Trader

denizz

0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73

Quality

PnL

$2,371,224

Volume

$88,275,851

Win rate

77%

Last seen 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Leaderboard

POLITICS · ALL · PNL

Rank 15 · PnL $2,371,224 · Volume $88,275,851

MENTIONS · ALL · PNL

Rank 59 · PnL $33,609 · Volume $253,216

OVERALL · ALL · PNL

Rank 62 · PnL $2,329,848 · Volume $98,826,938

POLITICS · MONTH · PNL

Rank 197 · PnL $11,205 · Volume $50,295

TECH · ALL · PNL

Rank 493 · PnL $4,101 · Volume $298,766

FINANCE · ALL · PNL

Rank 968 · PnL $5,489 · Volume $393,904

CRYPTO · ALL · PNL

Rank 1063 · PnL $35,882 · Volume $878,895

OVERALL · MONTH · PNL

Rank 1552 · PnL $8,840 · Volume $64,295

Current positions

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · NO · general

492077 shares · value $465,013 · avg 76.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · NO · general

370470 shares · value $313,047 · avg 73.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · NO · general

160897 shares · value $155,185 · avg 85.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · NO · general

64339 shares · value $62,345 · avg 76.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · YES · general

33374 shares · value $27,200 · avg 66.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · YES · general

33595 shares · value $24,003 · avg 51.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · NO · general

16122 shares · value $15,550 · avg 74.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · NO · general

14912 shares · value $14,092 · avg 82.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · NO · general

15100 shares · value $12,608 · avg 41.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · YES · general

11238 shares · value $9,755 · avg 65.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · NO · general

8365 shares · value $8,106 · avg 81.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · YES · general

56175 shares · value $7,022 · avg 30.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · YES · general

52246 shares · value $6,008 · avg 55.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · NO · general

6115 shares · value $5,717 · avg 83.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · NO · general

5559 shares · value $5,170 · avg 67.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · NO · general

5092 shares · value $4,919 · avg 72.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · NO · general

4994 shares · value $4,774 · avg 77.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · NO · general

4444 shares · value $4,044 · avg 51.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · YES · general

43255 shares · value $3,893 · avg 26.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · NO · general

3928 shares · value $3,771 · avg 81.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · NO · general

3589 shares · value $3,156 · avg 83.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? · NO · general

3089 shares · value $2,939 · avg 80.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · YES · general

17986 shares · value $1,799 · avg 43.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · YES · general

11238 shares · value $1,630 · avg 31.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · YES · general

15244 shares · value $1,601 · avg 57.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · NO · general

1331 shares · value $1,245 · avg 76.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · YES · general

15592 shares · value $1,091 · avg 37.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · YES · general

4444 shares · value $1,089 · avg 36.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · NO · general

1101 shares · value $1,052 · avg 84.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? · NO · general

971 shares · value $925 · avg 82.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · YES · general

7432 shares · value $706 · avg 20.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · YES · general

4624 shares · value $647 · avg 59.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? · NO · general

541 shares · value $508 · avg 68.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · YES · general

3804 shares · value $476 · avg 29.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · YES · general

3616 shares · value $452 · avg 27.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · YES · general

2294 shares · value $379 · avg 25.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · YES · general

205 shares · value $14 · avg 16.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · YES · general

3279 shares · value $0 · avg 53.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · YES · general

22845 shares · value $0 · avg 36.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? · YES · general

3783 shares · value $0 · avg 38.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? · YES · general

18196 shares · value $0 · avg 24.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10? · YES · general

6974 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · YES · general

7008 shares · value $0 · avg 6.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? · YES · general

8454 shares · value $0 · avg 22.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · YES · general

261 shares · value $0 · avg 4.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? · YES · general

225 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31? · NO · general

2168 shares · value $0 · avg 55.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · YES · general

54131 shares · value $0 · avg 39.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? · YES · general

3333 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:13 PM

Recent trades

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

5 @ 95.0% · notional $5 · 10/6/2026, 2:01:05 PM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

44 @ 95.0% · notional $42 · 10/6/2026, 1:26:37 PM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

10000 @ 95.0% · notional $9,500 · 10/6/2026, 12:35:42 PM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

11 @ 95.0% · notional $10 · 10/6/2026, 11:54:36 AM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

