Trader
rdba
0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8
Quality
78
PnL
$22,393
Volume
$3,474,061
Win rate
64%
Last seen 6/29/2026, 6:27:44 PM
Leaderboard
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 23 · PnL $209,233 · Volume $4,136,382
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 70 · PnL $86,116 · Volume $11,343,130
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 73 · PnL $574,837 · Volume $25,557,563
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 111 · PnL $17,301 · Volume $475,904
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 127 · PnL $232,099 · Volume $7,633,057
CRYPTO · MONTH · PNL
Rank 156 · PnL $22,393 · Volume $3,474,061
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 200 · PnL $8,903 · Volume $754,242
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 379 · PnL $479,229 · Volume $45,604,362
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 472 · PnL $10,839 · Volume $20,452
POLITICS · DAY · PNL
Rank 1537 · PnL $20 · Volume $0
POLITICS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1668 · PnL $149 · Volume $0
Current positions
4014968 shares · value $3,185,877 · avg 50.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
4019165 shares · value $829,958 · avg 50.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · NO · general
40608 shares · value $40,587 · avg 97.8% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
7070 shares · value $6,868 · avg 94.7% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
6332 shares · value $5,999 · avg 90.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
6039 shares · value $4,774 · avg 93.5% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · NO · politics
5000 shares · value $4,528 · avg 96.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · YES · culture
7510 shares · value $3,793 · avg 45.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · general
6264 shares · value $3,727 · avg 52.8% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · NO · politics
3372 shares · value $3,340 · avg 98.7% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics
2435 shares · value $2,412 · avg 97.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
1864 shares · value $1,846 · avg 96.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · NO · politics
1905 shares · value $1,186 · avg 50.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics
873 shares · value $749 · avg 83.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
16453 shares · value $714 · avg 2.8% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · NO · politics
700 shares · value $691 · avg 95.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics
498 shares · value $492 · avg 97.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · YES · politics
22480 shares · value $438 · avg 5.3% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
1956 shares · value $223 · avg 50.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
201 shares · value $198 · avg 95.6% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
197 shares · value $192 · avg 94.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
100 shares · value $98 · avg 96.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
2652 shares · value $70 · avg 1.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
917 shares · value $49 · avg 7.1% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
523 shares · value $34 · avg 4.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · YES · politics
3510 shares · value $26 · avg 1.1% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
695 shares · value $6 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · YES · politics
463 shares · value $4 · avg 2.1% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
20 shares · value $0 · avg 1.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
228297 shares · value $0 · avg 5.5% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
208815 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
206675 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
200295 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
74964 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
62587 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
41604 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? · YES · general
12881 shares · value $0 · avg 6.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in December? · YES · general
10468 shares · value $0 · avg 25.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? · NO · general
9311 shares · value $0 · avg 3.2% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? · NO · general
4022 shares · value $0 · avg 35.8% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
