Trader
Renan2030
0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a
Quality
96
PnL
$758,951
Volume
$13,365,149
Win rate
67%
Last seen 10/17/2026, 4:56:23 PM
Leaderboard
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 19 · PnL $93,554 · Volume $3,107,591
FINANCE · MONTH · PNL
Rank 38 · PnL $6,749 · Volume $103,985
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 53 · PnL $758,951 · Volume $13,365,149
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 139 · PnL $100,307 · Volume $3,212,388
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 273 · PnL $709,834 · Volume $16,222,174
MENTIONS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 934 · PnL $4 · Volume $12
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 2619 · PnL $2,562 · Volume $37,837
Current positions
603151 shares · value $462,919 · avg 64.7% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
274557 shares · value $212,782 · avg 78.3% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · YES · general
165412 shares · value $134,811 · avg 84.9% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · NO · general
104241 shares · value $89,126 · avg 82.5% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? · YES · general
43908 shares · value $40,615 · avg 92.3% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? · YES · general
17473 shares · value $16,678 · avg 94.4% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? · YES · general
14810 shares · value $11,404 · avg 80.5% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21? · YES · general
9237 shares · value $9,016 · avg 96.6% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · NO · general
6825 shares · value $5,597 · avg 85.0% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
6709 shares · value $5,065 · avg 81.2% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? · YES · general
5476 shares · value $5,010 · avg 81.2% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18? · YES · general
2693 shares · value $2,672 · avg 97.2% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? · NO · general
2257 shares · value $1,817 · avg 89.0% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · YES · general
6515 shares · value $1,792 · avg 39.2% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? · YES · general
1582 shares · value $1,242 · avg 78.5% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
1079 shares · value $863 · avg 71.3% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? · YES · general
262 shares · value $223 · avg 93.0% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
208 shares · value $182 · avg 82.8% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? · YES · general
159 shares · value $158 · avg 98.2% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
165 shares · value $138 · avg 70.3% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? · YES · general
30 shares · value $20 · avg 44.0% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? · YES · general
28 shares · value $9 · avg 68.5% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · YES · general
685 shares · value $0 · avg 29.9% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Maguinha Malta win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election? · YES · general
679 shares · value $0 · avg 18.7% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? · NO · general
482 shares · value $0 · avg 68.2% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02? · YES · general
471 shares · value $0 · avg 84.9% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · NO · general
460 shares · value $0 · avg 81.1% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? · YES · general
435 shares · value $0 · avg 81.8% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Iran closes its airspace by July 31? · NO · general
289 shares · value $0 · avg 63.3% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Carlos Portinho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? · YES · general
57 shares · value $0 · avg 34.8% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · NO · general
792682 shares · value $0 · avg 3.4% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Marco Antônio Superman win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · YES · general
11 shares · value $0 · avg 17.7% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? · NO · general
