Trader
Joe-Biden
0x8b5a7da2fdf239b51b9c68a2a1a35bb156d200f2
Quality
96
PnL
$683,153
Volume
$16,779,160
Win rate
67%
Last seen 6/28/2026, 4:06:37 PM
Leaderboard
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 22 · PnL $184,090 · Volume $616,209
POLITICS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 25 · PnL $14,151 · Volume $0
OVERALL · WEEK · PNL
Rank 51 · PnL $192,537 · Volume $495,834
SPORTS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 56 · PnL $178,386 · Volume $495,834
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 106 · PnL $462,707 · Volume $9,355,594
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 116 · PnL $1,286,592 · Volume $29,280,459
SPORTS · ALL · PNL
Rank 143 · PnL $683,153 · Volume $16,779,160
SPORTS · DAY · PNL
Rank 144 · PnL $14,065 · Volume $495,834
OVERALL · DAY · PNL
Rank 149 · PnL $14,065 · Volume $495,834
SPORTS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 163 · PnL $117,538 · Volume $7,367,268
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 215 · PnL $129,077 · Volume $7,743,866
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 487 · PnL $8,497 · Volume $376,598
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 793 · PnL $6,468 · Volume $31,932
Current positions
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · YES · sports
2009114 shares · value $424,928 · avg 8.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · YES · sports
654111 shares · value $69,009 · avg 15.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · YES · politics
281150 shares · value $35,144 · avg 9.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · YES · sports
709290 shares · value $15,179 · avg 2.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · YES · general
100011 shares · value $13,501 · avg 9.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · YES · general
3168 shares · value $839 · avg 27.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
1630 shares · value $9 · avg 3.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? · YES · politics
66 shares · value $0 · avg 8.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
221130 shares · value $0 · avg 14.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · YES · general
200000 shares · value $0 · avg 26.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · YES · general
200000 shares · value $0 · avg 27.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will England win on 2026-06-27? · NO · general
199999 shares · value $0 · avg 14.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? · NO · general
149998 shares · value $0 · avg 31.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · YES · general
147323 shares · value $0 · avg 16.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? · NO · general
140000 shares · value $0 · avg 53.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? · NO · general
120000 shares · value $0 · avg 67.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
110388 shares · value $0 · avg 14.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? · NO · general
103043 shares · value $0 · avg 37.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? · YES · general
100000 shares · value $0 · avg 20.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? · YES · general
100000 shares · value $0 · avg 20.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17? · YES · general
100000 shares · value $0 · avg 14.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? · NO · general
100000 shares · value $0 · avg 26.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? · YES · general
100000 shares · value $0 · avg 9.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? · YES · general
100000 shares · value $0 · avg 15.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? · YES · general
96370 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01? · YES · general
85000 shares · value $0 · avg 69.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will France win on 2025-11-13? · NO · general
85000 shares · value $0 · avg 17.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15? · NO · general
81588 shares · value $0 · avg 21.6% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Fed rate cut in 2025? · NO · general
80238 shares · value $0 · avg 24.1% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26? · NO · general
80000 shares · value $0 · avg 57.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? · NO · general
76550 shares · value $0 · avg 36.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? · NO · general
75000 shares · value $0 · avg 35.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01? · YES · general
72431 shares · value $0 · avg 58.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31? · NO · general
64815 shares · value $0 · avg 8.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27? · YES · general
61992 shares · value $0 · avg 78.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · YES · general
60065 shares · value $0 · avg 46.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will England win on 2026-06-17? · NO · general
60000 shares · value $0 · avg 41.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · YES · general
60000 shares · value $0 · avg 83.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? · NO · general
55000 shares · value $0 · avg 39.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-05? · YES · general
51979 shares · value $0 · avg 10.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? · NO · general
