Trader
TradeDeficitArchitect
0x477f156a229f1a174fdf945c778b7362dd2b19aa
Quality
47
PnL
$2,887
Volume
$0
Win rate
45%
Last seen 8/21/2026, 9:26:02 PM
Leaderboard
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 32 · PnL $59,117 · Volume $1,036,207
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 385 · PnL $133,624 · Volume $6,211,699
CRYPTO · WEEK · PNL
Rank 388 · PnL $2,631 · Volume $0
CRYPTO · DAY · PNL
Rank 524 · PnL $486 · Volume $0
CRYPTO · MONTH · PNL
Rank 579 · PnL $2,887 · Volume $0
CULTURE · WEEK · PNL
Rank 595 · PnL $81 · Volume $0
CULTURE · MONTH · PNL
Rank 768 · PnL $233 · Volume $0
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 888 · PnL $9,786 · Volume $340,924
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 1010 · PnL $1,621 · Volume $197,679
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 1076 · PnL $197,800 · Volume $9,052,568
POLITICS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1110 · PnL $184 · Volume $19,300
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 1231 · PnL $8,495 · Volume $25,703
SPORTS · DAY · PNL
Rank 1319 · PnL $103 · Volume $0
OVERALL · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1374 · PnL $2,863 · Volume $19,300
WEATHER · ALL · PNL
Rank 1643 · PnL $1,031 · Volume $106,381
OVERALL · DAY · PNL
Rank 2102 · PnL $419 · Volume $0
Current positions
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics
55000 shares · value $50,408 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · NO · general
20000 shares · value $17,500 · avg 83.7% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · NO · general
13000 shares · value $12,499 · avg 82.8% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · NO · general
10000 shares · value $8,350 · avg 78.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics
8470 shares · value $7,483 · avg 87.4% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · NO · general
7023 shares · value $6,566 · avg 68.4% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
7106 shares · value $6,289 · avg 70.2% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
6220 shares · value $5,919 · avg 91.2% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Trump out as President before 2027? · NO · general
5000 shares · value $4,725 · avg 85.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
55000 shares · value $4,593 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
3734 shares · value $3,553 · avg 92.2% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
4538 shares · value $3,335 · avg 48.3% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · YES · general
4258 shares · value $2,746 · avg 67.3% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · NO · general
2500 shares · value $2,444 · avg 93.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · NO · general
2500 shares · value $2,404 · avg 91.8% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics
2500 shares · value $1,989 · avg 77.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · NO · general
2000 shares · value $1,967 · avg 96.9% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
1767 shares · value $1,652 · avg 80.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
10434 shares · value $1,471 · avg 4.4% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
2000 shares · value $1,470 · avg 61.4% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · YES · general
2000 shares · value $1,430 · avg 75.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · NO · general
1235 shares · value $1,234 · avg 99.7% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
1501 shares · value $1,228 · avg 78.8% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · NO · general
1140 shares · value $1,119 · avg 89.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
7361 shares · value $1,108 · avg 28.1% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · NO · general
930 shares · value $890 · avg 77.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
1000 shares · value $874 · avg 87.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
2000 shares · value $730 · avg 48.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · YES · general
866 shares · value $717 · avg 33.6% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
764 shares · value $711 · avg 61.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
582 shares · value $521 · avg 80.3% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
521 shares · value $515 · avg 91.3% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
19163 shares · value $508 · avg 3.1% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · NO · general
414 shares · value $400 · avg 81.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · YES · general
450 shares · value $363 · avg 72.2% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
284 shares · value $231 · avg 63.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
