Trader
99problems123
0x00425c692a667981118f679ef68fdc775257321e
Quality
66
PnL
$4,513
Volume
$871,769
Win rate
47%
Last seen 10/17/2026, 4:18:22 PM
Leaderboard
POLITICS · DAY · PNL
Rank 268 · PnL $323 · Volume $0
TECH · ALL · PNL
Rank 446 · PnL $4,513 · Volume $871,769
FINANCE · DAY · PNL
Rank 590 · PnL $15 · Volume $0
TECH · DAY · PNL
Rank 860 · PnL $2 · Volume $0
TECH · WEEK · PNL
Rank 1960 · PnL $2 · Volume $0
OVERALL · DAY · PNL
Rank 1988 · PnL $340 · Volume $0
MENTIONS · ALL · PNL
Rank 2122 · PnL $533 · Volume $4,428
POLITICS · ALL · PNL
Rank 2125 · PnL $21,096 · Volume $10,531,969
OVERALL · MONTH · PNL
Rank 2836 · PnL $3,986 · Volume $417,511
FINANCE · ALL · PNL
Rank 6486 · PnL $536 · Volume $1,938,195
Current positions
56878 shares · value $40,099 · avg 62.7% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · YES · general
32340 shares · value $6,306 · avg 22.7% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · YES · general
40479 shares · value $4,250 · avg 13.6% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · NO · crypto
883 shares · value $851 · avg 14.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Deel IPO before 2027? · NO · general
855 shares · value $850 · avg 67.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · YES · general
660 shares · value $558 · avg 66.5% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · NO · general
251 shares · value $241 · avg 51.8% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · YES · general
367 shares · value $196 · avg 5.9% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
1633 shares · value $74 · avg 74.3% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · YES · general
43 shares · value $29 · avg 5.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · YES · general
476 shares · value $18 · avg 71.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Discord IPO before 2027? · NO · general
15 shares · value $14 · avg 23.6% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
17757 shares · value $9 · avg 0.2% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Fed rate hike in 2026? · NO · general
77064 shares · value $0 · avg 45.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Iran closes its airspace by May 21? · YES · general
68377 shares · value $0 · avg 14.5% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026? · NO · general
61502 shares · value $0 · avg 0.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair? · YES · general
59124 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair? · YES · general
59124 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? · YES · general
59124 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? · YES · general
59124 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? · YES · general
59124 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? · YES · general
59124 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? · YES · general
59124 shares · value $0 · avg 0.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? · YES · general
51052 shares · value $0 · avg 10.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
50000 shares · value $0 · avg 10.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
45781 shares · value $0 · avg 15.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
43861 shares · value $0 · avg 7.8% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? · YES · general
38347 shares · value $0 · avg 14.5% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · YES · general
32642 shares · value $0 · avg 1.3% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · YES · general
30812 shares · value $0 · avg 1.4% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? · NO · general
30000 shares · value $0 · avg 70.7% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
27854 shares · value $0 · avg 30.6% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · YES · general
26805 shares · value $0 · avg 30.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
25186 shares · value $0 · avg 1.8% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? · NO · general
24481 shares · value $0 · avg 11.3% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · YES · stocks
24005 shares · value $0 · avg 44.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
23713 shares · value $0 · avg 7.2% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? · YES · general
23024 shares · value $0 · avg 22.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
22975 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? · NO · general
21208 shares · value $0 · avg 7.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026? · NO · general
21000 shares · value $0 · avg 24.2% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
20891 shares · value $0 · avg 18.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? · YES · general
20821 shares · value $0 · avg 11.5% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · NO · general
19826 shares · value $0 · avg 15.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
19101 shares · value $0 · avg 0.9% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? · NO · general
17671 shares · value $0 · avg 32.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? · YES · general
16595 shares · value $0 · avg 30.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? · NO · general
16441 shares · value $0 · avg 5.9% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
14962 shares · value $0 · avg 12.3% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · YES · general
14624 shares · value $0 · avg 0.3% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
14346 shares · value $0 · avg 18.5% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? · YES · general
14223 shares · value $0 · avg 7.4% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · YES · general
13832 shares · value $0 · avg 2.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · YES · general
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · YES · general
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · YES · general
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · YES · general
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · YES · general
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · YES · general
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
13641 shares · value $0 · avg 3.1% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
12516 shares · value $0 · avg 21.8% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
11899 shares · value $0 · avg 9.8% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
11249 shares · value $0 · avg 40.5% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026? · YES · general
10712 shares · value $0 · avg 0.5% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · YES · sports
10690 shares · value $0 · avg 13.8% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
10578 shares · value $0 · avg 1.9% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · YES · general
10576 shares · value $0 · avg 0.3% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? · NO · general
10204 shares · value $0 · avg 2.9% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? · YES · general
10096 shares · value $0 · avg 7.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? · YES · general
10050 shares · value $0 · avg 10.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April? · YES · general
9799 shares · value $0 · avg 3.2% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · YES · general
9134 shares · value $0 · avg 6.3% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026? · YES · general
9083 shares · value $0 · avg 9.8% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026? · YES · general
8848 shares · value $0 · avg 9.4% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · YES · general
