Trader

occasionalAwareness

0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532b

Quality

PnL

$754

Volume

$38,865

Win rate

43%

Last seen 10/17/2026, 3:13:56 PM

Leaderboard

FINANCE · DAY · PNL

Rank 5 · PnL $1,908 · Volume $0

FINANCE · ALL · PNL

Rank 40 · PnL $76,954 · Volume $2,271,668

POLITICS · ALL · PNL

Rank 73 · PnL $592,665 · Volume $81,804,017

TECH · WEEK · PNL

Rank 77 · PnL $634 · Volume $14,900

CULTURE · ALL · PNL

Rank 84 · PnL $71,996 · Volume $4,321,089

TECH · ALL · PNL

Rank 120 · PnL $14,785 · Volume $744,620

POLITICS · MONTH · PNL

Rank 132 · PnL $17,007 · Volume $130,879

OVERALL · ALL · PNL

Rank 160 · PnL $1,124,919 · Volume $103,098,468

TECH · MONTH · PNL

Rank 221 · PnL $754 · Volume $38,865

OVERALL · DAY · PNL

Rank 462 · PnL $2,049 · Volume $0

POLITICS · DAY · PNL

Rank 520 · PnL $150 · Volume $0

CRYPTO · ALL · PNL

Rank 753 · PnL $48,314 · Volume $2,377,192

SPORTS · ALL · PNL

Rank 803 · PnL $101,930 · Volume $4,478,066

WEATHER · ALL · PNL

Rank 2312 · PnL $593 · Volume $47,455

TECH · DAY · PNL

Rank 8562 · PnL -$9 · Volume $0

Current positions

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · NO · general

60625 shares · value $54,866 · avg 90.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · YES · general

94028 shares · value $34,367 · avg 48.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · YES · general

55888 shares · value $33,253 · avg 37.3% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · YES · general

45665 shares · value $31,737 · avg 44.3% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · NO · general

27556 shares · value $26,839 · avg 90.5% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · NO · general

16839 shares · value $16,587 · avg 94.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · NO · general

40863 shares · value $14,915 · avg 48.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · NO · general

34579 shares · value $10,201 · avg 14.8% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Plague pandemic in 2026? · NO · general

8253 shares · value $8,042 · avg 94.5% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · YES · general

24768 shares · value $6,762 · avg 29.9% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Anthropic IPO before 2027? · NO · general

11600 shares · value $3,190 · avg 12.1% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · YES · general

13679 shares · value $2,394 · avg 11.5% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · NO · general

7071 shares · value $2,086 · avg 48.2% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · YES · general

54008 shares · value $1,998 · avg 6.9% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · YES · general

15400 shares · value $1,694 · avg 46.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · YES · politics

77680 shares · value $1,282 · avg 3.9% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? · YES · general

15477 shares · value $929 · avg 18.6% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · YES · general

11030 shares · value $761 · avg 10.1% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · YES · general

13654 shares · value $614 · avg 19.9% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? · YES · general

600 shares · value $300 · avg 73.6% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · NO · general

3512 shares · value $174 · avg 2.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · YES · general

4605 shares · value $147 · avg 15.9% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · YES · general

3230 shares · value $145 · avg 21.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · YES · general

2938 shares · value $132 · avg 20.5% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · YES · general

5178 shares · value $124 · avg 12.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? · NO · general

500 shares · value $98 · avg 22.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · YES · politics

18785 shares · value $94 · avg 1.8% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · YES · general

3916 shares · value $90 · avg 21.2% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · YES · general

2870 shares · value $80 · avg 11.3% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? · YES · general

548 shares · value $76 · avg 1.1% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · NO · general

80 shares · value $76 · avg 75.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · YES · general

395 shares · value $69 · avg 27.5% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? · NO · general

56 shares · value $54 · avg 89.9% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · YES · general

4454 shares · value $47 · avg 3.7% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · YES · general

2444 shares · value $26 · avg 1.2% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · YES · general

655 shares · value $12 · avg 3.2% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · YES · general

1862 shares · value $9 · avg 0.2% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · YES · general