14476 shares · value $224 · avg 1.8% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? · NO · general
342 shares · value $183 · avg 51.4% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
162 shares · value $157 · avg 90.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · NO · general
238 shares · value $151 · avg 77.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? · YES · general
200 shares · value $135 · avg 73.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
20421 shares · value $112 · avg 0.9% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · YES · general
212 shares · value $102 · avg 49.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · NO · general
100 shares · value $100 · avg 52.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? · YES · general
186 shares · value $98 · avg 49.9% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Byron Donalds win at least 50% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · NO · general
100 shares · value $97 · avg 22.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
100 shares · value $91 · avg 87.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
88 shares · value $84 · avg 90.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
664 shares · value $76 · avg 14.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
100 shares · value $72 · avg 47.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · YES · general
81 shares · value $71 · avg 67.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · YES · general
80 shares · value $70 · avg 69.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
60 shares · value $59 · avg 84.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · NO · general
63 shares · value $59 · avg 90.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
62 shares · value $58 · avg 90.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · NO · general
82 shares · value $46 · avg 58.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · YES · politics
1868 shares · value $40 · avg 4.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · NO · general
36 shares · value $36 · avg 88.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
33 shares · value $33 · avg 95.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
30 shares · value $30 · avg 90.5% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Byron Donalds win at least 40% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · YES · general
18 shares · value $18 · avg 97.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · NO · general
14 shares · value $11 · avg 63.4% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · NO · general
10 shares · value $9 · avg 77.9% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · YES · general
30 shares · value $4 · avg 24.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? · YES · general
14 shares · value $3 · avg 28.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · YES · general
20 shares · value $2 · avg 7.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
100 shares · value $2 · avg 17.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
2026 Balance of Power: Other · YES · general
250 shares · value $1 · avg 0.4% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
100 shares · value $1 · avg 12.7% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · YES · general
180 shares · value $0 · avg 79.4% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
5052 shares · value $0 · avg 36.3% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? · NO · general
2000 shares · value $0 · avg 12.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? · YES · general
810 shares · value $0 · avg 42.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
1400 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
1365 shares · value $0 · avg 58.5% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
1000 shares · value $0 · avg 0.2% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election? · YES · general
112 shares · value $0 · avg 3.8% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
10 shares · value $0 · avg 60.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · NO · general
100 shares · value $0 · avg 42.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09? · YES · general
100 shares · value $0 · avg 15.3% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will 50 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee? · YES · general
100 shares · value $0 · avg 20.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will two candidates other than the listed pairs be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
200 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will James Talarico and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
200 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Jasmine Crockett and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
200 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? · YES · general