7508 shares · value $0 · avg 27.4% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · YES · general
7431 shares · value $0 · avg 3.5% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
7069 shares · value $0 · avg 25.4% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
7062 shares · value $0 · avg 12.8% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · YES · general
6774 shares · value $0 · avg 30.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · YES · general
6569 shares · value $0 · avg 1.4% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? · NO · general
6452 shares · value $0 · avg 5.8% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
6445 shares · value $0 · avg 84.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
5998 shares · value $0 · avg 16.7% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
5322 shares · value $0 · avg 16.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
5215 shares · value $0 · avg 13.3% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? · YES · general
5072 shares · value $0 · avg 3.6% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)? · YES · general
5014 shares · value $0 · avg 10.4% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
4739 shares · value $0 · avg 22.4% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? · YES · general
4493 shares · value $0 · avg 3.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
3999 shares · value $0 · avg 22.0% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
3954 shares · value $0 · avg 15.5% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? · YES · general
3461 shares · value $0 · avg 11.9% · 10/7/2026, 7:06:32 PM
Recent trades
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
1329 @ 15.0% · notional $199 · 9/27/2026, 8:29:29 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
125 @ 16.0% · notional $20 · 9/27/2026, 8:23:20 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/27/2026, 8:21:54 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
116 @ 16.0% · notional $19 · 9/27/2026, 8:11:27 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
567 @ 16.0% · notional $91 · 9/27/2026, 8:04:23 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
31 @ 16.0% · notional $5 · 9/27/2026, 6:32:47 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
127 @ 16.0% · notional $20 · 9/27/2026, 6:31:36 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
13 @ 16.0% · notional $2 · 9/27/2026, 4:40:20 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
3000 @ 16.0% · notional $480 · 9/27/2026, 4:19:20 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
37 @ 16.0% · notional $6 · 9/27/2026, 4:00:56 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
22 @ 16.0% · notional $3 · 9/27/2026, 3:59:18 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/27/2026, 3:47:15 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
43 @ 16.0% · notional $7 · 9/27/2026, 3:36:12 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/27/2026, 2:27:21 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
7 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/27/2026, 1:57:45 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
1000 @ 16.0% · notional $160 · 9/27/2026, 12:00:42 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
30 @ 16.0% · notional $5 · 9/27/2026, 11:43:53 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
31 @ 16.0% · notional $5 · 9/27/2026, 10:35:45 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
36 @ 16.0% · notional $6 · 9/27/2026, 10:18:32 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
7 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/27/2026, 10:07:30 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
13 @ 16.0% · notional $2 · 9/27/2026, 10:06:32 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
7 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/27/2026, 9:45:39 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
31 @ 16.0% · notional $5 · 9/27/2026, 7:35:35 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
75 @ 16.0% · notional $12 · 9/27/2026, 6:52:20 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
7 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/27/2026, 6:51:26 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
38 @ 16.0% · notional $6 · 9/27/2026, 6:38:39 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
100 @ 16.0% · notional $16 · 9/27/2026, 4:07:14 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
13 @ 16.0% · notional $2 · 9/27/2026, 3:43:03 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
13 @ 16.0% · notional $2 · 9/27/2026, 3:42:42 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
8 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/27/2026, 1:29:17 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
8 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/27/2026, 1:28:11 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
8 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/27/2026, 1:27:44 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
13 @ 16.0% · notional $2 · 9/27/2026, 12:27:33 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
13 @ 16.0% · notional $2 · 9/27/2026, 12:20:57 AM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
4 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 9:51:57 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 9:44:09 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 9:44:06 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 9:44:02 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 9:38:50 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 9:38:45 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 9:38:41 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 9:38:36 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 9:22:17 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
7 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 9:17:14 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 8:59:32 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
2 @ 16.0% · notional $0 · 9/26/2026, 8:35:50 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 8:34:24 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 8:31:51 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 8:31:45 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 8:31:39 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 8:30:56 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 8:30:51 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 8:30:48 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
6 @ 16.0% · notional $1 · 9/26/2026, 8:26:38 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
521 @ 16.0% · notional $83 · 9/26/2026, 8:21:45 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
200 @ 16.0% · notional $32 · 9/26/2026, 8:20:02 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · SELL YES
130956 @ 16.0% · notional $20,953 · 9/26/2026, 8:19:42 PM
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · BUY YES
2208 @ 17.0% · notional $375 · 9/26/2026, 12:33:03 AM
Resolved history
Source trade_history · Accuracy 0% · Correct 0 · Incorrect 5 · Flat 0 · Weighted 0% · Score 46.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · predicted YES · resolved NO
INCORRECT · notional $1,478 · 7/6/2026, 1:39:29 AM
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · predicted YES · resolved NO
INCORRECT · notional $1 · 6/20/2026, 8:40:10 PM
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · predicted YES · resolved NO
INCORRECT · notional $25,057 · 6/20/2026, 8:24:28 PM
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · predicted YES · resolved NO
INCORRECT · notional $7,974 · 6/14/2026, 6:29:03 PM
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · predicted YES · resolved NO
INCORRECT · notional $30,537 · 6/14/2026, 5:25:51 PM