Trader
TradeDeficitArchitect
0x477f156a229f1a174fdf945c778b7362dd2b19aa
Quality
45
PnL
$193
Volume
$3,623
Win rate
42%
Last seen 10/17/2026, 3:12:42 PM
Leaderboard
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 32 · PnL $59,205 · Volume $915,629
POLITICS · DAY · PNL
Rank 50 · PnL $1,366 · Volume $0
POLITICS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 102 · PnL $6,506 · Volume $20,283
TECH · WEEK · PNL
Rank 181 · PnL $215 · Volume $3,623
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 259 · PnL $8,713 · Volume $73,895
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 381 · PnL $130,344 · Volume $6,146,295
OVERALL · DAY · PNL
Rank 744 · PnL $1,121 · Volume $0
OVERALL · WEEK · PNL
Rank 867 · PnL $6,091 · Volume $25,273
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 1039 · PnL $8,007 · Volume $332,858
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 1076 · PnL $1,614 · Volume $212,258
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 1092 · PnL $189,189 · Volume $8,861,910
CRYPTO · DAY · PNL
Rank 1510 · PnL $33 · Volume $0
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 1542 · PnL $8,835 · Volume $90,689
WEATHER · ALL · PNL
Rank 1693 · PnL $983 · Volume $104,410
CRYPTO · MONTH · PNL
Rank 1926 · PnL $730 · Volume $0
FINANCE · DAY · PNL
Rank 2070 · PnL $2 · Volume $0
WEATHER · WEEK · PNL
Rank 6381 · PnL $0 · Volume $0
TECH · DAY · PNL
Rank 8910 · PnL -$128 · Volume $7
WEATHER · MONTH · PNL
Rank 9411 · PnL $0 · Volume $0
Current positions
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics
50000 shares · value $46,150 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · NO · general
20000 shares · value $17,900 · avg 83.7% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · NO · general
13000 shares · value $12,473 · avg 82.8% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · NO · general
10000 shares · value $8,350 · avg 78.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
7106 shares · value $6,644 · avg 70.2% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · NO · general
7023 shares · value $6,566 · avg 68.4% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
6220 shares · value $5,925 · avg 91.2% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · NO · general
6384 shares · value $5,906 · avg 91.7% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Trump out as President before 2027? · NO · general
5000 shares · value $4,725 · avg 85.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
7468 shares · value $4,294 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
50000 shares · value $3,850 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
4538 shares · value $3,789 · avg 48.3% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
3734 shares · value $3,548 · avg 92.2% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · YES · general
4258 shares · value $2,640 · avg 67.3% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · NO · general
2500 shares · value $2,453 · avg 93.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · NO · general
2500 shares · value $2,384 · avg 91.8% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
4000 shares · value $2,380 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · NO · general
2000 shares · value $1,993 · avg 96.9% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics
2500 shares · value $1,949 · avg 77.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
1767 shares · value $1,687 · avg 80.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · YES · general
2000 shares · value $1,530 · avg 75.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
2000 shares · value $1,430 · avg 61.4% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
1645 shares · value $1,344 · avg 78.8% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
7361 shares · value $1,174 · avg 28.1% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
2000 shares · value $1,110 · avg 48.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
1140 shares · value $1,109 · avg 89.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
1173 shares · value $1,003 · avg 88.1% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · NO · general
930 shares · value $890 · avg 77.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
1000 shares · value $870 · avg 87.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
1000 shares · value $855 · avg 88.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · YES · general
866 shares · value $728 · avg 33.6% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
764 shares · value $715 · avg 61.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · NO · general
1000 shares · value $585 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
582 shares · value $542 · avg 80.3% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
521 shares · value $512 · avg 91.3% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · NO · general
414 shares · value $405 · avg 81.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
19163 shares · value $383 · avg 3.1% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · YES · general
450 shares · value $376 · avg 72.2% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
