Trader
TradeDeficitArchitect
0x477f156a229f1a174fdf945c778b7362dd2b19aa
Quality
45
PnL
$70
Volume
$0
Win rate
42%
Last seen 6/28/2026, 4:07:24 PM
Leaderboard
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 32 · PnL $59,117 · Volume $915,629
CULTURE · DAY · PNL
Rank 184 · PnL $132 · Volume $0
CULTURE · MONTH · PNL
Rank 320 · PnL $929 · Volume $0
CULTURE · WEEK · PNL
Rank 333 · PnL $244 · Volume $0
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 382 · PnL $130,647 · Volume $5,954,715
POLITICS · DAY · PNL
Rank 758 · PnL $57 · Volume $0
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 863 · PnL $9,097 · Volume $329,082
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 883 · PnL $3,550 · Volume $16,761
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 923 · PnL $1,621 · Volume $197,679
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 997 · PnL $189,058 · Volume $8,651,175
WEATHER · ALL · PNL
Rank 1442 · PnL $1,028 · Volume $104,410
CRYPTO · DAY · PNL
Rank 1628 · PnL $70 · Volume $0
OVERALL · DAY · PNL
Rank 3720 · PnL $259 · Volume $0
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 6005 · PnL $2,300 · Volume $18,528
Current positions
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · NO · general
20000 shares · value $16,298 · avg 83.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
14513 shares · value $14,426 · avg 84.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · NO · general
13000 shares · value $11,895 · avg 82.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics
13000 shares · value $11,317 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Netanyahu out by June 30? · NO · general
8000 shares · value $7,988 · avg 93.6% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics
8470 shares · value $7,530 · avg 87.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · NO · general
8000 shares · value $6,840 · avg 76.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · NO · general
6830 shares · value $6,827 · avg 74.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · NO · general
7023 shares · value $6,356 · avg 68.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
6403 shares · value $5,030 · avg 83.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Trump out as President before 2027? · NO · general
5000 shares · value $4,525 · avg 85.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
4854 shares · value $4,461 · avg 91.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
7470 shares · value $4,220 · avg 69.1% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
7106 shares · value $4,086 · avg 70.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? · NO · general
3927 shares · value $3,925 · avg 88.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
3047 shares · value $3,031 · avg 78.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · YES · general
4258 shares · value $2,576 · avg 67.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · NO · general
2525 shares · value $2,524 · avg 96.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
26606 shares · value $2,514 · avg 4.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · NO · general
2500 shares · value $2,356 · avg 91.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · NO · general
2500 shares · value $2,313 · avg 93.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · YES · politics
6000 shares · value $2,265 · avg 47.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · NO · general
1807 shares · value $1,806 · avg 71.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
1792 shares · value $1,783 · avg 85.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
13000 shares · value $1,684 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
2582 shares · value $1,594 · avg 64.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
7361 shares · value $1,520 · avg 28.1% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
1767 shares · value $1,475 · avg 80.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Trump out as President by June 30? · NO · general
1368 shares · value $1,366 · avg 98.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
2000 shares · value $1,310 · avg 61.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
20994 shares · value $1,228 · avg 1.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · YES · general
2000 shares · value $1,170 · avg 75.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · NO · general
1140 shares · value $1,072 · avg 89.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
4538 shares · value $998 · avg 48.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · NO · general
930 shares · value $898 · avg 77.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
2000 shares · value $870 · avg 48.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
5052 shares · value $834 · avg 37.6% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · YES · general
866 shares · value $731 · avg 33.6% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? · NO · general
600 shares · value $599 · avg 95.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
764 shares · value $546 · avg 61.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · NO · general
414 shares · value $399 · avg 81.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · NO · general
673 shares · value $390 · avg 69.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
425 shares · value $372 · avg 86.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
14476 shares · value $368 · avg 1.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · YES · general
450 shares · value $345 · avg 72.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
19163 shares · value $316 · avg 3.1% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · NO · general
229 shares · value $229 · avg 48.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
284 shares · value $224 · avg 63.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