209 shares · value $0 · avg 40.8% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
238 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
80 shares · value $0 · avg 61.8% · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 PM
Recent trades
413 @ 78.8% · notional $325 · 8/19/2026, 8:12:16 PM
200 @ 78.8% · notional $158 · 8/19/2026, 5:55:46 PM
5 @ 78.8% · notional $4 · 8/19/2026, 4:57:18 PM
1 @ 78.8% · notional $1 · 8/19/2026, 1:23:16 PM
236 @ 78.8% · notional $186 · 8/19/2026, 1:07:04 PM
1 @ 78.8% · notional $1 · 8/19/2026, 1:05:39 PM
26 @ 49.0% · notional $13 · 8/19/2026, 6:48:22 AM
700 @ 49.0% · notional $343 · 8/19/2026, 6:08:58 AM
700 @ 49.0% · notional $343 · 8/19/2026, 5:55:39 AM
1046 @ 49.0% · notional $513 · 8/19/2026, 3:38:04 AM
7 @ 73.0% · notional $5 · 8/19/2026, 2:16:31 AM
58 @ 73.0% · notional $42 · 8/19/2026, 2:03:55 AM
80 @ 73.0% · notional $58 · 8/19/2026, 1:46:46 AM
2 @ 73.0% · notional $1 · 8/19/2026, 1:30:21 AM
50 @ 49.0% · notional $25 · 8/19/2026, 1:10:22 AM
40 @ 49.0% · notional $19 · 8/19/2026, 1:06:51 AM
53 @ 73.0% · notional $39 · 8/19/2026, 12:54:55 AM
25 @ 90.0% · notional $23 · 8/19/2026, 12:07:37 AM
45 @ 90.0% · notional $41 · 8/19/2026, 12:04:24 AM
100 @ 17.0% · notional $17 · 8/18/2026, 11:57:27 PM
5 @ 90.0% · notional $5 · 8/18/2026, 11:51:40 PM
36 @ 88.0% · notional $31 · 8/18/2026, 11:40:43 PM
25 @ 90.0% · notional $23 · 8/18/2026, 11:39:43 PM
13 @ 90.0% · notional $12 · 8/18/2026, 11:38:48 PM
100 @ 15.3% · notional $15 · 8/18/2026, 11:37:37 PM
10 @ 90.0% · notional $9 · 8/18/2026, 11:29:18 PM
28 @ 90.0% · notional $26 · 8/18/2026, 11:29:09 PM
13 @ 22.0% · notional $3 · 8/18/2026, 11:29:04 PM
60 @ 84.0% · notional $50 · 8/18/2026, 11:17:58 PM
50 @ 99.8% · notional $50 · 8/18/2026, 11:14:49 PM
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · BUY YES
100 @ 81.0% · notional $81 · 8/18/2026, 11:14:31 PM
24 @ 22.0% · notional $5 · 8/18/2026, 11:09:51 PM
50 @ 22.0% · notional $11 · 8/18/2026, 11:09:46 PM
18 @ 97.0% · notional $18 · 8/18/2026, 11:09:22 PM
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · BUY YES
70 @ 78.0% · notional $55 · 8/18/2026, 11:08:21 PM
1135 @ 99.7% · notional $1,131 · 8/18/2026, 11:08:10 PM
50 @ 99.6% · notional $50 · 8/18/2026, 11:08:03 PM
33 @ 95.0% · notional $31 · 8/18/2026, 11:07:57 PM
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · BUY YES
9 @ 72.9% · notional $7 · 8/18/2026, 11:07:39 PM
69 @ 49.0% · notional $34 · 8/18/2026, 3:48:00 PM
1603 @ 49.0% · notional $785 · 8/18/2026, 3:08:01 PM
500 @ 49.0% · notional $245 · 8/18/2026, 2:50:30 AM
75 @ 49.0% · notional $37 · 8/17/2026, 10:36:51 PM
100 @ 49.0% · notional $49 · 8/17/2026, 10:35:07 PM
3000 @ 93.1% · notional $2,793 · 8/17/2026, 9:11:43 PM
2500 @ 77.0% · notional $1,925 · 8/17/2026, 7:26:34 PM
1000 @ 87.0% · notional $870 · 8/17/2026, 7:25:51 PM
2000 @ 83.0% · notional $1,660 · 8/17/2026, 7:19:58 PM
333 @ 15.0% · notional $50 · 8/17/2026, 7:09:55 PM
12 @ 15.0% · notional $2 · 8/17/2026, 7:01:52 PM
7 @ 15.0% · notional $1 · 8/17/2026, 7:01:16 PM
10 @ 15.0% · notional $2 · 8/17/2026, 6:59:58 PM
212 @ 49.0% · notional $104 · 8/17/2026, 6:47:34 PM
7 @ 15.0% · notional $1 · 8/17/2026, 6:44:22 PM
12 @ 15.0% · notional $2 · 8/17/2026, 5:59:37 PM
8 @ 15.0% · notional $1 · 8/17/2026, 5:56:06 PM
645 @ 78.9% · notional $509 · 8/17/2026, 5:55:58 PM
487 @ 15.0% · notional $73 · 8/17/2026, 5:55:36 PM
694 @ 49.0% · notional $340 · 8/17/2026, 5:54:03 PM
76 @ 49.7% · notional $38 · 8/17/2026, 5:52:45 PM
6403 @ 77.1% · notional $4,937 · 8/12/2026, 1:57:16 PM
2500 @ 93.0% · notional $2,325 · 5/9/2026, 3:40:59 AM
159 @ 95.7% · notional $152 · 5/4/2026, 8:00:54 PM
68 @ 95.7% · notional $65 · 5/4/2026, 7:28:54 PM
23 @ 95.7% · notional $22 · 5/4/2026, 6:49:30 PM
50 @ 95.7% · notional $48 · 5/4/2026, 6:39:08 PM
968 @ 96.9% · notional $938 · 5/4/2026, 5:59:08 PM
276 @ 95.7% · notional $264 · 5/4/2026, 5:57:12 PM
32 @ 96.9% · notional $31 · 5/4/2026, 5:55:54 PM
960 @ 67.0% · notional $643 · 5/4/2026, 5:52:52 PM
76 @ 67.0% · notional $51 · 5/4/2026, 5:52:16 PM
33 @ 67.0% · notional $22 · 5/4/2026, 5:50:10 PM
500 @ 67.0% · notional $335 · 5/4/2026, 5:49:22 PM
1431 @ 67.0% · notional $959 · 5/4/2026, 5:49:08 PM
23 @ 95.7% · notional $22 · 5/4/2026, 5:48:30 PM
40 @ 98.8% · notional $40 · 4/25/2026, 1:55:42 AM
3 @ 98.8% · notional $3 · 4/25/2026, 1:26:22 AM
3 @ 98.8% · notional $3 · 4/25/2026, 1:25:36 AM
20 @ 98.8% · notional $19 · 4/25/2026, 1:17:10 AM
16 @ 98.8% · notional $16 · 4/25/2026, 1:14:28 AM
7 @ 98.8% · notional $7 · 4/25/2026, 1:05:24 AM
8 @ 98.8% · notional $8 · 4/25/2026, 12:38:56 AM
20 @ 98.8% · notional $20 · 4/25/2026, 12:34:22 AM
4 @ 98.8% · notional $4 · 4/25/2026, 12:32:00 AM
1000 @ 99.1% · notional $991 · 4/25/2026, 12:23:38 AM
Starmer out by April 30, 2026? · BUY NO
283 @ 98.5% · notional $279 · 4/25/2026, 12:07:22 AM
Resolved history
No resolved history summary available yet.
No resolved positions found.