50000 shares · value $0 · avg 53.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10? · NO · general
40000 shares · value $0 · avg 21.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31? · NO · general
36862 shares · value $0 · avg 41.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? · YES · general
30000 shares · value $0 · avg 84.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? · YES · general
30000 shares · value $0 · avg 36.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
OpenAI browser by October 31? · NO · general
30000 shares · value $0 · avg 40.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? · NO · general
28533 shares · value $0 · avg 43.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · NO · general
26947 shares · value $0 · avg 35.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? · YES · general
24041 shares · value $0 · avg 20.1% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · YES · general
23645 shares · value $0 · avg 44.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Russian strike on Poland by September 30? · YES · general
22090 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
21295 shares · value $0 · avg 2.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31? · NO · general
20000 shares · value $0 · avg 42.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30? · YES · general
19500 shares · value $0 · avg 62.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Athletic Club vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw? · YES · general
17687 shares · value $0 · avg 17.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31? · NO · general
15220 shares · value $0 · avg 48.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · YES · general
15000 shares · value $0 · avg 53.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04? · YES · general
12000 shares · value $0 · avg 41.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will France win on 2026-06-22? · NO · general
10886 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? · NO · general
10000 shares · value $0 · avg 19.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
9733 shares · value $0 · avg 0.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10? · YES · general
8495 shares · value $0 · avg 29.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
America Party wins a federal or gubernatorial election in 2025? · YES · general
3868 shares · value $0 · avg 7.8% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30? · NO · general
3754 shares · value $0 · avg 40.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30? · NO · general
3531 shares · value $0 · avg 33.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown? · NO · general
3044 shares · value $0 · avg 31.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? · YES · general
2544 shares · value $0 · avg 12.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15? · NO · general
2440 shares · value $0 · avg 16.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · YES · general
2402 shares · value $0 · avg 28.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
2339 shares · value $0 · avg 4.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
1465 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025? · YES · politics
1228 shares · value $0 · avg 5.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Grokipedia released by December 31? · NO · general
1004 shares · value $0 · avg 15.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-25? · YES · general
786 shares · value $0 · avg 40.9% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown? · NO · general
600 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour? · YES · general
515 shares · value $0 · avg 3.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30? · YES · general
500 shares · value $0 · avg 39.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 31? · NO · general
420 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29? · YES · general
1800 shares · value $0 · avg 59.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Trump resign today? · YES · general
1596626 shares · value $0 · avg 0.5% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
639000 shares · value $0 · avg 6.1% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
598047 shares · value $0 · avg 0.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26? · YES · general
575943 shares · value $0 · avg 27.4% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · YES · general
313119 shares · value $0 · avg 38.7% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? · NO · general
250000 shares · value $0 · avg 45.0% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? · NO · general
248664 shares · value $0 · avg 18.2% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
Recent trades
219403 @ 8.5% · notional $18,649 · 6/8/2026, 11:33:28 PM
215492 @ 8.5% · notional $18,317 · 6/8/2026, 6:35:13 PM
256664 @ 8.8% · notional $22,586 · 6/5/2026, 11:35:33 PM
53179 @ 9.0% · notional $4,786 · 6/3/2026, 4:42:17 AM
25438 @ 8.9% · notional $2,264 · 6/3/2026, 4:41:37 AM
57 @ 8.8% · notional $5 · 6/3/2026, 4:40:39 AM
311347 @ 8.8% · notional $27,399 · 6/3/2026, 4:40:17 AM
11 @ 8.6% · notional $1 · 5/31/2026, 6:04:21 PM
57 @ 8.6% · notional $5 · 5/31/2026, 5:40:09 PM
43 @ 8.6% · notional $4 · 5/31/2026, 5:39:00 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 5:37:12 PM
64 @ 8.6% · notional $6 · 5/31/2026, 5:29:35 PM
