Trader
0x1E82E3Eb816aAf755AC9b44BC9d98F01b08AAF92-1772042958755
0x1e82e3eb816aaf755ac9b44bc9d98f01b08aaf92
Quality
76
PnL
$19,911
Volume
$3,667,780
Win rate
62%
Last seen 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Leaderboard
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 1106 · PnL $4,759 · Volume $1,466,326
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 1285 · PnL $6,303 · Volume $2,538,198
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 2226 · PnL $19,911 · Volume $3,667,780
WEATHER · ALL · PNL
Rank 3013 · PnL $418 · Volume $56,212
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 4357 · PnL $39,782 · Volume $9,831,832
SPORTS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 6786 · PnL $180 · Volume $0
SPORTS · ALL · PNL
Rank 7366 · PnL $6,931 · Volume $1,580,088
CULTURE · DAY · PNL
Rank 8182 · PnL $0 · Volume $0
POLITICS · DAY · PNL
Rank 9899 · PnL $1 · Volume $0
Current positions
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? · YES · general
57074 shares · value $0 · avg 1.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? · YES · general
49206 shares · value $0 · avg 1.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · YES · general
46420 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · YES · general
42503 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · YES · general
42266 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · YES · general
42266 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · YES · general
42118 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · YES · general
42118 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · YES · general
42118 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · YES · general
39088 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
27003 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
27003 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
26755 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
26755 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
24333 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
22731 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
22731 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
22731 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
22731 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
22731 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
22731 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
22646 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · YES · general
14656 shares · value $0 · avg 2.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
14012 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? · YES · general
13987 shares · value $0 · avg 2.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? · YES · general
13987 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general
12987 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
12729 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
12729 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general
12417 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
11896 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
11896 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
11896 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? · YES · general
11853 shares · value $0 · avg 2.5% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? · YES · general
11768 shares · value $0 · avg 2.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general
11746 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general
11166 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · YES · general
10902 shares · value $0 · avg 2.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · YES · general
10884 shares · value $0 · avg 2.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · YES · general
10884 shares · value $0 · avg 2.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general
10496 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general
10496 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Military action against Iran ends before April 2026? · YES · general
10494 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Military action against Iran ends on April 1, 2026? · YES · general
10494 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Military action against Iran ends on April 4, 2026? · YES · general
10494 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Military action against Iran ends on April 3, 2026? · YES · general
10494 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Military action against Iran ends on April 2, 2026? · YES · general
10494 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Military action against Iran ends on April 5, 2026? · YES · general
10257 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Military action against Iran ends on April 6, 2026? · YES · general
9974 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Military action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026? · YES · general
9974 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? · YES · sports
9805 shares · value $0 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · YES · sports
9795 shares · value $0 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? · YES · sports
9795 shares · value $0 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · YES · sports
9795 shares · value $0 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · YES · sports
9735 shares · value $0 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? · YES · sports
9735 shares · value $0 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · YES · sports
9725 shares · value $0 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? · YES · sports
9691 shares · value $0 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? · YES · sports
9691 shares · value $0 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? · YES · sports
9691 shares · value $0 · avg 3.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026? · YES · general
9669 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · YES · general
9375 shares · value $0 · avg 3.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general
9058 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
9058 shares · value $0 · avg 1.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general
9054 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Donald Trump visit China on or prior to May 1, 2026? · YES · general
9032 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · YES · general
8952 shares · value $0 · avg 2.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 4, 2026? · YES · general
8928 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 2, 2026? · YES · general
8928 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? · YES · general
8805 shares · value $0 · avg 2.6% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · YES · general
8723 shares · value $0 · avg 6.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 3, 2026? · YES · general
8606 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
8593 shares · value $0 · avg 6.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · YES · general
8593 shares · value $0 · avg 6.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · YES · general
8583 shares · value $0 · avg 6.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
8573 shares · value $0 · avg 6.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Bharatiya Gorkha Prajatantrik Morcha (BGPM) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? · YES · general
8445 shares · value $0 · avg 2.3% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? · YES · general
8365 shares · value $0 · avg 2.4% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
8287 shares · value $0 · avg 1.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
8287 shares · value $0 · avg 1.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Feyenoord win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
8287 shares · value $0 · avg 1.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
8287 shares · value $0 · avg 1.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Celtic win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
8287 shares · value $0 · avg 1.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Sturm Graz win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
8287 shares · value $0 · avg 1.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · YES · general
8287 shares · value $0 · avg 1.7% · 10/17/2026, 4:57:24 PM
Recent trades
No recent trades found.
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy 82% · Correct 9 · Incorrect 2 · Flat 0 · Weighted 79% · Score 133.4
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $0 · 5/16/2026, 2:54:14 AM
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $742 · 5/16/2026, 2:45:20 AM
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $729 · 5/16/2026, 2:45:20 AM
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $576 · 5/16/2026, 2:45:20 AM
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · predicted NO · resolved YES
INCORRECT · notional $658 · 5/16/2026, 2:45:19 AM
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $310 · 5/16/2026, 2:45:19 AM
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $163 · 5/15/2026, 10:22:45 PM
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $156 · 5/15/2026, 10:22:45 PM
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $151 · 5/15/2026, 10:22:45 PM
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · predicted NO · resolved YES
INCORRECT · notional $108 · 5/15/2026, 10:22:45 PM
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $105 · 5/15/2026, 10:22:45 PM