Trader
risk-manager
0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd
Quality
45
PnL
$98
Volume
$0
Win rate
42%
Last seen 6/28/2026, 4:12:20 PM
Leaderboard
POLITICS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 126 · PnL $3,175 · Volume $9,793
FINANCE · MONTH · PNL
Rank 149 · PnL $3,535 · Volume $80,380
FINANCE · DAY · PNL
Rank 166 · PnL $110 · Volume $0
POLITICS · DAY · PNL
Rank 176 · PnL $362 · Volume $9,793
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 258 · PnL $30,284 · Volume $13,211,257
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 340 · PnL $147,406 · Volume $187,533,161
CULTURE · WEEK · PNL
Rank 447 · PnL $160 · Volume $1,511
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 710 · PnL $261,110 · Volume $679,241,525
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 923 · PnL $5,533 · Volume $841,005
FINANCE · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1054 · PnL $98 · Volume $0
CULTURE · DAY · PNL
Rank 1061 · PnL $9 · Volume $1,730
SPORTS · ALL · PNL
Rank 1318 · PnL $42,316 · Volume $185,679,702
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 1758 · PnL $653 · Volume $95,650
OVERALL · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1811 · PnL $3,428 · Volume $70,109
OVERALL · DAY · PNL
Rank 2677 · PnL $414 · Volume $70,109
CRYPTO · ALL · PNL
Rank 3056 · PnL $14,713 · Volume $48,231,201
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 6996 · PnL $76 · Volume $2,677
Current positions
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · NO · general
30000 shares · value $29,925 · avg 92.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics
34969 shares · value $29,357 · avg 80.7% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
107333 shares · value $25,277 · avg 31.6% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Netanyahu out by June 30? · NO · general
17434 shares · value $17,303 · avg 95.6% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
1791861 shares · value $15,231 · avg 0.8% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · NO · general
14916 shares · value $13,201 · avg 83.7% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · NO · general
12550 shares · value $12,518 · avg 91.4% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? · NO · general
10500 shares · value $10,463 · avg 91.7% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · NO · culture
20491 shares · value $10,348 · avg 51.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? · NO · general
8500 shares · value $8,402 · avg 95.3% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
18380 shares · value $7,903 · avg 19.5% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · NO · general
7500 shares · value $6,000 · avg 79.2% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? · NO · general
6000 shares · value $5,889 · avg 92.8% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · NO · general
6000 shares · value $5,460 · avg 84.5% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30? · NO · general
5492 shares · value $5,358 · avg 88.7% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · YES · general
5000 shares · value $4,625 · avg 88.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · NO · general
4500 shares · value $3,532 · avg 75.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? · NO · general
3345 shares · value $3,317 · avg 90.8% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · YES · general
48916 shares · value $3,155 · avg 9.1% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · NO · general
3000 shares · value $2,987 · avg 98.7% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30? · NO · general
3039 shares · value $2,949 · avg 92.3% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
450000 shares · value $2,925 · avg 0.6% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
398456 shares · value $2,590 · avg 0.6% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Trump out as President before 2027? · YES · general
19158 shares · value $1,820 · avg 14.8% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · YES · general
15000 shares · value $1,425 · avg 15.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · NO · general
1500 shares · value $1,343 · avg 88.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · YES · general
524095 shares · value $1,310 · avg 0.2% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? · NO · general
1000 shares · value $992 · avg 94.3% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · NO · general
1574 shares · value $984 · avg 84.3% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? · YES · general
1092 shares · value $955 · avg 88.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? · NO · general
900 shares · value $849 · avg 73.5% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · YES · general
1000 shares · value $780 · avg 71.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30? · NO · general
758 shares · value $734 · avg 93.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · YES · general
4500 shares · value $653 · avg 20.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · NO · culture
1160 shares · value $574 · avg 49.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
462 shares · value $377 · avg 80.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · NO · general
1500 shares · value $352 · avg 23.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · YES · general
139918 shares · value $350 · avg 0.2% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
46072 shares · value $299 · avg 0.5% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
17968 shares · value $117 · avg 0.8% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
100 shares · value $99 · avg 93.1% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · NO · general
150 shares · value $80 · avg 80.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? · NO · general
79 shares · value $78 · avg 71.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
1500 shares · value $71 · avg 0.3% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · NO · general
150 shares · value $69 · avg 73.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Trump out as President before GTA VI? · NO · culture
103 shares · value $51 · avg 48.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
669 shares · value $40 · avg 15.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? · YES · general
2860 shares · value $27 · avg 0.6% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · YES · general
686 shares · value $15 · avg 0.6% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
883 shares · value $10 · avg 0.8% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · YES · general
2000 shares · value $9 · avg 42.7% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics
755 shares · value $5 · avg 0.6% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
51 shares · value $0 · avg 0.9% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Trump out as President by June 30? · YES · general
21 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
1000 shares · value $0 · avg 90.2% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
