Trader
Poligarch
0xb40e89677d59665d5188541ad860450a6e2a7cc9
Quality
96
PnL
$62,480
Volume
$6,357,533
Win rate
67%
Last seen 10/17/2026, 4:56:28 PM
Leaderboard
WEATHER · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1 · PnL $25,627 · Volume $159,113
WEATHER · ALL · PNL
Rank 5 · PnL $95,791 · Volume $17,382,951
WEATHER · MONTH · PNL
Rank 15 · PnL $7,274 · Volume $941,841
MENTIONS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 75 · PnL $230 · Volume $4,996
MENTIONS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 84 · PnL $322 · Volume $6,355
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 191 · PnL $10,211 · Volume $828,044
CULTURE · WEEK · PNL
Rank 195 · PnL $442 · Volume $13,773
OVERALL · WEEK · PNL
Rank 204 · PnL $30,600 · Volume $316,425
POLITICS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 387 · PnL $1,543 · Volume $809
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 752 · PnL $11,165 · Volume $2,405,496
FINANCE · MONTH · PNL
Rank 794 · PnL $268 · Volume $17,112
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 810 · PnL $62,480 · Volume $6,357,533
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 974 · PnL $1,861 · Volume $187,694
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 1028 · PnL $199,750 · Volume $29,876,165
FINANCE · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1102 · PnL $69 · Volume $251
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 1110 · PnL $4,743 · Volume $1,230,377
WEATHER · DAY · PNL
Rank 1111 · PnL $3 · Volume $7,142
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 2155 · PnL $5,827 · Volume $1,311,571
CULTURE · MONTH · PNL
Rank 3853 · PnL $9 · Volume $87,415
CRYPTO · WEEK · PNL
Rank 5011 · PnL $32 · Volume $479
CRYPTO · MONTH · PNL
Rank 5031 · PnL $128 · Volume $4,972
TECH · WEEK · PNL
Rank 5618 · PnL $0 · Volume $0
CRYPTO · DAY · PNL
Rank 6053 · PnL $1 · Volume $0
Current positions
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 7? · YES · general
855 shares · value $855 · avg 45.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
821 shares · value $821 · avg 42.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
649 shares · value $649 · avg 45.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? · NO · general
518 shares · value $518 · avg 52.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
428 shares · value $428 · avg 50.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
365 shares · value $365 · avg 10.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
311 shares · value $311 · avg 47.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
306 shares · value $306 · avg 52.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16? · YES · general
281 shares · value $281 · avg 21.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16? · YES · general
279 shares · value $279 · avg 80.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
278 shares · value $278 · avg 41.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
275 shares · value $275 · avg 50.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17? · YES · general
262 shares · value $262 · avg 53.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · NO · general
256 shares · value $256 · avg 54.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
250 shares · value $250 · avg 38.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16? · YES · general
233 shares · value $233 · avg 55.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
230 shares · value $230 · avg 30.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 21? · NO · general
219 shares · value $219 · avg 57.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
209 shares · value $209 · avg 30.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
200 shares · value $200 · avg 54.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
197 shares · value $197 · avg 47.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1? · NO · general
179 shares · value $179 · avg 39.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
177 shares · value $177 · avg 37.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
1249 shares · value $169 · avg 28.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
160 shares · value $160 · avg 54.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
158 shares · value $158 · avg 83.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 2? · YES · general
