Market
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
POLITICS
HOLD
Market 3% · Fair 5% · Edge 1.7 pts
4 tracked holders · YES exposure 461 · NO exposure 3963
4 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 3 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 5% vs market 3%, ScottyNooo (99 score) NO value 4003. YES offers 56.6% expected profit per dollar risked with 3178.7% max profit if correct, or 27.5% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. Lead holder: ScottyNooo NO value 4003 with 4129 contracts
Signal history
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:01:12 PM
Edge 1.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:59:11 PM
Edge 37.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:57:13 PM
Edge 37.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:55:15 PM
Edge 32.0 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:53:11 PM
Edge -2.1 pts · Confidence 35
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:50:10 PM
Edge 32.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:48:10 PM
Edge 32.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:46:10 PM
Edge 32.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:42:10 PM
Edge 32.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:40:11 PM
Edge 32.0 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
Brokie · YES · score 66
309000 contracts · value 18385 · avg 0.4% · 5/30/2026, 2:52:03 AM
RememberAmalek · YES · score 47
195829 contracts · value 6854 · avg 5.8% · 9/11/2026, 3:22:27 PM
ScottyNooo · NO · score 99
4129 contracts · value 4003 · avg 95.7% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM
scottilicious · YES · score 96
122293 contracts · value 3730 · avg 1.9% · 10/17/2026, 12:58:57 AM
tsihkodiives · YES · score 96
85279 contracts · value 2942 · avg 2.5% · 9/25/2026, 5:34:51 AM
11122 · YES · score 64
73701 contracts · value 2248 · avg 0.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:01:28 PM
HerrieDavis · YES · score 73
13479 contracts · value 418 · avg 0.6% · 10/11/2026, 4:14:33 AM
omnibus-424779 · YES · score 48
214 contracts · value 8 · avg 5.0% · 9/14/2026, 5:05:12 PM
dadadabababab · YES · score 73
210 contracts · value 6 · 10/17/2026, 4:01:25 PM
tf2 · YES · score 66
1 contracts · value 0 · avg 0.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:01:24 PM
Recent trades
omnibus-6c8b15 · SELL NO · score 45
6 @ 96.4% · notional 6 · 9/15/2026, 1:01:03 PM
omnibus-6c8b15 · BUY NO · score 45
6 @ 96.5% · notional 6 · 9/15/2026, 12:59:49 PM
omnibus-6c8b15 · SELL NO · score 45
7 @ 96.4% · notional 7 · 9/12/2026, 5:41:03 PM
omnibus-6c8b15 · BUY NO · score 45
7 @ 96.6% · notional 7 · 9/12/2026, 5:40:43 PM
omnibus-6c8b15 · SELL NO · score 45
10 @ 96.5% · notional 10 · 9/10/2026, 5:04:52 PM
omnibus-6c8b15 · BUY NO · score 45
10 @ 96.6% · notional 10 · 9/10/2026, 5:04:13 PM
11122 · SELL YES · score 64
2441 @ 2.5% · notional 61 · 8/23/2026, 6:34:24 PM
tsihkodiives · BUY YES · score 96
1416 @ 2.1% · notional 30 · 8/23/2026, 5:47:51 AM
11122 · SELL YES · score 64
475 @ 2.5% · notional 12 · 8/21/2026, 12:47:43 PM
11122 · SELL YES · score 64
84 @ 2.5% · notional 2 · 8/21/2026, 6:13:28 AM
scottilicious · BUY YES · score 96
52789 @ 2.4% · notional 1273 · 8/17/2026, 2:59:07 AM
scottilicious · BUY YES · score 96
69504 @ 1.6% · notional 1111 · 8/5/2026, 6:20:21 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 49
1201 @ 3.1% · notional 37 · 7/18/2026, 2:45:15 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 82
62 @ 3.1% · notional 2 · 7/13/2026, 8:11:08 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 82
64 @ 4.8% · notional 3 · 6/27/2026, 2:33:37 PM