Trader
99problems123
0x00425c692a667981118f679ef68fdc775257321e
Quality
83
PnL
$29,685
Volume
$10,166,161
Win rate
67%
Last seen 6/30/2026, 6:37:43 AM
Leaderboard
TECH · MONTH · PNL
Rank 6 · PnL $18,547 · Volume $0
POLITICS · MONTH · PNL
Rank 95 · PnL $57,203 · Volume $303,410
POLITICS · DAY · PNL
Rank 117 · PnL $571 · Volume $0
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 590 · PnL $43,379 · Volume $3,138,336
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 1004 · PnL $5,063 · Volume $1,920,196
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 1557 · PnL $29,685 · Volume $10,166,161
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 2026 · PnL $541 · Volume $4,428
CULTURE · MONTH · PNL
Rank 2402 · PnL $48 · Volume $237
OVERALL · ALL · PNL
Rank 3759 · PnL $42,133 · Volume $17,113,722
CULTURE · WEEK · PNL
Rank 4489 · PnL $2 · Volume $0
Current positions
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · YES · general
318549 shares · value $97,158 · avg 29.9% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
112832 shares · value $42,312 · avg 27.1% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
58243 shares · value $36,402 · avg 62.7% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
16556 shares · value $16,556 · avg 95.4% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
67351 shares · value $15,154 · avg 16.3% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
45781 shares · value $8,012 · avg 15.1% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · NO · general
6794 shares · value $6,037 · avg 86.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · YES · general
17037 shares · value $5,793 · avg 37.6% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · NO · general
10755 shares · value $4,571 · avg 46.2% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · YES · general
23804 shares · value $3,928 · avg 26.3% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · NO · general
7812 shares · value $3,750 · avg 43.9% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026? · NO · general
3489 shares · value $3,438 · avg 22.1% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? · NO · general
17671 shares · value $3,092 · avg 31.6% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · NO · general
5577 shares · value $3,011 · avg 54.3% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · YES · stocks
24005 shares · value $2,761 · avg 44.1% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
4128 shares · value $2,704 · avg 69.6% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? · YES · general
22326 shares · value $2,567 · avg 39.2% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · YES · general
111116 shares · value $2,445 · avg 5.4% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? · YES · general
20821 shares · value $2,394 · avg 11.5% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? · YES · general
5277 shares · value $2,348 · avg 46.8% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · NO · general
2987 shares · value $2,316 · avg 20.2% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
11249 shares · value $2,306 · avg 40.5% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · NO · general
3884 shares · value $2,233 · avg 51.9% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? · YES · general
2499 shares · value $2,046 · avg 74.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
6827 shares · value $1,877 · avg 27.6% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
11899 shares · value $1,856 · avg 9.8% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? · YES · general
6939 shares · value $1,856 · avg 30.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
5198 shares · value $1,767 · avg 38.3% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · NO · general
1919 shares · value $1,583 · avg 55.8% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? · YES · general
2432 shares · value $1,544 · avg 49.9% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · NO · general
1461 shares · value $1,453 · avg 92.5% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
5439 shares · value $1,213 · avg 25.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
1633 shares · value $1,176 · avg 74.3% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? · NO · general
8671 shares · value $997 · avg 13.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026? · NO · general
931 shares · value $922 · avg 99.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
1000 shares · value $918 · avg 88.1% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · NO · general
928 shares · value $894 · avg 85.1% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Deel IPO before 2027? · NO · general
855 shares · value $791 · avg 67.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? · YES · general
7043 shares · value $761 · avg 10.7% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? · YES · general
732 shares · value $706 · avg 74.4% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · NO · crypto
883 shares · value $601 · avg 14.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
20891 shares · value $585 · avg 18.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · NO · general
582 shares · value $582 · avg 46.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
628 shares · value $505 · avg 82.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · YES · general
660 shares · value $499 · avg 66.5% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026? · YES · general
1096 shares · value $493 · avg 40.7% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? · NO · general
18488 shares · value $462 · avg 14.4% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · YES · general
2981 shares · value $402 · avg 14.1% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
5215 shares · value $370 · avg 13.3% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · YES · general
476 shares · value $352 · avg 71.1% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? · YES · general
350 shares · value $350 · avg 85.8% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · YES · general
1246 shares · value $327 · avg 73.7% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · NO · general
850 shares · value $293 · avg 34.9% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
287 shares · value $274 · avg 23.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? · YES · general
3461 shares · value $267 · avg 11.9% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
314 shares · value $231 · avg 46.3% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · NO · general
251 shares · value $227 · avg 51.8% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? · YES · general
679 shares · value $210 · avg 71.9% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? · YES · general
1365 shares · value $203 · avg 20.2% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
7062 shares · value $201 · avg 12.8% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · NO · sports
509 shares · value $196 · avg 48.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? · YES · general
656 shares · value $177 · avg 29.7% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
1456 shares · value $160 · avg 9.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · NO · culture
331 shares · value $142 · avg 34.8% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
5322 shares · value $130 · avg 16.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
826 shares · value $116 · avg 21.8% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
12516 shares · value $113 · avg 21.8% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? · YES · general
500 shares · value $113 · avg 26.6% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
2323 shares · value $96 · avg 16.9% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? · NO · general
420 shares · value $63 · avg 34.6% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · YES · general
7508 shares · value $56 · avg 15.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · YES · general
367 shares · value $38 · avg 5.9% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? · NO · general
21208 shares · value $32 · avg 7.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? · YES · general
28 shares · value $28 · avg 85.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
17757 shares · value $27 · avg 0.2% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
5998 shares · value $24 · avg 16.7% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · NO · general
24 shares · value $24 · avg 56.5% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · YES · general
13832 shares · value $21 · avg 2.1% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · YES · general
367 shares · value $18 · avg 4.1% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
2122 shares · value $17 · avg 21.8% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general
6569 shares · value $16 · avg 1.4% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
851 shares · value $13 · avg 16.7% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
5072 shares · value $13 · avg 3.6% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)? · YES · general
5014 shares · value $8 · avg 10.4% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general
1050 shares · value $7 · avg 2.2% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? · NO · culture
16 shares · value $6 · avg 30.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Discord IPO before 2027? · NO · general
15 shares · value $5 · avg 23.6% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
877 shares · value $3 · avg 7.4% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
78 shares · value $1 · avg 5.0% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · YES · general
37 shares · value $0 · avg 14.3% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? · YES · general
931 shares · value $0 · avg 35.5% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? · YES · general
16595 shares · value $0 · avg 30.1% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026? · NO · general
21000 shares · value $0 · avg 24.2% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
23713 shares · value $0 · avg 7.2% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
27854 shares · value $0 · avg 30.6% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · YES · general
32642 shares · value $0 · avg 1.3% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
817 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · YES · general
734 shares · value $0 · avg 21.1% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? · YES · general
38347 shares · value $0 · avg 13.7% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
43861 shares · value $0 · avg 7.9% · 5/24/2026, 11:22:07 AM
Recent trades
No recent trades found.
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy 100% · Correct 1 · Incorrect 0 · Flat 0 · Weighted 100% · Score 233.1
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · predicted NO · resolved NO
CORRECT · notional $3,385 · 5/13/2026, 12:31:48 AM