Market
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
CULTURE
BUY_YES
Market 51% · Fair 79% · Edge 28.6 pts
1 tracked holders · YES exposure 1 · NO exposure 0
1 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 1 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 79% vs market 51%, BowlOfPunch (99 score) YES value 1. YES offers 56.6% expected profit per dollar risked with 98.0% max profit if correct, or 20673.9% annualized. Lead holder: BowlOfPunch YES value 1 with 1 contracts
Signal history
BUY_YES
7/31/2026, 11:41:01 AM
Edge 28.6 pts · Confidence 94
HOLD
7/31/2026, 9:21:00 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
7/31/2026, 9:19:59 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
7/31/2026, 9:18:59 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
7/31/2026, 9:17:59 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
7/31/2026, 9:16:59 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
7/31/2026, 9:16:00 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
BUY_YES
7/31/2026, 9:14:59 AM
Edge 28.6 pts · Confidence 94
BUY_YES
7/31/2026, 9:14:00 AM
Edge 28.6 pts · Confidence 94
HOLD
7/31/2026, 5:30:59 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
Current positions
rdba · YES · score 96
7510 contracts · value 3793 · avg 45.0% · 6/26/2026, 12:05:39 PM
risk-manager · NO · score 96
1160 contracts · value 574 · avg 49.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
e88888 · NO · score 96
51 contracts · value 25 · avg 47.0% · 4/30/2026, 5:06:55 AM
0xdc3E831cad · YES · score 97
2 contracts · value 1 · avg 49.0% · 7/16/2026, 12:27:28 PM
BowlOfPunch · YES · score 99
1 contracts · value 1 · avg 21.3% · 8/21/2026, 9:45:02 PM
Recent trades
risk-manager · BUY NO · score 96
6 @ 49.0% · notional 3 · 6/19/2026, 8:43:08 PM
risk-manager · BUY NO · score 96
6 @ 49.0% · notional 3 · 6/19/2026, 8:38:05 PM
risk-manager · BUY NO · score 96
5 @ 49.0% · notional 3 · 6/19/2026, 8:17:50 PM
BowlOfPunch · SELL YES · score 99
1441 @ 51.0% · notional 735 · 2/10/2026, 11:30:23 PM
Eridpnc · SELL YES · score 99
1246 @ 49.0% · notional 610 · 11/6/2025, 9:50:07 PM