Market

Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 50% · Fair 84% · Edge 33.8 pts

4 tracked holders · YES exposure 7120 · NO exposure 0

4 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 4 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 84% vs market 50%, Q96s3kwozynxpau (240 score) YES value 115. YES offers 67.5% expected profit per dollar risked with 100.0% max profit if correct, or 29.4% annualized. Lead holder: Q96s3kwozynxpau YES value 115 with 229980 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:54:14 PM
Edge 33.8 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:53:14 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:52:14 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:51:14 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:50:14 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:49:14 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:48:14 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · YES · score 99
440711 contracts · value 220 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:01:01 PM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 96
88248 contracts · value 132 · avg 0.8% · 8/1/2026, 3:40:02 PM
11122 · YES · score 99
205000 contracts · value 102 · avg 1.3% · 8/21/2026, 5:27:10 PM
NyetRisk · YES · score 96
67401 contracts · value 101 · avg 0.8% · 8/1/2026, 1:59:59 AM
abdkxrhxr · YES · score 99
50000 contracts · value 25 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:09:08 PM
46340 contracts · value 23 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 8:55:01 PM
CoffeeLover · YES · score 99
16777 contracts · value 8 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 8:58:08 PM
cigarettes · YES · score 99
12692 contracts · value 6 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 8:55:05 PM
TheWolfOfPoly · YES · score 99
11000 contracts · value 5 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:21:05 PM
Logan. · YES · score 99
10585 contracts · value 5 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:07:09 PM
donthackme · YES · score 99
8041 contracts · value 4 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:33:03 PM
Gucky-45 · YES · score 99
7854 contracts · value 4 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 8:58:05 PM
Liquidifier · YES · score 99
4137 contracts · value 2 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:51:06 PM
Hourglass · YES · score 96
1299 contracts · value 2 · 7/31/2026, 12:45:59 PM
LynxTitan · YES · score 96
3330 contracts · value 2 · avg 50.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:07:29 PM
Recent trades
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 99
35862 @ 0.1% · notional 36 · 8/16/2026, 12:25:45 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 99
6666 @ 0.2% · notional 13 · 8/8/2026, 7:39:31 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 96
5 @ 1.0% · notional 0 · 7/22/2026, 3:47:54 PM