37 @ 61.0% · notional $23 · 10/10/2026, 1:35:13 PM

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · BUY NO

18 @ 70.0% · notional $12 · 10/10/2026, 12:55:01 PM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

0 @ 61.0% · notional $0 · 10/10/2026, 11:57:52 AM

Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · BUY YES

300 @ 22.0% · notional $66 · 10/10/2026, 11:19:43 AM

Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · BUY YES

140 @ 23.0% · notional $32 · 10/10/2026, 11:12:48 AM

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · BUY NO

200 @ 74.0% · notional $148 · 10/10/2026, 11:11:48 AM

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · BUY NO

5 @ 70.0% · notional $4 · 10/10/2026, 10:48:58 AM

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · BUY YES

333 @ 2.5% · notional $8 · 10/10/2026, 10:41:43 AM

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · BUY NO

167 @ 70.0% · notional $117 · 10/10/2026, 10:30:15 AM

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · BUY NO

4 @ 70.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 10:02:21 AM

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · BUY NO

6 @ 70.0% · notional $4 · 10/10/2026, 9:34:09 AM

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · BUY YES

1342 @ 14.8% · notional $199 · 10/10/2026, 9:28:19 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

13 @ 61.0% · notional $8 · 10/10/2026, 8:53:03 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

8 @ 61.0% · notional $5 · 10/10/2026, 8:36:34 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

3 @ 61.0% · notional $2 · 10/10/2026, 5:39:40 AM

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · BUY NO

21 @ 90.3% · notional $19 · 10/10/2026, 5:20:13 AM

Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · BUY YES

5 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 10/10/2026, 5:07:16 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

13 @ 61.0% · notional $8 · 10/10/2026, 4:37:57 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

5 @ 61.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 4:26:52 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

5 @ 61.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 4:21:48 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

6 @ 61.0% · notional $4 · 10/10/2026, 4:14:06 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

5 @ 61.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 3:58:10 AM

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · BUY YES

177 @ 6.3% · notional $11 · 10/10/2026, 3:55:19 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

3 @ 61.0% · notional $2 · 10/10/2026, 3:49:24 AM

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · BUY YES

986 @ 6.7% · notional $66 · 10/10/2026, 3:43:45 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

5 @ 61.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 3:43:20 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

3 @ 61.0% · notional $2 · 10/10/2026, 3:41:53 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

3 @ 61.0% · notional $2 · 10/10/2026, 3:40:54 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

4 @ 61.0% · notional $2 · 10/10/2026, 3:35:14 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

5 @ 61.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 3:30:06 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

5 @ 61.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 3:17:29 AM

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · BUY NO

223 @ 90.3% · notional $201 · 10/10/2026, 3:15:24 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

5 @ 61.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 3:05:53 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

5 @ 61.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 2:59:21 AM

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · BUY YES

5 @ 61.0% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 2:52:30 AM

Resolved history

Source trade_history · Accuracy 100% · Correct 1 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted 100% · Score 164.7

Netanyahu out by June 30? · predicted NO · resolved NO

CORRECT · notional $2,257 · 4/22/2026, 6:20:38 PM