Trader
denizz
0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73
Quality
67
PnL
$5,489
Volume
$393,904
Win rate
47%
Last seen 8/21/2026, 10:41:30 PM
Leaderboard
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 15 · PnL $2,516,520 · Volume $89,271,593
POLITICS · DAY · PNL
Rank 28 · PnL $3,912 · Volume $7,844
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 41 · PnL $47,498 · Volume $1,663,047
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 56 · PnL $2,463,494 · Volume $99,858,301
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 56 · PnL $33,609 · Volume $258,345
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 387 · PnL $33,094 · Volume $1,727,990
OVERALL · DAY · PNL
Rank 428 · PnL $3,912 · Volume $7,844
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 479 · PnL $4,101 · Volume $298,766
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 1022 · PnL $5,489 · Volume $393,904
CRYPTO · ALL · PNL
Rank 1191 · PnL $35,882 · Volume $878,895
Current positions
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · NO · general
463636 shares · value $433,499 · avg 75.3% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · NO · general
370470 shares · value $309,342 · avg 73.6% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · NO · general
116453 shares · value $111,212 · avg 81.9% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · NO · general
64339 shares · value $60,800 · avg 76.3% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · YES · general
48790 shares · value $40,423 · avg 65.1% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · NO · general
39454 shares · value $39,277 · avg 95.9% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · NO · general
34414 shares · value $29,080 · avg 65.5% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · YES · general
33595 shares · value $28,774 · avg 51.2% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · YES · general
33374 shares · value $27,533 · avg 66.2% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · YES · general
66246 shares · value $20,205 · avg 55.1% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · NO · general
16122 shares · value $14,268 · avg 74.8% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
14912 shares · value $13,794 · avg 82.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · NO · general
13236 shares · value $12,243 · avg 67.1% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? · NO · general
9005 shares · value $8,816 · avg 89.2% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · NO · general
15521 shares · value $8,536 · avg 41.1% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
8365 shares · value $7,654 · avg 81.4% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · NO · general
7453 shares · value $7,404 · avg 88.8% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
6115 shares · value $5,442 · avg 83.9% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · NO · general
6033 shares · value $5,239 · avg 83.5% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · YES · general
17081 shares · value $5,039 · avg 57.6% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · NO · general
5092 shares · value $4,850 · avg 72.7% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · YES · general
56175 shares · value $4,775 · avg 30.5% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · NO · general
4994 shares · value $4,645 · avg 77.6% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · YES · general
43255 shares · value $4,542 · avg 26.3% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · YES · general
15911 shares · value $4,216 · avg 45.6% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · NO · general
4444 shares · value $3,822 · avg 51.1% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · NO · general
3928 shares · value $3,575 · avg 81.5% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · YES · general
10508 shares · value $3,310 · avg 48.5% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? · NO · general
3089 shares · value $2,950 · avg 80.6% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · NO · general
2850 shares · value $2,795 · avg 85.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · NO · general
2178 shares · value $2,142 · avg 95.2% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · YES · general
4624 shares · value $1,272 · avg 59.1% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · NO · general
1331 shares · value $1,245 · avg 76.2% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
11238 shares · value $1,068 · avg 31.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · NO · general
1101 shares · value $1,008 · avg 84.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? · NO · general
971 shares · value $926 · avg 82.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
7432 shares · value $632 · avg 20.3% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? · YES · general
8425 shares · value $548 · avg 22.6% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? · NO · general
541 shares · value $460 · avg 68.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · YES · general
3804 shares · value $361 · avg 29.6% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
3616 shares · value $271 · avg 27.9% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? · YES · general
3783 shares · value $172 · avg 38.8% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · YES · general
1111 shares · value $144 · avg 21.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · YES · general
3279 shares · value $115 · avg 53.2% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · YES · general
261 shares · value $6 · avg 4.3% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? · YES · general
225 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
6974 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · YES · general
22845 shares · value $0 · avg 36.2% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? · YES · general
18196 shares · value $0 · avg 24.5% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? · YES · general
3333 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31? · NO · general
2168 shares · value $0 · avg 55.9% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · YES · general
54131 shares · value $0 · avg 39.4% · 8/21/2026, 9:27:04 PM
Recent trades
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · SELL NO
6438 @ 54.0% · notional $3,476 · 8/21/2026, 10:11:30 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · SELL NO
120 @ 54.0% · notional $65 · 8/21/2026, 8:59:46 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · SELL NO
100 @ 54.0% · notional $54 · 8/21/2026, 8:58:42 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · SELL NO
5 @ 54.0% · notional $3 · 8/21/2026, 6:29:48 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
1022 @ 94.0% · notional $961 · 8/21/2026, 6:04:07 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
1 @ 94.0% · notional $1 · 8/21/2026, 5:29:45 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · SELL NO
3 @ 54.0% · notional $2 · 8/21/2026, 2:07:31 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
3 @ 94.0% · notional $3 · 8/21/2026, 1:47:04 AM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
