Trader
elmcap2
0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5
Quality
97
PnL
$787,032
Volume
$132,271,571
Win rate
68%
Last seen 10/17/2026, 4:56:23 PM
Leaderboard
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 29 · PnL $145,514 · Volume $22,150,118
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 50 · PnL $787,032 · Volume $132,263,724
POLITICS · DAY · PNL
Rank 65 · PnL $1,339 · Volume $63,178
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 74 · PnL $2,119,844 · Volume $297,842,586
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 80 · PnL $20,579 · Volume $5,745,088
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 92 · PnL $23,076 · Volume $9,509,641
FINANCE · MONTH · PNL
Rank 158 · PnL $1,865 · Volume $133,453
CRYPTO · ALL · PNL
Rank 173 · PnL $155,411 · Volume $22,434,260
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 180 · PnL $12,101 · Volume $936,357
FINANCE · DAY · PNL
Rank 215 · PnL $59 · Volume $0
CULTURE · MONTH · PNL
Rank 238 · PnL $853 · Volume $590,128
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 351 · PnL $14,158 · Volume $5,836,230
CRYPTO · MONTH · PNL
Rank 405 · PnL $5,212 · Volume $558,288
POLITICS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 701 · PnL $756 · Volume $164,017
CRYPTO · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1003 · PnL $523 · Volume $7,907
FINANCE · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1406 · PnL $45 · Volume $39,171
CRYPTO · DAY · PNL
Rank 1854 · PnL $24 · Volume $0
WEATHER · ALL · PNL
Rank 1904 · PnL $823 · Volume $77,450
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 4926 · PnL $1,708 · Volume $2,744,552
Current positions
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · NO · politics
4000000 shares · value $3,160,000 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics
4000000 shares · value $840,000 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · NO · general
387288 shares · value $368,504 · avg 95.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Trump out as President before 2027? · NO · general
340519 shares · value $327,239 · avg 92.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? · NO · general
211187 shares · value $209,814 · avg 98.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · YES · general
202280 shares · value $200,358 · avg 96.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · NO · general
204096 shares · value $198,483 · avg 96.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · NO · general
199111 shares · value $194,432 · avg 88.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · NO · general
123312 shares · value $120,476 · avg 91.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · NO · general
77039 shares · value $74,767 · avg 96.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
50000 shares · value $49,825 · avg 99.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · NO · general
44664 shares · value $43,748 · avg 97.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · NO · general
41345 shares · value $41,263 · avg 99.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
42125 shares · value $41,198 · avg 90.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · NO · general
34678 shares · value $32,424 · avg 87.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · NO · general
30301 shares · value $30,120 · avg 98.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
29133 shares · value $28,230 · avg 94.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
35000 shares · value $26,862 · avg 85.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
23266 shares · value $22,649 · avg 90.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
24518 shares · value $21,453 · avg 88.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
GTA VI released by October 31? · NO · general
21476 shares · value $21,401 · avg 98.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · NO · general
17100 shares · value $15,818 · avg 56.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · NO · general
14129 shares · value $13,599 · avg 92.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
