Trader
RenanPresidente.
0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a
Quality
49
PnL
$2,627
Volume
$37,837
Win rate
45%
Last seen 8/21/2026, 10:46:26 PM
Leaderboard
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 14 · PnL $99,079 · Volume $660,867
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 52 · PnL $728,573 · Volume $9,639,298
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 110 · PnL $100,426 · Volume $749,803
FINANCE · DAY · PNL
Rank 137 · PnL $225 · Volume $0
FINANCE · MONTH · PNL
Rank 271 · PnL $955 · Volume $69,236
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 297 · PnL $674,102 · Volume $12,258,295
POLITICS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1115 · PnL $184 · Volume $40,769
SPORTS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 2300 · PnL $755 · Volume $19,700
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 2603 · PnL $2,627 · Volume $37,837
SPORTS · WEEK · PNL
Rank 9143 · PnL $6 · Volume $0
Current positions
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · NO · general
913474 shares · value $762,751 · avg 73.2% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · NO · general
35582 shares · value $32,558 · avg 92.2% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · YES · general
21364 shares · value $20,402 · avg 92.8% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · NO · general
20754 shares · value $17,745 · avg 77.6% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · NO · general
14285 shares · value $13,642 · avg 74.2% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · NO · general
13693 shares · value $13,145 · avg 90.5% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · NO · general
9103 shares · value $8,238 · avg 80.4% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
17285 shares · value $5,661 · avg 27.5% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · NO · general
6534 shares · value $5,194 · avg 81.4% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general
5492 shares · value $4,888 · avg 79.7% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
4036 shares · value $3,168 · avg 73.6% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · YES · general
3530 shares · value $2,912 · avg 79.9% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · NO · general
2999 shares · value $2,868 · avg 95.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? · NO · general
2118 shares · value $1,928 · avg 87.3% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · NO · general
1251 shares · value $1,058 · avg 79.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · NO · general
922 shares · value $876 · avg 92.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · YES · general
691 shares · value $632 · avg 88.7% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · YES · general
673 shares · value $441 · avg 62.4% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · NO · general
254 shares · value $218 · avg 87.8% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? · YES · general
177 shares · value $174 · avg 95.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · YES · general
281 shares · value $110 · avg 39.4% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · YES · general
288 shares · value $68 · avg 19.5% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? · NO · general
56 shares · value $44 · avg 74.9% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? · NO · general
48 shares · value $42 · avg 85.8% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31? · YES · general
3242 shares · value $0 · avg 58.2% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · NO · general
2654 shares · value $0 · avg 85.8% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? · NO · general
