Trader

nojnn

0x7f9e2d1df78614564a70becc7fa14aa9a6623a0e

Quality

PnL

$637,625

Volume

$10,088,914

Win rate

77%

Last seen 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Leaderboard

POLITICS · MONTH · PNL

Rank 23 · PnL $74,121 · Volume $886,666

POLITICS · ALL · PNL

Rank 62 · PnL $637,625 · Volume $8,419,852

OVERALL · MONTH · PNL

Rank 171 · PnL $74,142 · Volume $953,247

OVERALL · ALL · PNL

Rank 405 · PnL $521,667 · Volume $10,088,914

POLITICS · WEEK · PNL

Rank 590 · PnL $490 · Volume $86,666

SPORTS · MONTH · PNL

Rank 3022 · PnL $446 · Volume $14,680

SPORTS · WEEK · PNL

Rank 4863 · PnL $30 · Volume $0

Current positions

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · NO · general

587452 shares · value $490,522 · avg 71.8% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · YES · general

45599 shares · value $43,547 · avg 91.3% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · NO · general

38103 shares · value $36,446 · avg 81.3% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · NO · general

26672 shares · value $24,672 · avg 87.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · NO · general

12592 shares · value $11,522 · avg 93.8% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

12826 shares · value $10,646 · avg 81.3% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

US strike on Cuba by December 31? · NO · general

11827 shares · value $9,875 · avg 71.1% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · NO · general

5915 shares · value $4,998 · avg 79.5% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · NO · general

4158 shares · value $3,994 · avg 92.9% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

8869 shares · value $2,993 · avg 26.8% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? · NO · general

2471 shares · value $1,878 · avg 88.4% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · NO · general

1927 shares · value $1,821 · avg 91.6% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? · NO · general

1624 shares · value $1,518 · avg 86.6% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · NO · general

1421 shares · value $1,362 · avg 86.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · NO · general

1465 shares · value $1,252 · avg 61.4% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · NO · general

1372 shares · value $1,098 · avg 83.4% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · NO · general

1071 shares · value $926 · avg 91.8% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

1371 shares · value $761 · avg 68.4% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026? · NO · general

634 shares · value $607 · avg 89.6% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? · NO · general

612 shares · value $563 · avg 89.2% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

1294 shares · value $498 · avg 33.3% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? · YES · general

520 shares · value $372 · avg 73.2% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · YES · general

302 shares · value $249 · avg 77.9% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · YES · general

234 shares · value $217 · avg 78.9% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · NO · general

199 shares · value $184 · avg 94.8% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · YES · general

228 shares · value $90 · avg 37.2% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · YES · general

137 shares · value $90 · avg 65.8% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · NO · general

120 shares · value $80 · avg 66.5% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · NO · general

61 shares · value $58 · avg 87.9% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? · NO · general

65 shares · value $58 · avg 87.1% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · YES · general

221 shares · value $52 · avg 15.8% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · NO · general

2 shares · value $2 · avg 78.2% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · YES · sports

100000 shares · value $0 · avg 5.3% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · YES · sports

100000 shares · value $0 · avg 1.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31? · YES · general

1631 shares · value $0 · avg 70.2% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · YES · sports

94250 shares · value $0 · avg 4.1% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? · YES · general

2287 shares · value $0 · avg 89.2% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? · NO · general

64395 shares · value $0 · avg 80.9% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · YES · general

772 shares · value $0 · avg 0.5% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · NO · general

3028 shares · value $0 · avg 81.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? · NO · general

3205 shares · value $0 · avg 69.4% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? · YES · general

543 shares · value $0 · avg 82.9% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · NO · general

3237 shares · value $0 · avg 32.7% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? · NO · general

3894 shares · value $0 · avg 34.6% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Iran closes its airspace by July 15? · NO · general

243 shares · value $0 · avg 68.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Iran closes its airspace by July 31? · NO · general

4016 shares · value $0 · avg 62.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30? · YES · general

4049 shares · value $0 · avg 79.6% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · NO · general

56448 shares · value $0 · avg 83.7% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · NO · general

4208 shares · value $0 · avg 75.1% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · NO · general

20503 shares · value $0 · avg 85.3% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · YES · general

6659 shares · value $0 · avg 15.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · NO · general

80 shares · value $0 · avg 10.0% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? · NO · general

6846 shares · value $0 · avg 64.3% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Iran closes its airspace by June 30? · NO · general

16749 shares · value $0 · avg 53.5% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? · NO · general

14962 shares · value $0 · avg 61.8% · 8/21/2026, 10:11:05 PM

Recent trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · BUY NO

288 @ 93.0% · notional $268 · 8/21/2026, 12:07:45 AM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · BUY NO

150 @ 92.0% · notional $138 · 8/21/2026, 12:06:48 AM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? · BUY NO

612 @ 89.2% · notional $546 · 8/21/2026, 12:03:12 AM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · SELL NO

1000 @ 95.7% · notional $957 · 8/21/2026, 12:02:54 AM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? · BUY NO