153 shares · value $153 · avg 52.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 6? · YES · general
150 shares · value $150 · avg 52.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17? · YES · general
149 shares · value $149 · avg 34.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
149 shares · value $149 · avg 57.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
145 shares · value $145 · avg 73.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
141 shares · value $141 · avg 22.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
140 shares · value $140 · avg 36.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 20? · YES · general
137 shares · value $137 · avg 33.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
137 shares · value $137 · avg 41.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
134 shares · value $134 · avg 52.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16? · YES · general
130 shares · value $130 · avg 63.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
129 shares · value $129 · avg 53.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
126 shares · value $126 · avg 46.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
126 shares · value $126 · avg 33.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
126 shares · value $126 · avg 55.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
123 shares · value $123 · avg 42.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
122 shares · value $122 · avg 46.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
121 shares · value $121 · avg 51.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 17? · YES · general
120 shares · value $120 · avg 46.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 15? · YES · general
119 shares · value $119 · avg 48.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
118 shares · value $118 · avg 51.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 17? · YES · general
115 shares · value $114 · avg 58.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 1? · YES · general
111 shares · value $111 · avg 48.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
109 shares · value $109 · avg 41.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 17? · YES · general
109 shares · value $109 · avg 61.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 16? · YES · general
107 shares · value $107 · avg 39.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 16? · YES · general
107 shares · value $107 · avg 73.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14? · YES · general
106 shares · value $106 · avg 57.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
104 shares · value $104 · avg 32.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 16? · YES · general
104 shares · value $104 · avg 94.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
102 shares · value $102 · avg 45.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
101 shares · value $101 · avg 56.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 17? · YES · general
101 shares · value $101 · avg 22.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? · YES · general
100 shares · value $100 · avg 51.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? · YES · general
100 shares · value $100 · avg 33.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
100 shares · value $100 · avg 24.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
100 shares · value $100 · avg 54.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10? · YES · general
100 shares · value $100 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
100 shares · value $100 · avg 58.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? · YES · general
100 shares · value $100 · avg 42.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16? · YES · general
100 shares · value $100 · avg 13.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 11? · YES · general
100 shares · value $100 · avg 15.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 3? · YES · general
100 shares · value $100 · avg 45.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
100 shares · value $100 · avg 42.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? · YES · general
100 shares · value $100 · avg 39.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