2465 shares · value $0 · avg 72.3% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · NO · general
792682 shares · value $0 · avg 3.4% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? · NO · general
4591 shares · value $0 · avg 73.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · YES · general
1076 shares · value $0 · avg 0.9% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? · NO · general
60745 shares · value $0 · avg 34.5% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · NO · general
790 shares · value $0 · avg 63.1% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · NO · general
5632 shares · value $0 · avg 88.1% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? · NO · general
56307 shares · value $0 · avg 75.7% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? · NO · general
482 shares · value $0 · avg 68.2% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02? · YES · general
471 shares · value $0 · avg 84.9% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Iran closes its airspace by July 31? · NO · general
289 shares · value $0 · avg 63.3% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? · NO · general
20838 shares · value $0 · avg 80.5% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? · YES · general
11455 shares · value $0 · avg 82.7% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? · YES · general
11906 shares · value $0 · avg 69.0% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30? · YES · general
13214 shares · value $0 · avg 78.6% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? · YES · general
17473 shares · value $0 · avg 85.3% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? · YES · general
16294 shares · value $0 · avg 54.9% · 8/21/2026, 5:04:09 PM
Recent trades
177 @ 95.0% · notional $168 · 8/18/2026, 9:46:15 PM
1529 @ 31.4% · notional $480 · 8/17/2026, 8:19:34 PM
30 @ 29.7% · notional $9 · 8/17/2026, 3:28:25 AM
2 @ 29.7% · notional $0 · 8/17/2026, 3:15:42 AM
10 @ 29.7% · notional $3 · 8/17/2026, 3:14:46 AM
845 @ 29.7% · notional $251 · 8/17/2026, 3:14:16 AM
5 @ 29.6% · notional $1 · 8/17/2026, 2:42:34 AM
2 @ 29.6% · notional $0 · 8/17/2026, 2:39:43 AM
40 @ 29.6% · notional $12 · 8/17/2026, 2:24:19 AM
2125 @ 29.6% · notional $629 · 8/17/2026, 2:24:09 AM
2999 @ 95.0% · notional $2,849 · 8/16/2026, 12:47:00 PM
9368 @ 95.0% · notional $8,900 · 8/16/2026, 12:45:28 PM
87 @ 94.0% · notional $82 · 8/15/2026, 5:30:04 PM
3500 @ 99.6% · notional $3,486 · 8/15/2026, 1:50:31 PM
2241 @ 93.1% · notional $2,086 · 8/15/2026, 11:06:12 AM
2200 @ 99.7% · notional $2,193 · 8/15/2026, 11:05:49 AM
7504 @ 93.0% · notional $6,979 · 8/15/2026, 11:05:01 AM
7000 @ 99.7% · notional $6,979 · 8/15/2026, 11:04:34 AM
21 @ 75.1% · notional $16 · 8/13/2026, 12:59:25 PM
30924 @ 83.0% · notional $25,667 · 8/12/2026, 11:54:16 PM
120 @ 84.0% · notional $101 · 8/12/2026, 11:17:55 PM
118 @ 98.1% · notional $116 · 8/12/2026, 10:59:45 PM
13711 @ 99.9% · notional $13,697 · 8/2/2026, 9:27:05 PM
72 @ 89.0% · notional $64 · 8/2/2026, 9:20:44 PM
10000 @ 99.7% · notional $9,970 · 8/2/2026, 9:16:32 PM
310 @ 88.0% · notional $273 · 8/2/2026, 9:15:38 PM
505 @ 99.8% · notional $504 · 8/2/2026, 9:14:53 PM
1009 @ 99.8% · notional $1,007 · 8/2/2026, 9:13:48 PM
615 @ 99.8% · notional $614 · 8/2/2026, 9:09:39 PM
1014 @ 99.8% · notional $1,012 · 8/2/2026, 8:41:30 PM
2891 @ 88.0% · notional $2,544 · 8/2/2026, 7:52:17 PM
7000 @ 99.8% · notional $6,986 · 8/2/2026, 7:51:44 PM
800 @ 99.8% · notional $798 · 8/2/2026, 7:41:26 PM
2800 @ 99.8% · notional $2,794 · 8/2/2026, 7:40:41 PM
209 @ 99.8% · notional $209 · 8/2/2026, 12:19:24 PM
5804 @ 99.9% · notional $5,798 · 8/2/2026, 12:01:11 AM
16227 @ 99.9% · notional $16,211 · 8/1/2026, 8:20:05 PM
