Trader
denizz
0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73
Quality
87
PnL
$35,882
Volume
$878,914
Win rate
67%
Last seen 6/28/2026, 4:09:37 PM
Leaderboard
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 2 · PnL $990,106 · Volume $9,237,413
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 15 · PnL $2,470,289 · Volume $84,170,311
POLITICS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 16 · PnL $18,576 · Volume $20,638
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 31 · PnL $981,882 · Volume $9,986,490
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 54 · PnL $2,432,483 · Volume $94,615,118
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 57 · PnL $33,609 · Volume $253,216
OVERALL · WEEK · PNL
Rank 400 · PnL $18,576 · Volume $20,638
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 420 · PnL $4,101 · Volume $298,766
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 933 · PnL $5,489 · Volume $393,904
CRYPTO · ALL · PNL
Rank 1096 · PnL $35,882 · Volume $878,914
Current positions
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · NO · general
320090 shares · value $273,677 · avg 70.7% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · NO · general
289842 shares · value $262,307 · avg 66.1% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · NO · general
168415 shares · value $168,162 · avg 90.5% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? · NO · general
101128 shares · value $101,027 · avg 79.7% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · NO · general
124580 shares · value $94,058 · avg 73.7% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
73513 shares · value $71,418 · avg 93.2% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · NO · general
71714 shares · value $67,052 · avg 74.3% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? · NO · general
67375 shares · value $65,084 · avg 87.3% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
59412 shares · value $59,085 · avg 95.6% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · NO · general
60920 shares · value $53,305 · avg 75.6% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · YES · general
64573 shares · value $52,142 · avg 51.2% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? · NO · general
45560 shares · value $45,059 · avg 95.0% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · NO · general
44963 shares · value $44,941 · avg 80.1% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Iran leadership change by June 30? · NO · general
43550 shares · value $43,419 · avg 93.2% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · NO · general
47911 shares · value $40,485 · avg 64.7% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · YES · general
44844 shares · value $37,714 · avg 62.1% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · NO · general
37735 shares · value $36,471 · avg 93.8% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · NO · general
36621 shares · value $36,456 · avg 75.0% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
26998 shares · value $26,836 · avg 76.2% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · YES · general
31158 shares · value $25,705 · avg 65.5% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · NO · general
25642 shares · value $25,629 · avg 99.2% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
22425 shares · value $22,268 · avg 92.0% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · NO · general
21360 shares · value $20,922 · avg 81.0% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
16752 shares · value $16,627 · avg 93.9% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? · NO · general
14266 shares · value $14,202 · avg 84.9% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · NO · general
16110 shares · value $12,566 · avg 74.8% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · NO · general
13245 shares · value $11,391 · avg 67.1% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
13576 shares · value $10,793 · avg 77.6% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? · YES · general
12602 shares · value $7,599 · avg 56.8% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · NO · general
7253 shares · value $6,672 · avg 88.6% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
6468 shares · value $6,423 · avg 76.1% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? · NO · general
