Trader

junkbonds

0xdaad6f960d507dba148c1ff908db5a28743169cc

Quality

PnL

$22,963

Volume

$1,150,643

Win rate

65%

Last seen 10/17/2026, 5:15:26 PM

Leaderboard

WEATHER · ALL · PNL

Rank 26 · PnL $51,400 · Volume $864,486

CULTURE · ALL · PNL

Rank 339 · PnL $22,963 · Volume $1,150,643

POLITICS · MONTH · PNL

Rank 396 · PnL $5,431 · Volume $16,632

MENTIONS · WEEK · PNL

Rank 1301 · PnL -$8,328 · Volume $20,143

POLITICS · DAY · PNL

Rank 1701 · PnL $31 · Volume $0

FINANCE · ALL · PNL

Rank 1769 · PnL $2,839 · Volume $17,217

OVERALL · ALL · PNL

Rank 2297 · PnL $82,038 · Volume $5,969,321

MENTIONS · MONTH · PNL

Rank 4531 · PnL -$8,328 · Volume $20,143

POLITICS · ALL · PNL

Rank 5705 · PnL $6,017 · Volume $3,210,940

CRYPTO · ALL · PNL

Rank 7170 · PnL $6,611 · Volume $315,028

OVERALL · DAY · PNL

Rank 8670 · PnL $31 · Volume $0

Current positions

Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? · YES · general

6237 shares · value $873 · avg 66.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · YES · general

996 shares · value $157 · avg 44.2% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? · YES · general

2050 shares · value $102 · avg 10.2% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? · YES · general

371 shares · value $4 · avg 5.7% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? · YES · general

95 shares · value $4 · avg 36.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? · YES · general

30 shares · value $4 · avg 24.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · NO · politics

1 shares · value $1 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Jared Leto be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · YES · general

100 shares · value $0 · avg 0.2% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · YES · politics

1 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m? · NO · general

4475 shares · value $0 · avg 36.5% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m? · YES · general

4303 shares · value $0 · avg 39.4% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m? · YES · general

3859 shares · value $0 · avg 13.4% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July? · NO · general

1442 shares · value $0 · avg 19.3% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · NO · general

1405 shares · value $0 · avg 17.3% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Robert Smullen be the Republican nominee for NY-21? · YES · general

1384 shares · value $0 · avg 1.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · NO · general

1237 shares · value $0 · avg 1.7% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · NO · general

1163 shares · value $0 · avg 1.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31? · YES · general

1152 shares · value $0 · avg 27.4% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · NO · general

1092 shares · value $0 · avg 2.9% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m? · YES · general

1071 shares · value $0 · avg 11.9% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Resident Evil" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 26m? · NO · general

1006 shares · value $0 · avg 30.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? · YES · general

691 shares · value $0 · avg 10.7% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? · YES · general

652 shares · value $0 · avg 38.9% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? · NO · general

103237 shares · value $0 · avg 0.4% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31? · YES · general

544 shares · value $0 · avg 2.4% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference? · YES · general

450 shares · value $0 · avg 33.8% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m? · NO · general

406 shares · value $0 · avg 26.6% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m? · YES · general

382 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Resident Evil" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m? · YES · general

376 shares · value $0 · avg 31.4% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21? · NO · general

317 shares · value $0 · avg 1.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? · YES · general

292 shares · value $0 · avg 20.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%? · YES · general

251 shares · value $0 · avg 62.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m? · YES · general

199 shares · value $0 · avg 3.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m? · YES · general

185 shares · value $0 · avg 2.4% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · YES · general

153 shares · value $0 · avg 16.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2? · YES · general

135 shares · value $0 · avg 29.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · NO · general

125 shares · value $0 · avg 26.5% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · NO · general

118 shares · value $0 · avg 26.9% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m? · NO · general

48 shares · value $0 · avg 54.2% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21? · YES · general

40 shares · value $0 · avg 69.7% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m? · YES · general

19 shares · value $0 · avg 3.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? · YES · general

10 shares · value $0 · avg 43.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31? · NO · general

6 shares · value $0 · avg 33.0% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · NO · general