14206 shares · value $13,283 · avg 86.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
12170 shares · value $11,878 · avg 90.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · NO · general
12323 shares · value $11,867 · avg 94.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · YES · general
9500 shares · value $9,025 · avg 95.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
9090 shares · value $8,767 · avg 93.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · NO · general
9000 shares · value $8,735 · avg 91.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · NO · general
8410 shares · value $8,133 · avg 91.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31? · NO · general
5986 shares · value $5,951 · avg 97.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
6288 shares · value $5,458 · avg 89.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? · NO · general
5596 shares · value $5,445 · avg 92.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? · NO · general
5501 shares · value $5,250 · avg 92.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
5000 shares · value $4,625 · avg 84.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
4887 shares · value $4,521 · avg 92.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · NO · general
4016 shares · value $3,920 · avg 85.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · NO · general
3793 shares · value $3,702 · avg 91.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · NO · general
3500 shares · value $3,350 · avg 93.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
3028 shares · value $2,909 · avg 92.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
3154 shares · value $2,807 · avg 87.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · NO · general
2505 shares · value $2,371 · avg 93.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · NO · general
2311 shares · value $2,242 · avg 93.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · NO · general
2095 shares · value $2,035 · avg 86.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · NO · general
2000 shares · value $1,943 · avg 90.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
2000 shares · value $1,940 · avg 92.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
1978 shares · value $1,930 · avg 90.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? · NO · general
2047 shares · value $1,920 · avg 86.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? · NO · general
1971 shares · value $1,916 · avg 94.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? · NO · general
2000 shares · value $1,850 · avg 92.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · NO · general
1875 shares · value $1,806 · avg 94.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Trump resign before 2027? · NO · general
1837 shares · value $1,791 · avg 96.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
1809 shares · value $1,751 · avg 91.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · YES · general
15000 shares · value $1,725 · avg 49.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
1759 shares · value $1,645 · avg 87.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · NO · general
1660 shares · value $1,636 · avg 95.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · NO · general
1589 shares · value $1,520 · avg 94.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
1518 shares · value $1,490 · avg 96.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · NO · general
1608 shares · value $1,423 · avg 88.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
1500 shares · value $1,391 · avg 90.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? · YES · general
3123 shares · value $1,218 · avg 60.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · NO · general
1225 shares · value $1,163 · avg 74.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Waymo IPO before 2027? · NO · general
1071 shares · value $1,053 · avg 80.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
1024 shares · value $1,005 · avg 96.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · NO · general
