Trader

AJSV

0xad5353afe30c2da57709e2704ef3ccdcf67eef24

Quality

PnL

$742

Volume

$875,249

Win rate

43%

Last seen 10/17/2026, 3:05:22 PM

Leaderboard

TECH · MONTH · PNL

Rank 12 · PnL $23,572 · Volume $893,601

TECH · WEEK · PNL

Rank 13 · PnL $5,874 · Volume $271,795

POLITICS · WEEK · PNL

Rank 16 · PnL $32,721 · Volume $1,595,774

POLITICS · MONTH · PNL

Rank 31 · PnL $67,490 · Volume $4,585,743

CULTURE · MONTH · PNL

Rank 34 · PnL $5,308 · Volume $682,080

OVERALL · MONTH · PNL

Rank 56 · PnL $228,190 · Volume $9,431,416

OVERALL · WEEK · PNL

Rank 80 · PnL $79,439 · Volume $3,334,546

FINANCE · WEEK · PNL

Rank 131 · PnL $1,179 · Volume $309,453

TECH · ALL · PNL

Rank 148 · PnL $12,332 · Volume $1,592,298

MENTIONS · MONTH · PNL

Rank 183 · PnL $113 · Volume $2,846

MENTIONS · DAY · PNL

Rank 214 · PnL $0 · Volume $0

MENTIONS · WEEK · PNL

Rank 323 · PnL $8 · Volume $698

SPORTS · WEEK · PNL

Rank 368 · PnL $6,549 · Volume $330,254

FINANCE · ALL · PNL

Rank 410 · PnL $12,416 · Volume $2,192,885

POLITICS · ALL · PNL

Rank 413 · PnL $120,992 · Volume $11,663,896

CRYPTO · MONTH · PNL

Rank 490 · PnL $4,338 · Volume $702,233

WEATHER · ALL · PNL

Rank 613 · PnL $3,603 · Volume $933,165

OVERALL · ALL · PNL

Rank 1071 · PnL $192,313 · Volume $27,439,327

CRYPTO · ALL · PNL

Rank 1118 · PnL $34,854 · Volume $2,943,956

MENTIONS · ALL · PNL

Rank 1641 · PnL $742 · Volume $875,249

TECH · DAY · PNL

Rank 8867 · PnL -$777 · Volume $7,999

Current positions

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31? · YES · general

1602 shares · value $521 · avg 36.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · YES · general

2085 shares · value $511 · avg 13.5% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Canza FDV above $50M one day after launch? · NO · general

1303 shares · value $436 · avg 27.2% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · YES · general

1961 shares · value $412 · avg 14.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year? · YES · general

1331 shares · value $399 · avg 21.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? · YES · general

1135 shares · value $375 · avg 26.6% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · YES · general

1973 shares · value $365 · avg 12.2% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election? · NO · general

1028 shares · value $360 · avg 31.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027? · NO · general

1042 shares · value $339 · avg 18.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? · NO · general

1923 shares · value $327 · avg 32.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? · NO · general

1273 shares · value $312 · avg 30.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? · YES · general

1564 shares · value $274 · avg 21.4% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2027? · NO · general

1262 shares · value $271 · avg 27.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Gordon Zhang win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · NO · general

1402 shares · value $266 · avg 37.2% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? · YES · general

1013 shares · value $258 · avg 27.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $4.25B? · NO · general

1767 shares · value $256 · avg 23.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? · NO · general

1955 shares · value $254 · avg 28.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? · YES · general

1057 shares · value $243 · avg 38.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 40%-45%? · YES · general

1244 shares · value $236 · avg 22.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats? · YES · general

1365 shares · value $232 · avg 17.5% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? · YES · general

953 shares · value $229 · avg 23.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tabasco Congress election? · NO · general

1061 shares · value $228 · avg 25.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? · YES · general

902 shares · value $225 · avg 24.2% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? · YES · general

1103 shares · value $221 · avg 27.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027? · YES · general

1015 shares · value $218 · avg 22.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? · YES · general