5 @ 95.0% · notional $5 · 10/6/2026, 11:27:52 AM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

143 @ 95.0% · notional $136 · 10/6/2026, 11:25:12 AM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

480 @ 95.0% · notional $456 · 10/6/2026, 5:23:19 AM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

5 @ 95.0% · notional $5 · 10/6/2026, 4:17:06 AM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

16 @ 95.0% · notional $15 · 10/6/2026, 3:21:34 AM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

5211 @ 95.0% · notional $4,950 · 10/5/2026, 11:58:59 PM

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · SELL NO

1328 @ 95.0% · notional $1,261 · 10/5/2026, 11:52:34 PM

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · BUY YES

200 @ 16.0% · notional $32 · 9/30/2026, 2:08:02 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

200 @ 19.0% · notional $38 · 9/30/2026, 1:01:57 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · SELL YES

13321 @ 23.0% · notional $3,064 · 9/29/2026, 6:40:26 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · SELL YES

679 @ 23.0% · notional $156 · 9/29/2026, 6:37:18 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

0 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 9/29/2026, 5:19:33 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

9 @ 19.0% · notional $2 · 9/29/2026, 5:19:26 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

3 @ 19.0% · notional $1 · 9/29/2026, 5:19:24 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

6 @ 19.0% · notional $1 · 9/29/2026, 4:57:32 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

1 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 9/29/2026, 4:56:33 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

0 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 9/29/2026, 4:53:30 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

37 @ 19.0% · notional $7 · 9/29/2026, 4:53:29 PM

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · BUY YES

5 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/29/2026, 1:01:53 PM

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · BUY YES

41 @ 16.0% · notional $7 · 9/27/2026, 1:20:03 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · BUY YES

50 @ 22.0% · notional $11 · 9/26/2026, 3:25:53 AM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

2 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 9/26/2026, 2:23:11 AM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

0 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 9/26/2026, 1:11:33 AM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

0 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 9/26/2026, 1:11:32 AM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

0 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 9/25/2026, 7:10:17 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

0 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 9/25/2026, 7:10:15 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

0 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 9/25/2026, 7:10:14 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

6 @ 19.0% · notional $1 · 9/25/2026, 7:10:06 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

0 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 9/25/2026, 7:10:00 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

0 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 9/25/2026, 7:09:57 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

0 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 9/25/2026, 7:09:56 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

0 @ 19.0% · notional $0 · 9/25/2026, 7:09:54 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

8 @ 19.0% · notional $1 · 9/25/2026, 7:09:51 PM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · BUY YES

22 @ 22.0% · notional $5 · 9/25/2026, 4:18:30 PM

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · BUY YES

10 @ 16.0% · notional $2 · 9/25/2026, 11:59:08 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · BUY YES

2222 @ 26.0% · notional $578 · 9/25/2026, 3:23:51 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · BUY YES

326 @ 13.0% · notional $42 · 9/24/2026, 10:05:36 PM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

2222 @ 2.4% · notional $53 · 9/24/2026, 10:05:35 PM

Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? · SELL YES

5 @ 1.6% · notional $0 · 9/24/2026, 9:37:20 PM

Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? · BUY YES

34 @ 1.2% · notional $0 · 9/24/2026, 9:28:42 PM

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · SELL YES

1509 @ 17.0% · notional $257 · 9/24/2026, 9:25:30 PM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · BUY YES

170 @ 13.0% · notional $22 · 9/24/2026, 5:50:09 PM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · BUY YES

192 @ 13.0% · notional $25 · 9/24/2026, 5:50:03 PM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

1 @ 4.2% · notional $0 · 9/24/2026, 7:17:51 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

3 @ 4.2% · notional $0 · 9/24/2026, 7:17:44 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

2 @ 4.2% · notional $0 · 9/24/2026, 7:17:41 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

2 @ 4.2% · notional $0 · 9/24/2026, 7:17:39 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

1 @ 4.2% · notional $0 · 9/24/2026, 7:12:51 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

2 @ 4.2% · notional $0 · 9/24/2026, 7:12:50 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

2 @ 4.2% · notional $0 · 9/24/2026, 7:12:47 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

3 @ 4.2% · notional $0 · 9/24/2026, 7:12:45 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

2 @ 4.2% · notional $0 · 9/24/2026, 7:12:44 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

