Trader
lava-lava
0x629bc4a1e53e1d475beb7ea3d388791e96dd995a
Quality
45
PnL
$445
Volume
$2,000
Win rate
42%
Last seen 6/28/2026, 4:04:31 PM
Leaderboard
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 38 · PnL $947,334 · Volume $37,206,624
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 53 · PnL $105,284 · Volume $1,678,722
POLITICS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 66 · PnL $6,156 · Volume $0
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 154 · PnL $977,658 · Volume $39,015,669
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 260 · PnL $105,368 · Volume $1,693,565
POLITICS · DAY · PNL
Rank 343 · PnL $159 · Volume $0
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 644 · PnL $8,060 · Volume $149,109
OVERALL · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1120 · PnL $6,098 · Volume $2,000
WEATHER · MONTH · PNL
Rank 1287 · PnL $112 · Volume $0
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 1483 · PnL $5,022 · Volume $474,335
SPORTS · DAY · PNL
Rank 1838 · PnL $445 · Volume $2,000
OVERALL · DAY · PNL
Rank 2053 · PnL $606 · Volume $2,000
WEATHER · ALL · PNL
Rank 2539 · PnL $453 · Volume $8,017
WEATHER · WEEK · PNL
Rank 3154 · PnL $4 · Volume $0
Current positions
327017 shares · value $325,872 · avg 86.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general
142786 shares · value $141,430 · avg 93.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
42940 shares · value $42,338 · avg 80.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
14327 shares · value $14,298 · avg 73.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · NO · general
14780 shares · value $12,489 · avg 79.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · NO · general
8017 shares · value $7,692 · avg 90.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
7469 shares · value $7,465 · avg 87.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · NO · general
6999 shares · value $5,844 · avg 76.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · NO · general
6013 shares · value $5,673 · avg 87.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · NO · politics
5111 shares · value $4,472 · avg 84.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · NO · general
7065 shares · value $4,274 · avg 60.6% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · NO · general
4444 shares · value $4,200 · avg 88.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · NO · general
3766 shares · value $3,559 · avg 90.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · YES · general
6000 shares · value $3,510 · avg 58.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
3483 shares · value $3,481 · avg 88.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · NO · general
3350 shares · value $3,031 · avg 64.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
2644 shares · value $2,609 · avg 88.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
3333 shares · value $2,483 · avg 71.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · YES · general
8329 shares · value $2,124 · avg 23.6% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election? · YES · general
2039 shares · value $2,008 · avg 65.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
2335 shares · value $1,857 · avg 78.1% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · NO · general
3346 shares · value $1,456 · avg 42.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
NATO article 5 before 2027? · NO · general
1551 shares · value $1,427 · avg 77.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · YES · general
3333 shares · value $1,295 · avg 12.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · NO · general
1000 shares · value $1,000 · avg 49.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
2222 shares · value $933 · avg 44.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? · NO · general
950 shares · value $851 · avg 83.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Blue wave in 2026? · YES · general
930 shares · value $674 · avg 57.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · YES · general
