Market

Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 50% · Fair 84% · Edge 33.8 pts

4 tracked holders · YES exposure 7120 · NO exposure 0

4 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 4 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 84% vs market 50%, Q96s3kwozynxpau (240 score) YES value 115. YES offers 67.5% expected profit per dollar risked with 100.0% max profit if correct, or 29.4% annualized. Lead holder: Q96s3kwozynxpau YES value 115 with 229980 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:54:14 PM
Edge 33.8 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:53:14 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:52:14 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:51:14 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:50:14 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:49:14 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
7/22/2026, 3:48:14 PM
Edge 39.0 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · YES · score 98
440711 contracts · value 220 · avg 0.7% · 10/17/2026, 3:49:16 PM
11122 · YES · score 46
205000 contracts · value 102 · avg 0.1% · 10/17/2026, 3:59:27 PM
NyetRisk · YES · score 96
67401 contracts · value 101 · avg 0.8% · 8/1/2026, 1:59:59 AM
AnonymousUsername · YES · score 96
88248 contracts · value 44 · avg 0.8% · 8/29/2026, 4:01:09 PM
KiernanMeister · YES · score 74
50000 contracts · value 25 · avg 0.4% · 9/28/2026, 8:41:12 PM
46340 contracts · value 23 · avg 0.7% · 9/20/2026, 6:58:43 PM
CoffeeLover · YES · score 64
16777 contracts · value 8 · avg 50.0% · 8/26/2026, 4:05:10 PM
cigarettes · YES · score 77
12692 contracts · value 6 · avg 0.8% · 10/17/2026, 3:41:15 PM
TheWolfOfPoly · YES · score 82
11000 contracts · value 5 · avg 0.4% · 10/17/2026, 3:47:15 PM
Logan. · YES · score 73
10585 contracts · value 5 · avg 0.8% · 10/1/2026, 2:44:21 AM
donthackme · YES · score 75
8041 contracts · value 4 · avg 0.8% · 10/16/2026, 10:50:58 PM
Gucky-45 · YES · score 66
7854 contracts · value 4 · avg 0.8% · 8/27/2026, 5:49:11 PM
Liquidifier · YES · score 99
4137 contracts · value 2 · avg 0.7% · 10/17/2026, 9:21:13 AM
LynxTitan · YES · score 45
3330 contracts · value 2 · avg 0.8% · 10/17/2026, 3:59:26 PM
Hourglass · YES · score 68
1299 contracts · value 1 · 9/21/2026, 2:34:46 PM
Recent trades
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 82
35862 @ 0.1% · notional 36 · 8/16/2026, 12:25:45 AM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 82
6666 @ 0.2% · notional 13 · 8/8/2026, 7:39:31 AM
Q96s3kwozynxpau · SELL YES · score 73
5 @ 1.0% · notional 0 · 7/22/2026, 3:47:54 PM