Trader

balthazar

0x5a218c7ad04135830a45c41aaed7294df7809318

Quality

PnL

$40,437

Volume

$530

Win rate

77%

Last seen 6/30/2026, 6:47:43 AM

Leaderboard

WEATHER · WEEK · PNL

Rank 3 · PnL $6,456 · Volume $35,071

WEATHER · MONTH · PNL

Rank 3 · PnL $20,372 · Volume $1,547,389

FINANCE · WEEK · PNL

Rank 4 · PnL $40,437 · Volume $530

TECH · WEEK · PNL

Rank 4 · PnL $6,068 · Volume $2,263

TECH · MONTH · PNL

Rank 5 · PnL $20,071 · Volume $584,099

FINANCE · MONTH · PNL

Rank 5 · PnL $69,049 · Volume $1,370,913

CULTURE · MONTH · PNL

Rank 20 · PnL $10,106 · Volume $734,474

CULTURE · DAY · PNL

Rank 21 · PnL $917 · Volume $7,124

FINANCE · ALL · PNL

Rank 27 · PnL $100,033 · Volume $2,747,726

WEATHER · DAY · PNL

Rank 47 · PnL $250 · Volume $35,071

TECH · ALL · PNL

Rank 56 · PnL $24,213 · Volume $739,571

TECH · DAY · PNL

Rank 60 · PnL $46 · Volume $2,263

WEATHER · ALL · PNL

Rank 91 · PnL $17,508 · Volume $1,808,339

OVERALL · MONTH · PNL

Rank 101 · PnL $308,159 · Volume $17,201,267

OVERALL · WEEK · PNL

Rank 121 · PnL $71,449 · Volume $447,907

POLITICS · MONTH · PNL

Rank 133 · PnL $38,061 · Volume $3,283,610

SPORTS · MONTH · PNL

Rank 136 · PnL $140,341 · Volume $8,272,619

CULTURE · ALL · PNL

Rank 136 · PnL $49,697 · Volume $4,338,415

POLITICS · ALL · PNL

Rank 149 · PnL $345,239 · Volume $19,091,903

OVERALL · ALL · PNL

Rank 227 · PnL $760,191 · Volume $45,205,937

SPORTS · WEEK · PNL

Rank 245 · PnL $26,074 · Volume $377,240

SPORTS · ALL · PNL

Rank 450 · PnL $182,006 · Volume $11,437,239

CRYPTO · MONTH · PNL

Rank 483 · PnL $7,328 · Volume $715,723

OVERALL · DAY · PNL

Rank 614 · PnL $2,788 · Volume $447,907

SPORTS · DAY · PNL

Rank 749 · PnL $1,616 · Volume $377,240

CRYPTO · WEEK · PNL

Rank 843 · PnL $1,095 · Volume $17,785

CRYPTO · DAY · PNL

Rank 1048 · PnL $120 · Volume $17,785

CRYPTO · ALL · PNL

Rank 2313 · PnL $18,608 · Volume $3,553,734

Current positions

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? · YES · general

15221 shares · value $15,031 · avg 74.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · YES · general

9270 shares · value $7,764 · avg 69.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Iran leadership change by December 31? · YES · general

9441 shares · value $1,463 · avg 28.6% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

22357 shares · value $78 · avg 1.5% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? · YES · general

8236 shares · value $62 · avg 5.6% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · YES · general

7910 shares · value $51 · avg 3.6% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

86393 shares · value $43 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

86087 shares · value $43 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

85328 shares · value $43 · avg 30.5% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

85152 shares · value $43 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

85048 shares · value $43 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

84456 shares · value $42 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

84208 shares · value $42 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

83294 shares · value $42 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

82829 shares · value $41 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

81598 shares · value $41 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

79741 shares · value $40 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

76969 shares · value $38 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

76942 shares · value $38 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

73900 shares · value $37 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

71900 shares · value $36 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

58764 shares · value $29 · avg 1.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

11681 shares · value $29 · avg 3.1% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

50347 shares · value $25 · avg 1.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

13087 shares · value $20 · avg 3.1% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

33472 shares · value $17 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

25318 shares · value $13 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general

24721 shares · value $12 · avg 2.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general

18537 shares · value $9 · avg 5.3% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general

17289 shares · value $9 · avg 5.3% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general

16705 shares · value $8 · avg 5.3% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general

16704 shares · value $8 · avg 5.3% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general

16644 shares · value $8 · avg 5.3% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will OG Anunoby Jr. be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · YES · general

16326 shares · value $8 · avg 1.6% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general

16173 shares · value $8 · avg 5.3% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? · YES · general

7170 shares · value $7 · avg 4.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general

13854 shares · value $7 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · YES · general

13315 shares · value $7 · avg 1.6% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general