1903 shares · value $209 · avg 14.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · NO · general

970 shares · value $209 · avg 34.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will NextEra Energy (NEE) Q3 operating revenue be above $7.5B? · NO · general

1100 shares · value $204 · avg 25.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine? · YES · general

1437 shares · value $201 · avg 19.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Shooters, Fishers, Farmers win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election? · YES · general

915 shares · value $201 · avg 10.6% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · YES · general

1957 shares · value $196 · avg 16.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026? · YES · general

1079 shares · value $195 · avg 22.5% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.36T? · NO · general

922 shares · value $194 · avg 29.6% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027? · YES · general

1753 shares · value $193 · avg 7.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Minnesota and New Hampshire? · YES · general

950 shares · value $192 · avg 17.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026? · YES · general

1266 shares · value $190 · avg 22.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · NO · general

1145 shares · value $183 · avg 30.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election? · NO · general

1589 shares · value $183 · avg 14.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · YES · general

1015 shares · value $183 · avg 20.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? · YES · general

1903 shares · value $181 · avg 10.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? · NO · general

1372 shares · value $179 · avg 23.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Israel military action against Lebanon on October 17? · NO · general

1284 shares · value $178 · avg 20.1% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2026? · YES · general

1411 shares · value $176 · avg 24.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.1B? · NO · general

947 shares · value $170 · avg 24.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 82% to 83%? · YES · general

1361 shares · value $156 · avg 19.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 35%-40%? · YES · general

958 shares · value $153 · avg 6.4% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Israel military action against Lebanon on October 24? · NO · general

933 shares · value $149 · avg 21.1% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election? · YES · general

1014 shares · value $147 · avg 19.1% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election? · YES · general

1084 shares · value $146 · avg 20.6% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · YES · general

1270 shares · value $146 · avg 20.2% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · YES · general

1514 shares · value $144 · avg 12.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027? · YES · general

1137 shares · value $136 · avg 20.4% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Solana reach $130 in October? · YES · general

1361 shares · value $129 · avg 16.2% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election? · NO · general

987 shares · value $128 · avg 38.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · YES · general

942 shares · value $127 · avg 9.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? · YES · general

1099 shares · value $121 · avg 14.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · YES · general

1820 shares · value $119 · avg 6.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30? · YES · general

945 shares · value $118 · avg 19.1% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor <82%? · YES · general

1266 shares · value $110 · avg 16.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026? · YES · general

1036 shares · value $109 · avg 12.5% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31? · NO · general

999 shares · value $100 · avg 30.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election? · YES · general

995 shares · value $100 · avg 16.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election? · YES · general

948 shares · value $100 · avg 18.1% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31? · NO · general

1075 shares · value $97 · avg 28.2% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will XRP reach $1.60 in October? · YES · general

1006 shares · value $96 · avg 35.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · YES · general

1174 shares · value $95 · avg 7.5% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · YES · general

970 shares · value $92 · avg 9.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa? · YES · general

1380 shares · value $91 · avg 14.2% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové? · NO · general

1395 shares · value $91 · avg 15.1% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will XRP reach $1.80 in October? · YES · general

1979 shares · value $89 · avg 11.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? · YES · general

991 shares · value $84 · avg 8.1% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · YES · general

1404 shares · value $77 · avg 17.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections? · YES · general

1282 shares · value $76 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? · YES · general

1144 shares · value $74 · avg 10.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election? · YES · general

1387 shares · value $69 · avg 11.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Claude go down 11-13 times in October? · YES · general

1056 shares · value $69 · avg 19.6% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Solana reach $140 in October? · YES · general

1903 shares · value $67 · avg 9.2% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · NO · general

1192 shares · value $66 · avg 9.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat? · NO · general

1353 shares · value $64 · avg 4.5% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · YES · general

1681 shares · value $63 · avg 7.2% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · YES · general

951 shares · value $62 · avg 9.5% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% by June 30, 2027? · YES · general

1030 shares · value $62 · avg 16.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? · YES · general

1518 shares · value $61 · avg 7.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will South Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026? · YES · general