1276 shares · value $542 · avg 33.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · NO · general
587 shares · value $531 · avg 65.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? · YES · general
1000 shares · value $475 · avg 48.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · YES · general
1000 shares · value $445 · avg 46.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
441 shares · value $421 · avg 88.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
577 shares · value $332 · avg 58.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · NO · politics
343 shares · value $302 · avg 73.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
281 shares · value $159 · avg 42.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
157 shares · value $156 · avg 91.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
29390 shares · value $103 · avg 14.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians? · NO · general
83 shares · value $73 · avg 84.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Blue tsunami in 2026? · YES · general
157 shares · value $65 · avg 29.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
6638 shares · value $43 · avg 50.1% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
55 shares · value $31 · avg 52.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? · YES · general
425 shares · value $30 · avg 3.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? · YES · general
21 shares · value $16 · avg 67.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general
23354 shares · value $12 · avg 4.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
581 shares · value $8 · avg 13.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
10000 shares · value $5 · avg 0.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
7038 shares · value $4 · avg 2.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
3333 shares · value $2 · avg 11.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
2223 shares · value $1 · avg 34.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
2000 shares · value $1 · avg 7.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
266 shares · value $1 · avg 29.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
566 shares · value $0 · avg 6.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · YES · general
60 shares · value $0 · avg 16.1% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30? · NO · general
10 shares · value $0 · avg 13.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? · YES · general
3364 shares · value $0 · avg 13.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%? · YES · general
3623 shares · value $0 · avg 13.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
3655 shares · value $0 · avg 18.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
3333 shares · value $0 · avg 3.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? · NO · general
3714 shares · value $0 · avg 30.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? · YES · general
3731 shares · value $0 · avg 10.1% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · YES · general
3333 shares · value $0 · avg 1.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%? · YES · general
3749 shares · value $0 · avg 16.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
3333 shares · value $0 · avg 1.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
3189 shares · value $0 · avg 4.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · YES · general
3159 shares · value $0 · avg 26.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
3000 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will SPD get less than 7% of the vote in the Czech election? · YES · general
2952 shares · value $0 · avg 1.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will the Red Bloc win by 16 or more seats? · YES · general
2937 shares · value $0 · avg 18.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
2922 shares · value $0 · avg 24.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Jara win by 3-6%? · YES · general
2916 shares · value $0 · avg 49.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