1211 @ 88.0% · notional $1,066 · 8/20/2026, 4:31:07 AM

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? · BUY YES

520 @ 73.2% · notional $381 · 8/20/2026, 4:26:58 AM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · SELL NO

400 @ 96.5% · notional $386 · 8/20/2026, 4:26:33 AM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · BUY NO

1733 @ 93.0% · notional $1,612 · 8/19/2026, 2:24:04 AM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · BUY NO

498 @ 92.0% · notional $458 · 8/19/2026, 2:23:39 AM

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · SELL NO

1918 @ 95.9% · notional $1,840 · 8/19/2026, 2:23:13 AM

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · SELL YES

250 @ 95.7% · notional $239 · 8/19/2026, 2:22:48 AM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · BUY NO

97 @ 93.0% · notional $90 · 8/19/2026, 12:07:51 AM

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · BUY NO

21 @ 68.1% · notional $14 · 8/19/2026, 12:07:21 AM

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · BUY YES

62 @ 68.0% · notional $42 · 8/19/2026, 12:07:12 AM

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · BUY NO

100 @ 66.2% · notional $66 · 8/19/2026, 12:06:57 AM

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · BUY YES

75 @ 64.0% · notional $48 · 8/19/2026, 12:06:40 AM

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · SELL YES

275 @ 95.7% · notional $263 · 8/19/2026, 12:06:22 AM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · BUY NO

1546 @ 93.0% · notional $1,438 · 8/19/2026, 12:03:54 AM

Cuban regime falls in 2026? · SELL NO

1657 @ 87.0% · notional $1,441 · 8/19/2026, 12:03:28 AM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · BUY NO

1076 @ 95.0% · notional $1,022 · 8/17/2026, 2:19:18 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · BUY YES

18773 @ 95.0% · notional $17,834 · 8/16/2026, 12:43:51 PM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · BUY NO

1882 @ 95.0% · notional $1,788 · 8/16/2026, 12:42:34 PM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · BUY NO

126 @ 97.2% · notional $122 · 8/16/2026, 12:41:52 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · BUY NO

199 @ 94.8% · notional $189 · 8/16/2026, 12:41:21 PM

Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · BUY NO

123 @ 95.0% · notional $117 · 8/16/2026, 3:55:51 AM

Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · BUY NO

84 @ 95.0% · notional $80 · 8/16/2026, 3:55:07 AM

Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · BUY NO

5000 @ 96.0% · notional $4,800 · 8/16/2026, 3:55:06 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · SELL YES

4922 @ 99.8% · notional $4,912 · 8/16/2026, 3:54:48 AM

Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · BUY NO

1689 @ 95.0% · notional $1,605 · 8/16/2026, 3:49:54 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · BUY YES

302 @ 77.9% · notional $235 · 8/16/2026, 3:36:49 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · BUY YES

3216 @ 92.0% · notional $2,959 · 8/16/2026, 3:35:12 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · SELL YES

3200 @ 99.8% · notional $3,194 · 8/16/2026, 3:34:49 AM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · BUY NO

91 @ 94.0% · notional $86 · 8/16/2026, 3:30:12 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · BUY YES

967 @ 91.0% · notional $880 · 8/16/2026, 3:28:34 AM

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · SELL YES

9 @ 95.8% · notional $8 · 8/16/2026, 3:02:16 AM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · BUY NO

88 @ 94.0% · notional $83 · 8/16/2026, 1:41:25 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

100 @ 85.0% · notional $85 · 8/16/2026, 1:38:52 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

1118 @ 28.7% · notional $321 · 8/16/2026, 1:38:27 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · SELL YES

500 @ 99.8% · notional $499 · 8/16/2026, 1:37:15 AM

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? · BUY NO

346 @ 88.7% · notional $307 · 8/16/2026, 1:31:07 AM

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? · BUY NO

1278 @ 86.1% · notional $1,100 · 8/16/2026, 1:30:48 AM

Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026? · BUY NO

9 @ 96.0% · notional $9 · 8/16/2026, 1:30:21 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

264 @ 84.6% · notional $223 · 8/16/2026, 1:28:54 AM

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · BUY NO

3244 @ 90.0% · notional $2,920 · 8/16/2026, 1:28:34 AM

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · BUY NO

1029 @ 89.0% · notional $916 · 8/16/2026, 1:26:34 AM

Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · BUY NO

749 @ 93.0% · notional $697 · 8/16/2026, 1:25:33 AM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · BUY NO

5053 @ 94.0% · notional $4,750 · 8/16/2026, 1:23:49 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

100 @ 84.0% · notional $84 · 8/16/2026, 1:23:24 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · SELL YES

1300 @ 99.8% · notional $1,297 · 8/16/2026, 1:22:54 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · BUY YES

367 @ 92.0% · notional $338 · 8/16/2026, 1:20:40 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · BUY YES

6418 @ 92.0% · notional $5,905 · 8/16/2026, 1:16:48 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · SELL YES

