Trader

Dragontree

0x2c3928af89565c352afe8e2a1b25deed77a056dc

Quality

PnL

$116,097

Volume

$10,175,932

Win rate

67%

Last seen 10/17/2026, 4:56:25 PM

Leaderboard

MENTIONS · MONTH · PNL

Rank 14 · PnL $3,002 · Volume $23,015

MENTIONS · ALL · PNL

Rank 17 · PnL $83,687 · Volume $1,000,706

FINANCE · DAY · PNL

Rank 38 · PnL $315 · Volume $30

MENTIONS · WEEK · PNL

Rank 44 · PnL $556 · Volume $2,716

FINANCE · WEEK · PNL

Rank 108 · PnL $1,588 · Volume $65,224

POLITICS · DAY · PNL

Rank 165 · PnL $535 · Volume $7,777

POLITICS · WEEK · PNL

Rank 237 · PnL $2,708 · Volume $201,656

POLITICS · MONTH · PNL

Rank 269 · PnL $8,419 · Volume $430,135

POLITICS · ALL · PNL

Rank 427 · PnL $116,097 · Volume $10,175,932

FINANCE · MONTH · PNL

Rank 589 · PnL $398 · Volume $207,462

CULTURE · MONTH · PNL

Rank 840 · PnL $135 · Volume $3,612

FINANCE · ALL · PNL

Rank 865 · PnL $6,103 · Volume $687,007

TECH · ALL · PNL

Rank 874 · PnL $2,122 · Volume $496,707

CULTURE · WEEK · PNL

Rank 1046 · PnL $40 · Volume $0

OVERALL · WEEK · PNL

Rank 1125 · PnL $4,730 · Volume $269,595

OVERALL · DAY · PNL

Rank 1146 · PnL $762 · Volume $7,807

OVERALL · MONTH · PNL

Rank 1212 · PnL $11,687 · Volume $726,102

OVERALL · ALL · PNL

Rank 1286 · PnL $154,917 · Volume $16,207,725

TECH · MONTH · PNL

Rank 1541 · PnL $24 · Volume $61,877

CRYPTO · DAY · PNL

Rank 3837 · PnL $5 · Volume $0

Current positions

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · NO · general

18970 shares · value $16,219 · avg 76.1% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? · NO · general

12792 shares · value $12,606 · avg 94.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · YES · general

10589 shares · value $10,213 · avg 89.6% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · YES · general

11861 shares · value $8,362 · avg 72.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · NO · general

10221 shares · value $8,228 · avg 76.4% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · YES · general

4669 shares · value $3,506 · avg 60.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · YES · general

5555 shares · value $3,194 · avg 59.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · NO · general

3072 shares · value $2,872 · avg 90.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · YES · general

5520 shares · value $2,788 · avg 66.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · YES · general

3382 shares · value $2,215 · avg 73.2% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · YES · general

3880 shares · value $2,153 · avg 57.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · YES · general

2222 shares · value $1,900 · avg 82.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · YES · general

5000 shares · value $1,705 · avg 57.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · NO · general

8574 shares · value $1,243 · avg 17.6% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? · NO · general

1227 shares · value $1,197 · avg 95.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) · NO · general

1067 shares · value $1,019 · avg 23.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? · NO · general

1010 shares · value $1,006 · avg 90.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · NO · general

1815 shares · value $989 · avg 45.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · YES · general

3234 shares · value $760 · avg 27.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · YES · general

857 shares · value $690 · avg 74.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? · YES · general

2165 shares · value $671 · avg 18.1% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · NO · general

598 shares · value $577 · avg 93.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · NO · general

500 shares · value $484 · avg 95.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · NO · general

529 shares · value $450 · avg 80.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · YES · general

6506 shares · value $423 · avg 7.6% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · NO · general

907 shares · value $417 · avg 81.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? · YES · general

555 shares · value $377 · avg 56.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · NO · general

450 shares · value $367 · avg 76.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · NO · general

507 shares · value $362 · avg 68.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · YES · general

644 shares · value $358 · avg 86.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · YES · general

2293 shares · value $332 · avg 34.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · YES · general

1259 shares · value $308 · avg 14.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · YES · general

