Trader

cynical.reason

0x75253f58071564ba95f36258fcfb1e918552cde1

Quality

PnL

$91,277

Volume

$4,838,750

Win rate

67%

Last seen 6/28/2026, 4:03:43 PM

Leaderboard

CULTURE · ALL · PNL

Rank 44 · PnL $120,349 · Volume $853,643

POLITICS · ALL · PNL

Rank 554 · PnL $91,277 · Volume $4,838,750

OVERALL · ALL · PNL

Rank 887 · PnL $213,548 · Volume $7,332,507

Current positions

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · NO · general

2 shares · value $2 · avg 44.3% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · NO · general

40000 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? · YES · general

37437 shares · value $0 · avg 2.7% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · YES · general

35092 shares · value $0 · avg 1.3% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · YES · general

10800 shares · value $0 · avg 7.0% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · NO · general

9401 shares · value $0 · avg 11.0% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? · YES · general

7725 shares · value $0 · avg 13.4% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? · NO · general

7374 shares · value $0 · avg 26.6% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · YES · general

146383 shares · value $0 · avg 11.7% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? · NO · general

4238 shares · value $0 · avg 2.5% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? · NO · general

1777 shares · value $0 · avg 41.7% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? · YES · general

627 shares · value $0 · avg 15.0% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? · YES · general

585 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026? · YES · general

497 shares · value $0 · avg 4.8% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? · YES · general

420 shares · value $0 · avg 34.5% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · NO · general

5614 shares · value $0 · avg 2.9% · 6/1/2026, 4:31:08 PM

Recent trades

Iran coup attempt by June 30? · SELL NO

114 @ 86.0% · notional $98 · 4/29/2026, 9:12:38 AM

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? · SELL NO

93338 @ 99.4% · notional $92,778 · 4/29/2026, 9:12:10 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

2290 @ 15.0% · notional $343 · 4/29/2026, 9:11:34 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

23 @ 18.0% · notional $4 · 4/29/2026, 1:26:18 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

152 @ 18.0% · notional $27 · 4/29/2026, 1:24:46 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

2 @ 18.0% · notional $0 · 4/29/2026, 1:17:52 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

0 @ 18.0% · notional $0 · 4/29/2026, 1:13:04 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

167 @ 18.0% · notional $30 · 4/29/2026, 1:09:44 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

56 @ 18.0% · notional $10 · 4/29/2026, 1:03:08 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

0 @ 18.0% · notional $0 · 4/29/2026, 1:01:28 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

10 @ 18.0% · notional $2 · 4/29/2026, 12:45:12 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

1 @ 18.0% · notional $0 · 4/29/2026, 12:43:42 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

1 @ 18.0% · notional $0 · 4/29/2026, 12:38:38 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

6 @ 18.0% · notional $1 · 4/29/2026, 12:32:32 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

2 @ 18.0% · notional $0 · 4/29/2026, 12:32:20 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

6 @ 18.0% · notional $1 · 4/29/2026, 12:21:10 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

0 @ 18.0% · notional $0 · 4/29/2026, 12:19:32 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

52 @ 18.0% · notional $9 · 4/29/2026, 12:12:10 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · SELL YES

18827 @ 39.0% · notional $7,343 · 4/29/2026, 12:11:26 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

6 @ 18.0% · notional $1 · 4/29/2026, 12:10:36 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

0 @ 18.0% · notional $0 · 4/29/2026, 12:10:28 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

67 @ 18.0% · notional $12 · 4/29/2026, 12:10:20 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

25507 @ 18.0% · notional $4,591 · 4/29/2026, 12:10:16 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · SELL YES

746 @ 18.0% · notional $134 · 4/29/2026, 12:10:10 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · SELL YES

45598 @ 59.0% · notional $26,903 · 4/29/2026, 12:08:00 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · SELL YES

3 @ 60.0% · notional $2 · 4/29/2026, 12:05:20 AM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · SELL YES

200 @ 60.0% · notional $120 · 4/28/2026, 11:57:44 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · SELL YES

2 @ 60.0% · notional $1 · 4/28/2026, 11:46:00 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · SELL YES

2 @ 60.0% · notional $1 · 4/28/2026, 11:15:18 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · SELL YES

150 @ 60.0% · notional $90 · 4/28/2026, 11:09:32 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · SELL YES

