Trader
Joe-Biden
0x8b5a7da2fdf239b51b9c68a2a1a35bb156d200f2
Quality
99
PnL
$184,090
Volume
$616,209
Win rate
77%
Last seen 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Leaderboard
POLITICS · DAY · PNL
Rank 16 · PnL $3,841 · Volume $0
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 20 · PnL $184,090 · Volume $616,209
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 112 · PnL $451,280 · Volume $10,085,152
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 114 · PnL $1,507,882 · Volume $35,251,789
SPORTS · ALL · PNL
Rank 139 · PnL $935,685 · Volume $21,623,546
POLITICS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 246 · PnL $2,545 · Volume $0
OVERALL · DAY · PNL
Rank 273 · PnL $3,968 · Volume $0
SPORTS · DAY · PNL
Rank 1150 · PnL $177 · Volume $0
OVERALL · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1945 · PnL $2,436 · Volume $0
Current positions
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · YES · politics
960323 shares · value $27,849 · avg 5.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · NO · general
50000 shares · value $18,750 · avg 37.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
32024 shares · value $4,323 · avg 15.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · YES · general
100011 shares · value $2,500 · avg 9.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
93824 shares · value $1,923 · avg 2.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
167162 shares · value $1,087 · avg 0.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · YES · general
3168 shares · value $222 · avg 27.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · YES · general
21144 shares · value $159 · avg 0.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
955 shares · value $16 · avg 2.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
385 shares · value $5 · avg 0.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
1630 shares · value $1 · avg 3.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · YES · general
200000 shares · value $0 · avg 26.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · YES · general
200000 shares · value $0 · avg 27.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will England win on 2026-06-27? · NO · general
199999 shares · value $0 · avg 14.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will England win on 2026-07-01? · NO · general
199996 shares · value $0 · avg 23.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · YES · general
150000 shares · value $0 · avg 41.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? · NO · general
149998 shares · value $0 · avg 31.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · YES · general
147323 shares · value $0 · avg 16.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? · NO · general
140000 shares · value $0 · avg 53.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? · NO · general
120000 shares · value $0 · avg 67.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
110388 shares · value $0 · avg 15.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? · NO · general
103043 shares · value $0 · avg 37.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? · YES · general
100000 shares · value $0 · avg 20.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? · YES · general
100000 shares · value $0 · avg 20.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17? · YES · general
100000 shares · value $0 · avg 14.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? · NO · general
100000 shares · value $0 · avg 26.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? · YES · general
100000 shares · value $0 · avg 9.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? · YES · general
100000 shares · value $0 · avg 15.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? · YES · general
96370 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01? · YES · general
85000 shares · value $0 · avg 69.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will France win on 2025-11-13? · NO · general
85000 shares · value $0 · avg 17.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15? · NO · general
81588 shares · value $0 · avg 21.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Fed rate cut in 2025? · NO · general
80238 shares · value $0 · avg 24.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26? · NO · general
80000 shares · value $0 · avg 57.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? · NO · general
76550 shares · value $0 · avg 36.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? · NO · general
75000 shares · value $0 · avg 66.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? · NO · general
75000 shares · value $0 · avg 35.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01? · YES · general
72431 shares · value $0 · avg 58.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland? · YES · general
70306 shares · value $0 · avg 10.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31? · NO · general
64815 shares · value $0 · avg 8.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27? · YES · general
61992 shares · value $0 · avg 78.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · YES · general
60065 shares · value $0 · avg 46.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will England win on 2026-06-17? · NO · general
60000 shares · value $0 · avg 41.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · YES · general
60000 shares · value $0 · avg 83.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? · NO · general
55000 shares · value $0 · avg 39.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-05? · YES · general
51979 shares · value $0 · avg 10.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? · NO · general
50000 shares · value $0 · avg 53.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland? · YES · general
