Market

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 8% · Fair 19% · Edge 10.9 pts

5 tracked holders · YES exposure 14969 · NO exposure 36295

5 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 4 YES vs 2 NO positions, fair 19% vs market 8%, DREAMBIG. (99 score) NO value 36660. YES offers 130.1% expected profit per dollar risked with 1097.6% max profit if correct, or 58.8% annualized. Lead holder: DREAMBIG. NO value 36660 with 40000 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:13:11 PM
Edge 10.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:12:11 PM
Edge 10.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:11:11 PM
Edge 10.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:10:12 PM
Edge 10.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:09:11 PM
Edge 10.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:08:12 PM
Edge 10.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:06:13 PM
Edge 10.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:05:11 PM
Edge 10.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:04:11 PM
Edge 10.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 10:03:11 PM
Edge 10.9 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
TradeDeficitArchitect · NO · score 99
55000 contracts · value 50408 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
JJo · NO · score 99
45000 contracts · value 41243 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:27:03 PM
DREAMBIG. · NO · score 99
40000 contracts · value 36660 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:13:03 PM
risk-manager · NO · score 96
34969 contracts · value 29357 · avg 80.7% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
107369 contracts · value 17018 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:12 AM
gopfan2 · YES · score 99
191000 contracts · value 15948 · avg 17.2% · 8/21/2026, 3:23:08 PM
Brokie · YES · score 96
42035 contracts · value 6705 · avg 16.2% · 5/30/2026, 2:52:03 AM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 96
50206 contracts · value 5949 · avg 0.8% · 8/1/2026, 3:40:02 PM
TradeDeficitArchitect · YES · score 99
55000 contracts · value 4593 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
· NO · score 99
4694 contracts · value 4297 · avg 81.9% · 8/17/2026, 3:46:05 PM
JJo · YES · score 99
45000 contracts · value 3758 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:27:03 PM
DREAMBIG. · YES · score 99
40000 contracts · value 3340 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:13:03 PM
· YES · score 78
37176 contracts · value 3104 · avg 15.4% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:08 PM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 99
36805 contracts · value 3073 · avg 15.9% · 8/21/2026, 1:59:07 PM
tetrose · YES · score 96
20000 contracts · value 2250 · avg 0.8% · 7/31/2026, 5:40:01 PM
Recent trades
8 @ 9.1% · notional 1 · 8/14/2026, 11:40:19 AM
21 @ 9.1% · notional 2 · 8/14/2026, 11:23:16 AM
10 @ 9.1% · notional 1 · 8/14/2026, 11:11:15 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
337 @ 11.6% · notional 39 · 7/30/2026, 3:19:06 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
54 @ 11.6% · notional 6 · 7/30/2026, 2:27:35 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
2 @ 11.6% · notional 0 · 7/30/2026, 2:14:03 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
12 @ 12.6% · notional 2 · 7/25/2026, 10:41:33 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
13 @ 12.6% · notional 2 · 7/25/2026, 8:55:01 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
8 @ 12.6% · notional 1 · 7/25/2026, 8:07:07 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
9 @ 12.6% · notional 1 · 7/25/2026, 4:33:49 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
40 @ 12.6% · notional 5 · 7/25/2026, 4:15:18 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
73 @ 12.6% · notional 9 · 7/25/2026, 3:40:04 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
57 @ 12.6% · notional 7 · 7/25/2026, 3:36:28 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
58 @ 12.6% · notional 7 · 7/25/2026, 3:24:49 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
86 @ 12.6% · notional 11 · 7/25/2026, 2:43:00 PM