6500 shares · value $0 · avg 20.0% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? · YES · general
832344 shares · value $0 · avg 0.2% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · YES · general
18079 shares · value $0 · avg 0.2% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? · YES · general
1500 shares · value $0 · avg 6.5% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
157025 shares · value $0 · avg 19.7% · 6/20/2026, 4:05:39 AM
Recent trades
8 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 3:00:31 AM
9 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:59:37 AM
2 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:59:26 AM
714 @ 0.9% · notional $6 · 6/20/2026, 2:59:25 AM
24 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:54:32 AM
13 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:45:40 AM
23 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:45:35 AM
346 @ 0.2% · notional $1 · 6/20/2026, 2:40:40 AM
245 @ 0.8% · notional $2 · 6/20/2026, 2:40:17 AM
1000 @ 0.8% · notional $8 · 6/20/2026, 2:39:23 AM
4 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:29:47 AM
0 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:28:35 AM
2 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:28:14 AM
2 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:26:25 AM
364 @ 0.8% · notional $3 · 6/20/2026, 2:26:16 AM
2 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:24:31 AM
2 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:23:35 AM
260 @ 0.2% · notional $1 · 6/20/2026, 2:18:05 AM
18 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:17:13 AM
57 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:13:29 AM
14 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:11:52 AM
13 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:09:20 AM
0 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:07:53 AM
0 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:07:52 AM
0 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:07:50 AM
0 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:07:49 AM
0 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:07:47 AM
0 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:07:46 AM
0 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:07:44 AM
0 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:07:43 AM
0 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 2:07:41 AM
117 @ 0.9% · notional $1 · 6/20/2026, 2:07:40 AM
714 @ 0.8% · notional $6 · 6/20/2026, 1:30:56 AM
22 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 1:27:29 AM
8 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 1:18:35 AM
5 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 1:09:52 AM
11 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 12:40:46 AM
0 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 12:21:35 AM
22 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 12:21:10 AM
2 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 12:09:14 AM
34 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 12:07:34 AM
8 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/20/2026, 12:00:01 AM
0 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:59:02 PM
31 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:59:01 PM
22 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:50:58 PM
18 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:45:43 PM
117 @ 0.9% · notional $1 · 6/19/2026, 11:43:19 PM
0 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:43:17 PM
15 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:43:16 PM
21 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:42:19 PM
117 @ 0.9% · notional $1 · 6/19/2026, 11:29:28 PM
19 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:29:26 PM
12 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:28:25 PM
11 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:27:44 PM
2 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:24:38 PM
2 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:09:46 PM
9 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:07:08 PM
9 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:06:34 PM
1 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 11:01:25 PM
19 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 10:57:14 PM
17 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 10:55:43 PM
49 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 10:37:14 PM
24 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 10:35:50 PM
111 @ 0.9% · notional $1 · 6/19/2026, 10:29:20 PM
14 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 10:24:32 PM
10 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 10:24:16 PM
6 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 10:21:26 PM
1 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 10:20:50 PM
2 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 10:20:11 PM
Trump out as President before GTA VI? · SELL NO
5 @ 50.0% · notional $3 · 6/19/2026, 10:19:35 PM
11 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 10:17:55 PM
3 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 10:09:13 PM
0 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 9:42:44 PM
1 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 9:41:52 PM
0 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 9:19:11 PM
10 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 9:19:10 PM
33 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 9:14:16 PM
1 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 9:13:32 PM
0 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 9:11:43 PM
0 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 9:11:35 PM
2 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 9:00:35 PM
3 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 8:53:50 PM
6 @ 49.0% · notional $3 · 6/19/2026, 8:43:08 PM
6 @ 49.0% · notional $3 · 6/19/2026, 8:38:05 PM
2 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 8:27:23 PM
117 @ 0.9% · notional $1 · 6/19/2026, 8:23:04 PM
5 @ 49.0% · notional $3 · 6/19/2026, 8:17:50 PM
14 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 8:11:16 PM
29 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 8:10:38 PM
986 @ 0.3% · notional $3 · 6/19/2026, 8:00:22 PM
986 @ 0.2% · notional $2 · 6/19/2026, 8:00:02 PM
9 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 7:44:01 PM
2 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 7:39:04 PM
2 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 7:37:02 PM
27 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 7:29:25 PM
10 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 7:25:49 PM
5 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 6/19/2026, 7:24:26 PM
81 @ 0.8% · notional $1 · 6/19/2026, 7:15:04 PM
171 @ 0.9% · notional $2 · 6/19/2026, 7:12:41 PM
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? · SELL YES
779 @ 6.0% · notional $47 · 6/19/2026, 7:12:26 PM
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy 100% · Correct 1 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted 100% · Score 141.7
Netanyahu out by June 30? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $1,771 · 6/17/2026, 2:39:58 PM