824 shares · value $6 · avg 0.8% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · YES · general

1947 shares · value $3 · avg 0.3% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · YES · general

808 shares · value $2 · avg 5.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · YES · general

3041 shares · value $2 · avg 0.3% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · YES · general

1602 shares · value $1 · avg 0.2% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Starmer out by May 19, 2026? · YES · politics

5368 shares · value $0 · avg 0.7% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · NO · general

1453 shares · value $0 · avg 42.3% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? · YES · general

1424 shares · value $0 · avg 12.9% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · NO · general

1400 shares · value $0 · avg 27.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? · NO · general

1200 shares · value $0 · avg 12.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? · YES · general

696 shares · value $0 · avg 7.4% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? · YES · general

690 shares · value $0 · avg 8.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · YES · general

687 shares · value $0 · avg 40.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day? · YES · general

678 shares · value $0 · avg 2.8% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · YES · general

5584 shares · value $0 · avg 22.3% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day? · YES · general

637 shares · value $0 · avg 3.2% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? · YES · general

618 shares · value $0 · avg 14.6% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30? · YES · general

6000 shares · value $0 · avg 9.7% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes? · YES · general

15663 shares · value $0 · avg 0.1% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? · NO · general

501 shares · value $0 · avg 20.6% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · YES · politics

17000 shares · value $0 · avg 9.1% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day? · YES · general

500 shares · value $0 · avg 5.7% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? · YES · general

400 shares · value $0 · avg 37.5% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · YES · sports

57313 shares · value $0 · avg 5.3% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · YES · general

66624 shares · value $0 · avg 1.5% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · YES · general

62 shares · value $0 · avg 12.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · YES · sports

85000 shares · value $0 · avg 5.3% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026? · YES · general

20 shares · value $0 · avg 0.3% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · YES · general

1 shares · value $0 · avg 0.3% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? · YES · general

4603 shares · value $0 · avg 0.6% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by August 31? · YES · general

2633 shares · value $0 · avg 0.8% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31? · NO · general

5000 shares · value $0 · avg 12.0% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · NO · general

2000 shares · value $0 · avg 11.1% · 10/16/2026, 2:25:04 PM

Recent trades

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · BUY YES

3 @ 34.0% · notional $1 · 8/24/2026, 12:44:33 AM

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · BUY YES

3 @ 34.0% · notional $1 · 8/23/2026, 11:08:03 PM

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · BUY YES

1232 @ 34.0% · notional $419 · 8/23/2026, 10:17:15 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? · BUY YES

222 @ 15.0% · notional $33 · 8/22/2026, 1:42:06 PM

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? · SELL YES

3600 @ 22.0% · notional $792 · 8/22/2026, 6:02:00 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by August 31? · BUY YES

1294 @ 1.0% · notional $14 · 8/21/2026, 8:23:01 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? · BUY YES

140 @ 15.0% · notional $21 · 8/21/2026, 7:13:58 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? · BUY YES

25 @ 15.0% · notional $4 · 8/21/2026, 5:20:18 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? · BUY YES

8 @ 15.0% · notional $1 · 8/21/2026, 5:12:27 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? · BUY YES

8 @ 15.0% · notional $1 · 8/21/2026, 5:05:21 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

19 @ 26.0% · notional $5 · 8/21/2026, 4:00:31 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

12 @ 26.0% · notional $3 · 8/21/2026, 4:00:27 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

1 @ 26.0% · notional $0 · 8/21/2026, 3:13:03 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

1 @ 26.0% · notional $0 · 8/21/2026, 3:12:55 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

1 @ 26.0% · notional $0 · 8/21/2026, 3:12:45 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

1 @ 26.0% · notional $0 · 8/21/2026, 3:12:39 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

631 @ 26.0% · notional $164 · 8/21/2026, 3:02:12 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

10000 @ 10.5% · notional $1,049 · 8/21/2026, 2:54:43 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? · BUY YES

300 @ 10.0% · notional $30 · 8/21/2026, 2:00:31 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY NO

200 @ 11.0% · notional $22 · 8/21/2026, 4:39:09 AM

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · SELL YES

2 @ 2.8% · notional $0 · 8/21/2026, 4:01:22 AM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY NO

