Market

Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?

POLITICS

HOLD

Market 15% · Fair 12% · Edge -3.0 pts

0 tracked holders · YES exposure 0 · NO exposure 0

no tracked holders, positioning is mixed, 0 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 12% vs market 15%. NO offers 3.5% expected profit per dollar risked with 17.6% max profit if correct, or 7.0% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. No current top-trader position

Signal history
HOLD
6/30/2026, 7:50:50 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
6/30/2026, 7:49:50 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
6/30/2026, 7:48:50 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
6/30/2026, 7:47:50 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
6/30/2026, 7:46:50 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
6/30/2026, 7:45:50 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
6/30/2026, 7:44:50 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
6/30/2026, 7:43:50 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
6/30/2026, 7:42:50 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
6/30/2026, 7:41:50 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
Current positions
whig · NO · score 47
2000 contracts · value 1640 · avg 69.5% · 6/22/2026, 11:23:30 PM
lava-lava · NO · score 45
343 contracts · value 302 · avg 73.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:53:41 PM
30 contracts · value 26 · avg 85.0% · 6/1/2026, 6:37:07 PM
Recent trades
30 @ 85.0% · notional 26 · 6/1/2026, 11:11:45 AM