2 shares · value $0 · avg 58.8% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m? · YES · general

633 shares · value $0 · avg 18.5% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31? · YES · general

25983 shares · value $0 · avg 0.2% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m? · YES · general

22613 shares · value $0 · avg 4.3% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · YES · general

20610 shares · value $0 · avg 26.8% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · NO · general

20143 shares · value $0 · avg 41.3% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · YES · general

15000 shares · value $0 · avg 0.2% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · NO · general

7925 shares · value $0 · avg 6.6% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 31, 2026? · YES · general

6008 shares · value $0 · avg 7.1% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · YES · general

5602 shares · value $0 · avg 0.5% · 10/17/2026, 5:15:18 PM

Recent trades

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

10000 @ 0.2% · notional $20 · 10/1/2026, 6:02:32 AM

Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? · SELL YES

15 @ 90.0% · notional $13 · 9/27/2026, 3:31:50 AM

Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? · BUY YES

667 @ 38.9% · notional $259 · 9/26/2026, 4:51:50 AM

Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m? · BUY YES

1071 @ 11.9% · notional $127 · 9/26/2026, 4:51:48 AM

Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m? · BUY NO

48 @ 54.3% · notional $26 · 9/26/2026, 4:51:48 AM

Will "Resident Evil" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 26m? · BUY NO

1006 @ 30.0% · notional $302 · 9/25/2026, 1:36:18 AM

Will "Resident Evil" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m? · BUY YES

376 @ 31.4% · notional $118 · 9/25/2026, 1:36:18 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

78 @ 12.0% · notional $9 · 9/19/2026, 9:31:14 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

239 @ 12.0% · notional $29 · 9/17/2026, 2:39:06 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

200 @ 12.0% · notional $24 · 9/17/2026, 2:38:07 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

300 @ 19.0% · notional $57 · 9/14/2026, 1:50:10 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

100 @ 19.0% · notional $19 · 9/14/2026, 11:04:01 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

150 @ 19.0% · notional $29 · 9/14/2026, 8:52:49 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

200 @ 19.0% · notional $38 · 9/14/2026, 8:44:45 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

169 @ 19.0% · notional $32 · 9/14/2026, 7:49:25 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

62 @ 19.0% · notional $12 · 9/13/2026, 2:59:28 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

75 @ 19.0% · notional $14 · 9/13/2026, 2:26:54 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

689 @ 20.6% · notional $142 · 9/13/2026, 4:17:03 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

21 @ 19.0% · notional $4 · 9/12/2026, 10:25:52 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

20 @ 19.0% · notional $4 · 9/12/2026, 3:27:24 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

250 @ 19.0% · notional $47 · 9/12/2026, 3:25:37 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

250 @ 19.0% · notional $47 · 9/12/2026, 3:25:21 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

250 @ 19.0% · notional $47 · 9/12/2026, 3:24:18 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

108 @ 19.0% · notional $21 · 9/12/2026, 2:07:28 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

20 @ 19.0% · notional $4 · 9/12/2026, 10:20:21 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

261 @ 22.4% · notional $58 · 9/12/2026, 9:37:49 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

533 @ 19.0% · notional $101 · 9/11/2026, 10:24:34 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

1041 @ 23.7% · notional $247 · 9/10/2026, 2:45:37 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

8 @ 25.0% · notional $2 · 9/9/2026, 3:50:36 PM

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? · SELL YES

800 @ 33.0% · notional $264 · 9/8/2026, 4:03:57 AM

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? · BUY YES

1092 @ 20.0% · notional $218 · 9/8/2026, 3:53:30 AM

Will Jared Leto be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · BUY YES

10 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 9/7/2026, 1:24:48 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · BUY YES

456 @ 33.0% · notional $150 · 9/6/2026, 10:17:43 PM

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? · BUY NO

1278 @ 97.9% · notional $1,251 · 8/27/2026, 12:48:57 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31? · BUY YES

16 @ 26.0% · notional $4 · 8/26/2026, 9:50:19 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31? · BUY YES

70 @ 27.7% · notional $19 · 8/26/2026, 9:50:10 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31? · BUY YES