112 @ 11.0% · notional $12 · 8/21/2026, 3:24:33 AM

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · SELL YES

5 @ 2.8% · notional $0 · 8/21/2026, 2:56:39 AM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY NO

621 @ 11.0% · notional $68 · 8/21/2026, 2:14:31 AM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? · BUY YES

66 @ 1.1% · notional $1 · 8/21/2026, 1:15:49 AM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? · BUY YES

30 @ 1.1% · notional $0 · 8/21/2026, 1:15:37 AM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? · BUY YES

50 @ 1.1% · notional $1 · 8/21/2026, 1:15:33 AM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? · BUY YES

135 @ 1.1% · notional $1 · 8/21/2026, 1:14:37 AM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? · BUY YES

100 @ 1.1% · notional $1 · 8/21/2026, 1:14:36 AM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY NO

2797 @ 11.0% · notional $308 · 8/21/2026, 12:11:04 AM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY NO

1100 @ 11.0% · notional $121 · 8/20/2026, 11:54:03 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY NO

1200 @ 11.0% · notional $132 · 8/20/2026, 11:48:03 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY NO

1 @ 11.0% · notional $0 · 8/20/2026, 11:46:34 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · BUY NO

1200 @ 11.0% · notional $132 · 8/20/2026, 11:46:22 PM

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · SELL YES

107 @ 2.8% · notional $3 · 8/20/2026, 6:33:52 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? · BUY YES

260 @ 10.7% · notional $28 · 8/20/2026, 6:17:18 PM

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · SELL YES

100 @ 2.8% · notional $3 · 8/20/2026, 2:55:13 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

1 @ 6.6% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 2:44:31 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

88 @ 6.6% · notional $6 · 8/19/2026, 2:44:22 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

50000 @ 7.0% · notional $3,500 · 8/19/2026, 6:53:30 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

20 @ 6.6% · notional $1 · 8/19/2026, 3:45:22 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? · BUY YES

38 @ 10.0% · notional $4 · 8/18/2026, 6:51:40 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? · BUY YES

733 @ 9.2% · notional $67 · 8/18/2026, 5:07:46 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · SELL YES

8000 @ 82.0% · notional $6,560 · 8/18/2026, 2:30:03 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · SELL YES

4087 @ 37.0% · notional $1,512 · 8/17/2026, 10:00:52 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · SELL YES

200 @ 39.0% · notional $78 · 8/17/2026, 9:57:21 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · SELL YES

892 @ 39.0% · notional $348 · 8/17/2026, 9:57:19 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · SELL YES

13 @ 73.0% · notional $9 · 8/15/2026, 1:03:21 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · BUY YES

62 @ 12.0% · notional $7 · 8/15/2026, 12:16:19 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · SELL YES

44 @ 73.0% · notional $32 · 8/15/2026, 9:42:27 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · SELL YES

2 @ 73.0% · notional $1 · 8/15/2026, 2:42:36 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · SELL YES

2 @ 73.0% · notional $1 · 8/15/2026, 2:26:30 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · SELL YES

1 @ 73.0% · notional $1 · 8/15/2026, 2:26:28 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · SELL YES

204 @ 70.0% · notional $143 · 8/15/2026, 1:46:16 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · SELL YES

25 @ 73.0% · notional $18 · 8/15/2026, 1:20:33 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · SELL YES

202 @ 73.0% · notional $147 · 8/14/2026, 11:36:34 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · SELL YES

594 @ 71.0% · notional $422 · 8/14/2026, 10:34:58 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · SELL YES

8 @ 71.0% · notional $6 · 8/14/2026, 8:42:15 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · SELL YES

20 @ 70.0% · notional $14 · 8/14/2026, 8:13:45 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · SELL YES

29 @ 70.0% · notional $20 · 8/14/2026, 8:02:55 AM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · SELL YES

5000 @ 63.0% · notional $3,150 · 8/13/2026, 9:19:07 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

2000 @ 6.0% · notional $121 · 8/13/2026, 6:14:39 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

