Trader

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

0x8b8b9c565c8dca43cfb767f0f2c20b2b323d2512

Quality

PnL

$56,481

Volume

$2,943,527

Win rate

67%

Last seen 10/17/2026, 4:51:58 PM

Leaderboard

WEATHER · ALL · PNL

Rank 635 · PnL $3,471 · Volume $1,689,517

POLITICS · ALL · PNL

Rank 1172 · PnL $42,383 · Volume $211,899

OVERALL · WEEK · PNL

Rank 1666 · PnL $3,004 · Volume $106,392

OVERALL · ALL · PNL

Rank 3215 · PnL $56,481 · Volume $2,943,527

CULTURE · ALL · PNL

Rank 3331 · PnL $1,828 · Volume $268,947

FINANCE · ALL · PNL

Rank 4665 · PnL $877 · Volume $42,333

TECH · ALL · PNL

Rank 6363 · PnL $102 · Volume $28,563

Current positions

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · YES · general

1999 shares · value $1,059 · avg 45.3% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? · NO · general

567 shares · value $557 · avg 98.7% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · NO · general

555 shares · value $535 · avg 96.7% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? · NO · general

228 shares · value $223 · avg 95.1% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · NO · general

625 shares · value $219 · avg 29.3% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? · NO · general

209 shares · value $208 · avg 99.4% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · YES · general

267 shares · value $199 · avg 65.9% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · NO · general

161 shares · value $152 · avg 97.9% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 26? · NO · general

176 shares · value $138 · avg 91.3% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 26? · NO · general

139 shares · value $138 · avg 99.8% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? · NO · general

287 shares · value $109 · avg 42.3% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? · NO · general

108 shares · value $108 · avg 99.9% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026? · YES · general

125 shares · value $68 · avg 67.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? · NO · general

80 shares · value $52 · avg 66.8% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 26? · NO · general

174 shares · value $52 · avg 8.6% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? · YES · general

45 shares · value $45 · avg 52.2% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · NO · general

40 shares · value $39 · avg 97.6% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026? · YES · general

107 shares · value $35 · avg 19.1% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · NO · general

30 shares · value $29 · avg 95.1% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · YES · general

78 shares · value $25 · avg 3.1% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 26? · YES · general

25 shares · value $25 · avg 80.6% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · YES · general

1899 shares · value $20 · avg 0.7% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · NO · general

20 shares · value $20 · avg 96.3% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · NO · general

20 shares · value $18 · avg 82.7% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 26? · NO · general

18 shares · value $18 · avg 99.6% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · NO · general

18 shares · value $17 · avg 94.2% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on August 26? · NO · general

16 shares · value $16 · avg 99.9% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 26? · NO · general

12 shares · value $12 · avg 99.9% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 26? · NO · general

12 shares · value $12 · avg 99.4% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 26? · NO · general

12 shares · value $12 · avg 99.4% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 26? · NO · general

12 shares · value $12 · avg 98.5% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · NO · general

13 shares · value $11 · avg 80.4% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will any other model be the best AI model on August 31, 2026? · YES · general

107 shares · value $11 · avg 0.7% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · NO · general

10 shares · value $10 · avg 95.6% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? · NO · general

23 shares · value $8 · avg 42.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election? · YES · general

28 shares · value $8 · avg 5.9% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 26? · NO · general

12 shares · value $8 · avg 64.5% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · NO · general

20 shares · value $8 · avg 50.8% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Domingos Sávio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · YES · general

20 shares · value $7 · avg 54.9% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? · NO · general

6 shares · value $6 · avg 96.1% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? · YES · general

7 shares · value $6 · avg 6.3% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 26? · YES · general

20 shares · value $6 · avg 23.7% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 26? · NO · general

6 shares · value $6 · avg 98.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · NO · general

6 shares · value $6 · avg 94.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 26? · YES · general

13 shares · value $6 · avg 42.2% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 26? · NO · general

12 shares · value $4 · avg 39.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · NO · general

8 shares · value $4 · avg 97.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · NO · general

5 shares · value $4 · avg 57.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · YES · general

81 shares · value $3 · avg 6.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? · YES · general

30 shares · value $3 · avg 50.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · NO · general

10 shares · value $3 · avg 44.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · NO · general

2 shares · value $2 · avg 95.6% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? · NO · general

45 shares · value $2 · avg 16.8% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026? · YES · general

107 shares · value $2 · avg 3.8% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? · NO · general

1 shares · value $1 · avg 84.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · NO · general

1 shares · value $1 · avg 78.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

501 shares · value $1 · avg 34.3% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

1875 shares · value $1 · avg 36.5% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? · YES · general

20 shares · value $1 · avg 8.7% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

1851 shares · value $1 · avg 36.4% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

1851 shares · value $1 · avg 36.4% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

1851 shares · value $1 · avg 36.4% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

1839 shares · value $1 · avg 36.3% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

1839 shares · value $1 · avg 36.3% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

1839 shares · value $1 · avg 36.3% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 26? · YES · general

7 shares · value $1 · avg 19.8% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%? · YES · general

118 shares · value $1 · avg 50.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? · YES · general

73 shares · value $1 · avg 11.9% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

1357 shares · value $1 · avg 35.1% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 26? · YES · general

63 shares · value $0 · avg 6.2% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? · YES · general

1 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · NO · general

1 shares · value $0 · avg 18.0% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 26? · YES · general

13 shares · value $0 · avg 4.6% · 8/26/2026, 5:17:05 AM

Will Dan J. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? · YES · general