Market

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 48% · Fair 85% · Edge 37.1 pts

3 tracked holders · YES exposure 69254 · NO exposure 0

3 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 3 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 85% vs market 48%, GCottrell93 (99 score) YES value 69867. YES offers 77.1% expected profit per dollar risked with 107.7% max profit if correct, or 37.4% annualized. Lead holder: GCottrell93 YES value 69867 with 146779 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 2:00:10 PM
Edge 37.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:58:09 PM
Edge 38.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:57:10 PM
Edge 37.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:56:10 PM
Edge 37.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:54:09 PM
Edge 37.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:52:10 PM
Edge 37.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:50:10 PM
Edge 19.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:48:09 PM
Edge 19.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:47:10 PM
Edge 18.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 1:46:10 PM
Edge 18.7 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
Nooserac · NO · score 48
600000 contracts · value 307500 · avg 50.0% · 10/14/2026, 4:28:52 AM
Nooserac · YES · score 48
600000 contracts · value 292500 · avg 50.0% · 10/14/2026, 4:28:52 AM
debased · NO · score 45
530000 contracts · value 277455 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:29:22 AM
debased · YES · score 45
530000 contracts · value 252545 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 6:29:22 AM
Brokie · YES · score 66
320828 contracts · value 103788 · avg 49.2% · 5/30/2026, 2:52:03 AM
GCottrell93 · YES · score 99
146779 contracts · value 69867 · avg 48.7% · 10/17/2026, 12:47:11 PM
114005 contracts · value 43037 · avg 35.4% · 6/28/2026, 11:35:43 AM
wan123 · YES · score 45
65278 contracts · value 31431 · avg 37.4% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:10 PM
chungguskhan · YES · score 91
59960 contracts · value 28481 · avg 38.1% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:14 AM
100x · YES · score 92
69285 contracts · value 25185 · avg 39.8% · 5/19/2026, 11:36:18 PM
Eatpraylove · YES · score 45
64654 contracts · value 24277 · avg 38.0% · 5/8/2026, 3:37:18 PM
RememberAmalek · YES · score 47
42500 contracts · value 21356 · avg 50.0% · 9/11/2026, 3:22:27 PM
RememberAmalek · NO · score 47
42500 contracts · value 21144 · avg 50.0% · 9/11/2026, 3:22:27 PM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 45
24052 contracts · value 11461 · avg 44.9% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM
failstober · YES · score 45
19039 contracts · value 8958 · avg 39.6% · 10/16/2026, 5:36:56 PM
Recent trades
Zzzz87 · BUY NO · score 64
508 @ 51.9% · notional 264 · 10/16/2026, 1:00:16 AM
ScottyNooo · SELL YES · score 45
1456 @ 48.4% · notional 705 · 10/11/2026, 2:23:35 AM
failstober · SELL YES · score 45
3400 @ 51.0% · notional 1734 · 9/27/2026, 6:42:51 PM
suntori · BUY YES · score 45
43 @ 51.3% · notional 22 · 9/16/2026, 8:32:09 AM
suntori · SELL YES · score 45
43 @ 51.2% · notional 22 · 9/16/2026, 3:42:55 AM
ArmageddonRewardsBilly · BUY YES · score 96
42 @ 50.0% · notional 21 · 9/4/2026, 2:18:57 PM
ArmageddonRewardsBilly · BUY YES · score 96
20 @ 50.0% · notional 10 · 9/4/2026, 2:17:06 PM
failstober · SELL YES · score 45
4444 @ 49.9% · notional 2218 · 9/1/2026, 6:28:34 AM
luck00004 · BUY NO · score 89
19622 @ 52.0% · notional 10203 · 8/29/2026, 5:55:45 AM
luck00004 · BUY NO · score 89
10 @ 52.0% · notional 5 · 8/29/2026, 5:24:33 AM
luck00004 · BUY NO · score 89
2 @ 52.0% · notional 1 · 8/29/2026, 3:51:03 AM
luck00004 · BUY NO · score 89
365 @ 52.0% · notional 190 · 8/29/2026, 3:44:52 AM
WarriorH · BUY YES · score 77
315 @ 47.3% · notional 149 · 8/25/2026, 7:09:13 AM
WarriorH · BUY NO · score 77
315 @ 52.8% · notional 166 · 8/25/2026, 7:09:12 AM
11122 · SELL YES · score 64
1369 @ 47.4% · notional 649 · 8/21/2026, 12:33:04 AM