55 @ 20.0% · notional $11 · 8/13/2026, 5:20:25 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · BUY YES

40 @ 18.0% · notional $7 · 8/13/2026, 5:19:15 PM

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · SELL YES

32 @ 2.0% · notional $1 · 8/7/2026, 5:39:39 PM

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · SELL YES

37 @ 2.0% · notional $1 · 8/7/2026, 5:39:28 PM

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · SELL YES

2 @ 2.0% · notional $0 · 8/7/2026, 5:39:13 PM

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · SELL YES

1 @ 2.0% · notional $0 · 8/7/2026, 5:39:12 PM

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · SELL YES

8795 @ 2.0% · notional $178 · 8/7/2026, 5:39:10 PM

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? · BUY YES

690 @ 8.0% · notional $55 · 8/5/2026, 8:24:23 PM

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY YES

1233 @ 35.4% · notional $436 · 7/28/2026, 4:33:05 PM

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY YES

1392 @ 35.5% · notional $494 · 7/28/2026, 10:15:50 AM

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY YES

50 @ 34.1% · notional $17 · 7/28/2026, 3:59:13 AM

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY YES

960 @ 34.1% · notional $327 · 7/28/2026, 3:15:58 AM

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · SELL YES

26 @ 65.0% · notional $17 · 7/27/2026, 9:48:01 PM

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY YES

756 @ 35.0% · notional $265 · 7/27/2026, 5:17:40 PM

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY YES

500 @ 37.0% · notional $185 · 7/27/2026, 4:45:21 PM

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY NO

2 @ 50.0% · notional $1 · 7/27/2026, 4:42:36 PM

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY NO

2 @ 50.0% · notional $1 · 7/27/2026, 4:41:51 PM

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY NO

2 @ 50.0% · notional $1 · 7/27/2026, 4:41:39 PM

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY NO

10 @ 50.0% · notional $5 · 7/27/2026, 4:41:36 PM

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY NO

336 @ 50.0% · notional $168 · 7/27/2026, 4:41:28 PM

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY NO

25 @ 50.0% · notional $13 · 7/27/2026, 4:40:19 PM

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY YES

500 @ 35.7% · notional $179 · 7/27/2026, 4:39:03 PM

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY NO

2 @ 50.0% · notional $1 · 7/27/2026, 4:38:33 PM

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY NO

10 @ 50.0% · notional $5 · 7/27/2026, 4:38:28 PM

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · BUY NO

2924 @ 49.7% · notional $1,453 · 7/27/2026, 4:38:10 PM

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · BUY YES

584 @ 21.9% · notional $128 · 7/26/2026, 10:41:46 PM

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · BUY YES

4000 @ 22.0% · notional $880 · 7/26/2026, 5:50:06 PM

Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026? · BUY YES

15 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 7/26/2026, 7:10:15 AM

Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026? · BUY YES

5 @ 0.3% · notional $0 · 7/26/2026, 7:10:13 AM

Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? · BUY YES

696 @ 7.4% · notional $51 · 7/26/2026, 7:07:24 AM

Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? · BUY YES

618 @ 14.6% · notional $90 · 7/26/2026, 7:06:27 AM

Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? · BUY NO

501 @ 20.6% · notional $103 · 7/26/2026, 7:05:45 AM

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · BUY YES

1000 @ 23.9% · notional $239 · 7/26/2026, 6:57:18 AM

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · SELL NO

268 @ 73.0% · notional $195 · 7/26/2026, 6:56:13 AM

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · BUY YES

36 @ 4.1% · notional $1 · 7/23/2026, 4:37:49 PM

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · BUY NO

4760 @ 99.9% · notional $4,755 · 7/10/2026, 11:58:26 PM

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · BUY NO

1114 @ 99.9% · notional $1,113 · 7/10/2026, 11:42:08 PM

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · BUY NO

4978 @ 99.9% · notional $4,973 · 7/10/2026, 11:16:04 PM

Resolved history

Source closed_positions_fallback · Accuracy n/a · Correct 0 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted n/a · Score 0.0

No resolved positions found.