Trader
slight-
0x090a0d3fc9d68d3e16db70e3460e3e4b510801b4
Quality
99
PnL
$131,805
Volume
$2,447,666
Win rate
72%
Last seen 10/17/2026, 5:15:24 PM
Leaderboard
CULTURE · ALL · PNL
Rank 37 · PnL $131,805 · Volume $2,447,666
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 56 · PnL $27,957 · Volume $478,237
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 78 · PnL $580,471 · Volume $21,435,967
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 606 · PnL $334,850 · Volume $48,207,290
Current positions
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · YES · culture
54 shares · value $27 · avg 10.6% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? · YES · general
26477 shares · value $0 · avg 33.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? · NO · general
26402 shares · value $0 · avg 26.2% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? · YES · general
25000 shares · value $0 · avg 55.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · YES · general
19829 shares · value $0 · avg 6.5% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10? · YES · general
19203 shares · value $0 · avg 9.3% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025? · NO · general
14212 shares · value $0 · avg 54.9% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more? · YES · general
12766 shares · value $0 · avg 7.9% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? · YES · general
11771 shares · value $0 · avg 4.2% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21? · YES · general
11191 shares · value $0 · avg 1.5% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
11146 shares · value $0 · avg 6.2% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · YES · general
9360 shares · value $0 · avg 10.4% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? · YES · general
8044 shares · value $0 · avg 20.7% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? · NO · general
7488 shares · value $0 · avg 13.2% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August? · YES · general
7486 shares · value $0 · avg 17.5% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? · NO · general
6976 shares · value $0 · avg 33.3% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? · YES · general
6902 shares · value $0 · avg 44.6% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
6811 shares · value $0 · avg 25.2% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31? · YES · general
6140 shares · value $0 · avg 9.9% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026? · YES · general
6066 shares · value $0 · avg 11.5% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · YES · general
5239 shares · value $0 · avg 14.3% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7? · YES · general
4678 shares · value $0 · avg 14.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? · NO · general
4444 shares · value $0 · avg 57.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
4181 shares · value $0 · avg 34.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? · YES · general
4134 shares · value $0 · avg 22.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? · NO · general
4094 shares · value $0 · avg 17.6% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17? · YES · general
3757 shares · value $0 · avg 12.4% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? · YES · general
3586 shares · value $0 · avg 0.7% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Weed rescheduled in 2025? · YES · general
3553 shares · value $0 · avg 17.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? · NO · general
3329 shares · value $0 · avg 3.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? · YES · general
3103 shares · value $0 · avg 48.8% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6? · YES · general
2842 shares · value $0 · avg 2.4% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk? · YES · general
2318 shares · value $0 · avg 11.5% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
2000 shares · value $0 · avg 65.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? · NO · general
1982 shares · value $0 · avg 2.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday? · NO · general
1964 shares · value $0 · avg 46.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Pakistan strike on India by Friday? · YES · general
1805 shares · value $0 · avg 4.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election? · NO · general
1671 shares · value $0 · avg 10.8% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025? · YES · general
1529 shares · value $0 · avg 30.9% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship? · YES · general
1413 shares · value $0 · avg 4.9% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August? · NO · general
1400 shares · value $0 · avg 34.8% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 20%? · YES · general
1310 shares · value $0 · avg 6.8% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? · YES · general
1140 shares · value $0 · avg 71.5% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
1076 shares · value $0 · avg 7.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? · YES · general
1019 shares · value $0 · avg 9.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · YES · general
717 shares · value $0 · avg 18.5% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18? · YES · general
618 shares · value $0 · avg 37.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
489 shares · value $0 · avg 4.5% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025? · YES · general
243 shares · value $0 · avg 13.9% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025? · YES · general
105 shares · value $0 · avg 12.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? · YES · general
67 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? · YES · general
67 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · NO · politics
56 shares · value $0 · avg 34.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026? · YES · general
54 shares · value $0 · avg 50.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? · YES · general
30000 shares · value $0 · avg 13.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
9 shares · value $0 · avg 37.0% · 9/15/2026, 7:59:18 AM
Recent trades
No recent trades found.
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy n/a · Correct 0 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 2 · Weighted n/a · Score 36.3
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026? · predicted FLAT · resolved NO
FLAT · notional $730 · 2/6/2026, 9:07:29 PM
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? · predicted FLAT · resolved NO
FLAT · notional $484 · 2/6/2026, 4:32:29 PM