20090 @ 99.8% · notional $20,050 · 8/1/2026, 3:05:26 AM
271 @ 97.9% · notional $265 · 7/31/2026, 2:10:00 PM
509 @ 97.2% · notional $495 · 7/31/2026, 2:09:17 PM
1318 @ 96.5% · notional $1,272 · 7/31/2026, 2:05:35 PM
475 @ 96.3% · notional $457 · 7/31/2026, 2:05:23 PM
259 @ 95.5% · notional $247 · 7/31/2026, 1:05:02 PM
926 @ 96.7% · notional $895 · 7/31/2026, 12:14:59 PM
9375 @ 64.0% · notional $6,000 · 5/23/2026, 9:28:14 PM
6124 @ 98.3% · notional $6,017 · 5/23/2026, 9:27:58 PM
1914 @ 64.0% · notional $1,224 · 5/23/2026, 9:26:57 PM
1245 @ 98.3% · notional $1,224 · 5/23/2026, 9:26:18 PM
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · BUY NO
1559 @ 63.0% · notional $982 · 5/23/2026, 9:18:06 PM
1000 @ 98.1% · notional $981 · 5/23/2026, 9:17:47 PM
249 @ 85.0% · notional $212 · 5/23/2026, 9:04:27 PM
21 @ 77.0% · notional $16 · 5/23/2026, 9:03:54 PM
1351 @ 74.0% · notional $1,000 · 5/23/2026, 9:03:05 PM
405 @ 74.0% · notional $300 · 5/23/2026, 9:00:52 PM
162 @ 66.0% · notional $107 · 5/23/2026, 9:00:33 PM
1670 @ 97.5% · notional $1,628 · 5/23/2026, 8:57:38 PM
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · BUY NO
179 @ 72.8% · notional $130 · 5/23/2026, 8:56:31 PM
140 @ 97.7% · notional $137 · 5/23/2026, 8:55:37 PM
299 @ 81.7% · notional $244 · 5/23/2026, 8:51:06 PM
505 @ 74.0% · notional $374 · 5/23/2026, 8:49:44 PM
474 @ 70.0% · notional $332 · 5/23/2026, 8:49:33 PM
45 @ 61.9% · notional $28 · 5/23/2026, 8:49:26 PM
1000 @ 97.8% · notional $978 · 5/23/2026, 8:49:10 PM
3803 @ 94.0% · notional $3,575 · 5/23/2026, 2:06:07 PM
399 @ 74.0% · notional $295 · 5/23/2026, 2:04:52 PM
7407 @ 81.0% · notional $6,000 · 5/23/2026, 2:04:27 PM
7914 @ 99.6% · notional $7,883 · 5/23/2026, 2:03:35 PM
2223 @ 90.0% · notional $2,000 · 5/23/2026, 8:51:54 AM
2000 @ 99.7% · notional $1,994 · 5/23/2026, 8:51:28 AM
2000 @ 99.7% · notional $1,994 · 5/23/2026, 8:35:17 AM
1205 @ 90.7% · notional $1,093 · 5/23/2026, 8:34:49 AM
769 @ 35.0% · notional $269 · 5/23/2026, 4:56:44 AM
707 @ 74.0% · notional $523 · 5/23/2026, 4:56:09 AM
174 @ 73.0% · notional $127 · 5/23/2026, 4:54:47 AM
1895 @ 78.0% · notional $1,478 · 5/23/2026, 4:54:29 AM
3500 @ 99.7% · notional $3,490 · 5/23/2026, 4:54:12 AM
704 @ 84.0% · notional $591 · 5/23/2026, 4:53:25 AM
553 @ 73.3% · notional $405 · 5/23/2026, 4:50:45 AM
1000 @ 99.6% · notional $996 · 5/23/2026, 4:49:46 AM
4860 @ 72.9% · notional $3,544 · 5/23/2026, 4:49:07 AM
4000 @ 89.0% · notional $3,560 · 5/23/2026, 4:48:48 AM
229 @ 73.0% · notional $167 · 5/23/2026, 4:47:59 AM
247 @ 72.0% · notional $178 · 5/23/2026, 4:47:33 AM
82 @ 73.2% · notional $60 · 5/23/2026, 4:47:19 AM
554 @ 35.0% · notional $194 · 5/23/2026, 4:46:19 AM
312 @ 34.0% · notional $106 · 5/23/2026, 4:45:22 AM
200 @ 33.0% · notional $66 · 5/23/2026, 4:44:43 AM
703 @ 32.0% · notional $225 · 5/23/2026, 4:44:24 AM
1000 @ 99.6% · notional $996 · 5/23/2026, 4:44:05 AM
358 @ 83.0% · notional $297 · 5/23/2026, 4:41:13 AM
94 @ 79.0% · notional $74 · 5/23/2026, 4:40:52 AM
695 @ 91.0% · notional $632 · 5/23/2026, 4:40:17 AM
500 @ 37.0% · notional $185 · 5/23/2026, 4:39:11 AM
1978 @ 91.0% · notional $1,800 · 5/23/2026, 4:38:06 AM
3000 @ 99.6% · notional $2,988 · 5/23/2026, 4:37:50 AM
622 @ 32.0% · notional $199 · 5/23/2026, 4:37:12 AM
457 @ 82.0% · notional $375 · 5/23/2026, 4:30:19 AM
106 @ 42.5% · notional $45 · 5/23/2026, 4:29:38 AM
1217 @ 31.0% · notional $377 · 5/23/2026, 4:29:10 AM
1000 @ 99.6% · notional $996 · 5/23/2026, 4:28:48 AM
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy 100% · Correct 1 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted 100% · Score 160.7
Netanyahu out by June 30? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $63,578 · 4/5/2026, 4:01:37 AM