5 @ 85.0% · notional $5 · 8/21/2026, 12:01:07 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
10 @ 94.0% · notional $9 · 8/20/2026, 11:36:31 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
1 @ 85.0% · notional $0 · 8/20/2026, 8:31:12 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
5 @ 85.0% · notional $4 · 8/20/2026, 7:45:48 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
400 @ 85.0% · notional $340 · 8/20/2026, 7:39:46 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · BUY YES
3123 @ 33.0% · notional $1,031 · 8/20/2026, 7:33:46 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
41 @ 85.0% · notional $34 · 8/20/2026, 5:37:39 PM
953 @ 21.0% · notional $200 · 8/20/2026, 5:31:55 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
20 @ 85.0% · notional $17 · 8/20/2026, 3:17:16 PM
25 @ 21.0% · notional $5 · 8/20/2026, 2:41:57 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
489 @ 85.0% · notional $416 · 8/20/2026, 2:38:19 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
245 @ 85.0% · notional $208 · 8/20/2026, 2:36:25 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
70 @ 85.0% · notional $60 · 8/20/2026, 2:36:04 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
140 @ 85.0% · notional $119 · 8/20/2026, 2:35:58 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
25 @ 85.0% · notional $22 · 8/20/2026, 2:35:39 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
13 @ 85.0% · notional $11 · 8/20/2026, 2:35:37 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
125 @ 85.0% · notional $106 · 8/20/2026, 2:35:36 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
58 @ 85.0% · notional $49 · 8/20/2026, 2:35:31 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
37 @ 85.0% · notional $32 · 8/20/2026, 2:35:30 PM
Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO
1032 @ 85.0% · notional $877 · 8/20/2026, 2:35:28 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
2367 @ 90.0% · notional $2,130 · 8/20/2026, 8:29:19 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
47 @ 90.0% · notional $43 · 8/20/2026, 7:18:27 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
3 @ 90.0% · notional $3 · 8/20/2026, 7:12:15 AM
1015 @ 9.5% · notional $97 · 8/20/2026, 7:05:31 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
200 @ 90.0% · notional $180 · 8/20/2026, 5:58:15 AM
1531 @ 4.0% · notional $61 · 8/20/2026, 5:46:24 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/20/2026, 5:46:06 AM
4 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/20/2026, 5:46:04 AM
5866 @ 4.0% · notional $235 · 8/20/2026, 5:46:03 AM
40 @ 4.0% · notional $2 · 8/20/2026, 5:21:10 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
500 @ 90.0% · notional $450 · 8/20/2026, 5:07:25 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
1547 @ 90.0% · notional $1,392 · 8/20/2026, 4:37:43 AM
521 @ 4.0% · notional $21 · 8/20/2026, 3:29:36 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
222 @ 90.0% · notional $200 · 8/20/2026, 3:28:24 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
146 @ 90.0% · notional $131 · 8/20/2026, 2:29:54 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
1 @ 90.0% · notional $1 · 8/20/2026, 1:04:03 AM
3 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/20/2026, 12:17:57 AM
3 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 11:54:12 PM
2 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 11:40:43 PM
1 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 11:31:12 PM
24 @ 4.0% · notional $1 · 8/19/2026, 11:21:55 PM
2000 @ 4.0% · notional $80 · 8/19/2026, 11:14:22 PM
94 @ 4.0% · notional $4 · 8/19/2026, 10:22:40 PM
5 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:50:54 PM
5327 @ 83.0% · notional $4,421 · 8/19/2026, 6:16:36 PM
534 @ 4.0% · notional $21 · 8/19/2026, 3:35:34 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
6 @ 90.0% · notional $5 · 8/19/2026, 1:39:19 PM
520 @ 4.0% · notional $21 · 8/19/2026, 1:28:06 PM
122 @ 21.0% · notional $26 · 8/19/2026, 1:16:51 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
111 @ 90.0% · notional $100 · 8/19/2026, 1:16:43 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
200 @ 90.0% · notional $180 · 8/19/2026, 1:16:39 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
301 @ 90.0% · notional $271 · 8/19/2026, 1:15:37 PM
10 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 12:26:54 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
9 @ 90.0% · notional $8 · 8/19/2026, 12:06:42 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
4 @ 90.0% · notional $3 · 8/19/2026, 12:06:28 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
5000 @ 90.0% · notional $4,500 · 8/19/2026, 12:06:25 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
500 @ 90.0% · notional $450 · 8/19/2026, 12:02:55 PM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
10 @ 90.0% · notional $9 · 8/19/2026, 11:57:36 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
4 @ 90.0% · notional $3 · 8/19/2026, 11:57:13 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
35 @ 90.0% · notional $32 · 8/19/2026, 11:57:12 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
5000 @ 90.0% · notional $4,500 · 8/19/2026, 11:57:10 AM
100 @ 4.0% · notional $4 · 8/19/2026, 11:38:36 AM
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · SELL NO
70 @ 90.0% · notional $63 · 8/19/2026, 11:34:25 AM
6 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 11:01:01 AM
211 @ 4.0% · notional $8 · 8/19/2026, 11:00:55 AM
16 @ 4.0% · notional $1 · 8/19/2026, 11:00:31 AM
87 @ 4.0% · notional $3 · 8/19/2026, 11:00:22 AM
28 @ 4.0% · notional $1 · 8/19/2026, 11:00:04 AM
65 @ 4.0% · notional $3 · 8/19/2026, 10:59:54 AM
24 @ 4.0% · notional $1 · 8/19/2026, 10:59:52 AM
1 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 10:59:49 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 10:59:48 AM
17 @ 4.0% · notional $1 · 8/19/2026, 8:31:00 AM
4 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:30:48 AM
5 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:30:27 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:30:22 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:30:10 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:30:09 AM
2 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:30:01 AM
2 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:30:00 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:29:51 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:29:49 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:29:48 AM
2 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:29:43 AM
2 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:29:42 AM
2 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:29:40 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:29:39 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:29:33 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:29:31 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:29:30 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:29:28 AM
0 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 8/19/2026, 8:29:27 AM
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy 0% · Correct 0 · Incorrect 1 · Flat 0 · Weighted 0% · Score 36.3
Netanyahu out by June 30? · predicted YES · resolved NO
INCORRECT · notional $16,248 · 4/28/2026, 8:45:12 PM