Trader
Erasmus.
0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784
Quality
63
PnL
$363
Volume
$262,864
Win rate
42%
Last seen 8/21/2026, 10:51:21 PM
Leaderboard
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 5 · PnL $182,519 · Volume $18,836,644
CRYPTO · ALL · PNL
Rank 153 · PnL $195,086 · Volume $5,293,105
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 175 · PnL $44,692 · Volume $10,335,140
WEATHER · DAY · PNL
Rank 427 · PnL $37 · Volume $0
WEATHER · WEEK · PNL
Rank 464 · PnL $111 · Volume $0
WEATHER · ALL · PNL
Rank 484 · PnL $4,465 · Volume $74,141
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 543 · PnL $2,301 · Volume $0
SPORTS · ALL · PNL
Rank 696 · PnL $123,177 · Volume $2,417,648
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 1169 · PnL $4,678 · Volume $115,913
WEATHER · MONTH · PNL
Rank 1213 · PnL $74 · Volume $0
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 2770 · PnL $363 · Volume $262,864
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 3353 · PnL $2,284 · Volume $0
Current positions
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · NO · general
285171 shares · value $266,635 · avg 74.2% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · NO · general
74141 shares · value $71,509 · avg 90.5% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · NO · general
27158 shares · value $25,393 · avg 82.7% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · YES · general
5117 shares · value $2,635 · avg 48.4% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · YES · general
36834 shares · value $2,026 · avg 37.5% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · NO · general
1161 shares · value $1,122 · avg 91.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · YES · general
52691 shares · value $448 · avg 12.5% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · YES · general
25739 shares · value $39 · avg 9.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · YES · general
162 shares · value $37 · avg 65.1% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
10 shares · value $1 · avg 6.7% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? · YES · general
46626 shares · value $0 · avg 34.5% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · YES · general
43504 shares · value $0 · avg 1.2% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · YES · general
39303 shares · value $0 · avg 1.6% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
34976 shares · value $0 · avg 12.4% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? · YES · general
33749 shares · value $0 · avg 0.8% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · YES · general
32313 shares · value $0 · avg 62.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · YES · general
25787 shares · value $0 · avg 30.7% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? · YES · general
23718 shares · value $0 · avg 24.7% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
20030 shares · value $0 · avg 48.6% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · YES · general
16518 shares · value $0 · avg 33.6% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
13433 shares · value $0 · avg 3.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? · YES · general
11012 shares · value $0 · avg 32.8% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30? · NO · general
10586 shares · value $0 · avg 83.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday? · NO · general
10000 shares · value $0 · avg 42.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
6949 shares · value $0 · avg 8.8% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
6013 shares · value $0 · avg 41.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · YES · general
5217 shares · value $0 · avg 12.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? · YES · general
5029 shares · value $0 · avg 15.7% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
4650 shares · value $0 · avg 5.4% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US national XRP reserve in 2025? · YES · general
4066 shares · value $0 · avg 13.2% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? · YES · general
3291 shares · value $0 · avg 54.7% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? · YES · general