1000 shares · value $952 · avg 79.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · NO · general
1002 shares · value $921 · avg 79.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
828 shares · value $758 · avg 85.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? · NO · general
754 shares · value $733 · avg 93.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? · NO · general
689 shares · value $670 · avg 95.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
638 shares · value $612 · avg 93.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · YES · general
2477 shares · value $508 · avg 43.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · YES · general
1175 shares · value $493 · avg 62.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31? · NO · general
480 shares · value $468 · avg 95.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? · NO · general
476 shares · value $440 · avg 81.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30? · NO · general
436 shares · value $423 · avg 95.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · NO · general
307 shares · value $290 · avg 90.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Obama arrested before 2027? · NO · general
203 shares · value $200 · avg 93.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · NO · general
178 shares · value $172 · avg 91.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · NO · general
173 shares · value $170 · avg 81.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · NO · general
150 shares · value $146 · avg 96.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? · NO · general
123 shares · value $118 · avg 94.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? · NO · general
91 shares · value $82 · avg 78.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Trump pardon Andrew Tate before 2027? · NO · general
39 shares · value $38 · avg 92.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? · NO · general
19 shares · value $18 · avg 96.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
18 shares · value $17 · avg 93.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:07:11 PM
Recent trades
372 @ 94.3% · notional $350 · 10/17/2026, 11:09:23 AM
1180 @ 94.3% · notional $1,113 · 10/17/2026, 11:08:35 AM
29 @ 94.3% · notional $27 · 10/17/2026, 11:08:12 AM
713 @ 94.3% · notional $672 · 10/17/2026, 11:08:03 AM
200 @ 94.3% · notional $189 · 10/17/2026, 11:07:51 AM
200 @ 94.3% · notional $189 · 10/17/2026, 11:07:50 AM
800 @ 94.3% · notional $754 · 10/17/2026, 11:07:42 AM
82 @ 94.3% · notional $77 · 10/17/2026, 11:07:39 AM
420 @ 94.3% · notional $396 · 10/17/2026, 11:07:32 AM
122 @ 94.3% · notional $115 · 10/17/2026, 11:07:29 AM
1970 @ 94.3% · notional $1,858 · 10/17/2026, 11:07:26 AM
1000 @ 98.9% · notional $989 · 10/16/2026, 8:36:21 PM
0 @ 98.9% · notional $0 · 10/16/2026, 6:37:54 PM
401 @ 99.0% · notional $397 · 10/16/2026, 6:37:48 PM
599 @ 99.0% · notional $593 · 10/16/2026, 2:39:16 PM
585 @ 85.0% · notional $498 · 10/16/2026, 10:18:43 AM
8 @ 85.0% · notional $7 · 10/16/2026, 9:45:15 AM
59 @ 96.5% · notional $57 · 10/16/2026, 1:00:34 AM
279 @ 94.9% · notional $265 · 10/16/2026, 12:19:12 AM
1636 @ 97.0% · notional $1,587 · 10/15/2026, 10:55:33 PM
1 @ 85.0% · notional $1 · 10/15/2026, 9:22:11 PM
91 @ 97.0% · notional $88 · 10/15/2026, 7:25:01 PM
1 @ 97.0% · notional $1 · 10/15/2026, 4:08:07 PM
169 @ 90.0% · notional $152 · 10/15/2026, 2:58:37 PM
145 @ 90.0% · notional $130 · 10/15/2026, 2:56:49 PM
104 @ 97.0% · notional $101 · 10/15/2026, 2:43:44 PM
104 @ 97.0% · notional $101 · 10/15/2026, 2:42:08 PM
104 @ 97.0% · notional $101 · 10/15/2026, 2:40:43 PM
1000 @ 98.8% · notional $988 · 10/15/2026, 1:29:29 PM
37 @ 97.0% · notional $36 · 10/15/2026, 12:24:04 PM
10 @ 97.0% · notional $10 · 10/15/2026, 12:18:58 PM
5 @ 97.0% · notional $5 · 10/15/2026, 10:11:04 AM
8 @ 97.0% · notional $8 · 10/15/2026, 10:05:47 AM
296 @ 97.0% · notional $287 · 10/15/2026, 10:03:25 AM
33 @ 97.0% · notional $32 · 10/15/2026, 8:33:43 AM
9 @ 97.0% · notional $9 · 10/15/2026, 7:17:10 AM
15535 @ 99.6% · notional $15,473 · 10/15/2026, 6:14:23 AM
40 @ 97.0% · notional $39 · 10/15/2026, 5:28:17 AM