976 shares · value $59 · avg 10.4% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026? · NO · general

945 shares · value $57 · avg 16.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Abstract launch a token by June 30, 2027? · YES · general

1226 shares · value $56 · avg 5.1% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Azerbaijan? · YES · general

1768 shares · value $50 · avg 0.6% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? · YES · general

1243 shares · value $49 · avg 4.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · YES · general

1446 shares · value $45 · avg 2.4% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? · YES · general

971 shares · value $43 · avg 10.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Democrats win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election? · NO · general

1152 shares · value $43 · avg 10.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Legalise Cannabis win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election? · YES · general

943 shares · value $42 · avg 10.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will XRP reach $2.20 in October? · YES · general

1378 shares · value $42 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028? · YES · general

1184 shares · value $41 · avg 3.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the Republican Party win the CA-30 House seat? · YES · general

1356 shares · value $41 · avg 3.5% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · YES · general

909 shares · value $41 · avg 5.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-17 House seat? · NO · general

1190 shares · value $39 · avg 6.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in another country? · YES · general

1297 shares · value $38 · avg 1.1% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · YES · general

1898 shares · value $37 · avg 1.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Will the Republican Party win the CA-46 House seat? · YES · general

955 shares · value $37 · avg 4.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:41:18 PM

Recent trades

Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? · BUY YES

20 @ 18.0% · notional $4 · 10/16/2026, 10:01:38 PM

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · BUY YES

100 @ 28.1% · notional $28 · 10/16/2026, 4:00:16 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · BUY YES

37 @ 0.5% · notional $0 · 10/16/2026, 3:54:51 PM

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · BUY YES

100 @ 63.0% · notional $63 · 10/16/2026, 6:38:48 AM

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 29, 2026? · BUY NO

20 @ 10.0% · notional $2 · 10/16/2026, 6:37:40 AM

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · BUY NO

9 @ 84.0% · notional $7 · 10/16/2026, 6:33:00 AM

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · BUY NO

12 @ 71.2% · notional $9 · 10/16/2026, 6:32:40 AM

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · BUY YES

66 @ 47.7% · notional $31 · 10/16/2026, 6:29:36 AM

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · BUY YES

5 @ 47.8% · notional $2 · 10/16/2026, 5:51:46 AM

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · BUY YES

7 @ 47.8% · notional $3 · 10/16/2026, 5:44:16 AM

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · BUY YES

23 @ 5.8% · notional $1 · 10/15/2026, 6:35:38 PM

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15? · BUY NO

5 @ 45.0% · notional $2 · 10/15/2026, 6:32:56 PM

US strike on Colombia by December 31? · BUY YES

135 @ 26.0% · notional $35 · 10/15/2026, 6:30:19 PM

Will Daniel Craig be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · BUY YES

73 @ 2.8% · notional $2 · 10/15/2026, 5:26:25 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY NO

100 @ 24.0% · notional $24 · 10/15/2026, 4:53:08 PM

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · BUY YES

8 @ 63.6% · notional $5 · 10/15/2026, 4:06:16 PM

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · BUY YES

5 @ 63.6% · notional $3 · 10/15/2026, 4:05:58 PM

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? · BUY YES

100 @ 31.0% · notional $31 · 10/15/2026, 4:03:37 PM

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? · BUY YES

100 @ 30.0% · notional $30 · 10/15/2026, 4:03:32 PM

Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · BUY NO

100 @ 31.0% · notional $31 · 10/15/2026, 4:03:25 PM

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · BUY YES

5 @ 63.6% · notional $3 · 10/15/2026, 4:02:40 PM

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · BUY NO

10 @ 36.0% · notional $4 · 10/15/2026, 3:58:28 PM

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · BUY NO

10 @ 36.0% · notional $4 · 10/15/2026, 3:58:20 PM

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · BUY NO

10 @ 36.0% · notional $4 · 10/15/2026, 3:58:17 PM

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? · BUY NO

5 @ 67.0% · notional $3 · 10/15/2026, 3:55:55 PM

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? · BUY NO

5 @ 67.0% · notional $3 · 10/15/2026, 3:55:46 PM

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · BUY YES

200 @ 21.5% · notional $43 · 10/15/2026, 3:54:04 PM

US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · BUY YES

9 @ 32.0% · notional $3 · 10/15/2026, 3:53:50 PM

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027? · BUY YES

85 @ 85.0% · notional $72 · 10/15/2026, 3:52:55 PM

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY NO

40 @ 83.0% · notional $33 · 10/15/2026, 7:18:43 AM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? · BUY NO

