Market

Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?

POLITICS

HOLD

Market 10% · Fair 7% · Edge -3.0 pts

0 tracked holders · YES exposure 0 · NO exposure 0

no tracked holders, positioning is mixed, 0 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 7% vs market 10%. NO offers 3.3% expected profit per dollar risked with 11.1% max profit if correct, or 9.2% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. No current top-trader position

Signal history
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:46:11 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:45:11 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:44:11 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:43:11 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:42:12 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
BUY_NO
8/21/2026, 10:41:11 PM
Edge -5.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_NO
8/21/2026, 10:40:11 PM
Edge -5.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_NO
8/21/2026, 10:38:13 PM
Edge -5.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_NO
8/21/2026, 10:37:11 PM
Edge -5.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_NO
8/21/2026, 10:36:12 PM
Edge -5.4 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
whig · NO · score 48
2000 contracts · value 1640 · avg 69.5% · 6/22/2026, 11:23:30 PM
lava-lava · NO · score 66
1003 contracts · value 903 · avg 75.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:41:02 PM
30 contracts · value 26 · avg 85.0% · 6/1/2026, 6:37:07 PM
Recent trades
lava-lava · BUY NO · score 66
523 @ 76.0% · notional 397 · 7/28/2026, 6:51:15 AM
lava-lava · BUY NO · score 66
6 @ 76.0% · notional 5 · 7/21/2026, 12:21:18 AM
lava-lava · BUY NO · score 66
132 @ 76.0% · notional 100 · 7/20/2026, 10:46:33 PM
30 @ 85.0% · notional 26 · 6/1/2026, 11:11:45 AM