Market

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

POLITICS

HOLD

Market 3% · Fair 3% · Edge 0.5 pts

5 tracked holders · YES exposure 27572 · NO exposure 672694

5 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 2 YES vs 3 NO positions, fair 3% vs market 3%, ThisAgain (99 score) NO value 521662. YES offers 18.8% expected profit per dollar risked with 3348.3% max profit if correct, or 91.3% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. Lead holder: ThisAgain NO value 521662 with 537242 contracts

Signal history
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:18:10 PM
Edge 0.5 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:16:10 PM
Edge -0.7 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:13:10 PM
Edge -1.8 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:12:10 PM
Edge -0.7 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:10:11 PM
Edge -0.7 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:09:11 PM
Edge -0.7 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:08:10 PM
Edge 0.7 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:06:10 PM
Edge -0.7 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:02:10 PM
Edge -1.8 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:01:12 PM
Edge -1.8 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
onekey02 · NO · score 74
1035328 contracts · value 1006857 · avg 90.2% · 10/1/2026, 7:44:21 PM
ThisAgain · NO · score 99
537242 contracts · value 521662 · avg 87.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:14 PM
300000 contracts · value 292350 · avg 87.5% · 10/10/2026, 2:22:29 AM
SecondWindCapital · NO · score 99
159018 contracts · value 154486 · avg 88.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:01:11 PM
forinnerpsandr1x11222 · NO · score 48
61021 contracts · value 59221 · avg 51.6% · 10/17/2026, 2:41:11 PM
thoodr · NO · score 53
57591 contracts · value 55777 · avg 88.1% · 10/6/2026, 5:23:55 PM
Joe-Biden · YES · score 99
960323 contracts · value 27849 · avg 5.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
eCash · NO · score 47
26200 contracts · value 25218 · avg 87.8% · 10/13/2026, 10:34:54 PM
M2sx92kljs42 · NO · score 65
20000 contracts · value 18500 · avg 91.0% · 8/30/2026, 5:19:04 PM
tutrucks · NO · score 65
20000 contracts · value 17500 · avg 86.0% · 6/28/2026, 11:49:41 AM
MEPP · NO · score 45
17273 contracts · value 16151 · avg 87.5% · 8/30/2026, 8:38:55 PM
agggr · NO · score 60
12300 contracts · value 11943 · avg 93.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:21 PM
Vetch · NO · score 50
11133 contracts · value 10187 · avg 90.0% · 7/9/2026, 8:23:25 PM
TheReturnOfDarthMaul · NO · score 55
5000 contracts · value 4818 · avg 91.6% · 10/16/2026, 8:52:52 PM
ImJustKen · YES · score 69
149999 contracts · value 4350 · avg 6.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:14 PM
Recent trades
aviato · SELL NO · score 49
1000 @ 97.3% · notional 973 · 10/16/2026, 11:46:41 PM
aviato · SELL NO · score 49
2000 @ 96.6% · notional 1932 · 10/13/2026, 2:17:50 PM
aviato · BUY NO · score 49
25 @ 95.3% · notional 24 · 10/13/2026, 5:44:18 AM
aviato · BUY NO · score 49
975 @ 95.3% · notional 929 · 10/13/2026, 5:44:03 AM
aviato · BUY NO · score 49
1000 @ 95.3% · notional 953 · 10/13/2026, 5:36:48 AM
aviato · BUY NO · score 49
1000 @ 95.4% · notional 954 · 10/13/2026, 5:36:13 AM
aviato · SELL YES · score 49
2000 @ 4.2% · notional 84 · 10/13/2026, 5:30:54 AM
aviato · BUY NO · score 49
521 @ 96.0% · notional 500 · 10/13/2026, 5:30:00 AM
Joe-Biden · BUY YES · score 99
500000 @ 3.0% · notional 15000 · 10/7/2026, 9:47:21 AM
Joe-Biden · BUY YES · score 99
11247 @ 3.3% · notional 371 · 10/6/2026, 1:35:37 AM
Joe-Biden · BUY YES · score 99
120468 @ 3.0% · notional 3665 · 10/6/2026, 1:33:07 AM
Joe-Biden · BUY YES · score 99
47371 @ 2.9% · notional 1374 · 10/6/2026, 1:27:22 AM
Joe-Biden · BUY YES · score 99
87 @ 2.8% · notional 2 · 10/6/2026, 1:26:49 AM
ScottyNooo · BUY YES · score 46
200 @ 2.9% · notional 6 · 9/28/2026, 7:50:15 PM
Car · SELL NO · score 49
22200 @ 95.0% · notional 21090 · 9/17/2026, 3:07:49 PM