3520 shares · value $0 · avg 9.4% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in December? · YES · general
3484 shares · value $0 · avg 48.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · YES · general
3219 shares · value $0 · avg 26.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
2500 shares · value $0 · avg 9.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? · NO · general
1945 shares · value $0 · avg 52.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
1300 shares · value $0 · avg 7.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
405 shares · value $0 · avg 16.7% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19? · NO · general
253 shares · value $0 · avg 38.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? · NO · general
170 shares · value $0 · avg 41.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-10-18? · YES · general
100 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election? · NO · general
62 shares · value $0 · avg 28.1% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament? · NO · general
3784 shares · value $0 · avg 45.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
386647 shares · value $0 · avg 2.3% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
372746 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
369890 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
369890 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
369890 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
369890 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
369890 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
369890 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
369890 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
369890 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
369890 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
369890 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
365859 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will France win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
365225 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
359648 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
355087 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
350102 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
349583 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
304551 shares · value $0 · avg 4.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
304551 shares · value $0 · avg 4.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
304551 shares · value $0 · avg 4.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
304551 shares · value $0 · avg 4.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
304551 shares · value $0 · avg 4.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
304551 shares · value $0 · avg 4.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
304551 shares · value $0 · avg 4.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
304551 shares · value $0 · avg 4.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
304551 shares · value $0 · avg 4.9% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
265421 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
Recent trades
14000 @ 99.9% · notional $13,986 · 6/17/2026, 1:30:41 PM
3000000 @ 99.9% · notional $2,997,000 · 6/17/2026, 1:30:35 PM
460000 @ 99.9% · notional $459,540 · 6/17/2026, 1:29:47 PM
150000 @ 97.2% · notional $145,800 · 6/9/2026, 1:42:45 PM
100000 @ 97.5% · notional $97,500 · 6/8/2026, 8:33:34 PM
49465 @ 97.5% · notional $48,229 · 6/8/2026, 5:36:16 PM
360 @ 99.6% · notional $358 · 6/4/2026, 12:34:42 AM
253 @ 99.6% · notional $251 · 6/4/2026, 12:34:39 AM
500 @ 99.6% · notional $498 · 6/4/2026, 12:34:33 AM
1 @ 99.6% · notional $1 · 6/4/2026, 12:34:31 AM
1 @ 99.6% · notional $1 · 6/4/2026, 12:34:30 AM
1 @ 99.6% · notional $1 · 6/4/2026, 12:34:27 AM
1420 @ 99.6% · notional $1,414 · 6/4/2026, 12:34:16 AM
250 @ 99.6% · notional $249 · 6/4/2026, 12:34:09 AM
595 @ 99.6% · notional $593 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:55 AM
16220 @ 99.6% · notional $16,155 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:54 AM
2000 @ 99.6% · notional $1,992 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:51 AM
35000 @ 99.6% · notional $34,860 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:46 AM
250 @ 99.6% · notional $249 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:45 AM
250 @ 99.6% · notional $249 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:43 AM
10000 @ 99.6% · notional $9,960 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:36 AM
