Market
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
POLITICS
BUY_YES
Market 39% · Fair 72% · Edge 33.2 pts
4 tracked holders · YES exposure 70508 · NO exposure 12180
4 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 4 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 72% vs market 39%, GCottrell93 (99 score) YES value 57464. YES offers 84.8% expected profit per dollar risked with 155.8% max profit if correct, or 36.0% annualized. Lead holder: GCottrell93 YES value 57464 with 146779 contracts
Signal history
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 4:24:49 AM
Edge 33.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 4:23:49 AM
Edge 33.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 4:22:49 AM
Edge 33.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 4:21:49 AM
Edge 33.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 4:20:49 AM
Edge 33.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 4:19:49 AM
Edge 33.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 4:18:49 AM
Edge 33.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 4:17:49 AM
Edge 33.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 4:16:49 AM
Edge 33.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 4:15:49 AM
Edge 34.4 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
debased · NO · score 45
630000 contracts · value 392175 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:39 PM
yungstalin · NO · score 91
400000 contracts · value 243600 · avg 50.0% · 6/30/2026, 4:23:52 AM
debased · YES · score 45
630000 contracts · value 237825 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:39 PM
AgricultureSecretary · NO · score 96
255000 contracts · value 158738 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 11:37:41 AM
yungstalin · YES · score 91
400000 contracts · value 156400 · avg 50.0% · 6/30/2026, 4:23:52 AM
Brokie · YES · score 47
320828 contracts · value 103788 · avg 49.2% · 5/30/2026, 2:52:03 AM
AgricultureSecretary · YES · score 96
255000 contracts · value 96263 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 11:37:41 AM
GCottrell93 · YES · score 99
146779 contracts · value 57464 · avg 48.7% · 6/30/2026, 4:05:42 AM
PantheraUncia · YES · score 91
114005 contracts · value 43037 · avg 35.4% · 6/28/2026, 11:35:43 AM
JJo · NO · score 49
50000 contracts · value 31125 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 2:47:43 PM
11122 · YES · score 68
73313 contracts · value 28665 · avg 41.5% · 6/30/2026, 4:23:52 AM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 45
72575 contracts · value 27397 · avg 44.7% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:41 PM
100x · YES · score 45
69285 contracts · value 25185 · avg 39.8% · 5/19/2026, 11:36:18 PM
wan123 · YES · score 46
65278 contracts · value 24643 · avg 37.4% · 6/28/2026, 1:41:44 PM
Eatpraylove · YES · score 69
64654 contracts · value 24277 · avg 38.0% · 5/8/2026, 3:37:18 PM
Recent trades
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
0 @ 37.9% · notional 0 · 6/28/2026, 11:19:34 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
0 @ 37.9% · notional 0 · 6/28/2026, 11:18:47 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
3 @ 37.9% · notional 1 · 6/27/2026, 2:39:56 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
0 @ 37.9% · notional 0 · 6/27/2026, 4:51:23 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
3 @ 37.9% · notional 1 · 6/26/2026, 8:59:17 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
3 @ 38.4% · notional 1 · 6/25/2026, 8:26:10 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
29 @ 38.4% · notional 11 · 6/25/2026, 8:22:14 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
452 @ 38.4% · notional 173 · 6/24/2026, 5:13:01 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
123 @ 38.4% · notional 47 · 6/24/2026, 2:41:11 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
975 @ 38.4% · notional 374 · 6/24/2026, 2:36:01 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
8 @ 38.4% · notional 3 · 6/24/2026, 2:28:02 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
8 @ 39.0% · notional 3 · 6/20/2026, 5:26:34 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
11 @ 39.0% · notional 4 · 6/20/2026, 5:10:25 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
4566 @ 37.7% · notional 1721 · 6/20/2026, 1:19:10 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
899 @ 37.7% · notional 339 · 6/20/2026, 12:52:02 AM