518 @ 8.6% · notional $45 · 5/31/2026, 5:23:35 PM
446 @ 8.6% · notional $38 · 5/31/2026, 5:15:53 PM
728 @ 8.6% · notional $63 · 5/31/2026, 5:14:58 PM
1213 @ 8.6% · notional $104 · 5/31/2026, 5:14:06 PM
2714 @ 8.6% · notional $233 · 5/31/2026, 5:13:13 PM
4589 @ 8.6% · notional $395 · 5/31/2026, 5:12:21 PM
6603 @ 8.6% · notional $568 · 5/31/2026, 5:10:03 PM
58 @ 8.6% · notional $5 · 5/31/2026, 5:07:50 PM
32 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 4:39:22 PM
649 @ 8.6% · notional $56 · 5/31/2026, 4:37:56 PM
46 @ 8.6% · notional $4 · 5/31/2026, 4:37:05 PM
31 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 4:36:35 PM
15 @ 8.6% · notional $1 · 5/31/2026, 4:31:43 PM
8853 @ 8.6% · notional $761 · 5/31/2026, 4:03:55 PM
275 @ 8.6% · notional $24 · 5/31/2026, 4:01:41 PM
644 @ 8.6% · notional $55 · 5/31/2026, 4:01:07 PM
292 @ 8.6% · notional $25 · 5/31/2026, 3:56:36 PM
546 @ 8.6% · notional $47 · 5/31/2026, 3:55:44 PM
529 @ 8.6% · notional $45 · 5/31/2026, 3:54:53 PM
943 @ 8.6% · notional $81 · 5/31/2026, 3:54:02 PM
1758 @ 8.6% · notional $151 · 5/31/2026, 3:53:11 PM
3259 @ 8.6% · notional $280 · 5/31/2026, 3:52:21 PM
5801 @ 8.6% · notional $499 · 5/31/2026, 3:51:25 PM
336 @ 8.6% · notional $29 · 5/31/2026, 3:50:34 PM
540 @ 8.6% · notional $46 · 5/31/2026, 3:49:36 PM
938 @ 8.6% · notional $81 · 5/31/2026, 3:48:45 PM
1629 @ 8.6% · notional $140 · 5/31/2026, 3:47:53 PM
2830 @ 8.6% · notional $243 · 5/31/2026, 3:47:02 PM
4915 @ 8.6% · notional $423 · 5/31/2026, 3:46:10 PM
49 @ 8.6% · notional $4 · 5/31/2026, 3:34:03 PM
12 @ 8.6% · notional $1 · 5/31/2026, 3:33:18 PM
53 @ 8.6% · notional $5 · 5/31/2026, 3:26:53 PM
1701 @ 8.6% · notional $146 · 5/31/2026, 3:26:28 PM
2707 @ 8.6% · notional $233 · 5/31/2026, 3:25:36 PM
248 @ 8.6% · notional $21 · 5/31/2026, 3:19:39 PM
491 @ 8.6% · notional $42 · 5/31/2026, 3:18:55 PM
1058 @ 8.6% · notional $91 · 5/31/2026, 3:18:10 PM
548 @ 8.6% · notional $47 · 5/31/2026, 3:10:35 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 3:06:00 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 3:05:58 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 3:05:56 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 3:05:55 PM
20 @ 8.6% · notional $2 · 5/31/2026, 3:04:06 PM
10 @ 8.6% · notional $1 · 5/31/2026, 3:03:12 PM
10 @ 8.6% · notional $1 · 5/31/2026, 3:00:26 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 3:00:20 PM
10 @ 8.6% · notional $1 · 5/31/2026, 2:57:36 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 2:56:28 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 2:56:22 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 2:56:21 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 2:56:19 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 2:56:17 PM
10 @ 8.6% · notional $1 · 5/31/2026, 2:52:52 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 2:52:51 PM
345 @ 8.6% · notional $30 · 5/31/2026, 2:50:18 PM
61 @ 8.6% · notional $5 · 5/31/2026, 2:50:04 PM
725 @ 8.6% · notional $62 · 5/31/2026, 2:49:33 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 2:49:22 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 2:49:21 PM
35 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 2:49:17 PM
35 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 2:49:12 PM
30 @ 8.6% · notional $3 · 5/31/2026, 2:49:10 PM
20 @ 8.6% · notional $2 · 5/31/2026, 2:49:07 PM
5 @ 8.6% · notional $0 · 5/31/2026, 2:44:00 PM
115 @ 8.6% · notional $10 · 5/31/2026, 2:37:48 PM
11 @ 8.6% · notional $1 · 5/31/2026, 2:27:00 PM
221 @ 8.6% · notional $19 · 5/31/2026, 2:21:43 PM
461 @ 8.6% · notional $40 · 5/31/2026, 2:20:58 PM
12 @ 8.6% · notional $1 · 5/31/2026, 2:18:31 PM
408 @ 8.6% · notional $35 · 5/31/2026, 2:10:58 PM
9 @ 8.6% · notional $1 · 5/31/2026, 2:10:12 PM
406 @ 8.6% · notional $35 · 5/31/2026, 2:09:25 PM
863 @ 8.6% · notional $74 · 5/31/2026, 2:08:39 PM
404 @ 8.6% · notional $35 · 5/31/2026, 2:07:54 PM
860 @ 8.6% · notional $74 · 5/31/2026, 2:07:05 PM
401 @ 8.6% · notional $34 · 5/31/2026, 2:06:19 PM
257743 @ 8.6% · notional $22,166 · 5/16/2026, 7:38:27 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · BUY YES
36 @ 15.5% · notional $6 · 5/9/2026, 5:52:45 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · BUY YES
85 @ 15.5% · notional $13 · 5/9/2026, 5:49:01 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · BUY YES
128 @ 15.5% · notional $20 · 5/9/2026, 5:39:11 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · BUY YES
6 @ 15.5% · notional $1 · 5/9/2026, 5:37:50 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · BUY YES
11 @ 15.5% · notional $2 · 5/9/2026, 5:35:50 PM
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · BUY YES
127746 @ 15.5% · notional $19,801 · 5/9/2026, 5:33:49 PM
43150 @ 49.0% · notional $21,144 · 5/6/2026, 6:25:22 PM
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-25? · BUY YES
10000 @ 33.0% · notional $3,300 · 4/25/2026, 9:28:10 PM
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-25? · BUY YES
800 @ 40.9% · notional $328 · 4/25/2026, 9:27:42 PM
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-25? · BUY YES
2730 @ 33.0% · notional $901 · 4/25/2026, 9:13:38 PM
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-25? · BUY YES
7466 @ 33.0% · notional $2,464 · 4/25/2026, 9:13:24 PM
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy 0% · Correct 0 · Incorrect 1 · Flat 0 · Weighted 0% · Score -7.3
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025? · predicted YES · resolved NO
INCORRECT · notional $68 · 9/11/2025, 8:26:55 PM