Trader
supersmard
0xe3f2ecfd3e648bdabcd3fb701ccf294f13afe1c1
Quality
45
PnL
$126
Volume
$4,761
Win rate
42%
Last seen 10/17/2026, 4:52:52 PM
Leaderboard
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 38 · PnL $48,455 · Volume $540,146
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 316 · PnL $46,654 · Volume $583,986
WEATHER · DAY · PNL
Rank 429 · PnL $22 · Volume $1,066
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 629 · PnL $79,395 · Volume $1,701,303
POLITICS · DAY · PNL
Rank 645 · PnL $126 · Volume $4,761
POLITICS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1489 · PnL $263 · Volume $68,270
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 2435 · PnL $76,767 · Volume $1,921,187
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 2884 · PnL $2,249 · Volume $25,792
OVERALL · DAY · PNL
Rank 3685 · PnL $149 · Volume $5,827
Current positions
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
16467 shares · value $10,786 · avg 62.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
20535 shares · value $7,701 · avg 29.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · NO · general
20768 shares · value $7,580 · avg 33.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · NO · general
7278 shares · value $4,694 · avg 58.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
30000 shares · value $4,650 · avg 13.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
5060 shares · value $3,162 · avg 65.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
15000 shares · value $2,325 · avg 13.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
7382 shares · value $2,104 · avg 28.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · NO · general
5000 shares · value $1,375 · avg 30.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · YES · general
4302 shares · value $1,011 · avg 28.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · YES · general
91834 shares · value $872 · avg 1.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · YES · general
3127 shares · value $610 · avg 30.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
3587 shares · value $341 · avg 8.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026? · YES · general
1002 shares · value $185 · avg 21.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
1404 shares · value $140 · avg 26.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
1045 shares · value $99 · avg 8.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · YES · general
1132 shares · value $96 · avg 30.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
2047 shares · value $65 · avg 5.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026? · NO · general
67 shares · value $60 · avg 4.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026? · NO · general
69 shares · value $53 · avg 4.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · NO · general
176 shares · value $43 · avg 14.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · YES · general
140 shares · value $35 · avg 14.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? · NO · general
60 shares · value $33 · avg 65.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026? · NO · general
30 shares · value $24 · avg 77.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2? · YES · general
2000 shares · value $21 · avg 14.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
21 shares · value $20 · avg 33.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? · YES · general
50 shares · value $10 · avg 28.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · YES · general
1654 shares · value $0 · avg 11.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? · YES · general
1399 shares · value $0 · avg 5.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · NO · general
1063 shares · value $0 · avg 29.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
895 shares · value $0 · avg 20.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
784 shares · value $0 · avg 54.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
628 shares · value $0 · avg 38.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
612 shares · value $0 · avg 35.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will The Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · YES · general
594 shares · value $0 · avg 0.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · YES · general
582 shares · value $0 · avg 14.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
538 shares · value $0 · avg 53.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
422 shares · value $0 · avg 15.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will SPD win between 13% and 16% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
416 shares · value $0 · avg 24.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
346 shares · value $0 · avg 29.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