12792 shares · value $6 · avg 5.3% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · YES · general

11715 shares · value $6 · avg 49.5% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · YES · general

11557 shares · value $6 · avg 3.6% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · YES · general

11455 shares · value $6 · avg 3.6% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general

10411 shares · value $5 · avg 5.3% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · YES · general

10027 shares · value $5 · avg 1.6% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · YES · general

10027 shares · value $5 · avg 1.6% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · YES · general

10027 shares · value $5 · avg 1.6% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general

9563 shares · value $5 · avg 5.3% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · YES · general

8957 shares · value $4 · avg 49.5% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · YES · general

8844 shares · value $4 · avg 2.1% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? · YES · general

8735 shares · value $4 · avg 4.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? · YES · general

8676 shares · value $4 · avg 4.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? · YES · general

8537 shares · value $4 · avg 4.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? · YES · general

8142 shares · value $4 · avg 4.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? · YES · general

8106 shares · value $4 · avg 2.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? · YES · general

7265 shares · value $4 · avg 4.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? · YES · general

7203 shares · value $4 · avg 2.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? · YES · general

7098 shares · value $4 · avg 2.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? · YES · general

7030 shares · value $4 · avg 4.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? · YES · general

6899 shares · value $3 · avg 4.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general

6867 shares · value $3 · avg 5.3% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · YES · general

6577 shares · value $3 · avg 1.4% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · YES · general

6577 shares · value $3 · avg 1.4% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · YES · general

6555 shares · value $3 · avg 1.4% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · YES · general

6526 shares · value $3 · avg 1.4% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+? · YES · general

6522 shares · value $3 · avg 11.1% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · YES · general

6460 shares · value $3 · avg 1.4% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · YES · general

6341 shares · value $3 · avg 1.4% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · YES · general

6251 shares · value $3 · avg 1.4% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Argentina? · YES · general

9174 shares · value $0 · avg 5.4% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Algeria 2 - 1 Austria? · YES · general

8856 shares · value $0 · avg 6.5% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Belgium? · YES · general

8848 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Jordan 3 - 0 Argentina? · YES · general

8743 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 2 Austria? · YES · general

8628 shares · value $0 · avg 7.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 France? · YES · general

8510 shares · value $0 · avg 5.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw? · YES · general

8506 shares · value $0 · avg 33.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 2 Spain? · YES · general

8468 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 0 Spain? · YES · general

8424 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 0 Spain? · YES · general

8424 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 0 Spain? · YES · general

8418 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Spain? · YES · general

8418 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 3 Spain? · YES · general

8418 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain? · YES · general

8395 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Spain? · YES · general

8368 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 2 IR Iran? · YES · general

8294 shares · value $0 · avg 3.5% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? · YES · general

8278 shares · value $0 · avg 48.1% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria? · YES · general

8240 shares · value $0 · avg 7.5% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? · YES · general

8200 shares · value $0 · avg 22.3% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? · YES · general

8191 shares · value $0 · avg 28.2% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 0 IR Iran? · YES · general

8191 shares · value $0 · avg 4.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 3 Spain? · YES · general

8169 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Any Other Score? · YES · general

8169 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Argentina? · YES · general

8163 shares · value $0 · avg 6.7% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 1 Spain? · YES · general

8149 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Spain? · YES · general

8125 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 2 Spain? · YES · general

8035 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Spain? · YES · general

8012 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Argentina? · YES · general

7891 shares · value $0 · avg 29.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 1 Iraq? · YES · general

7806 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 2 Iraq? · YES · general

