Trader

defillama7

0x4c8cdcdd4c92bf44e74a642254f7414de14de36f

Quality

PnL

$468,185

Volume

$3,737,831

Win rate

67%

Last seen 10/17/2026, 4:56:24 PM

Leaderboard

POLITICS · MONTH · PNL

Rank 16 · PnL $100,104 · Volume $978,530

POLITICS · WEEK · PNL

Rank 93 · PnL $6,815 · Volume $289,353

POLITICS · ALL · PNL

Rank 107 · PnL $468,185 · Volume $3,737,831

OVERALL · MONTH · PNL

Rank 140 · PnL $100,104 · Volume $978,530

OVERALL · ALL · PNL

Rank 461 · PnL $445,285 · Volume $4,065,499

OVERALL · WEEK · PNL

Rank 798 · PnL $6,815 · Volume $289,353

SPORTS · ALL · PNL

Rank 2042 · PnL $30,896 · Volume $91,582

Current positions

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

22241 shares · value $5,004 · avg 15.0% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · NO · general

5566 shares · value $4,203 · avg 78.0% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · YES · general

1784 shares · value $1,713 · avg 67.7% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · YES · general

900 shares · value $131 · avg 58.0% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? · YES · general

36712 shares · value $0 · avg 47.3% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? · NO · general

36110 shares · value $0 · avg 36.7% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · NO · general

17786 shares · value $0 · avg 2.7% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · NO · general

12469 shares · value $0 · avg 15.0% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · YES · general

9480 shares · value $0 · avg 17.0% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · NO · general

165108 shares · value $0 · avg 21.6% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · YES · general

6945 shares · value $0 · avg 64.3% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · YES · general

4818 shares · value $0 · avg 74.6% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? · YES · general

4807 shares · value $0 · avg 26.5% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · YES · general

3755 shares · value $0 · avg 18.1% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? · NO · general

3479 shares · value $0 · avg 26.0% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? · YES · general

1200 shares · value $0 · avg 21.5% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · YES · general

9000 shares · value $0 · avg 45.3% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · YES · general

93053 shares · value $0 · avg 14.0% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · YES · general

70978 shares · value $0 · avg 24.3% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? · NO · general

62307 shares · value $0 · avg 46.8% · 10/16/2026, 7:06:54 PM

Recent trades

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · SELL NO

10000 @ 14.0% · notional $1,397 · 10/8/2026, 5:17:21 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · BUY NO

10000 @ 14.7% · notional $1,470 · 10/8/2026, 5:15:26 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · SELL YES

394 @ 83.8% · notional $330 · 10/5/2026, 4:42:07 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · SELL YES

16 @ 83.8% · notional $13 · 10/5/2026, 4:08:50 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · SELL YES

2 @ 83.8% · notional $1 · 10/5/2026, 4:08:01 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · SELL YES

9 @ 83.8% · notional $7 · 10/5/2026, 4:06:53 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · SELL YES

9432 @ 83.8% · notional $7,904 · 10/5/2026, 4:06:16 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · SELL YES

2 @ 84.6% · notional $2 · 10/5/2026, 3:25:20 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · SELL YES

2 @ 84.6% · notional $2 · 10/5/2026, 3:23:44 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · SELL YES

300 @ 84.6% · notional $254 · 10/5/2026, 3:22:53 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · SELL YES

5 @ 84.6% · notional $4 · 10/5/2026, 3:19:35 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · SELL YES

1000 @ 84.6% · notional $846 · 10/5/2026, 3:19:25 PM

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · SELL YES

27791 @ 84.6% · notional $23,521 · 10/5/2026, 3:19:19 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY YES

3924 @ 27.9% · notional $1,093 · 8/22/2026, 3:07:37 AM

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

15023 @ 26.7% · notional $4,008 · 8/22/2026, 3:07:25 AM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

9 @ 68.0% · notional $6 · 8/21/2026, 3:34:36 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

348 @ 68.0% · notional $237 · 8/21/2026, 3:24:54 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

72 @ 68.0% · notional $49 · 8/21/2026, 3:23:24 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

57 @ 68.0% · notional $39 · 8/21/2026, 3:23:21 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

86 @ 68.0% · notional $58 · 8/21/2026, 3:23:19 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

28 @ 68.0% · notional $19 · 8/21/2026, 3:22:48 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

5 @ 68.0% · notional $3 · 8/21/2026, 3:21:07 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

437 @ 68.0% · notional $297 · 8/21/2026, 3:17:46 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

328 @ 68.0% · notional $223 · 8/21/2026, 3:16:48 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

14 @ 68.0% · notional $10 · 8/21/2026, 3:16:34 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

57 @ 68.0% · notional $39 · 8/21/2026, 3:14:46 PM

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY YES

1000 @ 69.1% · notional $691 · 8/21/2026, 3:05:13 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

90 @ 69.0% · notional $62 · 8/21/2026, 3:05:03 PM

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY YES

58 @ 69.1% · notional $40 · 8/21/2026, 3:04:37 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

77 @ 69.0% · notional $53 · 8/21/2026, 3:03:52 PM

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY YES

191 @ 69.1% · notional $132 · 8/21/2026, 3:03:07 PM

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY NO

2005 @ 69.0% · notional $1,383 · 8/21/2026, 3:01:49 PM

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · BUY YES

218 @ 68.5% · notional $149 · 8/21/2026, 3:01:36 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

45 @ 57.2% · notional $26 · 8/14/2026, 3:36:27 AM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

5 @ 57.2% · notional $3 · 8/14/2026, 3:36:09 AM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

145 @ 57.2% · notional $83 · 8/14/2026, 3:36:00 AM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

190 @ 57.2% · notional $109 · 8/14/2026, 3:35:58 AM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

