Trader
polywog
0xf0d9af9effd0b4a039899901ba19a05ea1a3e4ee
Quality
49
PnL
$440
Volume
$55,000
Win rate
42%
Last seen 6/30/2026, 6:09:41 AM
Leaderboard
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 76 · PnL $71,724 · Volume $278,310
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 177 · PnL $10,088 · Volume $582,284
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 386 · PnL $4,348 · Volume $29,853
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 594 · PnL $43,174 · Volume $392,663
POLITICS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 764 · PnL $458 · Volume $0
CRYPTO · MONTH · PNL
Rank 4711 · PnL $440 · Volume $55,000
CULTURE · MONTH · PNL
Rank 5071 · PnL $11 · Volume $1,938
Current positions
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · NO · general
116602 shares · value $102,027 · avg 50.9% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
284382 shares · value $66,830 · avg 33.9% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · YES · sports
68679 shares · value $39,491 · avg 48.0% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
Iran closes its airspace by May 27? · NO · general
20000 shares · value $19,560 · avg 88.0% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · YES · general
46568 shares · value $19,326 · avg 35.0% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
23809 shares · value $18,214 · avg 74.2% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · NO · general
6237 shares · value $6,065 · avg 67.6% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · NO · general
3888 shares · value $3,596 · avg 76.0% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · NO · general
5000 shares · value $3,575 · avg 34.0% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · NO · general
3483 shares · value $3,257 · avg 87.8% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · YES · general
3266 shares · value $1,094 · avg 54.9% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games? · NO · general
707 shares · value $706 · avg 93.9% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · YES · general
1501 shares · value $548 · avg 25.4% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · YES · general
415 shares · value $4 · avg 6.4% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · YES · general
3030 shares · value $0 · avg 42.3% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
26687 shares · value $0 · avg 35.1% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · YES · general
16814 shares · value $0 · avg 8.9% · 5/27/2026, 3:47:54 PM
Recent trades
80 @ 94.0% · notional $75 · 5/27/2026, 3:30:50 AM
50 @ 94.0% · notional $47 · 5/27/2026, 3:30:08 AM
50 @ 94.0% · notional $47 · 5/27/2026, 3:29:22 AM
30 @ 93.0% · notional $28 · 5/27/2026, 2:14:09 AM
390 @ 94.0% · notional $367 · 5/27/2026, 12:02:28 AM
8 @ 94.0% · notional $7 · 5/26/2026, 10:03:04 PM
14 @ 94.0% · notional $13 · 5/26/2026, 4:22:59 PM
14 @ 94.0% · notional $13 · 5/26/2026, 4:13:03 PM
80 @ 93.0% · notional $74 · 5/26/2026, 12:28:35 PM
30 @ 94.0% · notional $28 · 5/26/2026, 10:08:22 AM
14 @ 94.0% · notional $13 · 5/26/2026, 5:49:59 AM
3907 @ 39.0% · notional $1,524 · 5/26/2026, 2:19:14 AM
93 @ 39.0% · notional $36 · 5/26/2026, 2:14:21 AM
1027 @ 41.0% · notional $421 · 5/26/2026, 1:52:43 AM
3 @ 41.0% · notional $1 · 5/26/2026, 1:42:34 AM
17 @ 41.0% · notional $7 · 5/26/2026, 1:42:32 AM
3 @ 41.0% · notional $1 · 5/26/2026, 1:40:58 AM
2 @ 41.0% · notional $1 · 5/26/2026, 1:40:56 AM
3 @ 41.0% · notional $1 · 5/26/2026, 1:40:33 AM
2 @ 41.0% · notional $1 · 5/26/2026, 1:35:25 AM
5 @ 41.0% · notional $2 · 5/26/2026, 1:33:24 AM
5 @ 41.0% · notional $2 · 5/26/2026, 1:33:23 AM
27 @ 41.0% · notional $11 · 5/26/2026, 1:33:14 AM
22 @ 41.0% · notional $9 · 5/26/2026, 1:17:46 AM
459 @ 41.0% · notional $188 · 5/26/2026, 1:16:01 AM
5 @ 41.0% · notional $2 · 5/26/2026, 1:15:04 AM
5 @ 41.0% · notional $2 · 5/26/2026, 1:15:00 AM
4249 @ 48.0% · notional $2,040 · 5/26/2026, 12:56:50 AM