2 @ 60.0% · notional $1 · 4/28/2026, 10:39:22 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · SELL YES

6 @ 60.0% · notional $4 · 4/28/2026, 10:26:18 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · SELL YES

2 @ 60.0% · notional $1 · 4/28/2026, 10:24:12 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · SELL YES

2 @ 60.0% · notional $1 · 4/28/2026, 10:11:42 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · SELL YES

4032 @ 60.0% · notional $2,419 · 4/28/2026, 10:11:40 PM

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? · SELL YES

87 @ 39.0% · notional $34 · 4/28/2026, 2:15:12 PM

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · SELL NO

24811 @ 39.0% · notional $9,676 · 4/28/2026, 2:14:14 PM

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · SELL NO

54 @ 39.0% · notional $21 · 4/28/2026, 2:14:00 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · SELL YES

30859 @ 41.0% · notional $12,652 · 4/28/2026, 1:58:42 PM

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · BUY NO

24797 @ 35.8% · notional $8,878 · 4/28/2026, 1:46:22 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · BUY NO

6947 @ 52.5% · notional $3,648 · 4/28/2026, 1:43:34 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · BUY YES

50000 @ 58.0% · notional $29,000 · 4/28/2026, 1:37:56 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · BUY YES

56633 @ 37.0% · notional $20,954 · 4/28/2026, 1:32:52 PM

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · BUY YES

29200 @ 18.0% · notional $5,256 · 4/28/2026, 1:32:08 PM

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? · BUY NO

5 @ 99.0% · notional $5 · 4/28/2026, 12:52:00 PM

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? · BUY NO

93333 @ 99.0% · notional $92,400 · 4/28/2026, 12:51:58 PM

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? · BUY YES

87 @ 33.0% · notional $29 · 4/28/2026, 9:31:50 AM

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · SELL YES

4539 @ 55.0% · notional $2,496 · 3/24/2026, 7:35:31 PM

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? · SELL YES

438 @ 29.0% · notional $127 · 3/24/2026, 7:33:39 PM

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? · SELL NO

269 @ 89.0% · notional $240 · 3/24/2026, 7:33:05 PM

US forces enter Iran by December 31? · SELL NO

1405 @ 32.0% · notional $449 · 3/24/2026, 7:32:25 PM

US forces enter Iran by March 31? · SELL YES

84 @ 23.0% · notional $19 · 3/24/2026, 7:32:09 PM

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? · SELL YES

12172 @ 5.0% · notional $609 · 3/24/2026, 7:30:07 PM

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · SELL NO

378 @ 23.0% · notional $87 · 3/24/2026, 7:29:25 PM

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? · SELL NO

1383 @ 83.0% · notional $1,148 · 3/24/2026, 7:29:07 PM

Iran leadership change by April 30? · SELL NO

2210 @ 72.0% · notional $1,591 · 3/24/2026, 1:32:09 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

3573 @ 44.0% · notional $1,572 · 3/24/2026, 1:31:49 PM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · SELL NO

783 @ 44.0% · notional $345 · 3/24/2026, 1:31:35 PM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · SELL YES

9000 @ 43.3% · notional $3,897 · 3/24/2026, 1:30:51 PM

Will another country strike Iran by March 31? · SELL NO

7770 @ 84.0% · notional $6,527 · 3/24/2026, 1:30:41 PM

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · SELL NO

10196 @ 41.0% · notional $4,180 · 3/23/2026, 11:18:59 PM

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · SELL YES

2105 @ 16.0% · notional $337 · 3/23/2026, 11:13:03 PM

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · SELL YES

368 @ 16.0% · notional $59 · 3/23/2026, 11:12:37 PM

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · SELL YES

1800 @ 16.0% · notional $288 · 3/23/2026, 11:11:17 PM

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · SELL YES

63 @ 16.0% · notional $10 · 3/23/2026, 11:10:47 PM

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · SELL YES

313 @ 16.0% · notional $50 · 3/23/2026, 11:09:29 PM

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · SELL YES

13 @ 16.0% · notional $2 · 3/23/2026, 11:08:11 PM

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · SELL YES

1 @ 16.0% · notional $0 · 3/23/2026, 11:06:07 PM

Resolved history

No resolved history summary available yet.

No resolved positions found.