7773 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Spain? · YES · general

7769 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 6/28/2026, 9:23:45 AM

Recent trades

Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal? · BUY NO

20 @ 98.3% · notional $20 · 6/27/2026, 6:18:23 PM

Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal? · BUY NO

20 @ 98.4% · notional $20 · 6/27/2026, 6:11:37 PM

Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 3 IR Iran? · SELL YES

330 @ 0.6% · notional $2 · 6/26/2026, 11:09:43 AM

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · BUY NO

419 @ 36.1% · notional $151 · 6/25/2026, 3:02:25 AM

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? · SELL YES

419 @ 18.1% · notional $76 · 6/25/2026, 3:02:25 AM

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · SELL YES

419 @ 19.0% · notional $80 · 6/25/2026, 3:02:25 AM

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · SELL YES

188 @ 19.0% · notional $36 · 6/25/2026, 3:02:23 AM

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · BUY NO

72 @ 36.1% · notional $26 · 6/25/2026, 3:02:23 AM

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? · SELL YES

28 @ 18.2% · notional $5 · 6/25/2026, 3:01:31 AM

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · BUY NO

28 @ 38.1% · notional $11 · 6/25/2026, 3:01:31 AM

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · SELL YES

28 @ 21.0% · notional $6 · 6/25/2026, 3:01:31 AM

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · BUY NO

400 @ 38.1% · notional $152 · 6/25/2026, 3:01:29 AM

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? · SELL YES

81 @ 18.2% · notional $15 · 6/25/2026, 3:01:29 AM

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · SELL YES

400 @ 21.0% · notional $84 · 6/25/2026, 3:01:29 AM

Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil? · BUY NO

101 @ 1.0% · notional $1 · 6/25/2026, 12:01:20 AM

Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil? · BUY NO

1 @ 1.0% · notional $0 · 6/25/2026, 12:01:19 AM

Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score · SELL NO

18 @ 91.8% · notional $17 · 6/25/2026, 12:00:35 AM

Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score · SELL NO

143 @ 95.6% · notional $137 · 6/24/2026, 11:59:49 PM

Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Canada? · SELL YES

1000 @ 1.1% · notional $11 · 6/24/2026, 5:32:37 PM

Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Canada? · SELL YES

1000 @ 5.8% · notional $58 · 6/24/2026, 5:32:37 PM

Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Canada? · SELL YES

1000 @ 1.8% · notional $18 · 6/24/2026, 5:32:37 PM

Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Canada? · SELL YES

1000 @ 2.4% · notional $24 · 6/24/2026, 5:32:37 PM

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Canada? · SELL YES

1000 @ 2.3% · notional $23 · 6/24/2026, 5:32:37 PM

Exact Score: Any Other Score? · SELL YES

1000 @ 7.3% · notional $73 · 6/24/2026, 5:32:37 PM

Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Canada? · SELL YES

1000 @ 3.9% · notional $39 · 6/24/2026, 5:32:37 PM

Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria? · BUY YES

14 @ 18.0% · notional $3 · 6/24/2026, 5:30:08 PM

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 25? · BUY YES

5 @ 87.9% · notional $5 · 6/24/2026, 5:27:43 PM

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 25? · BUY YES

55 @ 88.0% · notional $48 · 6/24/2026, 5:27:41 PM

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · BUY YES

68 @ 2.0% · notional $1 · 6/24/2026, 5:16:02 PM

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · BUY NO

200 @ 37.0% · notional $74 · 6/24/2026, 5:57:01 AM

Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria? · BUY YES

100 @ 18.0% · notional $18 · 6/24/2026, 5:53:25 AM

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · BUY YES

7 @ 49.0% · notional $3 · 6/24/2026, 4:08:25 AM

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · BUY NO

7 @ 81.0% · notional $5 · 6/24/2026, 4:08:25 AM

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · BUY NO

50 @ 62.4% · notional $31 · 6/24/2026, 4:05:22 AM

Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany? · BUY NO

110 @ 95.0% · notional $105 · 6/24/2026, 4:04:04 AM

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · SELL YES

101 @ 71.0% · notional $72 · 5/31/2026, 5:02:01 PM

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · SELL YES

101 @ 0.1% · notional $0 · 5/31/2026, 5:02:01 PM

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · BUY NO

101 @ 71.0% · notional $72 · 5/31/2026, 5:02:00 PM

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · SELL YES

16 @ 28.0% · notional $5 · 5/31/2026, 5:00:43 PM

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · BUY NO

16 @ 28.0% · notional $5 · 5/31/2026, 5:00:43 PM

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · SELL YES

16 @ 0.1% · notional $0 · 5/31/2026, 5:00:43 PM

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · BUY NO

28 @ 28.0% · notional $8 · 5/31/2026, 4:58:00 PM

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · SELL YES

28 @ 0.1% · notional $0 · 5/31/2026, 4:58:00 PM

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · SELL YES

28 @ 28.0% · notional $8 · 5/31/2026, 4:58:00 PM

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? · BUY YES

71 @ 6.9% · notional $5 · 5/31/2026, 2:28:03 PM

Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open? · BUY YES

60 @ 7.9% · notional $5 · 5/31/2026, 2:22:38 PM

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? · BUY YES

10 @ 7.2% · notional $1 · 5/31/2026, 1:45:54 PM

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30? · SELL YES

21 @ 4.0% · notional $1 · 5/30/2026, 7:02:27 AM

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30? · BUY NO

21 @ 3.0% · notional $1 · 5/30/2026, 7:02:27 AM

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30? · SELL YES

7 @ 4.0% · notional $0 · 5/30/2026, 7:02:26 AM

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30? · SELL YES

21 @ 4.0% · notional $1 · 5/30/2026, 7:01:54 AM

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30? · BUY NO

21 @ 3.0% · notional $1 · 5/30/2026, 7:01:54 AM

