Market

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

POLITICS

HOLD

Market 2% · Fair 1% · Edge -0.5 pts

3 tracked holders · YES exposure 57 · NO exposure 585

3 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 2 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 1% vs market 2%, ScottyNooo (99 score) NO value 591. NO offers 0.6% expected profit per dollar risked with 1.6% max profit if correct, or 0.3% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. Lead holder: ScottyNooo NO value 591 with 600 contracts

Signal history
HOLD
10/17/2026, 5:16:10 PM
Edge -0.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 5:15:10 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 95
HOLD
10/17/2026, 5:14:10 PM
Edge -0.5 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 5:12:10 PM
Edge -0.5 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 5:11:10 PM
Edge -0.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 5:10:10 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 95
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 5:08:10 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 95
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 5:06:11 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 95
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 5:02:10 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 95
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 5:00:10 PM
Edge 29.3 pts · Confidence 95
Current positions
SwissMiss · NO · score 96
375000 contracts · value 369563 · avg 50.0% · 5/19/2026, 4:56:17 PM
SwissMiss · YES · score 96
375000 contracts · value 5438 · avg 50.0% · 5/19/2026, 4:56:17 PM
ScottyNooo · NO · score 99
600 contracts · value 591 · avg 97.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM
failstober · YES · score 99
3711 contracts · value 58 · avg 0.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:51:17 PM
rebotsliaf · YES · score 47
3333 contracts · value 52 · avg 1.3% · 8/22/2026, 11:05:14 AM
petanimal · YES · score 64
2000 contracts · value 33 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:15 AM
omnibus-424779 · YES · score 45
308 contracts · value 4 · avg 1.7% · 9/14/2026, 5:05:12 PM
tf2 · YES · score 50
2 contracts · value 0 · 10/17/2026, 5:17:19 PM
Recent trades
470 @ 1.6% · notional 8 · 8/25/2026, 1:53:28 AM
11122 · BUY NO · score 63
3000 @ 98.5% · notional 2955 · 8/21/2026, 2:01:19 AM
100 @ 1.3% · notional 1 · 8/15/2026, 12:52:27 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
14 @ 1.6% · notional 0 · 7/30/2026, 3:23:00 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
14 @ 1.6% · notional 0 · 7/30/2026, 2:57:14 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
22 @ 1.6% · notional 0 · 7/30/2026, 2:54:02 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
14 @ 1.6% · notional 0 · 7/30/2026, 2:51:15 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
10 @ 1.6% · notional 0 · 7/30/2026, 2:47:11 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
56 @ 1.6% · notional 1 · 7/30/2026, 2:44:21 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
12 @ 1.6% · notional 0 · 7/30/2026, 2:42:42 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
27 @ 1.6% · notional 0 · 7/30/2026, 2:39:48 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
14 @ 1.6% · notional 0 · 7/30/2026, 2:37:05 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
10 @ 1.6% · notional 0 · 7/30/2026, 2:35:41 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
100 @ 1.6% · notional 2 · 7/30/2026, 2:31:33 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
14 @ 1.6% · notional 0 · 7/30/2026, 2:29:45 PM