15999 @ 99.8% · notional $15,967 · 8/16/2026, 1:05:12 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · BUY YES

2334 @ 92.0% · notional $2,147 · 8/16/2026, 12:26:07 AM

Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · BUY NO

450 @ 96.0% · notional $432 · 8/16/2026, 12:03:58 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · BUY YES

693 @ 91.0% · notional $631 · 8/16/2026, 12:03:28 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · SELL YES

1059 @ 99.8% · notional $1,057 · 8/16/2026, 12:00:19 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · SELL YES

5 @ 99.8% · notional $5 · 8/15/2026, 11:57:27 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · SELL YES

1 @ 99.8% · notional $1 · 8/15/2026, 11:55:19 PM

Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · BUY NO

3053 @ 96.0% · notional $2,931 · 8/15/2026, 11:20:36 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · SELL YES

20 @ 99.8% · notional $20 · 8/15/2026, 11:19:39 PM

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · BUY NO

1064 @ 81.0% · notional $862 · 8/15/2026, 12:34:18 PM

Cuban regime falls in 2026? · SELL NO

1000 @ 87.1% · notional $871 · 8/15/2026, 12:33:43 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

1143 @ 83.0% · notional $949 · 8/15/2026, 11:02:15 AM

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · SELL YES

5 @ 95.8% · notional $5 · 8/15/2026, 4:46:39 AM

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · SELL YES

2 @ 95.8% · notional $2 · 8/15/2026, 4:19:21 AM

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · SELL YES

984 @ 95.8% · notional $943 · 8/15/2026, 4:19:15 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

985 @ 84.6% · notional $834 · 8/13/2026, 6:15:57 PM

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · BUY NO

408 @ 81.5% · notional $333 · 8/13/2026, 6:15:16 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

188 @ 27.9% · notional $52 · 8/13/2026, 6:12:57 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

117 @ 27.9% · notional $33 · 8/13/2026, 5:56:12 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

8 @ 27.9% · notional $2 · 8/13/2026, 5:34:31 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

17 @ 27.9% · notional $5 · 8/13/2026, 5:34:27 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

8 @ 27.9% · notional $2 · 8/13/2026, 5:34:09 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

8 @ 27.9% · notional $2 · 8/13/2026, 5:34:07 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

4 @ 27.9% · notional $1 · 8/13/2026, 5:33:54 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

16 @ 27.9% · notional $4 · 8/13/2026, 5:33:45 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

250 @ 27.9% · notional $70 · 8/13/2026, 5:33:43 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

136 @ 27.9% · notional $38 · 8/13/2026, 5:33:42 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

184 @ 27.9% · notional $51 · 8/13/2026, 5:18:51 PM

Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · BUY NO

939 @ 94.0% · notional $883 · 8/13/2026, 2:15:06 PM

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · BUY NO

345 @ 78.7% · notional $272 · 8/13/2026, 2:08:43 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

82 @ 27.9% · notional $23 · 8/13/2026, 1:43:21 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

210 @ 27.9% · notional $59 · 8/13/2026, 12:45:45 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

42 @ 27.9% · notional $12 · 8/13/2026, 11:49:54 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

20 @ 27.9% · notional $6 · 8/13/2026, 11:49:52 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

179 @ 27.9% · notional $50 · 8/13/2026, 10:17:21 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

2 @ 27.9% · notional $0 · 8/13/2026, 9:14:45 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

1 @ 27.9% · notional $0 · 8/13/2026, 9:10:24 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

2 @ 27.9% · notional $0 · 8/13/2026, 9:10:22 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

31 @ 27.9% · notional $9 · 8/13/2026, 9:09:15 AM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

1245 @ 27.9% · notional $347 · 8/13/2026, 9:03:36 AM

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · BUY NO

63415 @ 82.0% · notional $52,000 · 8/12/2026, 6:07:15 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY YES

25 @ 27.3% · notional $7 · 8/12/2026, 6:06:18 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · BUY YES

1534 @ 97.3% · notional $1,493 · 8/12/2026, 6:05:51 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · BUY YES

8586 @ 90.0% · notional $7,727 · 8/12/2026, 6:05:19 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · BUY YES

3172 @ 97.2% · notional $3,083 · 8/12/2026, 6:04:49 PM

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · BUY YES

1188 @ 94.0% · notional $1,117 · 8/10/2026, 1:24:01 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · BUY YES

1815 @ 87.0% · notional $1,579 · 8/10/2026, 1:23:40 AM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · SELL YES

2700 @ 99.8% · notional $2,694 · 8/10/2026, 1:23:10 AM

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · BUY YES

771 @ 94.0% · notional $725 · 8/10/2026, 1:21:24 AM

Resolved history

Source trade_history · Accuracy 100% · Correct 1 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted 100% · Score 158.7

Netanyahu out by June 30? · predicted NO · resolved NO

CORRECT · notional $41,161 · 3/31/2026, 6:34:17 PM