202 @ 48.0% · notional $97 · 5/26/2026, 12:56:46 AM
202 @ 48.0% · notional $97 · 5/26/2026, 12:56:31 AM
202 @ 48.0% · notional $97 · 5/26/2026, 12:56:22 AM
267 @ 48.0% · notional $128 · 5/26/2026, 12:56:17 AM
18 @ 48.0% · notional $9 · 5/26/2026, 12:56:15 AM
155 @ 48.0% · notional $75 · 5/26/2026, 12:56:10 AM
202 @ 48.0% · notional $97 · 5/26/2026, 12:55:59 AM
5 @ 48.0% · notional $2 · 5/26/2026, 12:55:57 AM
5 @ 48.0% · notional $2 · 5/26/2026, 12:55:52 AM
202 @ 48.0% · notional $97 · 5/26/2026, 12:55:50 AM
5 @ 48.0% · notional $2 · 5/26/2026, 12:55:49 AM
202 @ 48.0% · notional $97 · 5/26/2026, 12:55:40 AM
600 @ 48.0% · notional $288 · 5/26/2026, 12:55:26 AM
37 @ 48.0% · notional $18 · 5/26/2026, 12:55:07 AM
300 @ 48.0% · notional $144 · 5/26/2026, 12:54:35 AM
139 @ 48.0% · notional $67 · 5/26/2026, 12:54:33 AM
320 @ 48.0% · notional $154 · 5/26/2026, 12:53:57 AM
7 @ 48.0% · notional $4 · 5/26/2026, 12:53:06 AM
135 @ 48.0% · notional $65 · 5/26/2026, 12:50:27 AM
200 @ 48.0% · notional $96 · 5/26/2026, 12:50:18 AM
5 @ 48.0% · notional $2 · 5/26/2026, 12:50:06 AM
100 @ 48.0% · notional $48 · 5/26/2026, 12:49:55 AM
50 @ 48.0% · notional $24 · 5/26/2026, 12:49:17 AM
100 @ 48.0% · notional $48 · 5/26/2026, 12:48:19 AM
30 @ 48.0% · notional $14 · 5/26/2026, 12:48:10 AM
95 @ 48.0% · notional $46 · 5/26/2026, 12:48:00 AM
4 @ 48.0% · notional $2 · 5/26/2026, 12:47:46 AM
5 @ 48.0% · notional $2 · 5/26/2026, 12:47:39 AM
18 @ 48.0% · notional $9 · 5/26/2026, 12:47:32 AM
32 @ 48.0% · notional $15 · 5/26/2026, 12:47:19 AM
18 @ 48.0% · notional $9 · 5/26/2026, 12:47:16 AM
495 @ 48.0% · notional $238 · 5/26/2026, 12:47:04 AM
3 @ 48.0% · notional $1 · 5/26/2026, 12:46:36 AM
37 @ 48.0% · notional $18 · 5/26/2026, 12:46:22 AM
2 @ 48.0% · notional $1 · 5/26/2026, 12:42:43 AM
20 @ 48.0% · notional $10 · 5/26/2026, 12:40:37 AM
10 @ 48.0% · notional $5 · 5/26/2026, 12:34:14 AM
2 @ 48.0% · notional $1 · 5/26/2026, 12:26:09 AM
96 @ 48.0% · notional $46 · 5/26/2026, 12:22:25 AM
102 @ 48.0% · notional $49 · 5/26/2026, 12:19:14 AM
178 @ 48.0% · notional $86 · 5/26/2026, 12:18:51 AM
254 @ 48.0% · notional $122 · 5/26/2026, 12:16:21 AM
2 @ 48.0% · notional $1 · 5/26/2026, 12:13:57 AM
5 @ 48.0% · notional $2 · 5/26/2026, 12:11:50 AM
5 @ 48.0% · notional $2 · 5/26/2026, 12:11:46 AM
5000 @ 48.0% · notional $2,400 · 5/26/2026, 12:05:54 AM
11 @ 48.0% · notional $5 · 5/26/2026, 12:01:51 AM
3 @ 48.0% · notional $1 · 5/26/2026, 12:01:49 AM
400 @ 48.0% · notional $192 · 5/25/2026, 11:54:13 PM
13 @ 48.0% · notional $6 · 5/25/2026, 11:52:31 PM
44 @ 48.0% · notional $21 · 5/25/2026, 11:51:35 PM
30 @ 48.0% · notional $14 · 5/25/2026, 11:51:33 PM
2 @ 48.0% · notional $1 · 5/25/2026, 11:12:25 PM
37 @ 48.0% · notional $18 · 5/25/2026, 10:57:59 PM
22 @ 48.0% · notional $11 · 5/25/2026, 10:24:51 PM
8 @ 48.0% · notional $4 · 5/25/2026, 10:24:00 PM
2 @ 48.0% · notional $1 · 5/25/2026, 10:05:53 PM
41 @ 48.0% · notional $20 · 5/25/2026, 10:01:46 PM
1 @ 48.0% · notional $0 · 5/25/2026, 9:17:07 PM
2 @ 48.0% · notional $1 · 5/25/2026, 8:14:04 PM
1148 @ 48.0% · notional $551 · 5/25/2026, 8:13:41 PM
2 @ 48.0% · notional $1 · 5/25/2026, 8:12:24 PM
10 @ 48.0% · notional $5 · 5/25/2026, 8:09:03 PM
10 @ 48.0% · notional $5 · 5/25/2026, 8:07:40 PM
41 @ 48.0% · notional $20 · 5/25/2026, 8:05:45 PM
29 @ 48.0% · notional $14 · 5/25/2026, 8:03:07 PM
200 @ 48.0% · notional $96 · 5/25/2026, 7:54:01 PM
38 @ 48.0% · notional $18 · 5/25/2026, 7:45:13 PM
400 @ 48.0% · notional $192 · 5/25/2026, 7:41:45 PM
38 @ 48.0% · notional $18 · 5/25/2026, 7:38:06 PM
38 @ 48.0% · notional $18 · 5/25/2026, 7:32:14 PM
38 @ 48.0% · notional $18 · 5/25/2026, 7:25:09 PM
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy 50% · Correct 1 · Incorrect 1 · Flat 0 · Weighted 2% · Score 44.4
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · predicted YES · resolved NO
INCORRECT · notional $32,966 · 5/25/2026, 2:26:32 PM
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $840 · 10/13/2025, 5:37:09 AM