11 @ 97.0% · notional $10 · 10/15/2026, 4:18:46 AM
37 @ 97.0% · notional $36 · 10/15/2026, 3:58:22 AM
40 @ 97.0% · notional $39 · 10/15/2026, 3:52:04 AM
12 @ 91.0% · notional $11 · 10/15/2026, 3:30:05 AM
5 @ 97.0% · notional $5 · 10/15/2026, 2:34:25 AM
8 @ 97.0% · notional $8 · 10/15/2026, 2:09:43 AM
1 @ 97.0% · notional $1 · 10/15/2026, 1:19:02 AM
9 @ 97.0% · notional $9 · 10/15/2026, 1:18:56 AM
0 @ 97.0% · notional $0 · 10/14/2026, 10:05:24 PM
775 @ 85.0% · notional $659 · 10/14/2026, 8:57:30 PM
124 @ 85.0% · notional $105 · 10/14/2026, 8:57:28 PM
253 @ 85.0% · notional $215 · 10/14/2026, 8:54:04 PM
52 @ 97.0% · notional $50 · 10/14/2026, 8:31:25 PM
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · BUY NO
598 @ 97.1% · notional $580 · 10/14/2026, 8:26:03 PM
300 @ 85.0% · notional $255 · 10/14/2026, 8:18:22 PM
1 @ 85.0% · notional $1 · 10/14/2026, 7:57:48 PM
27 @ 85.0% · notional $23 · 10/14/2026, 7:57:42 PM
2245 @ 85.0% · notional $1,908 · 10/14/2026, 7:30:06 PM
786 @ 85.0% · notional $668 · 10/14/2026, 7:26:55 PM
5 @ 85.0% · notional $4 · 10/14/2026, 7:13:58 PM
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · BUY NO
1034 @ 97.1% · notional $1,004 · 10/14/2026, 6:51:40 PM
1 @ 85.0% · notional $1 · 10/14/2026, 6:50:04 PM
186 @ 85.0% · notional $158 · 10/14/2026, 6:49:57 PM
1 @ 85.0% · notional $1 · 10/14/2026, 6:45:49 PM
2112 @ 85.0% · notional $1,795 · 10/14/2026, 6:45:42 PM
808 @ 85.0% · notional $687 · 10/14/2026, 6:18:46 PM
80 @ 85.0% · notional $68 · 10/14/2026, 5:36:34 PM
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · BUY NO
420 @ 97.1% · notional $408 · 10/14/2026, 5:30:21 PM
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · BUY NO
430 @ 97.1% · notional $418 · 10/14/2026, 5:29:10 PM
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · BUY NO
441 @ 97.1% · notional $429 · 10/14/2026, 5:24:07 PM
34 @ 85.0% · notional $29 · 10/14/2026, 5:21:39 PM
209 @ 85.0% · notional $178 · 10/14/2026, 5:20:21 PM
2 @ 85.0% · notional $2 · 10/14/2026, 5:20:06 PM
0 @ 85.0% · notional $0 · 10/14/2026, 5:19:55 PM
185 @ 85.0% · notional $157 · 10/14/2026, 5:19:48 PM
666 @ 85.0% · notional $566 · 10/14/2026, 5:19:40 PM
1 @ 85.0% · notional $1 · 10/14/2026, 5:16:39 PM
900 @ 85.0% · notional $765 · 10/14/2026, 5:16:30 PM
5000 @ 95.0% · notional $4,750 · 10/14/2026, 4:14:27 PM
5000 @ 85.5% · notional $4,275 · 10/14/2026, 3:13:37 PM
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · BUY NO
2 @ 85.0% · notional $2 · 10/14/2026, 12:50:27 PM
22 @ 90.0% · notional $20 · 10/14/2026, 12:50:27 PM
12 @ 90.0% · notional $10 · 10/14/2026, 12:50:23 PM
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · BUY NO
12 @ 85.0% · notional $10 · 10/14/2026, 12:50:18 PM
12 @ 90.0% · notional $11 · 10/14/2026, 12:50:18 PM
9 @ 90.0% · notional $8 · 10/14/2026, 12:50:12 PM
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · BUY NO
9 @ 85.0% · notional $8 · 10/14/2026, 12:50:12 PM
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · BUY NO
3 @ 85.0% · notional $3 · 10/14/2026, 12:50:09 PM
4 @ 90.0% · notional $3 · 10/14/2026, 12:50:08 PM
11 @ 90.0% · notional $9 · 10/14/2026, 12:50:02 PM
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · BUY NO
10 @ 85.0% · notional $9 · 10/14/2026, 12:50:02 PM
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · BUY NO
11 @ 85.0% · notional $9 · 10/14/2026, 12:49:56 PM
11 @ 90.0% · notional $10 · 10/14/2026, 12:49:56 PM
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · BUY NO
1 @ 85.0% · notional $1 · 10/14/2026, 12:49:51 PM
1 @ 90.0% · notional $1 · 10/14/2026, 12:49:50 PM
8 @ 99.6% · notional $8 · 10/14/2026, 12:39:14 PM
72 @ 95.3% · notional $68 · 10/14/2026, 12:35:27 PM
50 @ 95.3% · notional $48 · 10/14/2026, 12:33:12 PM
132 @ 95.3% · notional $125 · 10/14/2026, 12:33:09 PM
129 @ 95.3% · notional $123 · 10/14/2026, 12:32:39 PM
319 @ 95.3% · notional $304 · 10/14/2026, 12:32:38 PM
250 @ 99.6% · notional $249 · 10/14/2026, 12:21:06 PM
Resolved history
Source closed_positions_fallback · Accuracy n/a · Correct 0 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted n/a · Score 0.0
No resolved positions found.