Market

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 7% · Fair 42% · Edge 35.4 pts

2 tracked holders · YES exposure 3574 · NO exposure 0

2 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 2 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 42% vs market 7%, operationcastle (96 score) YES value 2194. YES offers 509.8% expected profit per dollar risked with 1338.8% max profit if correct, or 247.6% annualized. Lead holder: operationcastle YES value 2194 with 23336 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 2:00:09 PM
Edge 35.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:58:09 PM
Edge 35.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:57:09 PM
Edge 30.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:56:09 PM
Edge 30.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:54:09 PM
Edge 29.5 pts · Confidence 99
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:52:10 PM
Edge 29.5 pts · Confidence 99
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:50:09 PM
Edge 29.5 pts · Confidence 99
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:48:09 PM
Edge 29.5 pts · Confidence 99
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:47:10 PM
Edge 29.5 pts · Confidence 99
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:46:09 PM
Edge 29.5 pts · Confidence 99
Current positions
ScottyNooo · YES · score 45
344054 contracts · value 23912 · avg 4.5% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM
11122 · YES · score 45
104163 contracts · value 7239 · avg 5.0% · 10/17/2026, 2:01:22 PM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 49
68533 contracts · value 5243 · avg 49.7% · 8/29/2026, 4:01:09 PM
Funfzig · YES · score 69
52909 contracts · value 5106 · avg 4.9% · 9/18/2026, 1:29:16 AM
Generator · YES · score 96
33718 contracts · value 2950 · avg 3.9% · 5/24/2026, 4:46:34 AM
operationcastle · YES · score 96
23336 contracts · value 2194 · avg 5.7% · 5/21/2026, 12:25:17 PM
11013 contracts · value 1063 · avg 7.4% · 9/19/2026, 7:20:41 AM
CoffeeLover · YES · score 64
11111 contracts · value 828 · avg 4.4% · 8/26/2026, 4:05:10 PM
whig · YES · score 77
11072 contracts · value 791 · avg 7.3% · 6/22/2026, 11:23:30 PM
AgricultureSecretary · YES · score 45
10000 contracts · value 695 · avg 4.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:05:11 PM
failstober · YES · score 45
8983 contracts · value 615 · avg 4.5% · 10/16/2026, 5:36:56 PM
smoltrader · YES · score 96
7021 contracts · value 501 · avg 0.8% · 6/21/2026, 12:55:29 AM
Zzzz87 · YES · score 64
6582 contracts · value 457 · avg 8.9% · 10/17/2026, 12:47:12 PM
petanimal · YES · score 96
2000 contracts · value 157 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:15 AM
rdba · YES · score 54
523 contracts · value 34 · avg 4.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Recent trades
22 @ 5.8% · notional 1 · 10/11/2026, 10:51:51 PM
ScottyNooo · BUY YES · score 45
177 @ 6.3% · notional 11 · 10/10/2026, 3:55:19 AM
ScottyNooo · BUY YES · score 45
986 @ 6.7% · notional 66 · 10/10/2026, 3:43:45 AM
ScottyNooo · BUY YES · score 45
14 @ 6.7% · notional 1 · 10/10/2026, 1:56:23 AM
AJSV · BUY NO · score 71
53 @ 92.6% · notional 49 · 10/6/2026, 6:15:53 PM
ScottyNooo · BUY NO · score 45
1080 @ 92.3% · notional 997 · 10/2/2026, 6:07:42 PM
ScottyNooo · BUY NO · score 45
25 @ 92.3% · notional 23 · 10/2/2026, 3:25:42 PM
ScottyNooo · BUY NO · score 45
6 @ 92.3% · notional 6 · 10/2/2026, 2:09:47 PM
ScottyNooo · BUY NO · score 45
50 @ 92.8% · notional 46 · 9/30/2026, 5:23:45 PM
ScottyNooo · BUY NO · score 45
300 @ 93.1% · notional 279 · 9/30/2026, 4:56:11 PM
ScottyNooo · BUY NO · score 45
39 @ 93.6% · notional 37 · 9/28/2026, 7:01:00 AM
ScottyNooo · BUY NO · score 45
51 @ 93.6% · notional 48 · 9/28/2026, 4:44:03 AM
ScottyNooo · BUY NO · score 45
50 @ 93.6% · notional 47 · 9/28/2026, 1:52:20 AM
ScottyNooo · BUY NO · score 45
63 @ 90.9% · notional 57 · 9/17/2026, 3:09:39 PM
ScottyNooo · BUY NO · score 45
220 @ 90.9% · notional 200 · 9/17/2026, 3:09:31 PM