Market

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

POLITICS

HOLD

Market 1% · Fair 1% · Edge -0.3 pts

3 tracked holders · YES exposure 2 · NO exposure 2985

3 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 2 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 1% vs market 1%, 11122 (65 score) NO value 14758. NO offers 0.3% expected profit per dollar risked with 1.3% max profit if correct, or 0.1% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. Lead holder: 11122 NO value 14758 with 14930 contracts

Signal history
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:10:11 PM
Edge -0.3 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:09:11 PM
Edge -0.3 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:08:12 PM
Edge -0.3 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:06:12 PM
Edge -0.3 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:05:11 PM
Edge -0.3 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:04:11 PM
Edge -0.3 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:03:11 PM
Edge -0.3 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:02:11 PM
Edge -0.3 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:01:11 PM
Edge -0.3 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 10:00:12 PM
Edge -0.3 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
11122 · NO · score 99
14930 contracts · value 14758 · avg 97.8% · 8/21/2026, 5:27:10 PM
95984 contracts · value 2640 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 1:09:12 AM
tetrose · YES · score 96
20000 contracts · value 230 · avg 0.8% · 7/31/2026, 5:40:01 PM
MRF · YES · score 96
6000 contracts · value 165 · avg 0.8% · 6/1/2026, 12:57:14 AM
failstober · YES · score 99
3711 contracts · value 48 · avg 49.6% · 8/21/2026, 9:47:01 PM
rebotsliaf · YES · score 96
3333 contracts · value 43 · avg 1.3% · 8/21/2026, 10:09:19 PM
ScottyNooo · YES · score 99
2222 contracts · value 24 · avg 1.8% · 8/21/2026, 1:59:07 PM
tf2 · YES · score 96
2 contracts · value 0 · avg 49.4% · 8/21/2026, 10:09:14 PM
Recent trades
100 @ 2.0% · notional 2 · 8/15/2026, 12:52:27 AM
496 @ 2.1% · notional 10 · 8/14/2026, 10:28:24 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
8 @ 1.5% · notional 0 · 7/25/2026, 10:44:16 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
5 @ 1.5% · notional 0 · 7/25/2026, 10:36:42 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
8 @ 1.5% · notional 0 · 7/25/2026, 10:30:54 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
5 @ 1.5% · notional 0 · 7/25/2026, 10:01:43 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
12 @ 1.5% · notional 0 · 7/25/2026, 9:44:37 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
5 @ 1.5% · notional 0 · 7/25/2026, 9:30:15 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
8 @ 1.5% · notional 0 · 7/25/2026, 8:41:21 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
5 @ 1.5% · notional 0 · 7/25/2026, 8:19:42 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
6 @ 1.5% · notional 0 · 7/25/2026, 8:14:07 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
10 @ 1.5% · notional 0 · 7/25/2026, 8:06:43 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
6 @ 1.5% · notional 0 · 7/25/2026, 6:48:18 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
13 @ 1.5% · notional 0 · 7/25/2026, 6:37:51 PM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
7 @ 1.5% · notional 0 · 7/25/2026, 6:28:51 PM