318 @ 4.2% · notional $13 · 9/24/2026, 6:58:26 AM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

21 @ 85.0% · notional $18 · 9/24/2026, 6:25:26 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

1759 @ 4.7% · notional $83 · 9/24/2026, 5:34:42 AM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

21 @ 85.0% · notional $18 · 9/24/2026, 5:30:11 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · BUY YES

626 @ 16.0% · notional $100 · 9/24/2026, 3:41:52 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · BUY YES

460 @ 16.0% · notional $74 · 9/24/2026, 3:23:30 AM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

5000 @ 85.0% · notional $4,250 · 9/23/2026, 11:48:31 PM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · BUY YES

394 @ 27.0% · notional $106 · 9/23/2026, 9:54:17 PM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · BUY YES

94 @ 16.0% · notional $15 · 9/23/2026, 9:53:56 PM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

6 @ 85.0% · notional $5 · 9/23/2026, 9:24:22 PM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

463 @ 4.7% · notional $22 · 9/23/2026, 8:46:32 PM

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · BUY YES

2222 @ 35.0% · notional $778 · 9/23/2026, 10:48:14 AM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

214 @ 85.0% · notional $182 · 9/23/2026, 10:01:29 AM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

1 @ 85.0% · notional $1 · 9/23/2026, 8:34:25 AM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

60 @ 85.0% · notional $51 · 9/23/2026, 7:24:38 AM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

40 @ 85.0% · notional $34 · 9/23/2026, 6:57:28 AM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

100 @ 85.0% · notional $85 · 9/23/2026, 6:20:19 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · BUY YES

27 @ 24.0% · notional $6 · 9/23/2026, 5:55:08 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · BUY YES

1110 @ 4.4% · notional $49 · 9/23/2026, 5:54:41 AM

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · BUY YES

2778 @ 12.4% · notional $344 · 9/23/2026, 5:54:28 AM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

30 @ 85.0% · notional $26 · 9/23/2026, 5:46:25 AM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

14 @ 85.0% · notional $12 · 9/23/2026, 5:30:17 AM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

50 @ 85.0% · notional $43 · 9/23/2026, 2:30:14 AM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

118 @ 85.0% · notional $100 · 9/22/2026, 11:50:47 PM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

300 @ 85.0% · notional $255 · 9/22/2026, 11:42:04 PM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

541 @ 85.0% · notional $460 · 9/22/2026, 11:32:53 PM

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · BUY YES

2222 @ 37.0% · notional $822 · 9/21/2026, 6:47:29 AM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

216 @ 85.0% · notional $184 · 9/21/2026, 1:49:10 AM

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · BUY YES

431 @ 14.6% · notional $63 · 9/21/2026, 1:47:37 AM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

12 @ 86.0% · notional $10 · 9/18/2026, 10:39:16 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

12 @ 86.0% · notional $10 · 9/18/2026, 10:16:58 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

116 @ 86.0% · notional $100 · 9/18/2026, 10:16:36 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

6 @ 86.0% · notional $5 · 9/18/2026, 10:16:22 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

581 @ 86.0% · notional $500 · 9/18/2026, 6:18:22 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

6 @ 86.0% · notional $5 · 9/18/2026, 5:59:04 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

6 @ 86.0% · notional $5 · 9/18/2026, 5:05:15 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

9 @ 86.0% · notional $8 · 9/18/2026, 5:05:06 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

10 @ 86.0% · notional $9 · 9/18/2026, 4:43:51 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

9 @ 86.0% · notional $8 · 9/18/2026, 4:24:51 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

6 @ 86.0% · notional $5 · 9/18/2026, 4:24:43 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

5 @ 86.0% · notional $4 · 9/18/2026, 2:43:39 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

6 @ 86.0% · notional $5 · 9/18/2026, 1:59:32 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

0 @ 86.0% · notional $0 · 9/18/2026, 12:09:10 PM

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · SELL NO

1985 @ 76.0% · notional $1,509 · 9/18/2026, 11:01:18 AM

Resolved history

Source trade_history · Accuracy 0% · Correct 0 · Incorrect 1 · Flat 0 · Weighted 0% · Score 36.3

Netanyahu out by June 30? · predicted YES · resolved NO

INCORRECT · notional $16,248 · 4/28/2026, 8:45:12 PM