1357 shares · value $307 · avg 12.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · YES · general

1152 shares · value $271 · avg 48.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · YES · general

790 shares · value $257 · avg 54.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? · NO · general

5555 shares · value $250 · avg 6.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? · YES · general

420 shares · value $233 · avg 4.6% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? · YES · general

4755 shares · value $164 · avg 11.8% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

SSI public model released by November 30, 2026? · YES · general

551 shares · value $127 · avg 36.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

SSI public model released by December 31, 2026? · YES · general

308 shares · value $111 · avg 44.4% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · NO · general

343 shares · value $103 · avg 77.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · YES · general

2326 shares · value $74 · avg 1.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · YES · general

850 shares · value $38 · avg 9.7% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? · NO · general

1564 shares · value $38 · avg 4.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · YES · general

30 shares · value $21 · avg 68.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · YES · general

5555 shares · value $19 · avg 1.4% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

US strike on Mexico by December 31? · NO · general

20 shares · value $19 · avg 83.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? · YES · general

977 shares · value $19 · avg 1.1% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · YES · general

573 shares · value $18 · avg 15.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? · YES · general

12 shares · value $11 · avg 81.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · YES · general

335 shares · value $9 · avg 1.6% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? · YES · general

4541 shares · value $7 · avg 4.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? · NO · general

7 shares · value $7 · avg -56.9% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · YES · general

2114 shares · value $4 · avg 4.3% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · NO · general

5 shares · value $1 · avg 63.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? · YES · general

16 shares · value $0 · avg 39.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · YES · general

356 shares · value $0 · avg 0.4% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · NO · general

6 shares · value $0 · avg 57.0% · 10/17/2026, 1:09:10 PM

Recent trades

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · BUY NO

15000 @ 70.0% · notional $10,500 · 9/29/2026, 7:12:32 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · BUY YES

3 @ 4.1% · notional $0 · 9/28/2026, 4:50:27 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · BUY YES

55 @ 4.1% · notional $2 · 9/28/2026, 4:50:26 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · BUY YES

217 @ 4.1% · notional $9 · 9/28/2026, 4:50:24 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · BUY YES

17948 @ 5.0% · notional $890 · 9/28/2026, 4:21:41 PM

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) · BUY NO

1067 @ 23.8% · notional $254 · 9/28/2026, 1:49:30 PM

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · BUY NO

10000 @ 83.0% · notional $8,300 · 9/26/2026, 12:56:02 AM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · BUY NO

10587 @ 92.0% · notional $9,740 · 9/26/2026, 12:30:23 AM

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · BUY YES

1224 @ 33.3% · notional $407 · 9/25/2026, 6:31:42 PM

Fed rate hike in 2026? · BUY YES

3088 @ 99.9% · notional $3,085 · 9/16/2026, 6:00:33 PM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · BUY YES

13738 @ 0.8% · notional $110 · 9/16/2026, 6:43:40 AM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · BUY YES

500 @ 0.8% · notional $4 · 9/16/2026, 6:43:36 AM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · BUY YES

500 @ 0.8% · notional $4 · 9/16/2026, 6:43:09 AM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · BUY YES

33 @ 0.8% · notional $0 · 9/16/2026, 6:43:07 AM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · BUY YES

450 @ 0.8% · notional $4 · 9/16/2026, 6:43:06 AM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · BUY YES

500 @ 0.8% · notional $4 · 9/16/2026, 6:42:46 AM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · BUY YES

15561 @ 0.8% · notional $124 · 9/16/2026, 6:42:43 AM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · BUY YES

33333 @ 0.9% · notional $300 · 9/16/2026, 4:19:09 AM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · SELL NO

41 @ 22.0% · notional $9 · 9/13/2026, 10:30:45 PM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · SELL NO

30 @ 22.0% · notional $7 · 9/13/2026, 10:25:42 PM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · SELL NO

45 @ 22.0% · notional $10 · 9/13/2026, 10:24:55 PM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · SELL NO

435 @ 22.0% · notional $96 · 9/13/2026, 10:23:15 PM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · SELL NO

25004 @ 22.0% · notional $5,501 · 9/13/2026, 10:18:01 PM

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · SELL NO

25555 @ 79.0% · notional $20,188 · 9/13/2026, 10:16:12 PM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · BUY NO