50000 shares · value $0 · avg 13.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10? · NO · general
40000 shares · value $0 · avg 21.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31? · NO · general
36862 shares · value $0 · avg 41.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30? · YES · general
35479 shares · value $0 · avg 2.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? · YES · general
30000 shares · value $0 · avg 84.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? · YES · general
30000 shares · value $0 · avg 36.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
OpenAI browser by October 31? · NO · general
30000 shares · value $0 · avg 40.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? · NO · general
28533 shares · value $0 · avg 43.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · NO · general
26947 shares · value $0 · avg 35.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? · YES · general
24041 shares · value $0 · avg 20.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · YES · general
23645 shares · value $0 · avg 44.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Russian strike on Poland by September 30? · YES · general
22090 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
21295 shares · value $0 · avg 2.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31? · NO · general
20000 shares · value $0 · avg 42.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30? · YES · general
19500 shares · value $0 · avg 62.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Athletic Club vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw? · YES · general
17687 shares · value $0 · avg 17.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31? · NO · general
15220 shares · value $0 · avg 48.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · YES · general
15000 shares · value $0 · avg 53.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04? · YES · general
12000 shares · value $0 · avg 41.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will France win on 2026-06-22? · NO · general
10886 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? · NO · general
10000 shares · value $0 · avg 19.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
9733 shares · value $0 · avg 0.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10? · YES · general
8495 shares · value $0 · avg 29.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium? · YES · general
4073 shares · value $0 · avg 14.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
America Party wins a federal or gubernatorial election in 2025? · YES · general
3868 shares · value $0 · avg 7.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30? · NO · general
3754 shares · value $0 · avg 40.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30? · NO · general
3531 shares · value $0 · avg 33.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? · YES · general
3200 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown? · NO · general
3044 shares · value $0 · avg 31.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? · YES · general
2544 shares · value $0 · avg 12.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15? · NO · general
2440 shares · value $0 · avg 16.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · YES · general
2402 shares · value $0 · avg 28.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
2339 shares · value $0 · avg 4.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29? · YES · general
1800 shares · value $0 · avg 59.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
1465 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025? · YES · politics
1228 shares · value $0 · avg 5.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Grokipedia released by December 31? · NO · general
1004 shares · value $0 · avg 15.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-25? · YES · general
786 shares · value $0 · avg 41.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown? · NO · general
600 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour? · YES · general
515 shares · value $0 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30? · YES · general
500 shares · value $0 · avg 39.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 31? · NO · general
420 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Trump resign today? · YES · general
1596626 shares · value $0 · avg 0.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? · YES · politics
66 shares · value $0 · avg 8.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · YES · sports
1509116 shares · value $0 · avg 8.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · YES · sports
709290 shares · value $0 · avg 2.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
639000 shares · value $0 · avg 6.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
598047 shares · value $0 · avg 0.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26? · YES · general
575943 shares · value $0 · avg 27.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
394186 shares · value $0 · avg 3.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · YES · general
313119 shares · value $0 · avg 38.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? · NO · general
250000 shares · value $0 · avg 45.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? · NO · general
248664 shares · value $0 · avg 18.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:17:11 PM
Recent trades
500000 @ 3.0% · notional $15,000 · 10/7/2026, 9:47:21 AM
11247 @ 3.3% · notional $371 · 10/6/2026, 1:35:37 AM
120468 @ 3.0% · notional $3,665 · 10/6/2026, 1:33:07 AM
47371 @ 2.9% · notional $1,374 · 10/6/2026, 1:27:22 AM
87 @ 2.8% · notional $2 · 10/6/2026, 1:26:49 AM