250 @ 99.6% · notional $249 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:34 AM
1250 @ 99.6% · notional $1,245 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:19 AM
3250 @ 99.6% · notional $3,237 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:16 AM
728 @ 99.6% · notional $725 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:12 AM
250 @ 99.6% · notional $249 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:04 AM
250 @ 99.6% · notional $249 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:01 AM
4528 @ 99.6% · notional $4,509 · 6/4/2026, 12:33:00 AM
2250 @ 99.6% · notional $2,241 · 6/4/2026, 12:32:58 AM
690 @ 99.6% · notional $687 · 6/4/2026, 12:32:55 AM
24043 @ 99.6% · notional $23,946 · 6/4/2026, 12:32:51 AM
980 @ 99.6% · notional $976 · 6/4/2026, 12:32:46 AM
250 @ 99.6% · notional $249 · 6/4/2026, 12:32:40 AM
6750 @ 99.6% · notional $6,723 · 6/4/2026, 12:32:36 AM
5955 @ 99.6% · notional $5,931 · 6/4/2026, 12:32:16 AM
2500 @ 99.6% · notional $2,490 · 6/4/2026, 12:32:15 AM
25000 @ 99.6% · notional $24,900 · 6/4/2026, 12:32:09 AM
985 @ 99.6% · notional $981 · 6/4/2026, 12:32:06 AM
783 @ 99.6% · notional $779 · 6/4/2026, 12:32:00 AM
420 @ 99.6% · notional $418 · 6/4/2026, 12:31:48 AM
250 @ 99.6% · notional $249 · 6/4/2026, 12:31:25 AM
1250 @ 99.6% · notional $1,245 · 6/4/2026, 12:30:46 AM
28750 @ 99.6% · notional $28,635 · 6/4/2026, 12:30:43 AM
808 @ 99.6% · notional $804 · 6/4/2026, 12:30:42 AM
1250 @ 99.6% · notional $1,245 · 6/4/2026, 12:30:15 AM
22780 @ 99.6% · notional $22,689 · 6/4/2026, 12:30:03 AM
500 @ 99.6% · notional $498 · 6/4/2026, 12:30:00 AM
250 @ 99.6% · notional $249 · 6/4/2026, 12:29:55 AM
1000 @ 99.6% · notional $996 · 6/4/2026, 12:29:54 AM
1228 @ 99.6% · notional $1,223 · 6/4/2026, 12:29:49 AM
1000 @ 99.6% · notional $996 · 6/4/2026, 12:29:31 AM
3250 @ 99.6% · notional $3,237 · 6/4/2026, 12:29:30 AM
1750 @ 99.6% · notional $1,743 · 6/4/2026, 12:29:28 AM
253 @ 99.6% · notional $251 · 6/4/2026, 12:29:25 AM
5000 @ 99.6% · notional $4,980 · 6/4/2026, 12:29:24 AM
2485 @ 99.6% · notional $2,475 · 6/4/2026, 12:29:21 AM
16215 @ 99.6% · notional $16,150 · 6/4/2026, 12:29:19 AM
250 @ 99.6% · notional $249 · 6/4/2026, 12:29:10 AM
250 @ 99.6% · notional $249 · 6/4/2026, 12:29:01 AM
19320 @ 99.6% · notional $19,243 · 6/4/2026, 12:28:46 AM
2500 @ 99.6% · notional $2,490 · 6/4/2026, 12:28:40 AM
1250 @ 99.6% · notional $1,245 · 6/4/2026, 12:28:33 AM
12318 @ 99.6% · notional $12,268 · 6/4/2026, 12:28:28 AM
47313 @ 99.0% · notional $46,840 · 4/22/2026, 11:36:00 AM
808 @ 99.0% · notional $800 · 4/21/2026, 5:55:46 AM
5660 @ 98.7% · notional $5,587 · 4/13/2026, 11:19:49 AM
5 @ 98.7% · notional $5 · 4/13/2026, 9:53:03 AM
5 @ 98.7% · notional $5 · 4/13/2026, 9:53:01 AM
4200 @ 98.7% · notional $4,145 · 4/13/2026, 9:52:35 AM
30 @ 98.7% · notional $30 · 4/13/2026, 7:43:51 AM
38 @ 98.7% · notional $38 · 4/13/2026, 7:43:47 AM
4 @ 98.7% · notional $4 · 4/13/2026, 7:43:17 AM
1 @ 98.7% · notional $1 · 4/13/2026, 7:43:13 AM
1 @ 98.7% · notional $1 · 4/13/2026, 7:42:59 AM
10000 @ 98.7% · notional $9,870 · 4/13/2026, 7:42:21 AM
60 @ 98.7% · notional $59 · 4/13/2026, 7:41:59 AM
5 @ 98.7% · notional $5 · 4/13/2026, 7:41:41 AM
8 @ 98.7% · notional $8 · 4/13/2026, 7:41:35 AM
36 @ 98.7% · notional $35 · 4/13/2026, 7:41:21 AM
10 @ 98.7% · notional $10 · 4/13/2026, 7:40:59 AM
1 @ 98.7% · notional $1 · 4/13/2026, 7:40:49 AM
210 @ 98.7% · notional $207 · 4/13/2026, 7:40:21 AM
1 @ 98.7% · notional $1 · 4/13/2026, 7:39:57 AM
200 @ 98.7% · notional $197 · 4/13/2026, 7:39:47 AM
125 @ 98.7% · notional $123 · 4/13/2026, 7:39:21 AM
16 @ 98.7% · notional $16 · 4/13/2026, 7:39:19 AM
18 @ 98.7% · notional $18 · 4/13/2026, 7:38:43 AM
10 @ 98.7% · notional $10 · 4/13/2026, 7:38:41 AM
514 @ 98.7% · notional $507 · 4/13/2026, 7:33:33 AM
144 @ 98.7% · notional $142 · 4/13/2026, 7:33:15 AM
35 @ 98.7% · notional $35 · 4/13/2026, 7:32:23 AM
77 @ 98.7% · notional $76 · 4/13/2026, 7:31:41 AM
462 @ 98.7% · notional $456 · 4/13/2026, 7:31:31 AM
10 @ 98.7% · notional $10 · 4/13/2026, 7:23:09 AM
358 @ 98.7% · notional $353 · 4/13/2026, 7:22:49 AM
100 @ 98.7% · notional $99 · 4/13/2026, 7:22:47 AM
3 @ 98.7% · notional $3 · 4/13/2026, 7:22:19 AM
1085 @ 98.7% · notional $1,071 · 4/13/2026, 7:19:53 AM
411 @ 98.7% · notional $406 · 4/13/2026, 7:17:37 AM
1123 @ 98.7% · notional $1,109 · 4/13/2026, 5:16:21 AM
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy 100% · Correct 2 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted 100% · Score 183.0
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $3,535 · 5/18/2026, 7:24:51 AM
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · predicted YES · resolved YES
CORRECT · notional $4,508 · 2/27/2026, 1:33:24 AM