100 shares · value $100 · avg 50.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
100 shares · value $100 · avg 18.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
100 shares · value $100 · avg 37.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 16? · YES · general
100 shares · value $100 · avg 14.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
100 shares · value $100 · avg 18.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
100 shares · value $100 · avg 29.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
100 shares · value $100 · avg 28.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
100 shares · value $100 · avg 39.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16? · YES · general
100 shares · value $100 · avg 49.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 22? · YES · general
100 shares · value $100 · avg 50.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
700 shares · value $98 · avg 11.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
156 shares · value $27 · avg 18.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? · YES · general
178 shares · value $20 · avg 51.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? · NO · general
106 shares · value $6 · avg 5.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
182 shares · value $5 · avg 7.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
327 shares · value $4 · avg 23.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
130 shares · value $2 · avg 4.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17? · YES · general
171 shares · value $0 · avg 58.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · YES · general
579 shares · value $0 · avg 21.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
110 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 17? · YES · general
310 shares · value $0 · avg 16.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 17? · YES · general
206 shares · value $0 · avg 35.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 17? · YES · general
163 shares · value $0 · avg 3.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17? · YES · general
150 shares · value $0 · avg 17.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17? · YES · general
138 shares · value $0 · avg 35.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
137 shares · value $0 · avg 22.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16? · YES · general
129 shares · value $0 · avg 36.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 17? · YES · general
103 shares · value $0 · avg 26.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 17? · YES · general
100 shares · value $0 · avg 28.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:15:11 PM
Recent trades
60 @ 11.0% · notional $7 · 10/17/2026, 5:38:29 AM
10 @ 52.0% · notional $5 · 10/17/2026, 5:07:31 AM
9 @ 54.0% · notional $5 · 10/17/2026, 5:07:17 AM
14 @ 46.0% · notional $6 · 10/17/2026, 4:55:20 AM
110 @ 2.0% · notional $2 · 10/17/2026, 4:46:41 AM
30 @ 10.0% · notional $3 · 10/17/2026, 4:33:31 AM
20 @ 47.0% · notional $9 · 10/17/2026, 4:33:20 AM
163 @ 28.0% · notional $46 · 10/17/2026, 4:30:46 AM
20 @ 5.0% · notional $1 · 10/17/2026, 4:28:17 AM
10000 @ 27.0% · notional $2,700 · 10/15/2026, 2:06:08 PM
135 @ 26.0% · notional $35 · 10/15/2026, 1:21:01 PM
4865 @ 26.0% · notional $1,265 · 10/15/2026, 1:20:59 PM
90 @ 27.0% · notional $24 · 10/15/2026, 1:03:32 PM
4321 @ 27.0% · notional $1,167 · 10/15/2026, 1:03:31 PM
15 @ 93.3% · notional $14 · 10/15/2026, 12:55:41 PM
7 @ 29.0% · notional $2 · 10/15/2026, 12:50:31 PM
134 @ 29.0% · notional $39 · 10/15/2026, 12:50:08 PM
2 @ 52.0% · notional $1 · 10/15/2026, 12:45:59 PM
6 @ 62.0% · notional $4 · 10/15/2026, 12:45:50 PM
2568 @ 29.0% · notional $745 · 10/15/2026, 12:39:01 PM
669 @ 33.0% · notional $221 · 10/15/2026, 12:35:29 PM
1000 @ 33.0% · notional $330 · 10/15/2026, 12:35:20 PM
5000 @ 33.0% · notional $1,650 · 10/15/2026, 12:35:05 PM
770 @ 34.0% · notional $262 · 10/15/2026, 12:33:08 PM
64 @ 30.0% · notional $19 · 10/15/2026, 12:30:08 PM
24076 @ 28.6% · notional $6,889 · 10/15/2026, 12:30:07 PM
23 @ 30.0% · notional $7 · 10/15/2026, 12:30:07 PM
6738 @ 28.3% · notional $1,909 · 10/15/2026, 12:30:05 PM
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · BUY NO
22 @ 34.0% · notional $8 · 10/15/2026, 12:27:53 PM