284 shares · value $237 · avg 63.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
303 shares · value $229 · avg 81.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
14476 shares · value $224 · avg 1.8% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? · NO · general
342 shares · value $217 · avg 51.4% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
162 shares · value $157 · avg 90.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · NO · general
238 shares · value $155 · avg 77.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? · YES · general
200 shares · value $143 · avg 73.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? · YES · general
186 shares · value $120 · avg 49.9% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
20421 shares · value $102 · avg 0.9% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · NO · general
100 shares · value $100 · avg 52.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
100 shares · value $93 · avg 87.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · YES · general
212 shares · value $93 · avg 49.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
88 shares · value $82 · avg 90.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · YES · general
81 shares · value $74 · avg 67.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
100 shares · value $72 · avg 75.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · NO · general
82 shares · value $70 · avg 58.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · YES · general
80 shares · value $70 · avg 69.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
664 shares · value $70 · avg 14.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
100 shares · value $70 · avg 47.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? · NO · general
64 shares · value $61 · avg 91.5% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
62 shares · value $58 · avg 90.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · NO · general
95 shares · value $56 · avg 43.6% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? · YES · general
224 shares · value $39 · avg 14.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · YES · politics
1868 shares · value $37 · avg 4.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
30 shares · value $30 · avg 90.5% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · NO · general
14 shares · value $12 · avg 63.4% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · NO · general
10 shares · value $9 · avg 77.9% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · YES · general
30 shares · value $3 · avg 24.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? · YES · general
6 shares · value $1 · avg 15.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
100 shares · value $1 · avg 12.7% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? · YES · general
14 shares · value $1 · avg 28.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
2026 Balance of Power: Other · YES · general
250 shares · value $1 · avg 0.4% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
1400 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election? · YES · general
112 shares · value $0 · avg 3.8% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? · NO · general
2000 shares · value $0 · avg 12.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
1000 shares · value $0 · avg 0.2% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
5052 shares · value $0 · avg 36.3% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
80 shares · value $0 · avg 61.8% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will two candidates other than the listed pairs be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
200 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · NO · general
100 shares · value $0 · avg 42.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will James Talarico and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
200 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Jasmine Crockett and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
200 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? · YES · general
209 shares · value $0 · avg 40.8% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
1365 shares · value $0 · avg 58.5% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · YES · general
20 shares · value $0 · avg 7.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
238 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? · YES · general
810 shares · value $0 · avg 42.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
10 shares · value $0 · avg 60.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · NO · general
66 shares · value $0 · avg 34.8% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09? · YES · general
100 shares · value $0 · avg 15.3% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Will 50 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee? · YES · general
100 shares · value $0 · avg 20.0% · 9/18/2026, 1:25:16 AM
Recent trades
6 @ 43.0% · notional $3 · 9/17/2026, 2:08:37 PM
33 @ 43.0% · notional $14 · 9/17/2026, 1:04:06 PM
56 @ 44.0% · notional $25 · 9/16/2026, 7:03:00 PM
2 @ 75.0% · notional $1 · 9/12/2026, 7:16:30 AM
98 @ 75.0% · notional $74 · 9/12/2026, 7:16:28 AM