60745 shares · value $0 · avg 34.5% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? · NO · general
56307 shares · value $0 · avg 78.8% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? · NO · general
20838 shares · value $0 · avg 80.4% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · YES · general
18481 shares · value $0 · avg 52.4% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? · YES · general
17473 shares · value $0 · avg 85.3% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? · YES · general
16294 shares · value $0 · avg 54.9% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30? · YES · general
13214 shares · value $0 · avg 78.6% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? · YES · general
11906 shares · value $0 · avg 69.0% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? · YES · general
11455 shares · value $0 · avg 82.7% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? · YES · general
8263 shares · value $0 · avg 93.1% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · NO · general
5632 shares · value $0 · avg 88.1% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? · NO · general
4591 shares · value $0 · avg 85.9% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general
3775 shares · value $0 · avg 62.3% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31? · YES · general
3242 shares · value $0 · avg 58.2% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · NO · general
2654 shares · value $0 · avg 85.8% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? · NO · general
2465 shares · value $0 · avg 72.3% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · NO · general
1968 shares · value $0 · avg 92.6% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
1383 shares · value $0 · avg 26.0% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · YES · general
1076 shares · value $0 · avg 0.9% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · NO · general
790 shares · value $0 · avg 63.1% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
787 shares · value $0 · avg 50.3% · 10/16/2026, 5:06:56 PM
Recent trades
2091 @ 78.0% · notional $1,630 · 10/15/2026, 1:42:53 PM
1037 @ 99.5% · notional $1,032 · 10/15/2026, 1:42:37 PM
956 @ 99.6% · notional $952 · 10/15/2026, 1:41:58 PM
1782 @ 73.0% · notional $1,300 · 10/15/2026, 1:39:56 PM
2000 @ 99.6% · notional $1,992 · 10/15/2026, 1:39:38 PM
2676 @ 93.0% · notional $2,489 · 10/15/2026, 11:54:35 AM
5127 @ 96.0% · notional $4,922 · 10/15/2026, 11:51:37 AM
6326 @ 92.0% · notional $5,820 · 10/15/2026, 11:49:13 AM
6901 @ 95.0% · notional $6,556 · 10/15/2026, 11:48:41 AM
24786 @ 80.0% · notional $19,829 · 10/15/2026, 11:48:15 AM
425 @ 84.9% · notional $361 · 10/14/2026, 10:50:21 PM
49 @ 84.0% · notional $41 · 10/14/2026, 10:49:27 PM
107 @ 82.4% · notional $88 · 10/14/2026, 10:49:15 PM
495 @ 99.5% · notional $493 · 10/14/2026, 10:48:37 PM
1080 @ 85.1% · notional $919 · 10/14/2026, 5:52:57 PM
929 @ 99.6% · notional $925 · 10/14/2026, 5:52:25 PM
1466 @ 97.4% · notional $1,428 · 10/14/2026, 12:05:09 PM
86 @ 82.4% · notional $71 · 10/14/2026, 12:04:26 PM
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · SELL YES
3654 @ 42.0% · notional $1,535 · 10/14/2026, 12:04:06 PM
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · BUY NO
16 @ 83.0% · notional $13 · 10/14/2026, 11:52:14 AM
105 @ 81.8% · notional $86 · 10/14/2026, 11:51:55 AM
100 @ 99.6% · notional $100 · 10/14/2026, 11:51:34 AM
220 @ 97.1% · notional $214 · 10/14/2026, 11:50:47 AM
215 @ 99.7% · notional $214 · 10/14/2026, 11:50:31 AM
262 @ 93.0% · notional $244 · 10/14/2026, 2:14:26 AM
192 @ 78.6% · notional $151 · 10/14/2026, 2:13:59 AM
12158 @ 98.7% · notional $12,000 · 10/14/2026, 1:17:22 AM
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · SELL YES
2500 @ 42.4% · notional $1,059 · 10/14/2026, 1:16:57 AM
4706 @ 97.8% · notional $4,602 · 10/14/2026, 1:15:46 AM
1724 @ 89.0% · notional $1,534 · 10/14/2026, 1:14:57 AM
78067 @ 85.8% · notional $67,000 · 10/14/2026, 1:11:58 AM
100000 @ 85.0% · notional $85,000 · 10/14/2026, 1:11:37 AM
6053 @ 85.0% · notional $5,145 · 10/14/2026, 12:10:18 AM
620 @ 86.2% · notional $534 · 10/13/2026, 7:00:04 PM
168 @ 35.8% · notional $60 · 10/13/2026, 6:48:40 PM
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? · SELL YES
4500 @ 9.9% · notional $446 · 10/13/2026, 6:46:45 PM
