Market
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
POLITICS
BUY_YES
Market 12% · Fair 43% · Edge 30.5 pts
2 tracked holders · YES exposure 186 · NO exposure 2
2 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 1 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 43% vs market 12%, 11122 (65 score) YES value 919. YES offers 249.0% expected profit per dollar risked with 716.3% max profit if correct, or 105.6% annualized. Lead holder: 11122 YES value 919 with 7503 contracts
Signal history
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:38:49 AM
Edge 30.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:37:49 AM
Edge 30.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:36:49 AM
Edge 30.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:35:49 AM
Edge 30.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:34:49 AM
Edge 30.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:33:49 AM
Edge 30.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:32:49 AM
Edge 30.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:31:49 AM
Edge 30.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:30:49 AM
Edge 30.5 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:29:49 AM
Edge 30.5 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
risk-manager · NO · score 45
34969 contracts · value 29357 · avg 80.7% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
gopfan2 · YES · score 96
191000 contracts · value 24161 · avg 17.2% · 6/28/2026, 2:25:39 PM
DREAMBIG. · NO · score 45
24500 contracts · value 20960 · avg 50.0% · 6/15/2026, 10:50:24 AM
0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk · YES · score 66
107369 contracts · value 17018 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:12 AM
TradeDeficitArchitect · NO · score 45
13000 contracts · value 11317 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 96
60459 contracts · value 8434 · avg 0.8% · 6/27/2026, 3:53:44 AM
Brokie · YES · score 47
42035 contracts · value 6705 · avg 16.2% · 5/30/2026, 2:52:03 AM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 45
34583 contracts · value 4271 · avg 16.3% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:41 PM
DREAMBIG. · YES · score 45
24500 contracts · value 3540 · avg 50.0% · 6/15/2026, 10:50:24 AM
SwissMiss · YES · score 87
11994 contracts · value 1973 · avg 16.4% · 5/19/2026, 4:56:17 PM
Car · YES · score 49
15000 contracts · value 1897 · avg 19.4% · 6/28/2026, 2:53:40 PM
StasPanda · YES · score 45
11775 contracts · value 1819 · avg 17.6% · 6/21/2026, 10:53:25 PM
scottilicious · YES · score 96
13561 contracts · value 1715 · avg 18.0% · 6/28/2026, 3:19:41 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · YES · score 96
13364 contracts · value 1691 · avg 0.8% · 6/28/2026, 3:01:39 PM
Recent trades
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
714 @ 14.0% · notional 100 · 6/27/2026, 6:44:01 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
7 @ 14.0% · notional 1 · 6/26/2026, 11:28:04 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
71 @ 14.0% · notional 10 · 6/26/2026, 11:24:16 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
7 @ 14.0% · notional 1 · 6/26/2026, 10:51:02 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
5 @ 14.0% · notional 1 · 6/26/2026, 10:01:13 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
853 @ 14.0% · notional 119 · 6/26/2026, 10:00:10 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
731 @ 14.0% · notional 102 · 6/26/2026, 8:50:08 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
7 @ 15.1% · notional 1 · 6/25/2026, 10:30:38 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
41 @ 15.1% · notional 6 · 6/25/2026, 8:24:20 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
17 @ 15.5% · notional 3 · 6/23/2026, 10:29:53 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
44 @ 15.5% · notional 7 · 6/23/2026, 10:14:32 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
52 @ 15.5% · notional 8 · 6/22/2026, 2:50:17 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
25 @ 15.5% · notional 4 · 6/22/2026, 2:29:01 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
31 @ 15.5% · notional 5 · 6/22/2026, 2:17:29 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
25 @ 15.5% · notional 4 · 6/22/2026, 1:43:08 PM