3023 shares · value $0 · avg 10.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? · YES · general
2544 shares · value $0 · avg 4.5% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
2502 shares · value $0 · avg 7.8% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? · YES · general
2431 shares · value $0 · avg 27.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? · YES · general
2057 shares · value $0 · avg 65.1% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? · YES · general
2051 shares · value $0 · avg 18.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? · YES · general
2045 shares · value $0 · avg 27.9% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? · YES · general
1758 shares · value $0 · avg 52.8% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · NO · general
1650 shares · value $0 · avg 60.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · YES · general
1626 shares · value $0 · avg 40.3% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? · YES · general
1423 shares · value $0 · avg 8.5% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
1753344 shares · value $0 · avg 21.6% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? · YES · general
787 shares · value $0 · avg 22.6% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Bill Belichick engaged in 2025? · YES · general
460 shares · value $0 · avg 34.2% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Weed rescheduled in 2025? · YES · general
100 shares · value $0 · avg 28.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? · YES · general
100 shares · value $0 · avg 20.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Israel strikes Iran by October 31? · YES · general
15 shares · value $0 · avg 19.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · YES · general
925 shares · value $0 · avg 18.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · YES · general
573694 shares · value $0 · avg 6.6% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · YES · general
404314 shares · value $0 · avg 43.7% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · YES · general
326525 shares · value $0 · avg 17.0% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · YES · general
324450 shares · value $0 · avg 15.8% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
219664 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · YES · general
203773 shares · value $0 · avg 16.5% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · YES · general
181802 shares · value $0 · avg 48.4% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Will the government shutdown end November 12? · YES · general
132991 shares · value $0 · avg 40.5% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · YES · general
100000 shares · value $0 · avg 11.6% · 8/18/2026, 10:39:10 AM
Recent trades
6924 @ 68.0% · notional $4,708 · 6/22/2026, 11:09:23 PM
14768 @ 32.0% · notional $4,726 · 6/22/2026, 6:16:59 PM
121805 @ 49.0% · notional $59,745 · 6/22/2026, 1:40:14 PM
600 @ 50.0% · notional $300 · 6/22/2026, 1:40:13 PM
11019 @ 29.0% · notional $3,195 · 6/22/2026, 1:14:34 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
52006 @ 87.0% · notional $45,245 · 6/17/2026, 5:50:26 PM
350000 @ 99.8% · notional $349,300 · 6/17/2026, 5:43:07 PM
10000 @ 72.0% · notional $7,198 · 6/14/2026, 10:34:21 PM
10000 @ 72.0% · notional $7,200 · 6/14/2026, 10:34:13 PM
5737 @ 70.0% · notional $4,015 · 6/14/2026, 10:32:00 PM
0 @ 70.0% · notional $0 · 6/14/2026, 10:31:18 PM
8221 @ 69.6% · notional $5,722 · 6/14/2026, 10:31:15 PM
95055 @ 26.6% · notional $25,315 · 6/14/2026, 10:29:54 PM
7861 @ 28.4% · notional $2,230 · 6/14/2026, 9:52:24 PM
10 @ 51.0% · notional $5 · 6/14/2026, 9:32:03 PM
8177 @ 29.0% · notional $2,370 · 6/14/2026, 9:30:27 PM
6419 @ 65.0% · notional $4,172 · 6/14/2026, 9:30:25 PM
8481 @ 63.3% · notional $5,370 · 6/14/2026, 9:30:24 PM
8292 @ 27.6% · notional $2,292 · 6/14/2026, 9:30:09 PM
19645 @ 58.9% · notional $11,577 · 6/14/2026, 9:30:06 PM
19095 @ 46.4% · notional $8,856 · 6/14/2026, 9:29:34 PM
10000 @ 79.0% · notional $7,900 · 6/14/2026, 9:29:18 PM
4794 @ 78.8% · notional $3,779 · 6/14/2026, 9:28:16 PM
2085 @ 61.6% · notional $1,284 · 6/14/2026, 9:27:03 PM
11662 @ 52.1% · notional $6,076 · 6/14/2026, 9:24:58 PM
52001 @ 77.0% · notional $40,041 · 6/14/2026, 9:22:43 PM