224 shares · value $0 · avg 8.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
198 shares · value $0 · avg 48.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
111 shares · value $0 · avg 9.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
109 shares · value $0 · avg 31.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · YES · general
98 shares · value $0 · avg 4.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
52 shares · value $0 · avg 22.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
40 shares · value $0 · avg 25.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
20 shares · value $0 · avg 25.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
6 shares · value $0 · avg 10.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
5 shares · value $0 · avg 42.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? · NO · general
40000 shares · value $0 · avg 0.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? · YES · general
19606 shares · value $0 · avg 13.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
10000 shares · value $0 · avg 28.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
9654 shares · value $0 · avg 5.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
8665 shares · value $0 · avg 21.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
8492 shares · value $0 · avg 59.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? · YES · general
8000 shares · value $0 · avg 8.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? · YES · general
8000 shares · value $0 · avg 5.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
6216 shares · value $0 · avg 40.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · NO · general
6139 shares · value $0 · avg 30.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? · YES · general
5999 shares · value $0 · avg 16.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? · YES · general
5000 shares · value $0 · avg 16.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
4991 shares · value $0 · avg 37.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · NO · general
4990 shares · value $0 · avg 57.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · YES · general
4932 shares · value $0 · avg 12.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? · YES · general
4351 shares · value $0 · avg 27.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
4119 shares · value $0 · avg 45.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · YES · general
3908 shares · value $0 · avg 23.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
3388 shares · value $0 · avg 33.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · YES · general
3246 shares · value $0 · avg 15.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
2476 shares · value $0 · avg 12.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
2429 shares · value $0 · avg 39.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? · YES · general
2161 shares · value $0 · avg 14.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · YES · general
2083 shares · value $0 · avg 21.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? · NO · general
2000 shares · value $0 · avg 82.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes? · YES · general
1777 shares · value $0 · avg 27.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:23:14 PM
Recent trades
2000 @ 14.0% · notional $280 · 10/17/2026, 3:25:33 PM
6 @ 28.0% · notional $2 · 10/17/2026, 9:15:41 AM
4 @ 28.0% · notional $1 · 10/17/2026, 9:03:27 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
1066 @ 20.2% · notional $215 · 10/17/2026, 8:15:17 AM
2736 @ 64.0% · notional $1,751 · 10/17/2026, 5:15:20 AM
50 @ 28.0% · notional $14 · 10/16/2026, 9:33:57 PM
400 @ 28.0% · notional $112 · 10/16/2026, 9:33:50 PM
2 @ 64.0% · notional $1 · 10/16/2026, 8:21:35 PM
246 @ 28.0% · notional $69 · 10/16/2026, 6:15:39 PM
246 @ 28.0% · notional $69 · 10/16/2026, 6:15:38 PM
246 @ 28.0% · notional $69 · 10/16/2026, 6:15:35 PM
17 @ 28.0% · notional $5 · 10/16/2026, 6:14:02 PM
6 @ 28.0% · notional $2 · 10/16/2026, 6:14:00 PM
12 @ 28.0% · notional $3 · 10/16/2026, 6:13:57 PM
6113 @ 28.0% · notional $1,712 · 10/16/2026, 6:13:56 PM
2000 @ 64.0% · notional $1,280 · 10/16/2026, 4:59:15 PM
305 @ 64.0% · notional $195 · 10/16/2026, 4:53:01 PM
20 @ 26.0% · notional $5 · 10/16/2026, 3:18:19 AM
100 @ 26.0% · notional $26 · 10/16/2026, 3:16:46 AM
103 @ 26.0% · notional $27 · 10/16/2026, 2:27:39 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
17 @ 26.0% · notional $4 · 10/16/2026, 2:13:39 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
25 @ 26.0% · notional $7 · 10/16/2026, 2:13:22 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
25 @ 26.0% · notional $7 · 10/16/2026, 2:13:06 AM
51 @ 26.0% · notional $13 · 10/16/2026, 2:12:55 AM