50 @ 92.8% · notional $47 · 10/15/2026, 12:12:29 PM
60 @ 4.0% · notional $2 · 10/15/2026, 12:06:46 PM
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · BUY YES
10 @ 65.0% · notional $7 · 10/15/2026, 11:59:50 AM
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · BUY YES
13 @ 65.0% · notional $8 · 10/15/2026, 11:59:44 AM
100 @ 2.7% · notional $3 · 10/15/2026, 11:56:55 AM
50 @ 4.0% · notional $2 · 10/15/2026, 11:54:20 AM
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · BUY NO
20 @ 35.0% · notional $7 · 10/15/2026, 11:53:35 AM
70 @ 4.0% · notional $3 · 10/15/2026, 11:53:10 AM
4 @ 14.3% · notional $1 · 10/15/2026, 11:52:58 AM
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · BUY NO
13 @ 36.0% · notional $5 · 10/15/2026, 11:52:17 AM
32 @ 8.0% · notional $3 · 10/15/2026, 11:51:01 AM
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · BUY NO
27 @ 36.0% · notional $10 · 10/15/2026, 11:47:10 AM
30 @ 27.0% · notional $8 · 10/15/2026, 11:36:36 AM
18 @ 66.0% · notional $12 · 10/15/2026, 11:36:27 AM
8 @ 66.0% · notional $5 · 10/15/2026, 11:35:46 AM
83 @ 5.4% · notional $4 · 10/15/2026, 8:39:43 AM
25 @ 5.4% · notional $1 · 10/15/2026, 8:39:38 AM
15 @ 92.9% · notional $14 · 10/15/2026, 8:39:29 AM
136 @ 3.2% · notional $4 · 10/15/2026, 2:40:59 AM
1 @ 84.9% · notional $1 · 10/15/2026, 2:01:04 AM
87 @ 13.0% · notional $11 · 10/15/2026, 1:57:22 AM
24 @ 84.9% · notional $21 · 10/15/2026, 1:56:38 AM
20 @ 46.0% · notional $9 · 10/15/2026, 1:54:19 AM
20 @ 42.0% · notional $8 · 10/15/2026, 1:53:40 AM
23 @ 19.2% · notional $4 · 10/15/2026, 1:53:10 AM
10 @ 77.6% · notional $8 · 10/15/2026, 1:52:35 AM
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · BUY NO
5 @ 46.0% · notional $2 · 10/15/2026, 12:26:44 AM
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · BUY NO
8 @ 53.0% · notional $4 · 10/15/2026, 12:26:40 AM
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · BUY YES
77 @ 40.0% · notional $31 · 10/15/2026, 12:26:35 AM
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · BUY NO
2 @ 40.0% · notional $1 · 10/15/2026, 12:06:51 AM
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · BUY YES
2 @ 56.0% · notional $1 · 10/15/2026, 12:06:40 AM
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · BUY NO
2 @ 40.0% · notional $1 · 10/15/2026, 12:05:55 AM
3 @ 52.0% · notional $1 · 10/14/2026, 12:21:06 AM
88 @ 46.0% · notional $41 · 10/14/2026, 12:21:04 AM
6 @ 46.0% · notional $3 · 10/14/2026, 12:19:15 AM
32 @ 49.0% · notional $15 · 10/14/2026, 12:03:30 AM
5 @ 48.0% · notional $2 · 10/13/2026, 11:43:31 PM
5 @ 60.0% · notional $3 · 10/13/2026, 11:41:09 PM
49 @ 55.0% · notional $27 · 10/13/2026, 10:51:06 PM
70 @ 41.0% · notional $29 · 10/13/2026, 10:41:39 PM
10 @ 28.0% · notional $3 · 10/13/2026, 10:41:07 PM
16 @ 20.0% · notional $3 · 10/13/2026, 10:40:43 PM
16 @ 57.0% · notional $9 · 10/13/2026, 10:38:42 PM
3 @ 7.0% · notional $0 · 10/13/2026, 10:17:43 PM
5 @ 47.0% · notional $2 · 10/13/2026, 10:16:03 PM
47 @ 42.0% · notional $20 · 10/13/2026, 10:15:10 PM
4 @ 37.0% · notional $2 · 10/13/2026, 10:13:51 PM
14 @ 22.0% · notional $3 · 10/13/2026, 10:13:51 PM
5 @ 23.0% · notional $1 · 10/13/2026, 10:13:49 PM
20 @ 40.0% · notional $8 · 10/13/2026, 10:07:37 PM
8 @ 42.0% · notional $3 · 10/13/2026, 10:03:43 PM
14 @ 62.0% · notional $9 · 10/13/2026, 10:02:45 PM
16 @ 36.0% · notional $6 · 10/13/2026, 10:01:43 PM
3 @ 36.0% · notional $1 · 10/13/2026, 10:01:30 PM
10 @ 10.0% · notional $1 · 10/13/2026, 9:58:13 PM
13 @ 67.0% · notional $8 · 10/13/2026, 9:57:31 PM
6 @ 88.0% · notional $5 · 10/13/2026, 9:57:16 PM
36 @ 3.0% · notional $1 · 10/13/2026, 9:53:45 PM
26 @ 26.0% · notional $7 · 10/13/2026, 9:52:43 PM
14 @ 34.0% · notional $5 · 10/13/2026, 9:50:43 PM
14 @ 34.0% · notional $5 · 10/13/2026, 9:50:28 PM
5 @ 69.0% · notional $3 · 10/13/2026, 9:49:45 PM
1 @ 68.0% · notional $0 · 10/13/2026, 9:49:43 PM
45 @ 75.0% · notional $34 · 10/13/2026, 9:49:04 PM
17 @ 16.0% · notional $3 · 10/13/2026, 9:27:09 PM
5 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 10/13/2026, 9:27:07 PM
15 @ 38.0% · notional $6 · 10/13/2026, 9:18:51 PM
2 @ 47.0% · notional $1 · 10/13/2026, 9:11:24 PM
15 @ 10.0% · notional $1 · 10/13/2026, 9:00:49 PM
7 @ 33.0% · notional $2 · 10/13/2026, 8:59:52 PM
79 @ 35.0% · notional $28 · 10/13/2026, 8:59:12 PM
Resolved history
No resolved history summary available yet.
No resolved positions found.