566 @ 24.0% · notional $136 · 8/26/2026, 1:47:48 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31? · BUY YES

16 @ 24.0% · notional $4 · 8/26/2026, 12:42:25 PM

Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · BUY YES

28 @ 43.0% · notional $12 · 8/26/2026, 12:56:36 AM

Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · BUY YES

3 @ 43.0% · notional $1 · 8/26/2026, 12:56:34 AM

Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · BUY YES

11 @ 43.0% · notional $5 · 8/26/2026, 12:56:33 AM

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · BUY NO

1800 @ 45.0% · notional $809 · 8/26/2026, 12:56:28 AM

Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · SELL NO

1088 @ 59.0% · notional $642 · 8/26/2026, 12:53:37 AM

Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · SELL NO

146 @ 59.0% · notional $86 · 8/26/2026, 12:53:34 AM

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · BUY YES

1092 @ 50.0% · notional $546 · 8/26/2026, 12:12:54 AM

Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · BUY NO

1234 @ 58.0% · notional $716 · 8/26/2026, 12:12:45 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? · BUY YES

725 @ 74.0% · notional $536 · 8/25/2026, 7:03:04 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31? · BUY YES

484 @ 31.6% · notional $153 · 8/25/2026, 7:03:03 AM

Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? · BUY YES

10 @ 43.0% · notional $4 · 8/25/2026, 6:44:54 AM

Will Jared Leto be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · BUY YES

10 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 8/22/2026, 2:16:10 PM

Will Jared Leto be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · BUY YES

80 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 8/14/2026, 3:37:07 PM

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

2 @ 58.8% · notional $1 · 8/11/2026, 4:01:36 AM

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 140m and 150m? · BUY YES

1852 @ 92.0% · notional $1,704 · 8/9/2026, 11:05:57 PM

Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? · BUY NO

30 @ 70.0% · notional $21 · 8/3/2026, 1:32:32 PM

Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? · BUY NO

10 @ 70.0% · notional $7 · 8/3/2026, 1:32:30 PM

Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? · BUY NO

127 @ 68.7% · notional $87 · 8/3/2026, 1:32:08 PM

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · BUY YES

169 @ 43.7% · notional $74 · 8/2/2026, 1:05:14 AM

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · SELL NO

408 @ 56.7% · notional $231 · 8/2/2026, 1:05:06 AM

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · BUY YES

12382 @ 33.9% · notional $4,202 · 8/2/2026, 12:49:21 AM

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m? · BUY YES

19 @ 3.0% · notional $1 · 8/2/2026, 12:48:30 AM

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? · BUY YES

200 @ 44.0% · notional $88 · 8/2/2026, 12:48:14 AM

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · BUY NO

408 @ 48.9% · notional $199 · 8/2/2026, 12:48:09 AM

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · BUY NO

326 @ 25.0% · notional $82 · 8/1/2026, 1:53:41 PM

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · BUY NO

1078 @ 15.0% · notional $162 · 8/1/2026, 1:43:41 PM

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · BUY YES

120 @ 16.0% · notional $19 · 8/1/2026, 6:15:53 AM

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · BUY YES

2 @ 16.0% · notional $0 · 8/1/2026, 5:59:21 AM

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · BUY YES

1 @ 16.0% · notional $0 · 8/1/2026, 5:59:20 AM

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · BUY YES

1 @ 16.0% · notional $0 · 8/1/2026, 5:59:17 AM

Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m? · BUY YES

10 @ 2.4% · notional $0 · 8/1/2026, 3:43:39 AM

Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m? · BUY YES

165 @ 2.4% · notional $4 · 8/1/2026, 3:42:05 AM

Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m? · BUY YES

6 @ 2.4% · notional $0 · 8/1/2026, 3:42:03 AM

Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m? · BUY YES

3 @ 2.4% · notional $0 · 8/1/2026, 3:21:50 AM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · BUY YES

231 @ 0.5% · notional $1 · 7/31/2026, 7:58:23 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · BUY YES

1014 @ 0.5% · notional $5 · 7/31/2026, 7:58:05 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · BUY YES