622 @ 26.8% · notional $167 · 10/16/2026, 2:12:52 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
0 @ 29.0% · notional $0 · 10/15/2026, 7:50:14 PM
16 @ 29.0% · notional $5 · 10/15/2026, 4:07:53 PM
3410 @ 45.0% · notional $1,535 · 10/15/2026, 12:10:34 PM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
150 @ 29.0% · notional $43 · 10/15/2026, 10:18:04 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
100 @ 29.0% · notional $29 · 10/15/2026, 9:56:05 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
8 @ 29.0% · notional $2 · 10/15/2026, 2:21:47 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
1 @ 29.0% · notional $0 · 10/15/2026, 12:44:32 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
56 @ 29.0% · notional $16 · 10/15/2026, 12:44:31 AM
52 @ 29.0% · notional $15 · 10/14/2026, 6:32:40 PM
9 @ 29.0% · notional $3 · 10/14/2026, 6:17:46 PM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
15 @ 29.0% · notional $4 · 10/14/2026, 6:01:51 PM
15 @ 29.0% · notional $4 · 10/14/2026, 5:33:49 PM
5 @ 63.0% · notional $3 · 10/14/2026, 3:39:09 PM
2 @ 63.0% · notional $1 · 10/14/2026, 3:39:06 PM
14 @ 63.0% · notional $9 · 10/14/2026, 3:36:04 PM
13 @ 63.0% · notional $8 · 10/14/2026, 3:35:36 PM
3 @ 63.0% · notional $2 · 10/14/2026, 3:35:33 PM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
300 @ 29.0% · notional $87 · 10/14/2026, 3:31:40 PM
22 @ 63.0% · notional $14 · 10/14/2026, 3:11:06 PM
51 @ 63.0% · notional $32 · 10/14/2026, 3:11:03 PM
13 @ 63.0% · notional $8 · 10/14/2026, 3:10:39 PM
1 @ 63.0% · notional $1 · 10/14/2026, 3:10:36 PM
3 @ 63.0% · notional $2 · 10/14/2026, 3:08:42 PM
59 @ 63.0% · notional $37 · 10/14/2026, 3:08:39 PM
18 @ 63.0% · notional $12 · 10/14/2026, 3:08:37 PM
3 @ 63.0% · notional $2 · 10/14/2026, 2:59:31 PM
11 @ 63.0% · notional $7 · 10/14/2026, 2:05:23 PM
159 @ 63.0% · notional $100 · 10/14/2026, 1:53:47 PM
8 @ 63.0% · notional $5 · 10/14/2026, 1:45:45 PM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
6 @ 29.0% · notional $2 · 10/14/2026, 1:41:54 PM
32 @ 63.0% · notional $20 · 10/14/2026, 12:36:45 PM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
6 @ 29.0% · notional $2 · 10/14/2026, 12:22:39 PM
9 @ 63.0% · notional $6 · 10/14/2026, 11:58:51 AM
2 @ 63.0% · notional $1 · 10/14/2026, 11:49:43 AM
10 @ 63.0% · notional $6 · 10/14/2026, 11:45:23 AM
10 @ 63.0% · notional $6 · 10/14/2026, 11:45:22 AM
2 @ 63.0% · notional $1 · 10/14/2026, 11:45:11 AM
14 @ 63.0% · notional $9 · 10/14/2026, 11:45:07 AM
48 @ 63.0% · notional $30 · 10/14/2026, 11:31:38 AM
16 @ 63.0% · notional $10 · 10/14/2026, 10:41:02 AM
30 @ 63.0% · notional $19 · 10/14/2026, 10:24:44 AM
2 @ 63.0% · notional $1 · 10/14/2026, 9:55:17 AM
500 @ 63.0% · notional $315 · 10/14/2026, 9:18:29 AM
3287 @ 63.0% · notional $2,071 · 10/14/2026, 9:07:34 AM
6 @ 63.0% · notional $4 · 10/14/2026, 9:07:10 AM
109 @ 63.0% · notional $69 · 10/14/2026, 7:50:16 AM
17499 @ 62.0% · notional $10,849 · 10/14/2026, 7:29:43 AM
452 @ 63.0% · notional $285 · 10/14/2026, 7:28:28 AM
2 @ 45.0% · notional $1 · 10/14/2026, 6:37:44 AM
200 @ 45.0% · notional $90 · 10/14/2026, 6:36:55 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
10 @ 29.0% · notional $3 · 10/14/2026, 6:35:16 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
30 @ 29.0% · notional $9 · 10/14/2026, 6:35:08 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
500 @ 29.0% · notional $145 · 10/14/2026, 6:34:46 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
20 @ 29.0% · notional $6 · 10/14/2026, 6:15:55 AM
3616 @ 29.1% · notional $1,052 · 10/14/2026, 6:15:43 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
939 @ 35.0% · notional $329 · 10/13/2026, 11:22:46 AM
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · SELL NO
26 @ 35.0% · notional $9 · 10/13/2026, 9:17:04 AM
1022 @ 8.0% · notional $82 · 10/6/2026, 8:51:03 PM
11 @ 8.0% · notional $1 · 10/6/2026, 8:48:27 PM
123 @ 8.0% · notional $10 · 10/6/2026, 8:47:11 PM
305 @ 8.0% · notional $24 · 10/6/2026, 8:46:57 PM
98 @ 8.0% · notional $8 · 10/6/2026, 8:46:50 PM
5 @ 8.0% · notional $0 · 10/6/2026, 8:46:39 PM
5 @ 8.0% · notional $0 · 10/6/2026, 8:46:35 PM
21 @ 8.0% · notional $2 · 10/6/2026, 8:46:33 PM
11 @ 8.0% · notional $1 · 10/6/2026, 8:46:30 PM
5000 @ 30.0% · notional $1,500 · 10/6/2026, 8:46:27 PM
2 @ 8.0% · notional $0 · 10/6/2026, 8:46:27 PM
2 @ 8.0% · notional $0 · 10/6/2026, 8:46:26 PM
6000 @ 37.0% · notional $2,220 · 10/6/2026, 8:45:54 PM
2453 @ 13.0% · notional $319 · 10/6/2026, 7:48:30 PM
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · BUY YES
27 @ 0.9% · notional $0 · 10/6/2026, 1:21:45 PM
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · BUY YES
15355 @ 0.9% · notional $138 · 10/6/2026, 11:48:06 AM
1931 @ 5.1% · notional $98 · 10/6/2026, 11:26:28 AM
32 @ 5.1% · notional $2 · 10/6/2026, 10:01:19 AM
Resolved history
No resolved history summary available yet.
No resolved positions found.