Trader
QuietRiskisWrong
0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a
Quality
45
PnL
$467
Volume
$116
Win rate
42%
Last seen 6/28/2026, 4:12:18 PM
Leaderboard
POLITICS · DAY · PNL
Rank 45 · PnL $1,316 · Volume $35,278
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 54 · PnL $709,362 · Volume $8,810,798
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 263 · PnL $651,094 · Volume $11,250,401
FINANCE · WEEK · PNL
Rank 347 · PnL $467 · Volume $116
FINANCE · MONTH · PNL
Rank 527 · PnL $962 · Volume $17,810
OVERALL · DAY · PNL
Rank 1252 · PnL $1,199 · Volume $35,393
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 2498 · PnL $2,627 · Volume $37,837
Current positions
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · NO · general
999325 shares · value $834,436 · avg 72.1% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · NO · general
42151 shares · value $40,739 · avg 79.3% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? · NO · general
14023 shares · value $13,448 · avg 87.0% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · NO · general
8896 shares · value $6,583 · avg 66.5% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · NO · general
4678 shares · value $4,023 · avg 83.3% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? · NO · general
3234 shares · value $2,733 · avg 57.3% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
2137 shares · value $1,848 · avg 83.0% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? · NO · general
1256 shares · value $1,181 · avg 78.5% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? · NO · general
4591 shares · value $0 · avg 85.7% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31? · YES · general
3242 shares · value $0 · avg 58.2% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · YES · general
1076 shares · value $0 · avg 0.9% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02? · YES · general
471 shares · value $0 · avg 84.9% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · NO · general
792682 shares · value $0 · avg 3.4% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? · NO · general
56307 shares · value $0 · avg 78.7% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? · YES · general
17473 shares · value $0 · avg 85.3% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? · YES · general
16294 shares · value $0 · avg 54.9% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30? · YES · general
13214 shares · value $0 · avg 78.6% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? · YES · general
11906 shares · value $0 · avg 69.0% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? · YES · general
11455 shares · value $0 · avg 82.7% · 5/29/2026, 1:29:59 PM
Recent trades
9375 @ 64.0% · notional $6,000 · 5/23/2026, 9:28:14 PM
6124 @ 98.3% · notional $6,017 · 5/23/2026, 9:27:58 PM
1914 @ 64.0% · notional $1,224 · 5/23/2026, 9:26:57 PM
1245 @ 98.3% · notional $1,224 · 5/23/2026, 9:26:18 PM
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · BUY NO
1559 @ 63.0% · notional $982 · 5/23/2026, 9:18:06 PM
1000 @ 98.1% · notional $981 · 5/23/2026, 9:17:47 PM
249 @ 85.0% · notional $212 · 5/23/2026, 9:04:27 PM
21 @ 77.0% · notional $16 · 5/23/2026, 9:03:54 PM
1351 @ 74.0% · notional $1,000 · 5/23/2026, 9:03:05 PM
405 @ 74.0% · notional $300 · 5/23/2026, 9:00:52 PM
162 @ 66.0% · notional $107 · 5/23/2026, 9:00:33 PM
1670 @ 97.5% · notional $1,628 · 5/23/2026, 8:57:38 PM
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · BUY NO
179 @ 72.8% · notional $130 · 5/23/2026, 8:56:31 PM
140 @ 97.7% · notional $137 · 5/23/2026, 8:55:37 PM
299 @ 81.7% · notional $244 · 5/23/2026, 8:51:06 PM
505 @ 74.0% · notional $374 · 5/23/2026, 8:49:44 PM
474 @ 70.0% · notional $332 · 5/23/2026, 8:49:33 PM
45 @ 61.9% · notional $28 · 5/23/2026, 8:49:26 PM
1000 @ 97.8% · notional $978 · 5/23/2026, 8:49:10 PM
3803 @ 94.0% · notional $3,575 · 5/23/2026, 2:06:07 PM
399 @ 74.0% · notional $295 · 5/23/2026, 2:04:52 PM
7407 @ 81.0% · notional $6,000 · 5/23/2026, 2:04:27 PM
7914 @ 99.6% · notional $7,883 · 5/23/2026, 2:03:35 PM
2223 @ 90.0% · notional $2,000 · 5/23/2026, 8:51:54 AM
2000 @ 99.7% · notional $1,994 · 5/23/2026, 8:51:28 AM
2000 @ 99.7% · notional $1,994 · 5/23/2026, 8:35:17 AM
1205 @ 90.7% · notional $1,093 · 5/23/2026, 8:34:49 AM
769 @ 35.0% · notional $269 · 5/23/2026, 4:56:44 AM
707 @ 74.0% · notional $523 · 5/23/2026, 4:56:09 AM
174 @ 73.0% · notional $127 · 5/23/2026, 4:54:47 AM
1895 @ 78.0% · notional $1,478 · 5/23/2026, 4:54:29 AM
3500 @ 99.7% · notional $3,490 · 5/23/2026, 4:54:12 AM
704 @ 84.0% · notional $591 · 5/23/2026, 4:53:25 AM
553 @ 73.3% · notional $405 · 5/23/2026, 4:50:45 AM