222 shares · value $222 · avg 89.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
220 shares · value $201 · avg 90.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
240 shares · value $195 · avg 78.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
20421 shares · value $194 · avg 0.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
220 shares · value $181 · avg 63.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? · NO · general
342 shares · value $178 · avg 51.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · NO · general
238 shares · value $173 · avg 77.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
156 shares · value $154 · avg 99.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
162 shares · value $150 · avg 90.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
664 shares · value $116 · avg 14.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
116 shares · value $111 · avg 82.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
238 shares · value $106 · avg 11.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · NO · general
100 shares · value $97 · avg 52.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
100 shares · value $93 · avg 87.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
100 shares · value $90 · avg 78.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? · NO · general
70 shares · value $69 · avg 66.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · YES · general
81 shares · value $68 · avg 67.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
100 shares · value $67 · avg 47.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · YES · general
80 shares · value $62 · avg 69.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
62 shares · value $58 · avg 90.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? · YES · general
110 shares · value $56 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · NO · general
82 shares · value $50 · avg 58.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · YES · politics
1868 shares · value $36 · avg 4.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? · NO · general
30 shares · value $27 · avg 90.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · NO · general
14 shares · value $9 · avg 63.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · NO · general
10 shares · value $8 · avg 77.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
6 shares · value $6 · avg 83.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · YES · general
30 shares · value $5 · avg 24.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · YES · general
20 shares · value $3 · avg 7.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
2026 Balance of Power: Other · YES · general
250 shares · value $2 · avg 0.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? · YES · general
14 shares · value $1 · avg 28.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
100 shares · value $1 · avg 12.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
80 shares · value $0 · avg 61.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Jasmine Crockett and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
200 shares · value $0 · avg -0.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? · YES · general
209 shares · value $0 · avg 40.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · NO · general
100 shares · value $0 · avg 42.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
1365 shares · value $0 · avg 58.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
1000 shares · value $0 · avg 0.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? · YES · general
810 shares · value $0 · avg 42.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
10 shares · value $0 · avg 60.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? · NO · general
2000 shares · value $0 · avg 12.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will 50 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee? · YES · general
100 shares · value $0 · avg 20.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election? · YES · general
112 shares · value $0 · avg 3.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will two candidates other than the listed pairs be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
200 shares · value $0 · avg -0.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Will James Talarico and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · YES · general
200 shares · value $0 · avg -0.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:43:44 PM
Recent trades
2500 @ 93.0% · notional $2,325 · 5/9/2026, 3:40:59 AM
159 @ 95.7% · notional $152 · 5/4/2026, 8:00:54 PM
68 @ 95.7% · notional $65 · 5/4/2026, 7:28:54 PM
23 @ 95.7% · notional $22 · 5/4/2026, 6:49:30 PM
50 @ 95.7% · notional $48 · 5/4/2026, 6:39:08 PM
968 @ 96.9% · notional $938 · 5/4/2026, 5:59:08 PM
276 @ 95.7% · notional $264 · 5/4/2026, 5:57:12 PM
32 @ 96.9% · notional $31 · 5/4/2026, 5:55:54 PM
960 @ 67.0% · notional $643 · 5/4/2026, 5:52:52 PM
76 @ 67.0% · notional $51 · 5/4/2026, 5:52:16 PM
33 @ 67.0% · notional $22 · 5/4/2026, 5:50:10 PM
500 @ 67.0% · notional $335 · 5/4/2026, 5:49:22 PM
1431 @ 67.0% · notional $959 · 5/4/2026, 5:49:08 PM
23 @ 95.7% · notional $22 · 5/4/2026, 5:48:30 PM
40 @ 98.8% · notional $40 · 4/25/2026, 1:55:42 AM
3 @ 98.8% · notional $3 · 4/25/2026, 1:26:22 AM
3 @ 98.8% · notional $3 · 4/25/2026, 1:25:36 AM
20 @ 98.8% · notional $19 · 4/25/2026, 1:17:10 AM
16 @ 98.8% · notional $16 · 4/25/2026, 1:14:28 AM
7 @ 98.8% · notional $7 · 4/25/2026, 1:05:24 AM
8 @ 98.8% · notional $8 · 4/25/2026, 12:38:56 AM
20 @ 98.8% · notional $20 · 4/25/2026, 12:34:22 AM
4 @ 98.8% · notional $4 · 4/25/2026, 12:32:00 AM
1000 @ 99.1% · notional $991 · 4/25/2026, 12:23:38 AM
Starmer out by April 30, 2026? · BUY NO
283 @ 98.5% · notional $279 · 4/25/2026, 12:07:22 AM
Resolved history
No resolved history summary available yet.
No resolved positions found.