10 @ 50.0% · notional $5 · 9/10/2026, 9:11:58 PM
5 @ 50.0% · notional $3 · 9/9/2026, 11:01:12 PM
5 @ 50.0% · notional $3 · 9/9/2026, 10:12:03 PM
15 @ 50.0% · notional $8 · 9/9/2026, 10:10:09 PM
1050 @ 50.0% · notional $525 · 9/9/2026, 10:10:07 PM
99 @ 50.0% · notional $50 · 9/9/2026, 9:48:10 PM
20 @ 50.0% · notional $10 · 9/9/2026, 8:56:55 PM
20 @ 50.0% · notional $10 · 9/9/2026, 8:56:43 PM
119 @ 50.0% · notional $60 · 9/9/2026, 8:46:37 PM
77 @ 50.0% · notional $38 · 9/9/2026, 8:46:36 PM
22 @ 50.0% · notional $11 · 9/9/2026, 6:58:49 PM
5 @ 50.0% · notional $3 · 9/9/2026, 6:58:46 PM
2 @ 50.0% · notional $1 · 9/9/2026, 6:58:37 PM
10 @ 50.0% · notional $5 · 9/9/2026, 3:53:48 PM
2500 @ 50.0% · notional $1,250 · 9/9/2026, 3:52:33 PM
5 @ 50.0% · notional $3 · 9/9/2026, 3:52:22 PM
16 @ 50.0% · notional $8 · 9/9/2026, 3:35:24 PM
323 @ 50.0% · notional $162 · 9/9/2026, 3:30:28 PM
243 @ 50.0% · notional $122 · 9/9/2026, 3:30:21 PM
10 @ 50.0% · notional $5 · 9/9/2026, 1:15:37 PM
5 @ 50.0% · notional $3 · 9/9/2026, 2:51:01 AM
2382 @ 50.0% · notional $1,191 · 9/8/2026, 7:49:24 PM
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? · BUY YES
6 @ 15.0% · notional $1 · 9/4/2026, 7:50:27 PM
33 @ 50.0% · notional $16 · 9/4/2026, 2:26:01 PM
270 @ 50.0% · notional $135 · 9/4/2026, 2:22:39 PM
52 @ 50.0% · notional $26 · 9/4/2026, 2:20:43 PM
346 @ 50.0% · notional $173 · 9/4/2026, 2:12:25 PM
57 @ 50.0% · notional $29 · 9/4/2026, 2:02:52 PM
54 @ 50.0% · notional $27 · 9/4/2026, 1:57:12 PM
257 @ 50.0% · notional $129 · 9/4/2026, 1:53:40 PM
2 @ 50.0% · notional $1 · 9/4/2026, 9:01:51 AM
4 @ 50.0% · notional $2 · 9/4/2026, 9:01:36 AM
3 @ 50.0% · notional $1 · 9/4/2026, 3:03:15 AM
1000 @ 50.0% · notional $500 · 9/4/2026, 12:50:33 AM
20 @ 50.0% · notional $10 · 9/3/2026, 1:48:13 PM
1903 @ 50.0% · notional $951 · 9/3/2026, 12:57:27 PM
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? · BUY YES
224 @ 14.0% · notional $31 · 9/2/2026, 7:26:06 PM
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? · BUY NO
64 @ 91.5% · notional $59 · 9/2/2026, 7:25:57 PM
1000 @ 50.0% · notional $500 · 8/30/2026, 3:22:01 PM
8470 @ 89.3% · notional $7,564 · 8/27/2026, 8:02:03 AM
10434 @ 15.0% · notional $1,565 · 8/26/2026, 9:14:48 PM
1000 @ 88.0% · notional $880 · 8/25/2026, 11:15:06 PM
1000 @ 88.0% · notional $880 · 8/25/2026, 11:14:55 PM
3 @ 80.0% · notional $2 · 8/25/2026, 9:08:46 PM
1700 @ 91.0% · notional $1,547 · 8/25/2026, 12:09:40 PM
173 @ 89.0% · notional $154 · 8/24/2026, 5:57:42 PM
43 @ 34.9% · notional $15 · 8/24/2026, 5:11:15 PM
15 @ 34.6% · notional $5 · 8/24/2026, 4:40:39 PM
8 @ 34.6% · notional $3 · 8/24/2026, 4:30:22 PM
300 @ 81.0% · notional $243 · 8/24/2026, 3:51:04 PM
4622 @ 92.0% · notional $4,252 · 8/24/2026, 3:42:48 PM
144 @ 78.8% · notional $113 · 8/22/2026, 1:53:21 PM
413 @ 78.8% · notional $325 · 8/19/2026, 8:12:16 PM
200 @ 78.8% · notional $158 · 8/19/2026, 5:55:46 PM
5 @ 78.8% · notional $4 · 8/19/2026, 4:57:18 PM
1 @ 78.8% · notional $1 · 8/19/2026, 1:23:16 PM
236 @ 78.8% · notional $186 · 8/19/2026, 1:07:04 PM
1 @ 78.8% · notional $1 · 8/19/2026, 1:05:39 PM
26 @ 49.0% · notional $13 · 8/19/2026, 6:48:22 AM
700 @ 49.0% · notional $343 · 8/19/2026, 6:08:58 AM
700 @ 49.0% · notional $343 · 8/19/2026, 5:55:39 AM
1046 @ 49.0% · notional $513 · 8/19/2026, 3:38:04 AM
7 @ 73.0% · notional $5 · 8/19/2026, 2:16:31 AM
58 @ 73.0% · notional $42 · 8/19/2026, 2:03:55 AM
80 @ 73.0% · notional $58 · 8/19/2026, 1:46:46 AM
2 @ 73.0% · notional $1 · 8/19/2026, 1:30:21 AM
50 @ 49.0% · notional $25 · 8/19/2026, 1:10:22 AM
40 @ 49.0% · notional $19 · 8/19/2026, 1:06:51 AM
53 @ 73.0% · notional $39 · 8/19/2026, 12:54:55 AM
25 @ 90.0% · notional $23 · 8/19/2026, 12:07:37 AM
45 @ 90.0% · notional $41 · 8/19/2026, 12:04:24 AM
100 @ 17.0% · notional $17 · 8/18/2026, 11:57:27 PM
5 @ 90.0% · notional $5 · 8/18/2026, 11:51:40 PM
36 @ 88.0% · notional $31 · 8/18/2026, 11:40:43 PM
25 @ 90.0% · notional $23 · 8/18/2026, 11:39:43 PM
13 @ 90.0% · notional $12 · 8/18/2026, 11:38:48 PM
100 @ 15.3% · notional $15 · 8/18/2026, 11:37:37 PM
10 @ 90.0% · notional $9 · 8/18/2026, 11:29:18 PM
28 @ 90.0% · notional $26 · 8/18/2026, 11:29:09 PM
13 @ 22.0% · notional $3 · 8/18/2026, 11:29:04 PM
60 @ 84.0% · notional $50 · 8/18/2026, 11:17:58 PM
50 @ 99.8% · notional $50 · 8/18/2026, 11:14:49 PM
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · BUY YES
100 @ 81.0% · notional $81 · 8/18/2026, 11:14:31 PM
24 @ 22.0% · notional $5 · 8/18/2026, 11:09:51 PM
50 @ 22.0% · notional $11 · 8/18/2026, 11:09:46 PM
18 @ 97.0% · notional $18 · 8/18/2026, 11:09:22 PM
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · BUY YES
70 @ 78.0% · notional $55 · 8/18/2026, 11:08:21 PM
1135 @ 99.7% · notional $1,131 · 8/18/2026, 11:08:10 PM
50 @ 99.6% · notional $50 · 8/18/2026, 11:08:03 PM
33 @ 95.0% · notional $31 · 8/18/2026, 11:07:57 PM
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · BUY YES
9 @ 72.9% · notional $7 · 8/18/2026, 11:07:39 PM
69 @ 49.0% · notional $34 · 8/18/2026, 3:48:00 PM
1603 @ 49.0% · notional $785 · 8/18/2026, 3:08:01 PM
500 @ 49.0% · notional $245 · 8/18/2026, 2:50:30 AM
75 @ 49.0% · notional $37 · 8/17/2026, 10:36:51 PM
Resolved history
No resolved history summary available yet.
No resolved positions found.