345 @ 0.5% · notional $2 · 7/31/2026, 7:57:57 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · BUY YES

494 @ 0.5% · notional $2 · 7/31/2026, 7:45:24 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · BUY YES

17 @ 0.5% · notional $0 · 7/31/2026, 7:40:20 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · BUY YES

2456 @ 0.5% · notional $12 · 7/31/2026, 7:40:14 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · BUY YES

105 @ 0.5% · notional $1 · 7/31/2026, 7:39:20 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · BUY YES

20 @ 0.5% · notional $0 · 7/31/2026, 7:39:00 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · BUY YES

1 @ 0.5% · notional $0 · 7/31/2026, 7:38:45 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · BUY YES

1 @ 0.5% · notional $0 · 7/31/2026, 7:38:42 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · BUY YES

174 @ 0.5% · notional $1 · 7/31/2026, 7:38:41 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · BUY YES

27 @ 0.5% · notional $0 · 7/31/2026, 7:38:29 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · BUY YES

623 @ 0.5% · notional $3 · 7/31/2026, 7:38:23 PM

Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31? · BUY YES

544 @ 2.4% · notional $13 · 7/31/2026, 3:18:39 PM

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · BUY YES

6000 @ 17.0% · notional $1,020 · 7/30/2026, 12:31:03 AM

Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference? · BUY YES

450 @ 33.8% · notional $152 · 7/29/2026, 3:15:59 PM

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · BUY YES

374 @ 10.0% · notional $37 · 7/29/2026, 8:41:35 AM

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · BUY YES

1197 @ 13.0% · notional $156 · 7/28/2026, 1:17:38 PM

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · BUY YES

656 @ 16.9% · notional $111 · 7/28/2026, 10:00:31 AM

Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? · BUY NO

102 @ 92.2% · notional $94 · 7/24/2026, 8:32:24 AM

Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? · BUY NO

97 @ 92.2% · notional $89 · 7/24/2026, 8:19:19 AM

Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? · BUY NO

106 @ 92.2% · notional $98 · 7/24/2026, 8:18:58 AM

Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? · BUY YES

354 @ 10.7% · notional $38 · 7/24/2026, 2:16:42 AM

Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? · BUY YES

244 @ 10.7% · notional $26 · 7/24/2026, 2:09:15 AM

Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? · BUY YES

371 @ 5.7% · notional $21 · 7/22/2026, 5:12:33 AM

Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? · BUY YES

30 @ 24.0% · notional $7 · 7/22/2026, 5:12:19 AM

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21? · BUY YES

40 @ 69.7% · notional $28 · 7/21/2026, 1:39:58 AM

Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July? · BUY NO

1442 @ 19.3% · notional $278 · 7/20/2026, 11:05:07 PM

Resolved history

Source trade_history · Accuracy 70% · Correct 7 · Incorrect 3 · Flat 0 · Weighted 59% · Score 191.4

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · predicted NO · resolved NO

CORRECT · notional $118 · 8/1/2024, 6:51:59 PM

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · predicted NO · resolved YES

INCORRECT · notional $33,705 · 7/28/2024, 9:49:48 PM

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? · predicted YES · resolved NO

INCORRECT · notional $1,069 · 7/27/2024, 5:07:21 AM

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · predicted NO · resolved NO

CORRECT · notional $177 · 7/24/2024, 4:29:13 PM

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · predicted NO · resolved NO

CORRECT · notional $20,179 · 7/22/2024, 2:51:57 AM

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · predicted NO · resolved NO

CORRECT · notional $38,273 · 7/20/2024, 10:43:23 PM

Will a Trump family member win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? · predicted NO · resolved NO

CORRECT · notional $30 · 7/3/2024, 7:02:08 AM

Will Kristi Noem win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? · predicted NO · resolved NO

CORRECT · notional $60 · 7/2/2024, 2:37:52 PM

Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? · predicted YES · resolved NO

INCORRECT · notional $13,740 · 7/2/2024, 1:41:45 AM

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? · predicted NO · resolved NO

CORRECT · notional $9,790 · 7/2/2024, 12:19:59 AM