20913 @ 37.0% · notional $7,738 · 10/1/2026, 1:29:57 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 10/1/2026, 12:15:30 AM
48 @ 37.0% · notional $18 · 9/30/2026, 10:32:03 PM
15 @ 37.0% · notional $5 · 9/30/2026, 8:51:56 PM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 6:31:38 PM
100 @ 37.0% · notional $37 · 9/30/2026, 6:17:42 PM
300 @ 37.0% · notional $111 · 9/30/2026, 5:35:41 PM
5 @ 37.0% · notional $2 · 9/30/2026, 4:44:05 PM
8 @ 37.0% · notional $3 · 9/30/2026, 4:28:29 PM
9000 @ 37.0% · notional $3,330 · 9/30/2026, 2:48:09 PM
5 @ 37.0% · notional $2 · 9/30/2026, 1:39:24 PM
5 @ 37.0% · notional $2 · 9/30/2026, 1:38:41 PM
16 @ 37.0% · notional $6 · 9/30/2026, 10:31:45 AM
230 @ 37.0% · notional $85 · 9/30/2026, 10:10:33 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 10:01:11 AM
32 @ 37.0% · notional $12 · 9/30/2026, 9:54:18 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 9:51:30 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 9:38:24 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 9:33:15 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 9:20:51 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 9:02:47 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 8:54:15 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 8:47:32 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 8:42:50 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 8:34:00 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 8:33:47 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 8:06:30 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 8:00:02 AM
3 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 7:13:33 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 7:13:32 AM
3 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 7:13:30 AM
74 @ 37.0% · notional $27 · 9/30/2026, 6:40:03 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/30/2026, 3:26:56 AM
159 @ 37.0% · notional $59 · 9/30/2026, 12:25:27 AM
16 @ 37.0% · notional $6 · 9/30/2026, 12:24:39 AM
3 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/29/2026, 9:14:41 PM
1000 @ 37.0% · notional $370 · 9/29/2026, 8:40:50 PM
1 @ 37.0% · notional $0 · 9/29/2026, 8:40:15 PM
16 @ 37.0% · notional $6 · 9/29/2026, 8:04:57 PM
86 @ 37.0% · notional $32 · 9/29/2026, 7:52:33 PM
5 @ 37.0% · notional $2 · 9/29/2026, 7:39:08 PM
67 @ 37.0% · notional $25 · 9/29/2026, 6:47:59 PM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/29/2026, 6:46:20 PM
5000 @ 37.0% · notional $1,850 · 9/29/2026, 6:42:17 PM
29 @ 37.0% · notional $11 · 9/29/2026, 6:40:27 PM
12 @ 37.0% · notional $4 · 9/29/2026, 6:18:36 PM
9 @ 37.0% · notional $3 · 9/29/2026, 5:53:06 PM
12 @ 37.0% · notional $4 · 9/29/2026, 5:18:38 PM
3 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/29/2026, 4:25:14 PM
12 @ 37.0% · notional $4 · 9/29/2026, 4:18:38 PM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/29/2026, 4:10:39 PM
66 @ 37.0% · notional $24 · 9/29/2026, 3:18:20 PM
1369 @ 37.0% · notional $507 · 9/29/2026, 3:13:32 PM
7 @ 37.0% · notional $3 · 9/29/2026, 3:12:05 PM
159 @ 37.0% · notional $59 · 9/29/2026, 2:45:50 PM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/29/2026, 2:37:47 PM
8 @ 37.0% · notional $3 · 9/29/2026, 2:35:24 PM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 3:16:30 AM
4 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 3:12:48 AM
8 @ 37.0% · notional $3 · 9/26/2026, 2:50:29 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 2:46:59 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 2:18:36 AM
8 @ 37.0% · notional $3 · 9/26/2026, 1:52:38 AM
79 @ 37.0% · notional $29 · 9/26/2026, 1:35:41 AM
5 @ 37.0% · notional $2 · 9/26/2026, 12:48:44 AM
2 @ 37.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 12:46:30 AM
16 @ 37.0% · notional $6 · 9/26/2026, 12:39:30 AM
16 @ 37.0% · notional $6 · 9/25/2026, 11:43:24 PM
11028 @ 37.0% · notional $4,080 · 9/25/2026, 11:21:29 PM
7 @ 2.3% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 9:54:13 PM
125 @ 2.3% · notional $3 · 8/30/2026, 7:39:10 PM
6 @ 0.6% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 6:41:22 PM
11 @ 3.0% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:52:06 PM
470 @ 3.0% · notional $14 · 8/30/2026, 5:51:42 PM
7 @ 2.3% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:46:33 PM
173 @ 0.6% · notional $1 · 8/30/2026, 5:33:43 PM
173 @ 0.4% · notional $1 · 8/30/2026, 5:33:43 PM
173 @ 2.3% · notional $4 · 8/30/2026, 5:33:42 PM
18 @ 0.6% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:23:03 PM
18 @ 0.4% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:23:01 PM
18 @ 2.3% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:23:01 PM
19 @ 2.3% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:19:06 PM
19 @ 0.6% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:19:06 PM
19 @ 0.4% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:19:06 PM
81 @ 0.4% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:09:51 PM
81 @ 0.6% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:09:51 PM
81 @ 2.3% · notional $2 · 8/30/2026, 5:09:49 PM
5 @ 0.4% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:08:49 PM
5 @ 2.3% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:08:49 PM
5 @ 0.6% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:08:49 PM
9 @ 0.4% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:07:48 PM
9 @ 0.6% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:07:48 PM
9 @ 2.3% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:07:46 PM
15 @ 0.4% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:06:48 PM
15 @ 0.6% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 5:06:48 PM
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy 0% · Correct 0 · Incorrect 1 · Flat 0 · Weighted 0% · Score -7.3
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025? · predicted YES · resolved NO
INCORRECT · notional $68 · 9/11/2025, 8:26:55 PM