1568 @ 22.0% · notional $345 · 9/13/2026, 10:13:39 PM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · BUY NO

3591 @ 22.0% · notional $790 · 9/13/2026, 10:13:16 PM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · BUY NO

20396 @ 22.0% · notional $4,487 · 9/13/2026, 10:12:36 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · BUY NO

2934 @ 39.0% · notional $1,144 · 9/13/2026, 8:32:06 PM

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · BUY NO

25555 @ 77.0% · notional $19,677 · 9/13/2026, 5:25:16 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · BUY YES

22 @ 87.0% · notional $19 · 9/12/2026, 9:00:48 PM

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · BUY YES

4331 @ 48.7% · notional $2,109 · 9/12/2026, 12:01:55 AM

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · BUY YES

2472 @ 24.2% · notional $597 · 9/12/2026, 12:00:57 AM

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · SELL YES

410 @ 89.0% · notional $365 · 9/11/2026, 11:14:27 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · SELL NO

2106 @ 41.0% · notional $864 · 9/11/2026, 11:14:04 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · BUY YES

3680 @ 86.3% · notional $3,177 · 9/11/2026, 11:13:07 PM

Will Trump say "No Tax on Tips" during RNC Convention? · BUY YES

98 @ 99.0% · notional $97 · 9/11/2026, 2:25:10 AM

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention? · BUY NO

827 @ 97.8% · notional $809 · 9/11/2026, 1:17:52 AM

Will Trump say "Secret Service" during RNC Convention? · BUY NO

175 @ 88.9% · notional $156 · 9/10/2026, 6:41:36 AM

Will Trump say "No Tax on Tips" during RNC Convention? · BUY NO

235 @ 67.9% · notional $160 · 9/10/2026, 3:21:48 AM

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention? · BUY NO

264 @ 92.0% · notional $243 · 9/5/2026, 1:37:24 AM

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention? · BUY NO

23 @ 92.0% · notional $21 · 9/5/2026, 1:36:39 AM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · SELL NO

1834 @ 21.0% · notional $385 · 9/5/2026, 1:36:18 AM

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · SELL YES

5856 @ 94.3% · notional $5,524 · 9/4/2026, 10:42:57 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? · BUY NO

4593 @ 99.4% · notional $4,566 · 9/4/2026, 10:42:37 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · BUY NO

3706 @ 96.0% · notional $3,557 · 9/4/2026, 10:42:24 PM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? · BUY NO

25 @ 92.0% · notional $23 · 9/4/2026, 10:41:30 PM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? · BUY NO

2027 @ 15.5% · notional $314 · 9/4/2026, 10:41:00 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · BUY NO

1304 @ 16.0% · notional $209 · 9/4/2026, 10:40:52 PM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? · BUY NO

10 @ 92.0% · notional $9 · 9/4/2026, 10:40:51 PM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? · BUY NO

25 @ 92.0% · notional $23 · 9/4/2026, 10:40:49 PM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? · BUY YES

420 @ 4.6% · notional $19 · 9/4/2026, 10:40:28 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · BUY NO

382 @ 93.0% · notional $356 · 9/4/2026, 10:40:10 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · BUY NO

2636 @ 11.9% · notional $314 · 9/4/2026, 10:39:57 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · BUY NO

2279 @ 33.1% · notional $755 · 9/4/2026, 10:39:46 PM

Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention? · BUY YES

460 @ 34.6% · notional $159 · 9/4/2026, 9:54:46 PM

Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? · BUY NO

269 @ 30.7% · notional $83 · 9/4/2026, 6:50:55 PM

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? · BUY NO

11 @ 17.0% · notional $2 · 9/4/2026, 6:50:36 PM

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? · BUY NO

380 @ 17.5% · notional $67 · 9/4/2026, 6:50:24 PM

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? · BUY NO

14 @ 17.0% · notional $2 · 9/4/2026, 6:50:22 PM

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? · BUY NO

156 @ 15.0% · notional $23 · 9/4/2026, 6:50:21 PM

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? · BUY NO

884 @ 17.0% · notional $150 · 9/4/2026, 6:49:51 PM

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · BUY YES

850 @ 9.7% · notional $82 · 9/4/2026, 5:52:36 PM

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · BUY YES

2677 @ 7.0% · notional $187 · 9/4/2026, 5:51:15 PM

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · BUY YES

8 @ 81.0% · notional $6 · 9/4/2026, 5:26:00 AM

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · BUY NO

512 @ 82.6% · notional $423 · 9/4/2026, 5:26:00 AM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · SELL YES

