Trader
ciro2
0x8795bcb2fe129d1ea3e3d73bc13a3d8078047544
Quality
72
PnL
$20,377
Volume
$188,591
Win rate
62%
Last seen 10/17/2026, 5:10:41 PM
Leaderboard
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 17 · PnL $55,675 · Volume $2,246,645
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 57 · PnL $719,882 · Volume $30,044,455
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 77 · PnL $26,967 · Volume $542,284
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 155 · PnL $47,217 · Volume $2,436,734
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 202 · PnL $20,377 · Volume $188,591
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 216 · PnL $886,113 · Volume $38,790,245
Current positions
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
186794 shares · value $0 · avg 0.1% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · YES · general
156167 shares · value $0 · avg 0.7% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election? · YES · general
135604 shares · value $0 · avg 11.5% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · YES · general
127751 shares · value $0 · avg 2.7% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
120475 shares · value $0 · avg 0.4% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
118596 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
118596 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Katy Perry be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · YES · general
118596 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
118596 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Diddy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · YES · general
118596 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
118596 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
118596 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Beyoncé be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · YES · general
118596 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
118596 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · YES · general
118596 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
117564 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
116889 shares · value $0 · avg 7.3% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · YES · general
109316 shares · value $0 · avg 16.8% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
106587 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
93879 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
87804 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · YES · general
86130 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
83745 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? · YES · general
83267 shares · value $0 · avg 17.7% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? · NO · general
75153 shares · value $0 · avg 12.9% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%? · NO · general
70308 shares · value $0 · avg 35.3% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · YES · general
69609 shares · value $0 · avg 17.2% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · YES · general
68686 shares · value $0 · avg 7.5% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+? · NO · general
61043 shares · value $0 · avg 34.8% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
59511 shares · value $0 · avg 46.3% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
53002 shares · value $0 · avg 0.1% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? · YES · general
51328 shares · value $0 · avg 22.8% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more? · YES · general
50950 shares · value $0 · avg 3.8% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · YES · general
46936 shares · value $0 · avg 7.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · YES · general
45187 shares · value $0 · avg 0.4% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
45000 shares · value $0 · avg 12.2% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
43114 shares · value $0 · avg 1.1% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? · YES · general
34785 shares · value $0 · avg 12.8% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · YES · general
31661 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
31661 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · YES · general
31661 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · YES · general
31661 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · YES · general
31661 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · YES · general
31661 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · YES · general
31661 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · YES · general
31661 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9? · YES · general
31027 shares · value $0 · avg 22.4% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · YES · general
29509 shares · value $0 · avg 13.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · YES · general
28399 shares · value $0 · avg 3.8% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
27471 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
27471 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
27471 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
27471 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
27471 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
26000 shares · value $0 · avg 12.4% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30? · NO · general
24762 shares · value $0 · avg 79.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
24287 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
23609 shares · value $0 · avg 6.3% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · YES · general
23066 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · YES · general
23066 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · YES · general
23066 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · YES · general
23066 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · YES · general
23066 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · YES · general
23066 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Taylor Swift be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · YES · general
23066 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · YES · general
23066 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Eric Adams drop out? · NO · general
22534 shares · value $0 · avg 31.7% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · YES · general
22507 shares · value $0 · avg 5.4% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
22261 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
20219 shares · value $0 · avg 7.7% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · NO · general
20000 shares · value $0 · avg 4.4% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? · NO · general
19594 shares · value $0 · avg 8.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · YES · general
18685 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%? · YES · general
18094 shares · value $0 · avg 14.2% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · YES · general
17712 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
17335 shares · value $0 · avg 35.9% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
14559 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+? · YES · general
14269 shares · value $0 · avg 7.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15? · NO · general
14165 shares · value $0 · avg 49.1% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · YES · general
13518 shares · value $0 · avg 16.7% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
US government shutdown in 2025? · NO · general
12993 shares · value $0 · avg 19.8% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? · NO · general
12729 shares · value $0 · avg 43.4% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? · YES · general
12716 shares · value $0 · avg 9.8% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election? · YES · general
11877 shares · value $0 · avg 9.8% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election? · NO · general
11827 shares · value $0 · avg 17.3% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
11574 shares · value $0 · avg 23.4% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
11477 shares · value $0 · avg 5.6% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
10162 shares · value $0 · avg 0.5% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will the government shutdown end November 12? · YES · general
9980 shares · value $0 · avg 50.2% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10? · NO · general
9300 shares · value $0 · avg 23.4% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · YES · general
9095 shares · value $0 · avg 3.4% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? · NO · general
8400 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? · NO · general
8368 shares · value $0 · avg 53.5% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%? · YES · general
8340 shares · value $0 · avg 23.5% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · YES · general
8177 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · YES · general
8177 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · YES · general
8177 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · YES · general
8177 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
8177 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · YES · general
8177 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 11:19:12 AM
Recent trades
1995 @ 24.5% · notional $488 · 3/18/2026, 12:05:13 AM
3227 @ 26.0% · notional $839 · 3/18/2026, 12:02:21 AM
40 @ 26.0% · notional $10 · 3/18/2026, 12:01:37 AM
3862 @ 26.3% · notional $1,016 · 3/18/2026, 12:01:33 AM
2826 @ 22.0% · notional $622 · 2/8/2026, 7:17:31 PM
500 @ 22.0% · notional $110 · 2/8/2026, 7:16:59 PM
4 @ 22.0% · notional $1 · 2/8/2026, 7:16:29 PM
16 @ 22.0% · notional $4 · 2/8/2026, 7:16:27 PM
1851 @ 24.0% · notional $444 · 2/7/2026, 10:35:17 AM
25 @ 24.0% · notional $6 · 2/6/2026, 11:17:49 PM
23 @ 24.0% · notional $6 · 2/6/2026, 11:17:47 PM
401 @ 24.0% · notional $96 · 2/6/2026, 10:58:57 PM
2540 @ 25.0% · notional $635 · 2/6/2026, 10:45:21 PM
5 @ 36.0% · notional $2 · 2/1/2026, 10:41:02 PM
281 @ 36.0% · notional $101 · 1/31/2026, 11:05:00 PM
Resolved history
Source closed_positions_fallback · Accuracy n/a · Correct 0 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted n/a · Score 0.0
No resolved positions found.