10 @ 57.2% · notional $6 · 8/14/2026, 3:30:43 AM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

3000 @ 52.0% · notional $1,560 · 8/14/2026, 1:29:24 AM

Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

5000 @ 44.0% · notional $2,200 · 8/14/2026, 1:29:12 AM

Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

4000 @ 47.0% · notional $1,880 · 8/14/2026, 1:29:01 AM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

46 @ 41.0% · notional $19 · 8/14/2026, 1:24:37 AM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY NO

900 @ 60.1% · notional $541 · 8/14/2026, 1:21:39 AM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY NO

2981 @ 61.0% · notional $1,818 · 8/14/2026, 1:21:34 AM

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · BUY NO

1400 @ 1.8% · notional $25 · 8/14/2026, 1:18:49 AM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · SELL NO

763 @ 80.0% · notional $610 · 8/14/2026, 12:18:51 AM

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · BUY NO

4000 @ 2.2% · notional $88 · 8/13/2026, 11:57:18 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · SELL NO

206 @ 80.0% · notional $165 · 8/13/2026, 11:49:15 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · SELL NO

13 @ 80.0% · notional $10 · 8/13/2026, 11:49:13 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · SELL NO

26 @ 80.0% · notional $21 · 8/13/2026, 11:49:12 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · SELL NO

86 @ 80.0% · notional $69 · 8/13/2026, 11:49:10 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · SELL NO

990 @ 80.0% · notional $792 · 8/13/2026, 10:49:10 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

1920 @ 17.0% · notional $326 · 8/13/2026, 10:11:30 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

299 @ 17.0% · notional $51 · 8/13/2026, 10:11:27 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

50 @ 16.9% · notional $8 · 8/13/2026, 10:09:22 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

15 @ 15.0% · notional $2 · 8/13/2026, 10:08:15 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

121 @ 13.0% · notional $16 · 8/13/2026, 9:33:18 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

4650 @ 13.8% · notional $642 · 8/13/2026, 9:25:54 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

2000 @ 16.0% · notional $320 · 8/13/2026, 8:47:31 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

794 @ 15.9% · notional $127 · 8/13/2026, 7:57:33 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY NO

2445 @ 66.0% · notional $1,613 · 8/13/2026, 7:55:57 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY NO

20 @ 61.0% · notional $12 · 8/13/2026, 7:39:42 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY NO

1421 @ 61.0% · notional $867 · 8/13/2026, 7:39:36 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

9 @ 13.8% · notional $1 · 8/13/2026, 7:39:10 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

24 @ 13.8% · notional $3 · 8/13/2026, 7:39:09 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · SELL NO

26 @ 61.0% · notional $16 · 8/13/2026, 7:37:57 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · SELL NO

40 @ 61.0% · notional $24 · 8/13/2026, 7:37:55 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · SELL NO

200 @ 61.0% · notional $122 · 8/13/2026, 7:37:21 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

100 @ 13.8% · notional $14 · 8/13/2026, 7:35:51 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

3 @ 13.8% · notional $0 · 8/13/2026, 7:35:01 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

4 @ 13.8% · notional $1 · 8/13/2026, 7:34:21 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · SELL NO

20 @ 61.0% · notional $12 · 8/13/2026, 7:34:21 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

9 @ 13.8% · notional $1 · 8/13/2026, 7:34:19 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

20 @ 13.8% · notional $3 · 8/13/2026, 7:34:12 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · SELL NO

2 @ 61.0% · notional $1 · 8/13/2026, 7:34:10 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · SELL NO

813 @ 61.0% · notional $496 · 8/13/2026, 7:34:09 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

140 @ 13.8% · notional $19 · 8/13/2026, 7:34:09 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · SELL NO

10 @ 61.0% · notional $6 · 8/13/2026, 7:34:07 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

41 @ 13.7% · notional $6 · 8/13/2026, 7:30:22 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

5 @ 13.0% · notional $1 · 8/13/2026, 7:18:13 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

3 @ 13.0% · notional $0 · 8/13/2026, 7:18:12 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

4 @ 13.0% · notional $1 · 8/13/2026, 7:18:10 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

3 @ 13.0% · notional $0 · 8/13/2026, 7:18:09 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

7 @ 13.0% · notional $1 · 8/13/2026, 7:18:07 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

8 @ 13.0% · notional $1 · 8/13/2026, 7:18:06 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

20 @ 13.0% · notional $3 · 8/13/2026, 7:18:04 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

25 @ 13.0% · notional $3 · 8/13/2026, 7:18:03 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

12 @ 13.0% · notional $1 · 8/13/2026, 7:17:06 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY NO

30000 @ 61.0% · notional $18,300 · 8/13/2026, 7:16:30 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

25 @ 13.0% · notional $3 · 8/13/2026, 7:16:07 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

3 @ 13.0% · notional $0 · 8/13/2026, 7:15:51 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

20 @ 13.0% · notional $3 · 8/13/2026, 7:15:49 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

5 @ 13.0% · notional $1 · 8/13/2026, 7:15:46 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

4 @ 13.0% · notional $1 · 8/13/2026, 7:15:34 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

3 @ 13.0% · notional $0 · 8/13/2026, 7:15:31 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY NO

19994 @ 61.0% · notional $12,196 · 8/13/2026, 7:15:31 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

13 @ 13.0% · notional $2 · 8/13/2026, 7:15:28 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

4 @ 13.0% · notional $0 · 8/13/2026, 7:15:27 PM

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY YES

25 @ 13.0% · notional $3 · 8/13/2026, 7:15:25 PM

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · BUY NO

10000 @ 60.0% · notional $6,000 · 8/13/2026, 7:13:33 PM

Resolved history

No resolved history summary available yet.

No resolved positions found.