100 @ 41.0% · notional $41 · 10/15/2026, 7:18:05 AM

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · BUY NO

100 @ 29.6% · notional $30 · 10/15/2026, 7:17:28 AM

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · BUY NO

10 @ 29.6% · notional $3 · 10/15/2026, 7:17:05 AM

Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? · BUY NO

30 @ 2.1% · notional $1 · 10/15/2026, 7:15:16 AM

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · BUY YES

52 @ 48.0% · notional $25 · 10/15/2026, 12:57:50 AM

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · BUY YES

0 @ 48.0% · notional $0 · 10/15/2026, 12:57:11 AM

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · BUY YES

87 @ 48.2% · notional $42 · 10/15/2026, 12:50:13 AM

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · BUY YES

86 @ 48.8% · notional $42 · 10/14/2026, 10:40:13 PM

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY YES

5 @ 63.0% · notional $3 · 10/14/2026, 10:40:07 PM

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY YES

7 @ 63.0% · notional $4 · 10/14/2026, 10:39:42 PM

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · BUY NO

93 @ 50.9% · notional $47 · 10/14/2026, 10:39:21 PM

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · BUY YES

8 @ 63.0% · notional $5 · 10/14/2026, 10:37:24 PM

Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be the next Israeli Minister of Interior? · BUY YES

20 @ 19.0% · notional $4 · 10/14/2026, 3:03:11 AM

Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat? · BUY NO

5 @ 3.6% · notional $0 · 10/13/2026, 10:51:48 PM

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · BUY YES

77 @ 39.0% · notional $30 · 10/13/2026, 10:44:45 PM

Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-07-25? · BUY NO

29 @ 38.0% · notional $11 · 10/13/2026, 11:52:04 AM

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · BUY NO

69 @ 53.6% · notional $37 · 10/13/2026, 11:50:02 AM

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · BUY NO

111 @ 87.0% · notional $97 · 10/13/2026, 11:49:34 AM

No one announced as next James Bond? · BUY NO

31 @ 75.8% · notional $24 · 10/13/2026, 11:47:14 AM

Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be the next Israeli Minister of Interior? · BUY YES

40 @ 20.0% · notional $8 · 10/13/2026, 11:45:26 AM

US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? · BUY YES

25 @ 98.5% · notional $25 · 10/13/2026, 11:44:25 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

87 @ 86.5% · notional $76 · 10/13/2026, 11:44:17 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY NO

150 @ 13.4% · notional $20 · 10/13/2026, 3:36:30 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? · BUY NO

20 @ 66.0% · notional $13 · 10/13/2026, 3:34:57 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

27 @ 87.2% · notional $23 · 10/13/2026, 3:31:14 AM

Will Puka Nacua have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · BUY NO

20 @ 25.0% · notional $5 · 10/13/2026, 3:31:00 AM

Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · BUY YES

92 @ 40.0% · notional $37 · 10/12/2026, 8:20:30 PM

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · BUY NO

13 @ 72.1% · notional $9 · 10/12/2026, 8:19:32 PM

Will Omarion Hampton have 949.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · BUY YES

115 @ 43.0% · notional $49 · 10/12/2026, 10:41:12 AM

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · BUY YES

18 @ 66.3% · notional $12 · 10/12/2026, 10:38:21 AM

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · BUY YES

7 @ 66.2% · notional $4 · 10/12/2026, 10:36:48 AM

Will the Golden State Warriors be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? · BUY YES

