Market

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

POLITICS

HOLD

Market 13% · Fair 14% · Edge 1.4 pts

3 tracked holders · YES exposure 21603 · NO exposure 150409

3 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 2 YES vs 2 NO positions, fair 14% vs market 13%, Parz1vaI (99 score) NO value 150679. YES offers 10.9% expected profit per dollar risked with 690.5% max profit if correct, or 4.9% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. Lead holder: Parz1vaI NO value 150679 with 172500 contracts

Signal history
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:11:12 PM
Edge 1.4 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:10:12 PM
Edge 1.4 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:09:11 PM
Edge 1.4 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:08:12 PM
Edge 1.4 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:06:12 PM
Edge 1.4 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:05:11 PM
Edge 1.4 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:04:11 PM
Edge 1.4 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:03:11 PM
Edge 1.4 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:02:11 PM
Edge 1.4 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:01:11 PM
Edge 1.4 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
Parz1vaI · NO · score 99
172500 contracts · value 150679 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:02 PM
sleepy-panda · NO · score 70
30000 contracts · value 27195 · avg 89.9% · 8/11/2026, 8:39:52 PM
Parz1vaI · YES · score 99
172500 contracts · value 21821 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:02 PM
RememberAmalek · YES · score 99
61678 contracts · value 8111 · avg 6.1% · 8/16/2026, 12:37:03 PM
Katello · YES · score 65
150000 contracts · value 7575 · avg 8.0% · 5/21/2026, 3:13:15 AM
11122 · NO · score 99
7000 contracts · value 6114 · avg 87.1% · 8/21/2026, 5:27:10 PM
rdba · NO · score 96
6332 contracts · value 5999 · avg 90.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 96
45233 contracts · value 4229 · avg 0.8% · 8/1/2026, 3:40:02 PM
Hans323 · YES · score 99
29426 contracts · value 3722 · avg 8.6% · 8/21/2026, 12:19:08 PM
69707 contracts · value 3660 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:12 AM
tetrose · YES · score 96
33161 contracts · value 3101 · avg 17.3% · 7/31/2026, 5:40:01 PM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 99
21316 contracts · value 2696 · avg 5.6% · 8/21/2026, 1:59:07 PM
ImJustKen · YES · score 99
18472 contracts · value 2337 · avg 6.3% · 8/21/2026, 9:43:03 PM
keasiyo · YES · score 96
37493 contracts · value 2043 · avg 7.0% · 6/21/2026, 1:51:26 AM
· YES · score 78
11343 contracts · value 1435 · avg 5.7% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:08 PM
Recent trades
TradeDeficitArchitect · BUY NO · score 99
1000 @ 87.0% · notional 870 · 8/17/2026, 7:25:51 PM
9 @ 13.4% · notional 1 · 8/15/2026, 1:14:30 AM
8 @ 13.4% · notional 1 · 8/14/2026, 11:40:21 AM
9 @ 13.4% · notional 1 · 8/14/2026, 11:22:55 AM
51 @ 13.4% · notional 7 · 8/14/2026, 10:48:55 AM
CoffeeLover · SELL YES · score 99
851 @ 11.0% · notional 94 · 8/12/2026, 11:06:09 PM
CoffeeLover · SELL YES · score 99
9 @ 11.0% · notional 1 · 8/12/2026, 1:05:03 PM
sleepy-panda · BUY NO · score 70
30000 @ 89.9% · notional 26980 · 8/7/2026, 7:58:33 PM
CoffeeLover · SELL YES · score 99
139 @ 11.0% · notional 15 · 8/7/2026, 1:46:19 PM
CoffeeLover · SELL YES · score 99
720 @ 11.0% · notional 79 · 8/7/2026, 1:46:12 PM
Hans323 · SELL YES · score 99
574 @ 10.8% · notional 62 · 8/6/2026, 5:40:57 PM
CoffeeLover · SELL YES · score 99
500 @ 11.0% · notional 55 · 8/6/2026, 3:50:15 PM
CoffeeLover · SELL YES · score 99
500 @ 11.0% · notional 55 · 8/6/2026, 3:50:11 PM
CoffeeLover · SELL YES · score 99
500 @ 11.0% · notional 55 · 8/6/2026, 3:50:08 PM
CoffeeLover · SELL YES · score 99
739 @ 11.0% · notional 81 · 8/6/2026, 3:50:05 PM