2448 @ 89.8% · notional $2,198 · 9/4/2026, 4:59:01 AM

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · BUY YES

2207 @ 82.0% · notional $1,810 · 9/4/2026, 4:58:25 AM

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · BUY YES

15 @ 81.0% · notional $12 · 9/4/2026, 4:57:46 AM

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · BUY YES

14 @ 81.0% · notional $12 · 9/4/2026, 4:57:27 AM

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · BUY YES

40 @ 81.0% · notional $32 · 9/4/2026, 4:57:25 AM

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · BUY YES

250 @ 81.0% · notional $203 · 9/4/2026, 4:50:18 AM

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · BUY NO

60 @ 81.5% · notional $49 · 9/4/2026, 4:49:51 AM

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · BUY YES

40 @ 81.0% · notional $32 · 9/4/2026, 4:49:51 AM

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · BUY YES

476 @ 81.0% · notional $386 · 9/4/2026, 4:49:42 AM

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · BUY YES

2425 @ 77.5% · notional $1,879 · 9/4/2026, 3:42:37 AM

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 4? · BUY YES

160 @ 81.7% · notional $131 · 9/3/2026, 10:09:01 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · SELL YES

1338 @ 91.0% · notional $1,217 · 9/2/2026, 1:40:54 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · BUY YES

72 @ 90.0% · notional $65 · 9/2/2026, 1:19:01 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · BUY YES

100 @ 90.0% · notional $90 · 9/2/2026, 12:25:52 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · BUY YES

50 @ 90.0% · notional $45 · 9/2/2026, 11:35:10 AM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · SELL YES

1 @ 91.0% · notional $1 · 9/2/2026, 10:47:58 AM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · SELL YES

10 @ 91.0% · notional $9 · 9/2/2026, 7:13:36 AM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · SELL YES

536 @ 91.0% · notional $488 · 9/2/2026, 5:05:55 AM

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 1? · BUY YES

95 @ 98.7% · notional $94 · 9/1/2026, 10:08:10 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · SELL YES

5 @ 91.0% · notional $5 · 9/1/2026, 9:27:04 PM

Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 4, 2026? · BUY YES

216 @ 0.7% · notional $2 · 9/1/2026, 9:07:03 PM

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · SELL YES

332 @ 91.0% · notional $302 · 9/1/2026, 4:31:24 PM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? · SELL YES

8 @ 12.0% · notional $1 · 9/1/2026, 11:31:39 AM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? · SELL YES

98 @ 12.0% · notional $12 · 9/1/2026, 11:31:30 AM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · SELL YES

2222 @ 54.0% · notional $1,200 · 8/31/2026, 9:47:25 PM

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · BUY YES

2222 @ 55.0% · notional $1,222 · 8/31/2026, 9:39:37 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? · BUY YES

343 @ 7.0% · notional $24 · 8/31/2026, 7:00:30 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? · BUY YES

211 @ 7.0% · notional $15 · 8/31/2026, 7:00:28 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? · BUY YES

1 @ 7.0% · notional $0 · 8/31/2026, 6:24:21 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? · BUY YES

5 @ 7.0% · notional $0 · 8/31/2026, 6:13:48 PM

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? · BUY YES

31 @ 7.0% · notional $2 · 8/31/2026, 6:09:01 PM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? · BUY YES

403 @ 8.0% · notional $32 · 8/31/2026, 5:56:48 PM

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · SELL YES

1753 @ 46.0% · notional $806 · 8/30/2026, 10:06:42 PM

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? · BUY NO

7 @ 1.1% · notional $0 · 8/30/2026, 9:59:16 PM

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? · BUY YES

22 @ 8.0% · notional $2 · 8/30/2026, 9:11:24 PM

Resolved history

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