5922 shares · value $5,913 · avg 98.9% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · NO · general
5092 shares · value $4,916 · avg 72.7% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · NO · general
4994 shares · value $4,420 · avg 77.6% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? · NO · general
4121 shares · value $4,090 · avg 95.8% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? · NO · general
3769 shares · value $3,724 · avg 83.9% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · NO · general
4359 shares · value $3,552 · avg 50.3% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
3527 shares · value $3,157 · avg 83.6% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? · NO · general
3089 shares · value $2,795 · avg 80.6% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
3242 shares · value $2,351 · avg 64.2% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · NO · general
2475 shares · value $2,215 · avg 79.1% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · NO · general
2222 shares · value $2,208 · avg 95.6% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · YES · general
6928 shares · value $1,974 · avg 43.9% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
2461 shares · value $1,944 · avg 70.3% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? · NO · general
1855 shares · value $1,846 · avg 94.8% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Kurds declare independence from Iran? · NO · general
1830 shares · value $1,812 · avg 81.1% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? · NO · general
1699 shares · value $1,691 · avg 99.1% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · YES · general
297703 shares · value $1,489 · avg 19.5% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · NO · general
1582 shares · value $1,432 · avg 88.3% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 30? · NO · general
1452 shares · value $1,416 · avg 95.4% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · NO · general
1331 shares · value $1,192 · avg 76.2% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · NO · general
1174 shares · value $1,041 · avg 76.3% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? · NO · general
1006 shares · value $881 · avg 79.7% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · NO · general
698 shares · value $625 · avg 84.0% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? · YES · general
2200 shares · value $341 · avg 20.0% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? · NO · general
369 shares · value $305 · avg 82.0% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
63215 shares · value $284 · avg 7.7% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? · YES · general
225 shares · value $15 · avg 11.0% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? · YES · general
3333 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? · YES · general
18196 shares · value $0 · avg 24.5% · 6/28/2026, 4:03:40 PM
Recent trades
5000 @ 76.0% · notional $3,800 · 6/28/2026, 1:44:56 PM
7 @ 76.0% · notional $5 · 6/28/2026, 12:05:11 PM
25 @ 76.0% · notional $19 · 6/28/2026, 11:41:22 AM
229 @ 76.0% · notional $174 · 6/28/2026, 9:49:35 AM
3 @ 76.0% · notional $2 · 6/28/2026, 8:57:17 AM
11 @ 60.5% · notional $7 · 6/28/2026, 8:47:10 AM
13 @ 76.0% · notional $10 · 6/28/2026, 8:28:32 AM
10 @ 76.0% · notional $8 · 6/28/2026, 7:53:55 AM
13 @ 76.0% · notional $10 · 6/28/2026, 7:39:20 AM
263 @ 76.0% · notional $200 · 6/28/2026, 7:39:17 AM
2222 @ 59.1% · notional $1,313 · 6/28/2026, 6:57:28 AM
13 @ 76.0% · notional $10 · 6/28/2026, 6:50:49 AM
2222 @ 61.0% · notional $1,355 · 6/28/2026, 6:32:56 AM
25 @ 76.0% · notional $19 · 6/28/2026, 6:01:56 AM
500 @ 76.0% · notional $380 · 6/28/2026, 6:00:50 AM
3130 @ 59.0% · notional $1,848 · 6/28/2026, 5:56:25 AM
12 @ 76.0% · notional $9 · 6/28/2026, 5:50:04 AM
72 @ 76.0% · notional $55 · 6/28/2026, 5:15:04 AM
20 @ 76.0% · notional $15 · 6/28/2026, 4:41:47 AM
573 @ 53.8% · notional $308 · 6/28/2026, 4:14:47 AM
1658 @ 52.1% · notional $864 · 6/28/2026, 4:06:08 AM
435 @ 52.1% · notional $227 · 6/28/2026, 4:06:01 AM
3 @ 52.1% · notional $1 · 6/28/2026, 4:01:46 AM
11 @ 52.1% · notional $6 · 6/28/2026, 4:01:40 AM
1959 @ 52.5% · notional $1,028 · 6/28/2026, 4:00:32 AM
263 @ 52.5% · notional $138 · 6/28/2026, 4:00:01 AM
500 @ 76.0% · notional $380 · 6/28/2026, 3:58:44 AM
1 @ 76.0% · notional $1 · 6/28/2026, 3:17:49 AM
197 @ 76.0% · notional $150 · 6/28/2026, 3:13:49 AM