1000 @ 99.6% · notional $996 · 5/23/2026, 4:49:46 AM
4860 @ 72.9% · notional $3,544 · 5/23/2026, 4:49:07 AM
4000 @ 89.0% · notional $3,560 · 5/23/2026, 4:48:48 AM
229 @ 73.0% · notional $167 · 5/23/2026, 4:47:59 AM
247 @ 72.0% · notional $178 · 5/23/2026, 4:47:33 AM
82 @ 73.2% · notional $60 · 5/23/2026, 4:47:19 AM
554 @ 35.0% · notional $194 · 5/23/2026, 4:46:19 AM
312 @ 34.0% · notional $106 · 5/23/2026, 4:45:22 AM
200 @ 33.0% · notional $66 · 5/23/2026, 4:44:43 AM
703 @ 32.0% · notional $225 · 5/23/2026, 4:44:24 AM
1000 @ 99.6% · notional $996 · 5/23/2026, 4:44:05 AM
358 @ 83.0% · notional $297 · 5/23/2026, 4:41:13 AM
94 @ 79.0% · notional $74 · 5/23/2026, 4:40:52 AM
695 @ 91.0% · notional $632 · 5/23/2026, 4:40:17 AM
500 @ 37.0% · notional $185 · 5/23/2026, 4:39:11 AM
1978 @ 91.0% · notional $1,800 · 5/23/2026, 4:38:06 AM
3000 @ 99.6% · notional $2,988 · 5/23/2026, 4:37:50 AM
622 @ 32.0% · notional $199 · 5/23/2026, 4:37:12 AM
457 @ 82.0% · notional $375 · 5/23/2026, 4:30:19 AM
106 @ 42.5% · notional $45 · 5/23/2026, 4:29:38 AM
1217 @ 31.0% · notional $377 · 5/23/2026, 4:29:10 AM
1000 @ 99.6% · notional $996 · 5/23/2026, 4:28:48 AM
253 @ 30.0% · notional $76 · 5/23/2026, 2:10:59 AM
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · SELL NO
3595 @ 0.7% · notional $25 · 5/23/2026, 2:10:20 AM
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · SELL NO
12187 @ 0.4% · notional $51 · 5/23/2026, 2:10:10 AM
1274 @ 86.0% · notional $1,096 · 5/23/2026, 2:08:02 AM
240 @ 75.0% · notional $180 · 5/23/2026, 1:49:38 AM
57 @ 46.0% · notional $26 · 5/23/2026, 1:49:01 AM
250 @ 36.0% · notional $90 · 5/23/2026, 1:48:51 AM
19 @ 32.0% · notional $6 · 5/23/2026, 1:48:38 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
2000 @ 69.9% · notional $1,399 · 5/23/2026, 1:48:21 AM
697 @ 93.3% · notional $650 · 5/22/2026, 10:11:54 PM
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · SELL NO
21423 @ 3.0% · notional $643 · 5/22/2026, 10:11:28 PM
Iran closes its airspace by May 27? · SELL NO
393 @ 1.8% · notional $7 · 5/22/2026, 9:49:48 PM
138 @ 86.1% · notional $119 · 5/22/2026, 9:42:16 PM
1378 @ 87.1% · notional $1,200 · 5/22/2026, 9:41:57 PM
797 @ 69.0% · notional $550 · 5/22/2026, 9:41:15 PM
1475 @ 67.8% · notional $1,000 · 5/22/2026, 9:40:54 PM
1242 @ 90.0% · notional $1,118 · 5/22/2026, 9:40:38 PM
3762 @ 90.6% · notional $3,408 · 5/22/2026, 9:40:21 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
10000 @ 73.9% · notional $7,395 · 5/22/2026, 9:40:07 PM
Iran closes its airspace by May 27? · BUY NO
23 @ 88.0% · notional $20 · 5/22/2026, 1:43:11 PM
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · BUY NO
2073 @ 82.0% · notional $1,700 · 5/22/2026, 1:40:58 PM
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · BUY NO
1096 @ 82.0% · notional $899 · 5/22/2026, 1:40:31 PM
Iran closes its airspace by May 27? · BUY NO
163 @ 87.0% · notional $142 · 5/22/2026, 1:39:58 PM
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · BUY NO
781 @ 81.0% · notional $632 · 5/22/2026, 1:39:06 PM
Iran closes its airspace by May 27? · BUY NO
207 @ 86.0% · notional $178 · 5/22/2026, 1:38:57 PM
265 @ 82.0% · notional $217 · 5/22/2026, 1:38:13 PM
146 @ 74.0% · notional $108 · 5/22/2026, 1:37:38 PM
51 @ 64.5% · notional $33 · 5/22/2026, 1:37:19 PM
54 @ 79.6% · notional $43 · 5/22/2026, 1:37:12 PM
319 @ 63.6% · notional $203 · 5/22/2026, 1:36:53 PM
1408 @ 71.0% · notional $1,000 · 5/22/2026, 1:36:40 PM
393 @ 73.0% · notional $287 · 5/22/2026, 1:36:26 PM
1541 @ 80.8% · notional $1,246 · 5/22/2026, 1:36:11 PM
1100 @ 61.9% · notional $681 · 5/22/2026, 1:35:20 PM
378 @ 72.7% · notional $275 · 5/22/2026, 1:35:13 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
10000 @ 76.6% · notional $7,662 · 5/22/2026, 1:34:43 PM
2038 @ 91.0% · notional $1,855 · 5/22/2026, 12:58:40 PM
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · BUY NO
622 @ 90.0% · notional $560 · 5/22/2026, 4:20:21 AM
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · BUY NO
3333 @ 90.0% · notional $3,000 · 5/22/2026, 4:19:35 AM
439 @ 90.0% · notional $395 · 5/22/2026, 4:19:20 AM
626 @ 77.0% · notional $482 · 5/22/2026, 4:17:36 AM
118 @ 89.0% · notional $105 · 5/22/2026, 4:17:14 AM
2826 @ 89.0% · notional $2,515 · 5/22/2026, 4:15:53 AM
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · BUY NO
3602 @ 89.0% · notional $3,206 · 5/22/2026, 4:14:57 AM
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy 100% · Correct 1 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted 100% · Score 160.7
Netanyahu out by June 30? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $63,578 · 4/5/2026, 4:01:37 AM