2886 shares · value $0 · avg 23.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
2778 shares · value $0 · avg 1.6% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
2751 shares · value $0 · avg 27.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? · YES · general
3808 shares · value $0 · avg 58.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will José Antonio Kast come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? · YES · general
2585 shares · value $0 · avg 12.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
2506 shares · value $0 · avg 10.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
2429 shares · value $0 · avg 89.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? · NO · general
3852 shares · value $0 · avg 66.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will MDG win the fourth most seats in the Norway election? · YES · general
3892 shares · value $0 · avg 24.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%? · NO · general
4092 shares · value $0 · avg 20.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
4105 shares · value $0 · avg 27.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election? · YES · general
4193 shares · value $0 · avg 4.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
4539 shares · value $0 · avg 36.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
4804 shares · value $0 · avg 33.6% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
1111 shares · value $0 · avg 30.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? · YES · general
1111 shares · value $0 · avg 29.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
1111 shares · value $0 · avg 20.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
1111 shares · value $0 · avg 24.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election? · YES · general
1111 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
1111 shares · value $0 · avg 55.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · YES · general
1111 shares · value $0 · avg 59.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
1111 shares · value $0 · avg 5.6% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
1065 shares · value $0 · avg 63.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? · NO · general
1000 shares · value $0 · avg 44.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · YES · general
4878 shares · value $0 · avg 16.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%? · NO · general
5241 shares · value $0 · avg 41.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? · NO · general
1000 shares · value $0 · avg 16.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%? · YES · general
1000 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? · NO · general
1000 shares · value $0 · avg 18.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
Recent trades
1000 @ 59.0% · notional $590 · 6/25/2026, 9:04:26 PM
1583 @ 42.0% · notional $665 · 6/24/2026, 10:55:04 AM
28417 @ 42.0% · notional $11,935 · 6/24/2026, 10:54:56 AM
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · BUY NO
1000 @ 49.0% · notional $490 · 6/24/2026, 10:21:34 AM
1000 @ 16.0% · notional $160 · 6/22/2026, 8:04:01 AM
296 @ 97.3% · notional $288 · 6/21/2026, 10:16:34 PM
274 @ 97.3% · notional $266 · 6/21/2026, 10:16:13 PM
1639 @ 97.3% · notional $1,595 · 6/21/2026, 9:47:26 PM
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? · BUY NO
1000 @ 44.0% · notional $440 · 6/17/2026, 2:01:23 PM
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? · BUY YES
1000 @ 48.0% · notional $480 · 6/17/2026, 2:00:20 PM
437 @ 48.0% · notional $210 · 6/16/2026, 10:21:06 AM
470 @ 93.2% · notional $438 · 6/16/2026, 10:20:37 AM
20 @ 93.1% · notional $19 · 6/16/2026, 7:40:01 AM
5 @ 93.1% · notional $5 · 6/16/2026, 7:39:57 AM
241 @ 92.8% · notional $224 · 6/16/2026, 7:11:49 AM
70 @ 31.0% · notional $22 · 6/16/2026, 6:50:15 AM
21 @ 31.0% · notional $6 · 6/16/2026, 4:44:06 AM
30 @ 31.0% · notional $9 · 6/16/2026, 3:12:39 AM
10 @ 31.0% · notional $3 · 6/16/2026, 1:26:03 AM
22 @ 45.0% · notional $10 · 6/15/2026, 11:39:10 PM
176 @ 45.0% · notional $79 · 6/15/2026, 11:38:25 PM