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30? · SELL YES

13 @ 92.7% · notional $12 · 5/30/2026, 7:00:02 AM

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30? · BUY NO

13 @ 91.0% · notional $12 · 5/30/2026, 7:00:02 AM

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30? · BUY NO

21 @ 93.0% · notional $20 · 5/30/2026, 6:59:57 AM

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30? · SELL YES

21 @ 94.0% · notional $20 · 5/30/2026, 6:59:57 AM

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30? · SELL YES

20 @ 3.0% · notional $1 · 5/30/2026, 6:54:35 AM

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30? · BUY NO

20 @ 2.0% · notional $0 · 5/30/2026, 6:54:35 AM

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30? · BUY NO

20 @ 93.3% · notional $19 · 5/30/2026, 6:53:58 AM

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · BUY NO

52 @ 47.0% · notional $24 · 5/27/2026, 1:03:26 PM

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · BUY NO

200 @ 48.0% · notional $96 · 5/27/2026, 12:59:51 PM

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · BUY NO

200 @ 48.0% · notional $96 · 5/27/2026, 12:54:50 PM

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · BUY NO

171 @ 48.0% · notional $82 · 5/27/2026, 12:42:10 PM

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · BUY NO

2 @ 48.0% · notional $1 · 5/27/2026, 12:41:44 PM

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · BUY NO

27 @ 48.0% · notional $13 · 5/27/2026, 12:41:11 PM

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · BUY NO

100 @ 30.0% · notional $30 · 5/27/2026, 3:40:59 AM

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · BUY NO

100 @ 99.0% · notional $99 · 5/27/2026, 3:40:59 AM

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · SELL YES

100 @ 30.8% · notional $31 · 5/27/2026, 3:40:59 AM

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference? · BUY NO

8 @ 98.0% · notional $8 · 5/27/2026, 3:28:42 AM

Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24? · SELL YES

45 @ 4.2% · notional $2 · 5/26/2026, 7:42:26 PM

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24? · SELL YES

45 @ 0.7% · notional $0 · 5/26/2026, 7:42:26 PM

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · BUY NO

101 @ 29.0% · notional $29 · 5/26/2026, 7:19:53 PM

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · BUY NO

101 @ 98.9% · notional $100 · 5/26/2026, 7:19:51 PM

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · SELL YES

101 @ 29.8% · notional $30 · 5/26/2026, 7:19:51 PM

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? · BUY YES

25 @ 97.3% · notional $24 · 5/26/2026, 2:08:44 PM

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? · BUY YES

21 @ 97.3% · notional $21 · 5/26/2026, 2:07:17 PM

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · BUY NO

200 @ 3.2% · notional $6 · 5/26/2026, 1:57:06 PM

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? · BUY YES

25 @ 97.4% · notional $24 · 5/26/2026, 1:44:56 PM

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? · BUY YES

5 @ 97.4% · notional $5 · 5/26/2026, 1:43:41 PM

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · SELL YES

18 @ 3.8% · notional $1 · 5/26/2026, 3:43:45 AM

Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · BUY NO

183 @ 67.4% · notional $123 · 5/26/2026, 3:27:58 AM

Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · BUY NO

200 @ 67.4% · notional $135 · 5/26/2026, 3:14:00 AM

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? · BUY YES

57 @ 97.7% · notional $55 · 5/26/2026, 2:38:23 AM

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · BUY YES

200 @ 96.0% · notional $192 · 5/26/2026, 2:30:43 AM

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? · BUY YES

200 @ 62.0% · notional $124 · 5/23/2026, 11:01:35 AM

Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election? · BUY NO

10 @ 36.0% · notional $4 · 5/23/2026, 10:40:17 AM

Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · BUY NO

101 @ 8.0% · notional $8 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:58 AM

Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · SELL YES

101 @ 0.1% · notional $0 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:58 AM

Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · BUY NO

101 @ 99.4% · notional $100 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:58 AM

Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · SELL YES

101 @ 0.1% · notional $0 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:58 AM

Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · SELL YES

101 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:58 AM

Will Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · BUY NO

101 @ 99.8% · notional $101 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:58 AM

Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · BUY NO

101 @ 92.4% · notional $93 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:58 AM

Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · BUY NO

38 @ 12.0% · notional $5 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:40 AM

Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · BUY NO

38 @ 99.4% · notional $38 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:40 AM

Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · SELL YES

38 @ 0.1% · notional $0 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:40 AM

Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · BUY NO

38 @ 89.2% · notional $34 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:39 AM

Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · SELL YES

38 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:39 AM

Will Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · SELL YES

38 @ 0.1% · notional $0 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:39 AM

Will Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? · SELL YES

38 @ 0.2% · notional $0 · 5/23/2026, 10:36:39 AM

Resolved history

Source trade_history · Accuracy 100% · Correct 1 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted 100% · Score 164.3

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · predicted NO · resolved NO

CORRECT · notional $889 · 6/30/2026, 1:19:17 AM