Market

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 9% · Fair 46% · Edge 36.7 pts

3 tracked holders · YES exposure 17200 · NO exposure 2

3 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 2 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 46% vs market 9%, 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk (96 score) YES value 17018. YES offers 409.8% expected profit per dollar risked with 1017.3% max profit if correct, or 199.1% annualized. Lead holder: 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk YES value 17018 with 107369 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 2:00:10 PM
Edge 36.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:58:10 PM
Edge 37.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:57:10 PM
Edge 37.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:56:10 PM
Edge 39.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:54:10 PM
Edge 39.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:52:10 PM
Edge 14.7 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 1:50:10 PM
Edge 0.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:48:10 PM
Edge 12.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:47:11 PM
Edge 12.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:46:10 PM
Edge 12.9 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
forinnerpsandr1x11222 · NO · score 53
115311 contracts · value 104991 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:20 PM
TradeDeficitArchitect · NO · score 45
50000 contracts · value 46150 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
DREAMBIG. · NO · score 45
45000 contracts · value 40973 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:13 PM
JJo · NO · score 68
40000 contracts · value 36420 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:49:13 PM
risk-manager · NO · score 45
34969 contracts · value 29357 · avg 80.7% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
gopfan2 · YES · score 75
191000 contracts · value 17094 · avg 17.2% · 10/17/2026, 12:43:14 PM
107369 contracts · value 17018 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:12 AM
forinnerpsandr1x11222 · YES · score 53
115311 contracts · value 10320 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:20 PM
Brokie · YES · score 66
42035 contracts · value 6705 · avg 16.2% · 5/30/2026, 2:52:03 AM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 49
50206 contracts · value 4242 · avg 0.8% · 8/29/2026, 4:01:09 PM
11122 · YES · score 45
45858 contracts · value 4104 · avg 3.5% · 10/17/2026, 2:01:22 PM
DREAMBIG. · YES · score 45
45000 contracts · value 4028 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:13 PM
TradeDeficitArchitect · YES · score 45
50000 contracts · value 3850 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
JJo · YES · score 68
40000 contracts · value 3580 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:49:13 PM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 45
37138 contracts · value 3324 · avg 15.8% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM
Recent trades
Zzzz87 · SELL YES · score 64
1716 @ 8.6% · notional 148 · 10/10/2026, 1:01:25 AM
Car · BUY YES · score 95
13 @ 7.3% · notional 1 · 9/13/2026, 2:57:31 AM
Car · BUY YES · score 95
4623 @ 7.3% · notional 337 · 9/13/2026, 2:57:30 AM
Haradwaith · SELL YES · score 56
200 @ 7.8% · notional 16 · 9/11/2026, 6:49:03 AM
Car · BUY YES · score 95
1782 @ 7.3% · notional 130 · 9/11/2026, 3:03:34 AM
8 @ 9.1% · notional 1 · 8/14/2026, 11:40:19 AM
21 @ 9.1% · notional 2 · 8/14/2026, 11:23:16 AM
10 @ 9.1% · notional 1 · 8/14/2026, 11:11:15 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
337 @ 11.6% · notional 39 · 7/30/2026, 3:19:06 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
54 @ 11.6% · notional 6 · 7/30/2026, 2:27:35 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
2 @ 11.6% · notional 0 · 7/30/2026, 2:14:03 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
12 @ 12.6% · notional 2 · 7/25/2026, 10:41:33 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
13 @ 12.6% · notional 2 · 7/25/2026, 8:55:01 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
8 @ 12.6% · notional 1 · 7/25/2026, 8:07:07 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
9 @ 12.6% · notional 1 · 7/25/2026, 4:33:49 PM