20 @ 2.1% · notional $0 · 10/12/2026, 10:33:08 AM

Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · BUY NO

200 @ 61.0% · notional $122 · 10/12/2026, 5:42:54 AM

Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · BUY NO

200 @ 61.0% · notional $122 · 10/12/2026, 5:42:47 AM

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · BUY YES

8 @ 65.0% · notional $5 · 10/12/2026, 5:42:05 AM

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · BUY NO

61 @ 96.6% · notional $59 · 10/12/2026, 5:26:30 AM

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · BUY NO

7 @ 48.4% · notional $3 · 10/10/2026, 6:40:33 AM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · BUY YES

56 @ 47.1% · notional $26 · 10/10/2026, 4:16:10 AM

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · SELL NO

32 @ 83.3% · notional $27 · 10/6/2026, 8:45:38 PM

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · BUY NO

155 @ 51.9% · notional $80 · 10/6/2026, 8:39:12 PM

Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? · BUY YES

3 @ 6.0% · notional $0 · 10/6/2026, 8:38:14 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · BUY NO

5 @ 87.0% · notional $4 · 10/6/2026, 8:35:32 PM

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · BUY NO

1 @ 26.0% · notional $0 · 10/6/2026, 8:35:30 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · BUY NO

14 @ 87.0% · notional $13 · 10/6/2026, 8:34:38 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · BUY NO

76 @ 88.0% · notional $67 · 10/6/2026, 8:34:05 PM

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · BUY YES

99 @ 60.2% · notional $59 · 10/6/2026, 8:33:05 PM

Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? · SELL NO

113 @ 51.0% · notional $58 · 10/6/2026, 8:32:42 PM

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · BUY NO

169 @ 35.0% · notional $59 · 10/6/2026, 8:32:27 PM

Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election? · BUY NO

45 @ 62.0% · notional $28 · 10/6/2026, 7:45:50 PM

Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? · SELL NO

8 @ 67.0% · notional $5 · 10/6/2026, 7:44:21 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · BUY YES

100 @ 60.0% · notional $60 · 10/6/2026, 7:44:18 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · BUY YES

20 @ 60.0% · notional $12 · 10/6/2026, 7:43:27 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · BUY NO

10 @ 87.0% · notional $9 · 10/6/2026, 7:41:48 PM

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · SELL NO

5 @ 94.0% · notional $5 · 10/6/2026, 7:41:42 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · BUY NO

8 @ 87.0% · notional $7 · 10/6/2026, 7:41:33 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · BUY NO

77 @ 87.0% · notional $67 · 10/6/2026, 7:41:26 PM

Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · BUY YES

20 @ 16.0% · notional $3 · 10/6/2026, 7:40:15 PM

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · SELL NO

0 @ 51.9% · notional $0 · 10/6/2026, 7:37:21 PM

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026? · BUY YES

5 @ 8.2% · notional $0 · 10/6/2026, 6:29:33 PM

Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · BUY NO

45 @ 71.0% · notional $32 · 10/6/2026, 6:23:51 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY NO

67 @ 15.4% · notional $10 · 10/6/2026, 6:20:03 PM

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · BUY NO

53 @ 92.6% · notional $49 · 10/6/2026, 6:15:53 PM

Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? · BUY YES

20 @ 79.0% · notional $16 · 10/6/2026, 1:19:54 PM

Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · BUY YES

2 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 10/6/2026, 8:29:04 AM

Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · BUY YES

2 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 10/6/2026, 8:26:45 AM

Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · BUY YES

2 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 10/6/2026, 8:26:18 AM

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · BUY NO

112 @ 50.0% · notional $56 · 10/6/2026, 8:25:43 AM

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027? · BUY YES

28 @ 2.4% · notional $1 · 10/6/2026, 8:24:42 AM

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · BUY NO

37 @ 13.0% · notional $5 · 10/6/2026, 8:21:16 AM

Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · BUY YES

8 @ 84.0% · notional $7 · 10/6/2026, 8:21:09 AM

Resolved history

No resolved history summary available yet.

No resolved positions found.