3723 @ 60.0% · notional $2,234 · 6/13/2026, 5:25:13 PM
7127 @ 32.6% · notional $2,323 · 6/13/2026, 5:25:07 PM
1135 @ 30.0% · notional $340 · 6/13/2026, 5:03:37 PM
2669 @ 60.0% · notional $1,601 · 6/13/2026, 5:01:21 PM
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · SELL NO
10 @ 99.1% · notional $10 · 6/13/2026, 4:59:22 PM
1861 @ 44.0% · notional $819 · 6/12/2026, 3:15:36 PM
8174 @ 23.0% · notional $1,880 · 6/12/2026, 3:15:28 PM
4446 @ 45.0% · notional $2,001 · 6/12/2026, 3:15:12 PM
5871 @ 15.0% · notional $879 · 6/12/2026, 3:15:00 PM
6009 @ 37.0% · notional $2,223 · 6/12/2026, 3:14:52 PM
9919 @ 20.0% · notional $1,984 · 6/12/2026, 2:15:07 AM
16229 @ 35.0% · notional $5,680 · 6/12/2026, 2:14:16 AM
9197 @ 13.9% · notional $1,275 · 6/12/2026, 2:14:12 AM
1034 @ 23.0% · notional $238 · 6/11/2026, 8:07:27 PM
3239 @ 44.8% · notional $1,452 · 6/11/2026, 8:07:18 PM
1663 @ 24.0% · notional $399 · 6/11/2026, 7:34:30 PM
9037 @ 16.0% · notional $1,444 · 6/11/2026, 7:31:21 PM
6274 @ 40.8% · notional $2,562 · 6/11/2026, 7:30:42 PM
1648 @ 40.0% · notional $659 · 6/11/2026, 7:26:48 PM
2981 @ 39.7% · notional $1,182 · 6/11/2026, 7:24:31 PM
7471 @ 41.3% · notional $3,085 · 6/11/2026, 7:24:06 PM
5950 @ 35.7% · notional $2,127 · 6/11/2026, 7:21:10 PM
11749 @ 20.0% · notional $2,350 · 6/11/2026, 7:21:01 PM
2674 @ 33.8% · notional $903 · 6/11/2026, 7:13:22 PM
28420 @ 18.6% · notional $5,297 · 6/11/2026, 7:13:18 PM
13727 @ 36.0% · notional $4,942 · 6/11/2026, 7:13:13 PM
5447 @ 34.6% · notional $1,883 · 6/11/2026, 7:13:12 PM
10468 @ 15.3% · notional $1,604 · 6/11/2026, 7:13:09 PM
100000 @ 30.0% · notional $30,000 · 6/11/2026, 6:37:15 PM
7038 @ 35.0% · notional $2,463 · 6/11/2026, 6:30:40 PM
9629 @ 12.0% · notional $1,151 · 6/11/2026, 6:30:36 PM
2438 @ 42.0% · notional $1,024 · 6/11/2026, 6:20:03 PM
5864 @ 33.0% · notional $1,935 · 6/11/2026, 6:19:52 PM
13703 @ 16.0% · notional $2,192 · 6/11/2026, 6:13:40 PM
9753 @ 42.0% · notional $4,096 · 6/11/2026, 6:12:57 PM
1794 @ 41.0% · notional $735 · 6/11/2026, 6:12:55 PM
5521 @ 74.0% · notional $4,085 · 6/11/2026, 6:12:49 PM
4360 @ 33.0% · notional $1,439 · 6/11/2026, 6:12:43 PM
18020 @ 12.8% · notional $2,301 · 6/11/2026, 6:12:39 PM
1655 @ 42.0% · notional $695 · 6/11/2026, 6:12:06 PM
3508 @ 11.9% · notional $417 · 6/11/2026, 6:03:54 PM
15165 @ 30.0% · notional $4,549 · 6/11/2026, 6:03:49 PM
6997 @ 21.0% · notional $1,468 · 6/11/2026, 5:49:03 PM
10489 @ 38.7% · notional $4,055 · 6/11/2026, 5:48:54 PM
2175 @ 72.0% · notional $1,566 · 6/11/2026, 5:48:33 PM
1204 @ 40.9% · notional $492 · 6/11/2026, 5:46:48 PM
2690 @ 74.0% · notional $1,991 · 6/11/2026, 5:46:43 PM
6832 @ 34.0% · notional $2,323 · 6/11/2026, 5:46:40 PM
14372 @ 16.2% · notional $2,330 · 6/11/2026, 5:46:25 PM
5361 @ 39.0% · notional $2,090 · 6/3/2026, 8:28:34 PM
21074 @ 18.0% · notional $3,793 · 6/3/2026, 8:28:06 PM
5466 @ 17.0% · notional $929 · 6/3/2026, 8:28:00 PM
23616 @ 14.0% · notional $3,306 · 6/3/2026, 8:19:40 PM
2804 @ 37.0% · notional $1,037 · 6/3/2026, 7:19:48 PM
79092 @ 13.0% · notional $10,282 · 6/3/2026, 7:19:40 PM
14464 @ 23.0% · notional $3,327 · 6/3/2026, 7:19:33 PM
47311 @ 3.6% · notional $1,696 · 6/3/2026, 7:19:25 PM
40671 @ 3.6% · notional $1,484 · 6/3/2026, 2:39:40 PM
19821 @ 26.0% · notional $5,154 · 6/2/2026, 2:28:45 PM
2736 @ 39.0% · notional $1,067 · 6/2/2026, 2:28:42 PM
4975 @ 14.0% · notional $696 · 6/2/2026, 2:28:35 PM
1662 @ 6.0% · notional $100 · 6/2/2026, 2:28:14 PM
9803 @ 27.0% · notional $2,647 · 6/1/2026, 5:37:51 PM
69694 @ 6.0% · notional $4,182 · 6/1/2026, 4:56:04 PM
26394 @ 6.0% · notional $1,584 · 6/1/2026, 2:23:50 PM
33791 @ 2.3% · notional $766 · 5/30/2026, 6:15:41 PM
4405 @ 19.0% · notional $837 · 5/30/2026, 6:07:26 PM
23465 @ 12.9% · notional $3,022 · 5/30/2026, 6:07:10 PM
2045 @ 27.9% · notional $571 · 5/29/2026, 3:07:45 PM
25262 @ 40.9% · notional $10,327 · 5/29/2026, 2:51:46 PM
124344 @ 9.0% · notional $11,191 · 5/29/2026, 2:51:40 PM
18922 @ 20.0% · notional $3,784 · 5/28/2026, 2:13:20 PM
4510 @ 45.0% · notional $2,029 · 5/28/2026, 2:13:15 PM
54489 @ 30.0% · notional $16,347 · 5/28/2026, 2:13:11 PM
Resolved history
Source closed_positions_fallback · Accuracy n/a · Correct 0 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted n/a · Score 0.0
No resolved positions found.