Market
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
POLITICS
BUY_NO
Market 7% · Fair 3% · Edge -4.2 pts
2 tracked holders · YES exposure 0 · NO exposure 7831
2 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 0 YES vs 2 NO positions, fair 3% vs market 7%, lava-lava (99 score) NO value 4728. NO offers 4.5% expected profit per dollar risked with 8.1% max profit if correct, or 12.4% annualized. Lead holder: lava-lava NO value 4728 with 5111 contracts
Signal history
BUY_NO
8/21/2026, 9:24:13 PM
Edge -4.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_NO
8/21/2026, 9:23:12 PM
Edge -4.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 9:22:13 PM
Edge 9.6 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 9:20:13 PM
Edge 9.6 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 9:19:13 PM
Edge -1.3 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 9:18:12 PM
Edge -1.3 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/21/2026, 9:17:11 PM
Edge -1.3 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/21/2026, 9:16:16 PM
Edge 5.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_NO
8/21/2026, 9:14:12 PM
Edge -4.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_NO
8/21/2026, 9:13:12 PM
Edge -4.2 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
onekey02 · NO · score 96
1035338 contracts · value 947335 · avg 90.2% · 7/31/2026, 6:40:04 PM
ThisAgain · NO · score 84
545492 contracts · value 493670 · avg 87.0% · 7/15/2026, 10:59:33 PM
0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 · NO · score 96
297500 contracts · value 275188 · avg 87.5% · 8/21/2026, 6:41:05 PM
SecondWindCapital · NO · score 98
159018 contracts · value 145502 · avg 88.2% · 8/2/2026, 2:38:07 AM
abdkxrhxr · NO · score 45
52000 contracts · value 48100 · avg 84.3% · 8/21/2026, 9:09:08 PM
MEPP · NO · score 96
27273 contracts · value 25228 · avg 87.5% · 8/11/2026, 4:15:55 PM
eCash · NO · score 70
26200 contracts · value 24235 · avg 87.8% · 8/21/2026, 9:13:08 PM
Joe-Biden · YES · score 96
281150 contracts · value 21086 · avg 9.7% · 8/21/2026, 9:05:09 PM
tutrucks · NO · score 52
20000 contracts · value 17500 · avg 86.0% · 6/28/2026, 11:49:41 AM
agggr · NO · score 73
12300 contracts · value 11378 · avg 93.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:25:14 PM
Vetch · NO · score 96
11133 contracts · value 10187 · avg 90.0% · 7/9/2026, 8:23:25 PM
Car · NO · score 60
7200 contracts · value 6660 · avg 92.7% · 8/21/2026, 9:13:06 PM
lava-lava · NO · score 99
5111 contracts · value 4728 · avg 84.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:21:03 PM
TheReturnOfDarthMaul · NO · score 45
5000 contracts · value 4625 · avg 91.6% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:11 PM
tetrose · YES · score 96
45918 contracts · value 3903 · avg 13.0% · 7/31/2026, 5:40:01 PM
Recent trades
patient12 · SELL NO · score 88
71672 @ 92.0% · notional 65938 · 8/6/2026, 2:27:41 PM
patient12 · BUY NO · score 88
26835 @ 92.0% · notional 24688 · 8/2/2026, 12:40:08 PM
ThisAgain · SELL NO · score 84
10789 @ 91.0% · notional 9818 · 7/15/2026, 8:05:34 PM
ThisAgain · SELL NO · score 84
220 @ 91.0% · notional 200 · 7/15/2026, 7:51:47 PM
ThisAgain · SELL NO · score 84
4 @ 91.0% · notional 4 · 7/15/2026, 6:54:34 PM
ThisAgain · SELL NO · score 84
22297 @ 91.0% · notional 20291 · 7/15/2026, 6:17:04 PM
ThisAgain · SELL NO · score 84
2000 @ 91.0% · notional 1820 · 7/15/2026, 5:59:56 PM
ThisAgain · SELL NO · score 84
13 @ 91.0% · notional 12 · 7/15/2026, 5:13:47 PM
ThisAgain · SELL NO · score 84
275 @ 91.0% · notional 250 · 7/15/2026, 4:15:52 PM
ThisAgain · SELL NO · score 84
5 @ 91.0% · notional 5 · 7/15/2026, 3:25:41 PM
ThisAgain · SELL NO · score 84
5 @ 91.0% · notional 5 · 7/15/2026, 3:04:17 PM
ThisAgain · SELL NO · score 84
11 @ 91.0% · notional 10 · 7/15/2026, 2:53:59 PM
ThisAgain · SELL NO · score 84
59 @ 91.0% · notional 54 · 7/15/2026, 2:49:41 PM
ThisAgain · SELL NO · score 84
19 @ 91.0% · notional 17 · 7/15/2026, 2:29:31 PM
ThisAgain · SELL NO · score 84
20 @ 91.0% · notional 18 · 7/15/2026, 2:11:49 PM