3235 @ 86.3% · notional $2,792 · 10/13/2026, 6:12:03 PM
3384 @ 83.0% · notional $2,809 · 10/13/2026, 6:11:43 PM
613 @ 86.0% · notional $527 · 10/13/2026, 6:09:16 PM
320 @ 94.7% · notional $303 · 10/13/2026, 5:50:33 PM
1000 @ 83.0% · notional $830 · 10/13/2026, 5:50:09 PM
66 @ 62.3% · notional $41 · 10/13/2026, 12:11:44 PM
345 @ 64.9% · notional $224 · 10/12/2026, 10:30:50 PM
300 @ 83.0% · notional $249 · 10/12/2026, 10:30:33 PM
10982 @ 95.0% · notional $10,433 · 10/12/2026, 9:06:45 PM
13747 @ 76.6% · notional $10,531 · 10/12/2026, 9:03:29 PM
154 @ 95.0% · notional $146 · 10/12/2026, 6:55:00 PM
116 @ 64.5% · notional $75 · 10/12/2026, 6:54:33 PM
178 @ 60.7% · notional $108 · 10/12/2026, 6:54:23 PM
400 @ 83.0% · notional $332 · 10/12/2026, 6:53:54 PM
6732 @ 94.0% · notional $6,328 · 10/12/2026, 4:55:00 PM
7624 @ 83.0% · notional $6,328 · 10/12/2026, 4:54:39 PM
159 @ 94.0% · notional $149 · 10/12/2026, 4:54:06 PM
198 @ 76.1% · notional $151 · 10/12/2026, 4:53:48 PM
21715 @ 94.0% · notional $20,412 · 10/12/2026, 4:06:39 AM
2128 @ 94.0% · notional $2,000 · 10/12/2026, 4:05:38 AM
1064 @ 94.0% · notional $1,000 · 10/12/2026, 4:05:08 AM
1064 @ 94.0% · notional $1,000 · 10/12/2026, 4:04:41 AM
507 @ 76.8% · notional $389 · 10/12/2026, 4:03:18 AM
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · BUY NO
112 @ 84.9% · notional $95 · 10/12/2026, 4:02:27 AM
30000 @ 83.0% · notional $24,900 · 10/12/2026, 4:02:00 AM
4863 @ 80.6% · notional $3,921 · 10/12/2026, 3:04:57 AM
2595 @ 78.0% · notional $2,024 · 10/12/2026, 3:04:42 AM
2400 @ 79.0% · notional $1,896 · 10/12/2026, 3:04:26 AM
25 @ 93.0% · notional $23 · 10/12/2026, 2:51:24 AM
3612 @ 92.0% · notional $3,323 · 10/12/2026, 2:51:11 AM
4000 @ 83.7% · notional $3,347 · 10/12/2026, 2:50:56 AM
141 @ 96.1% · notional $136 · 10/11/2026, 4:35:34 PM
748 @ 17.1% · notional $128 · 10/11/2026, 4:35:12 PM
33 @ 94.7% · notional $31 · 10/10/2026, 7:49:15 PM
2390 @ 85.9% · notional $2,053 · 10/10/2026, 7:48:36 PM
2237 @ 94.6% · notional $2,117 · 10/10/2026, 7:48:12 PM
5000 @ 84.0% · notional $4,200 · 10/10/2026, 7:47:52 PM
7690 @ 81.8% · notional $6,290 · 10/10/2026, 1:06:33 PM
2717 @ 83.8% · notional $2,278 · 10/10/2026, 1:06:31 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
2272 @ 84.0% · notional $1,909 · 10/10/2026, 1:05:40 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
8000 @ 84.0% · notional $6,720 · 10/10/2026, 1:04:43 PM
1319 @ 75.0% · notional $989 · 10/10/2026, 11:11:24 AM
23256 @ 86.0% · notional $20,000 · 10/10/2026, 11:11:00 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
25000 @ 84.0% · notional $21,000 · 10/10/2026, 11:10:42 AM
11495 @ 95.0% · notional $10,920 · 10/9/2026, 7:25:28 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
13000 @ 84.0% · notional $10,920 · 10/9/2026, 7:25:07 PM
6384 @ 82.9% · notional $5,292 · 10/9/2026, 7:11:40 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
6300 @ 84.0% · notional $5,292 · 10/9/2026, 7:11:05 PM
2398 @ 83.0% · notional $1,990 · 10/9/2026, 5:35:25 PM
659 @ 82.0% · notional $540 · 10/9/2026, 5:35:08 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
3000 @ 84.0% · notional $2,520 · 10/9/2026, 5:34:53 PM
149 @ 72.0% · notional $107 · 10/9/2026, 3:32:33 PM
160 @ 83.0% · notional $133 · 10/9/2026, 3:30:51 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
300 @ 84.0% · notional $252 · 10/9/2026, 3:30:34 PM
10250 @ 82.0% · notional $8,400 · 10/9/2026, 3:12:46 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
10000 @ 84.0% · notional $8,400 · 10/9/2026, 3:12:24 PM
5194 @ 80.7% · notional $4,190 · 10/9/2026, 3:08:45 PM
10 @ 94.0% · notional $9 · 10/9/2026, 3:08:00 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
5000 @ 84.0% · notional $4,200 · 10/9/2026, 3:07:22 PM
3574 @ 94.0% · notional $3,360 · 10/9/2026, 2:58:48 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
4000 @ 84.0% · notional $3,360 · 10/9/2026, 2:58:25 PM
2682 @ 93.9% · notional $2,520 · 10/9/2026, 2:57:48 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL NO
3000 @ 84.0% · notional $2,520 · 10/9/2026, 2:57:30 PM
138 @ 82.0% · notional $113 · 10/9/2026, 12:34:54 AM
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy 100% · Correct 1 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted 100% · Score 160.7
Netanyahu out by June 30? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $63,578 · 4/5/2026, 4:01:37 AM