34 @ 33.0% · notional $11 · 6/15/2026, 8:23:21 PM
15 @ 33.0% · notional $5 · 6/15/2026, 8:15:42 PM
21 @ 33.0% · notional $7 · 6/15/2026, 6:00:45 PM
40 @ 33.0% · notional $13 · 6/15/2026, 3:44:55 PM
21 @ 45.0% · notional $9 · 6/15/2026, 3:33:07 PM
14 @ 33.0% · notional $5 · 6/15/2026, 3:29:03 PM
20 @ 33.0% · notional $7 · 6/15/2026, 3:23:30 PM
372 @ 33.0% · notional $123 · 6/15/2026, 3:23:04 PM
8 @ 45.0% · notional $4 · 6/15/2026, 3:16:37 PM
20 @ 45.0% · notional $9 · 6/15/2026, 3:15:57 PM
19 @ 45.0% · notional $9 · 6/15/2026, 3:14:48 PM
21 @ 47.0% · notional $10 · 6/15/2026, 3:13:25 PM
74 @ 47.0% · notional $35 · 6/15/2026, 3:13:12 PM
20 @ 47.0% · notional $9 · 6/15/2026, 3:12:49 PM
20 @ 47.0% · notional $9 · 6/15/2026, 3:12:46 PM
976 @ 47.0% · notional $459 · 6/15/2026, 3:12:43 PM
7777 @ 96.0% · notional $7,466 · 6/11/2026, 11:09:42 PM
51 @ 85.0% · notional $43 · 6/11/2026, 4:22:16 PM
13 @ 85.0% · notional $11 · 6/11/2026, 3:55:25 PM
820 @ 85.0% · notional $697 · 6/11/2026, 3:35:45 PM
121 @ 85.0% · notional $103 · 6/11/2026, 3:15:13 PM
30 @ 85.0% · notional $26 · 6/11/2026, 2:57:33 PM
383 @ 85.0% · notional $326 · 6/11/2026, 2:29:57 PM
76 @ 85.0% · notional $64 · 6/11/2026, 2:15:49 PM
6 @ 85.0% · notional $5 · 6/11/2026, 2:07:01 PM
8 @ 85.0% · notional $7 · 6/11/2026, 2:01:40 PM
30 @ 85.0% · notional $26 · 6/11/2026, 2:01:00 PM
139 @ 85.0% · notional $118 · 6/11/2026, 1:56:43 PM
2 @ 85.0% · notional $1 · 6/11/2026, 1:51:27 PM
6 @ 82.0% · notional $5 · 6/11/2026, 8:14:12 AM
6 @ 82.0% · notional $5 · 6/11/2026, 8:05:27 AM
18 @ 82.0% · notional $15 · 6/11/2026, 7:56:36 AM
6 @ 82.0% · notional $5 · 6/11/2026, 7:44:31 AM
2 @ 82.0% · notional $1 · 6/11/2026, 7:25:24 AM
171 @ 82.0% · notional $140 · 6/11/2026, 7:22:25 AM
1 @ 81.0% · notional $1 · 6/11/2026, 6:53:07 AM
20 @ 81.0% · notional $16 · 6/11/2026, 6:49:37 AM
33 @ 81.0% · notional $27 · 6/11/2026, 6:45:48 AM
30 @ 81.0% · notional $24 · 6/11/2026, 6:43:54 AM
71 @ 81.0% · notional $57 · 6/11/2026, 6:43:07 AM
76 @ 81.0% · notional $62 · 6/11/2026, 6:42:43 AM
46 @ 81.0% · notional $38 · 6/11/2026, 6:41:42 AM
7 @ 81.0% · notional $6 · 6/11/2026, 6:34:13 AM
5 @ 81.0% · notional $4 · 6/11/2026, 6:34:12 AM
97 @ 81.0% · notional $79 · 6/11/2026, 6:15:01 AM
476 @ 81.0% · notional $386 · 6/11/2026, 5:39:54 AM
6 @ 81.0% · notional $5 · 6/11/2026, 5:35:36 AM
21 @ 81.0% · notional $17 · 6/11/2026, 5:34:30 AM
31 @ 81.0% · notional $25 · 6/11/2026, 5:30:42 AM
6 @ 81.0% · notional $5 · 6/11/2026, 5:27:43 AM
500 @ 81.0% · notional $405 · 6/11/2026, 5:27:27 AM
10000 @ 93.1% · notional $9,310 · 6/10/2026, 10:19:36 PM
18 @ 28.0% · notional $5 · 6/10/2026, 8:03:07 PM
30 @ 28.0% · notional $8 · 6/10/2026, 8:02:55 PM
23 @ 28.0% · notional $6 · 6/10/2026, 8:02:42 PM
2 @ 28.0% · notional $1 · 6/10/2026, 8:02:31 PM
5 @ 28.0% · notional $1 · 6/10/2026, 8:02:07 PM
1000 @ 94.1% · notional $941 · 6/10/2026, 8:01:55 PM
143 @ 28.0% · notional $40 · 6/10/2026, 8:00:15 PM
150 @ 28.0% · notional $42 · 6/10/2026, 8:00:01 PM
150 @ 28.0% · notional $42 · 6/10/2026, 7:59:49 PM
150 @ 28.0% · notional $42 · 6/10/2026, 7:59:37 PM
150 @ 28.0% · notional $42 · 6/10/2026, 7:59:25 PM
131 @ 28.0% · notional $37 · 6/10/2026, 7:59:15 PM
19 @ 28.0% · notional $5 · 6/10/2026, 7:58:49 PM
11 @ 28.0% · notional $3 · 6/10/2026, 7:58:36 PM
15 @ 28.0% · notional $4 · 6/10/2026, 7:58:24 PM
14 @ 28.0% · notional $4 · 6/10/2026, 7:58:12 PM
208 @ 28.0% · notional $58 · 6/10/2026, 7:58:07 PM
8 @ 73.0% · notional $6 · 6/10/2026, 7:45:19 PM
19 @ 73.0% · notional $14 · 6/10/2026, 7:42:03 PM
101 @ 73.0% · notional $74 · 6/10/2026, 7:40:52 PM
10 @ 28.0% · notional $3 · 6/10/2026, 7:39:25 PM
4 @ 73.0% · notional $3 · 6/10/2026, 7:38:42 PM
4 @ 73.0% · notional $3 · 6/10/2026, 7:38:40 PM
41 @ 73.0% · notional $30 · 6/10/2026, 7:38:39 PM
100 @ 28.0% · notional $28 · 6/10/2026, 7:36:51 PM
99 @ 28.0% · notional $28 · 6/10/2026, 7:36:39 PM
43 @ 28.0% · notional $12 · 6/10/2026, 7:35:21 PM
Resolved history
Source closed_positions_fallback · Accuracy n/a · Correct 0 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted n/a · Score 0.0
No resolved positions found.