Market

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 13% · Fair 17% · Edge 4.2 pts

3 tracked holders · YES exposure 2548 · NO exposure 5552

3 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 2 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 17% vs market 13%, 11122 (65 score) NO value 27449. YES offers 31.9% expected profit per dollar risked with 660.5% max profit if correct, or 15.5% annualized. Lead holder: 11122 NO value 27449 with 31606 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 4:02:10 PM
Edge 4.2 pts · Confidence 95
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 4:01:12 PM
Edge 4.2 pts · Confidence 95
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:59:12 PM
Edge 7.3 pts · Confidence 90
BUY_NO
10/17/2026, 3:57:13 PM
Edge -9.3 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:55:16 PM
Edge 5.8 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:53:12 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:50:10 PM
Edge 0.6 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:48:10 PM
Edge 0.6 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:46:10 PM
Edge 0.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_NO
10/17/2026, 3:42:10 PM
Edge -9.3 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
Euan · NO · score 89
280000 contracts · value 243460 · avg 50.0% · 8/23/2026, 12:33:02 AM
Euan · YES · score 89
280000 contracts · value 36540 · avg 50.0% · 8/23/2026, 12:33:02 AM
11122 · NO · score 64
31606 contracts · value 27449 · avg 86.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:01:28 PM
sleepy-panda · NO · score 63
30000 contracts · value 27195 · avg 89.9% · 8/11/2026, 8:39:52 PM
JJo · NO · score 68
25000 contracts · value 21713 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 3:53:20 PM
RememberAmalek · YES · score 47
62965 contracts · value 8343 · avg 6.2% · 9/11/2026, 3:22:27 PM
Katello · YES · score 65
150000 contracts · value 7575 · avg 8.0% · 5/21/2026, 3:13:15 AM
rdba · NO · score 54
6332 contracts · value 5999 · avg 90.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Hans323 · YES · score 61
29426 contracts · value 3870 · avg 8.6% · 10/17/2026, 3:13:10 PM
69707 contracts · value 3660 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:12 AM
JJo · YES · score 68
25000 contracts · value 3288 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 3:53:20 PM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 99
19572 contracts · value 2574 · avg 5.6% · 10/17/2026, 6:49:21 AM
keasiyo · YES · score 96
37493 contracts · value 2043 · avg 7.0% · 6/21/2026, 1:51:26 AM
10103 contracts · value 1329 · avg 5.8% · 9/19/2026, 7:20:41 AM
TradeDeficitArchitect · NO · score 45
1000 contracts · value 870 · avg 87.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Recent trades
Car · SELL YES · score 95
10000 @ 13.1% · notional 1313 · 10/10/2026, 8:18:22 PM
Haradwaith · SELL NO · score 66
16 @ 89.6% · notional 14 · 8/31/2026, 1:48:34 PM
Haradwaith · BUY NO · score 66
2000 @ 89.6% · notional 1792 · 8/30/2026, 11:58:42 AM
failstober · BUY NO · score 45
11 @ 86.2% · notional 9 · 8/28/2026, 1:25:10 AM
failstober · BUY NO · score 45
6 @ 86.2% · notional 5 · 8/27/2026, 11:57:40 PM
failstober · BUY NO · score 45
11 @ 86.2% · notional 10 · 8/27/2026, 11:57:39 PM
failstober · BUY NO · score 45
16 @ 86.2% · notional 14 · 8/27/2026, 11:57:37 PM
failstober · BUY NO · score 45
88 @ 86.2% · notional 75 · 8/27/2026, 11:57:27 PM
failstober · BUY NO · score 45
44 @ 86.2% · notional 38 · 8/27/2026, 11:56:12 PM
failstober · BUY NO · score 45
871 @ 86.2% · notional 751 · 8/27/2026, 11:55:39 PM
11122 · BUY NO · score 64
3 @ 85.5% · notional 3 · 8/23/2026, 3:09:09 AM
11122 · BUY NO · score 64
16 @ 85.5% · notional 13 · 8/23/2026, 3:07:45 AM
11122 · BUY NO · score 64
3859 @ 86.3% · notional 3330 · 8/23/2026, 2:23:34 AM
11122 · BUY NO · score 64
42 @ 86.3% · notional 36 · 8/23/2026, 2:23:31 AM
11122 · BUY NO · score 64
2000 @ 86.6% · notional 1732 · 8/23/2026, 2:23:28 AM