263 @ 76.0% · notional $200 · 6/28/2026, 3:13:02 AM
43 @ 76.0% · notional $33 · 6/28/2026, 2:04:29 AM
16 @ 75.0% · notional $12 · 6/28/2026, 1:21:49 AM
11 @ 75.0% · notional $8 · 6/28/2026, 12:59:02 AM
500 @ 76.0% · notional $380 · 6/28/2026, 12:23:41 AM
280 @ 76.0% · notional $213 · 6/28/2026, 12:06:50 AM
350 @ 76.0% · notional $266 · 6/27/2026, 11:06:59 PM
271 @ 76.0% · notional $206 · 6/27/2026, 10:15:17 PM
3 @ 76.0% · notional $2 · 6/27/2026, 10:13:47 PM
3 @ 76.0% · notional $2 · 6/27/2026, 10:13:34 PM
3 @ 76.0% · notional $2 · 6/27/2026, 10:13:20 PM
101681 @ 76.0% · notional $77,277 · 6/27/2026, 10:12:59 PM
167 @ 82.0% · notional $137 · 6/27/2026, 8:10:10 PM
139 @ 82.0% · notional $114 · 6/27/2026, 8:09:55 PM
0 @ 82.0% · notional $0 · 6/27/2026, 8:09:46 PM
57 @ 75.0% · notional $43 · 6/27/2026, 6:10:52 PM
40 @ 91.0% · notional $36 · 6/27/2026, 6:09:52 PM
49 @ 75.0% · notional $37 · 6/27/2026, 6:09:05 PM
56 @ 84.0% · notional $47 · 6/27/2026, 5:54:17 PM
100 @ 85.0% · notional $85 · 6/27/2026, 2:43:47 PM
362 @ 98.0% · notional $355 · 6/27/2026, 10:04:28 AM
1 @ 84.0% · notional $1 · 6/27/2026, 9:39:25 AM
36 @ 84.0% · notional $30 · 6/27/2026, 7:01:40 AM
10 @ 72.0% · notional $7 · 6/27/2026, 5:17:53 AM
17 @ 72.0% · notional $12 · 6/27/2026, 4:30:31 AM
54 @ 72.0% · notional $39 · 6/26/2026, 10:11:26 PM
1111 @ 88.0% · notional $978 · 6/26/2026, 9:35:46 PM
2222 @ 95.6% · notional $2,124 · 6/26/2026, 9:20:26 PM
40 @ 79.0% · notional $32 · 6/26/2026, 9:19:13 PM
471 @ 89.0% · notional $419 · 6/26/2026, 9:18:20 PM
381 @ 74.4% · notional $284 · 6/26/2026, 9:16:43 PM
853 @ 80.0% · notional $683 · 6/26/2026, 8:31:19 PM
333 @ 70.0% · notional $233 · 6/26/2026, 7:13:14 PM
2446 @ 97.0% · notional $2,372 · 6/26/2026, 7:09:11 PM
455 @ 83.0% · notional $378 · 6/26/2026, 7:07:44 PM
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · SELL YES
3189 @ 16.0% · notional $510 · 6/26/2026, 5:56:07 PM
170 @ 73.0% · notional $124 · 6/26/2026, 5:47:26 PM
60 @ 74.0% · notional $45 · 6/26/2026, 5:46:43 PM
302 @ 70.0% · notional $211 · 6/26/2026, 5:41:11 PM
333 @ 76.0% · notional $253 · 6/26/2026, 5:38:23 PM
42 @ 77.0% · notional $32 · 6/26/2026, 5:34:49 PM
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · SELL YES
1111 @ 16.0% · notional $178 · 6/26/2026, 5:32:35 PM
1851 @ 95.0% · notional $1,758 · 6/26/2026, 5:29:26 PM
1832 @ 95.0% · notional $1,740 · 6/26/2026, 5:12:20 PM
518 @ 95.0% · notional $492 · 6/26/2026, 5:10:44 PM
1848 @ 95.0% · notional $1,755 · 6/26/2026, 5:09:04 PM
298 @ 77.0% · notional $229 · 6/26/2026, 4:59:08 PM
195 @ 77.0% · notional $150 · 6/26/2026, 4:58:56 PM
736 @ 89.0% · notional $655 · 6/26/2026, 4:53:35 PM
18 @ 89.0% · notional $16 · 6/26/2026, 4:53:34 PM
5912 @ 89.0% · notional $5,262 · 6/26/2026, 4:53:28 PM
173 @ 78.0% · notional $135 · 6/26/2026, 4:52:46 PM
1933 @ 94.0% · notional $1,817 · 6/26/2026, 4:49:07 PM
253 @ 70.0% · notional $177 · 6/26/2026, 4:09:59 PM
1525 @ 73.0% · notional $1,113 · 6/26/2026, 2:46:56 PM
69 @ 94.0% · notional $65 · 6/26/2026, 12:40:32 PM
982 @ 95.4% · notional $937 · 6/26/2026, 10:53:58 AM
470 @ 95.4% · notional $448 · 6/26/2026, 10:51:41 AM
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · SELL NO
5 @ 96.7% · notional $5 · 6/26/2026, 10:46:49 AM
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · SELL NO
26 @ 96.7% · notional $26 · 6/26/2026, 10:34:02 AM
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · SELL NO
900 @ 96.7% · notional $870 · 6/26/2026, 10:10:44 AM
28 @ 94.0% · notional $26 · 6/26/2026, 5:36:52 AM
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · SELL NO
920 @ 94.9% · notional $873 · 6/26/2026, 5:28:53 AM
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · SELL NO
91 @ 94.9% · notional $86 · 6/26/2026, 5:23:43 AM
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · SELL NO
2 @ 94.9% · notional $2 · 6/26/2026, 5:23:14 AM
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · SELL NO
2 @ 94.9% · notional $2 · 6/26/2026, 5:16:37 AM
167 @ 94.0% · notional $157 · 6/26/2026, 4:53:08 AM
33 @ 94.0% · notional $31 · 6/26/2026, 4:40:14 AM
21 @ 94.0% · notional $20 · 6/26/2026, 4:40:13 AM
42 @ 94.0% · notional $39 · 6/26/2026, 4:40:11 AM
74 @ 94.0% · notional $70 · 6/26/2026, 4:40:10 AM
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy 0% · Correct 0 · Incorrect 1 · Flat 0 · Weighted 0% · Score 36.3
Netanyahu out by June 30? · predicted YES · resolved NO
INCORRECT · notional $16,248 · 4/28/2026, 8:45:12 PM