Market

Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?

POLITICS

HOLD

Market 7% · Fair 4% · Edge -3.0 pts

0 tracked holders · YES exposure 0 · NO exposure 0

no tracked holders, positioning is mixed, 0 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 4% vs market 7%. NO offers 3.2% expected profit per dollar risked with 7.5% max profit if correct, or 15.7% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. No current top-trader position

Signal history
HOLD
10/17/2026, 10:32:10 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
10/17/2026, 10:30:10 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
BUY_NO
10/17/2026, 10:28:10 AM
Edge -5.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_NO
10/17/2026, 10:27:10 AM
Edge -5.4 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 6:53:11 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
10/17/2026, 6:51:12 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
10/17/2026, 6:49:12 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
BUY_NO
10/17/2026, 6:47:12 AM
Edge -5.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_NO
10/17/2026, 6:45:12 AM
Edge -5.4 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 5:23:11 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
Current positions
whig · NO · score 54
2000 contracts · value 1640 · avg 69.5% · 6/22/2026, 11:23:30 PM
lava-lava · NO · score 46
1003 contracts · value 933 · avg 75.0% · 10/17/2026, 10:25:12 AM
30 contracts · value 26 · avg 85.0% · 6/1/2026, 6:37:07 PM
Recent trades
lava-lava · BUY NO · score 46
523 @ 76.0% · notional 397 · 7/28/2026, 6:51:15 AM
lava-lava · BUY NO · score 46
6 @ 76.0% · notional 5 · 7/21/2026, 12:21:18 AM
lava-lava · BUY NO · score 46
132 @ 76.0% · notional 100 · 7/20/2026, 10:46:33 PM
30 @ 85.0% · notional 26 · 6/1/2026, 11:11:45 AM